MLB
Casey Mize
Casey Mize
Detroit Tigers, Starting Pitcher
Age: 27-211d (May 01, 1997)
Exp: 4.111 Years
Country: US
College: Auburn (AL)
Drafted: Round 1 (#1 overall), 2018
Agent(s): Bledsoe Brothers
2025 Payroll Salary
$2,000,000
2025 Cash
$2,010,000
Career Earnings
$10,483,330
2025-2025 Arbitration (CURRENT)
Casey Mize signed a 1 year , $2,000,000 contract with the Detroit Tigers, including $2,000,000 guaranteed, and an average annual salary of $2,000,000. In 2025, Mize will earn a base salary of $2,000,000, while carrying a total salary of $2,000,000.
Contract Terms:
1 yr(s) / $2,000,000
Average Salary:
$2,000,000
Signing Bonus:
N/A
| Year | Age | Status | PayrollAnnual | Luxury Tax | Tax % League Tax | Cash Annual | Cash Cumulative | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 |
|
28 |
Estimate
|
$2,000,000 | $2,000,000 | 0.83% | $2,000,000 | $2,000,000 |
| 2026 |
|
29 |
ARB 3
|
| Year | Age | Service | Status | Base Salary | Incentives Likely | Incentives Unlikely | Payroll Salary | Luxury Tax | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 |
|
28 | 4.111 |
Estimate
|
$2,000,000 | - | - | $2,000,000 | $2,000,000 |
| 2026 |
|
29 | -- |
ARB 3
|
| Year | Age | Status | Base Salary | Cash Total | Cash Cumulative | AYC Cumulative | AYC Remaining | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 |
|
28 |
Estimate |
$2,000,000 | $2,000,000 | $2,000,000 | $2,000,000 | $2,000,000 |
Source:
MLB contract specifics generally collected from verified reports.
2024-2025 Arbitration
Casey Mize signed a 1 year , $840,000 contract with the Detroit Tigers, including $840,000 guaranteed, and an average annual salary of $840,000. In 2025, Mize will earn a base salary of $10,000, while carrying a total salary of $3,100,000 and a dead cap value of $10,000.
Contract Terms:
1 yr(s) / $840,000
Average Salary:
$840,000
Signing Bonus:
N/A
Free Agent:
2027 / UFA
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2023-2023 Pre-Arb
Casey Mize signed a 1 year , $734,200 contract with the Detroit Tigers, including $734,200 guaranteed, and an average annual salary of $734,200.
Contract Terms:
1 yr(s) / $734,200
Average Salary:
$734,200
Signing Bonus:
N/A
Free Agent:
2027 / UFA
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2022-2022 Pre-Arb
Casey Mize signed a 1 year , $714,200 contract with the Detroit Tigers, including $714,200 guaranteed, and an average annual salary of $714,200.
Contract Terms:
1 yr(s) / $714,200
Average Salary:
$714,200
Signing Bonus:
N/A
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2021-2021 Pre-Arb
Casey Mize signed a 1 year , $574,100 contract with the Detroit Tigers, including $574,100 guaranteed, and an average annual salary of $574,100.
Contract Terms:
1 yr(s) / $574,100
Average Salary:
$574,100
Signing Bonus:
N/A
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2020-2020 Pre-Arb
Casey Mize signed a 1 year , $563,500 contract with the Detroit Tigers, including $563,500 guaranteed, and an average annual salary of $563,500.
Contract Terms:
1 yr(s) / $563,500
Average Salary:
$563,500
Signing Bonus:
N/A
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2018-2018 Signing Bonus
Casey Mize signed a 1 year , $7,500,000 contract with the Detroit Tigers, including $7,500,000 guaranteed, and an average annual salary of $7,500,000.
Contract Terms:
1 yr(s) / $7,500,000
Average Salary:
$7,500,000
Signing Bonus:
N/A
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Seasons
4.111 Years
Career Earnings thru 2025
$10,483,330
Earnings w/ Different Teams
1 team
Earnings Per Year
| Year | Age | Team(s) | Status | Cash Total | Cash Cumulative | Awards |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2018 | 21 |
|
Signing Bonus
|
$7,500,000 |
$7,500,000 |
|
| 2020 | 23 |
|
Active
|
$130,830 |
$7,630,830 |
|
| 2021 | 24 |
|
Active
|
$574,100 |
$8,204,930 |
|
| 2022 | 25 |
|
Injured
|
$714,200 |
$8,919,130 |
|
| 2023 | 26 |
|
Injured
|
$734,200 |
$9,653,330 |
|
| 2024 | 27 |
|
Active / Arb Avoided
|
$830,000 |
$10,483,330 |
|
| Total |
$10,483,330 |
$10,483,330 |
||||
| 2025 | 28 |
|
Active / estimate-arbitration
Retained
|
$2,000,000 $10,000 |
||
| Total |
$12,493,330 |
Earnings Per Team
| Years | Team | Base | Signing | Incentives | Cash Cumulative |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 |
|
$2,983,330 | $7,500,000 | - | $10,483,330 |
| Year | Team(s) | Age | Base | Signing | Incentives | Cash Total | Cash Cumulative |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2018 |
|
21 |
$7,500,000 |
$7,500,000 |
$7,500,000 |
||
| 2020 |
|
23 |
$130,830
|
$130,830 |
$7,630,830 |
||
| 2021 |
|
24 |
$574,100
|
$574,100 |
$8,204,930 |
||
| 2022 |
|
25 |
$714,200
|
$714,200 |
$8,919,130 |
||
| 2023 |
|
26 |
$734,200
|
$734,200 |
$9,653,330 |
||
| 2024 |
|
27 |
$830,000
|
$830,000 |
$10,483,330 |
||
| Total |
$2,983,330 |
$7,500,000 |
$10,483,330 |
$10,483,330 |
|||
| 2025 |
|
28 |
$2,000,000 $10,000
|
$2,000,000 $10,000 |
|||
| Total |
$4,993,330 |
$7,500,000 |
$12,493,330 |
Earnings Per Team
| Years | Team | Base | Signing | Incentives | Cash Cumulative |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 |
|
$2,983,330 | $7,500,000 | - | $10,483,330 |
Injuries
| Year | Dates | Reason | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 |
DET |
Jul 03, 2024 - Aug 30, 2024 | Hamstring |
| 2023 |
DET |
Mar 30, 2023 - Oct 01, 2023 | Elbow (Tommy John) |
| 2022 |
DET |
Apr 16, 2022 - Oct 05, 2022 | Knee (ACL) |
-
Nov 04, 2024
Detroit (DET) declined a $3.1 million option for 2025 ($10,000 buyout)
-
Jan 19, 2024
Signed a 1 year $840,000 contract with Detroit (DET), plus a $3.1M club option for 2025, avoiding arbitration
-
Mar 01, 2023
Signed a 1 year $734,200 contract with Detroit (DET)
-
Mar 01, 2022
Signed a 1 year $714,200 contract with Detroit (DET)
-
Mar 01, 2021
Signed a 1 year $574,100 contract with Detroit (DET)
-
Jun 25, 2018
Signed a contract with Detroit (DET)
-
Jun 04, 2018
Drafted by Detroit (DET): Round 1 (#1 overall)
| Year | Team | GP | GS | H | R | ER | BB | K | HR | W | L | SV | IP | ERA | WHIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | DET | 22 | 20 | 121 | 57 | 51 | 29 | 78 | 11 | 2 | 6 | 0 | 102.3 | 4.49 | 1.47 | 0.08 |
| 2023 | DET | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.0 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| 2022 | DET | 2 | 2 | 13 | 6 | 6 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 10.0 | 5.40 | 1.50 | -0.05 |
| 2021 | DET | 30 | 30 | 130 | 64 | 62 | 41 | 118 | 24 | 7 | 9 | 0 | 150.3 | 3.71 | 1.14 | 3.34 |
| 2020 | DET | 7 | 7 | 29 | 25 | 22 | 13 | 26 | 7 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 28.3 | 6.99 | 1.48 | -0.53 |
Calculated Market Value
Market Value
- 1 years, $5,574,667
- Avg. Salary: $5,574,667
- MLB Rank: 201
- SP Rank: 68
Current Contract
- Free Agent: 0
- Avg. Salary: $2,000,000
- MLB Rank: 340
- SP Rank: 104
Comparable Players
We've selected the following players based on their age, contract status, and statistical production to compare Casey Mize to.
| Player | Length | Value | Avg. Salary | Age When Signed |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Walker Buehler | 1 | $8,025,000 | $8,025,000 | 29 |
| James Paxton | 1 | $7,000,000 | $7,000,000 | 35 |
| Reynaldo López | 3 | $30,000,000 | $10,000,000 | 29 |
| Averages | 2 | $15,008,333 | $8,341,667 | 31.0 |
Base Calculated Value
After adjusting the above contracts as if signed at Mize's current age (27), a linear regression is performed, providing us with the following initial value.
| Length | Value | Avg. Salary |
|---|---|---|
| 6 | $46,394,346 | $7,732,391 |
Statistical Comparisons
Now we'll compare our variables and Mize statistically over the two seasons prior to their signing. In this case we're analyzing: GS/Yr, IP, K/9, BB/9, ERA, WHIP, FIP, WAR
| Player | GS/Yr | IP | K/9 | BB/9 | ERA | WHIP | FIP | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
Walker Buehler
2022-2023
|
6.00 | 5.42 | 4.01 | 1.18 | 2.01 | 0.65 | 1.90 | 0.96 |
|
James Paxton
2022-2023
|
9.50 | 5.05 | 4.74 | 1.54 | 2.25 | 0.66 | 2.34 | 1.91 |
|
Reynaldo López
2022-2023
|
0.50 | 1.02 | 10.00 | 3.08 | 3.02 | 1.11 | 2.92 | 120.36 |
| Average | 5.33 | 3.83 | 6.25 | 1.93 | 2.43 | 0.81 | 2.39 | 41.08 |
|
Casey Mize
2024-2024
|
20.00 | 4.65 | 6.86 | 2.55 | 4.49 | 1.47 | 3.95 | 0.14 |
| Pct Change | 275.23 | 21.41 | 9.76 | -32.12 | -84.77 | -81.48 | -65.27 | -99.66 |
| Median Prime % Change | -48.70% | |||||||
| Average Prime % Change | -7.11% | |||||||
Calculated Market Value: Casey Mize
After applying our Prime % figures into our base calculated value, we're given two values. The average of these values becomes our current calculated market value.
| Terms | Avg. Salary |
|---|---|
| 1 years, $5,574,667 | $5,574,667 |
