Tarik Skubal
2025 Payroll Salary
$11,200,000
2025 Cash
$11,200,000
Career Earnings
$5,570,917
2025-2025 Arbitration (CURRENT)
Year | Age | Status | PayrollAnnual | Luxury Tax | Tax % League Tax | Cash Annual | Cash Cumulative | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
2025 | 28 |
Estimate
|
$11,200,000 | $11,200,000 | 4.65% | $11,200,000 | $11,200,000 | |
2026 | 29 |
ARB 3
|
||||||
2027 | 30 |
UFA |
Year | Age | Service | Status | Base Salary | Incentives Likely | Incentives Unlikely | Payroll Salary | Luxury Tax | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
2025 | 28 | 4.114 |
Estimate
|
$11,200,000 | - | - | $11,200,000 | $11,200,000 | |
2026 | 29 | -- |
ARB 3
|
||||||
2027 | 30 | -- |
UFA |
Year | Age | Status | Base Salary | Cash Total | Cash Cumulative | AYC Cumulative | AYC Remaining | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
2025 | 28 |
Estimate |
$11,200,000 | $11,200,000 | $11,200,000 | $11,200,000 | $11,200,000 |
2024-2024 Arbitration
2023-2023 Pre-Arb
2022-2022 Pre-Arb
2021-2021 Pre-Arb
2020-2020 Pre-Arb
2018-2018 Signing Bonus
Seasons
4.114 Years
Career Earnings thru 2025
$5,570,917
Earnings w/ Different Teams
1 team
Earnings Per Year
Year | Age | Team(s) | Status | Cash Total | Cash Cumulative | Awards |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
2018 | 21 |
Signing Bonus
|
$350,000 |
$350,000 |
||
2020 | 23 |
Active
|
$130,830 |
$480,830 |
||
2021 | 24 |
Active
|
$574,300 |
$1,055,130 |
||
2022 | 25 |
Injured
|
$713,600 |
$1,768,730 |
||
2023 | 26 |
Active
|
$1,152,187 |
$2,920,917 |
||
2024 | 27 |
Active / Arb Avoided
|
$2,650,000 |
$5,570,917 |
||
Total |
$5,570,917 |
$5,570,917 |
||||
2025 | 28 |
Active / estimate-arbitration
|
$11,200,000 |
|||
Total |
$16,770,917 |
Earnings Per Team
Years | Team | Base | Signing | Incentives | Cash Cumulative |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
6 | $4,812,430 | $350,000 | $408,487 | $5,570,917 |
Year | Team(s) | Age | Base | Signing | Incentives | Cash Total | Cash Cumulative |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
2018 | 21 |
$350,000 |
$350,000 |
$350,000 |
|||
2020 | 23 |
$130,830
|
$130,830 |
$480,830 |
|||
2021 | 24 |
$574,300
|
$574,300 |
$1,055,130 |
|||
2022 | 25 |
$713,600
|
$713,600 |
$1,768,730 |
|||
2023 | 26 |
$743,700
|
$408,487 |
$1,152,187 |
$2,920,917 |
||
2024 | 27 |
$2,650,000
|
$2,650,000 |
$5,570,917 |
|||
Total |
$4,812,430 |
$350,000 |
$408,487 |
$5,570,917 |
$5,570,917 |
||
2025 | 28 |
$11,200,000
|
$11,200,000 |
||||
Total |
$16,012,430 |
$350,000 |
$408,487 |
$16,770,917 |
Earnings Per Team
Years | Team | Base | Signing | Incentives | Cash Cumulative |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
6 | $4,812,430 | $350,000 | $408,487 | $5,570,917 |
Injuries
Year | Dates | Reason | |
---|---|---|---|
2023 | DET | Mar 30, 2023 - Jul 04, 2023 | Arm |
2022 | DET | Aug 03, 2022 - Oct 05, 2022 | Arm |
- Jan 11, 2024 Signed a 1 year $2.65 million contract with Detroit (DET), avoiding arbitration
- Mar 01, 2023 Signed a 1 year $743,700 contract with Detroit (DET)
- Mar 01, 2022 Signed a 1 year $713,600 contract with Detroit (DET)
- Mar 01, 2021 Signed a 1 year $574,300 contract with Detroit (DET)
- Jun 20, 2018 Signed a contract with Detroit (DET)
- Jun 04, 2018 Drafted by Detroit (DET): Round 9 (#255 overall)
- Jul 07, 2017 Unsigned by Arizona (ARI)
- Jun 14, 2017 Drafted by Arizona (ARI): Round 29 (#862 overall)
Year | Team | GP | GS | H | R | ER | BB | K | HR | W | L | SV | IP | ERA | WHIP | WAR |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
2024 | DET | 31 | 31 | 142 | 54 | 51 | 35 | 228 | 15 | 18 | 4 | 0 | 192.0 | 2.39 | 0.92 | 6.33 |
2023 | DET | 15 | 15 | 58 | 28 | 25 | 14 | 102 | 4 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 80.3 | 2.80 | 0.90 | 2.01 |
2022 | DET | 21 | 20 | 104 | 53 | 46 | 32 | 117 | 9 | 7 | 8 | 0 | 117.7 | 3.52 | 1.16 | 1.44 |
2021 | DET | 31 | 29 | 141 | 76 | 72 | 47 | 164 | 35 | 8 | 12 | 0 | 149.3 | 4.34 | 1.26 | 1.74 |
2020 | DET | 8 | 7 | 28 | 21 | 20 | 11 | 37 | 9 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 32.0 | 5.63 | 1.22 | -0.09 |
Calculated Market Value
Market Value
- 8 years, $224,855,320
- Avg. Salary: $28,106,915
- MLB Rank: 15
- SP Rank: 4
Current Contract
- Free Agent: 2027
- Avg. Salary: $11,200,000
- MLB Rank: 120
- SP Rank: 42
Comparable Players
We've selected the following players based on their age, contract status, and statistical production to compare Tarik Skubal to.
Player | Length | Value | Avg. Salary | Age When Signed |
---|---|---|---|---|
Kevin Gausman | 5 | $110,000,000 | $22,000,000 | 30 |
Tyler Glasnow | 5 | $136,562,500 | $27,312,500 | 30 |
Carlos Rodon | 6 | $162,000,000 | $27,000,000 | 30 |
José Berríos | 7 | $131,000,000 | $18,714,286 | 27 |
Averages | 6 | $134,890,625 | $23,756,697 | 29.3 |
Base Calculated Value
After adjusting the above contracts as if signed at Skubal's current age (27), a linear regression is performed, providing us with the following initial value.
Length | Value | Avg. Salary |
---|---|---|
8 | $194,108,528 | $24,263,566 |
Statistical Comparisons
Now we'll compare our variables and Skubal statistically over the two seasons prior to their signing. In this case we're analyzing: GS/Yr, IP, K/9, BB/9, ERA, WHIP, FIP, WAR
Player | GS/Yr | IP | K/9 | BB/9 | ERA | WHIP | FIP | WAR |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Kevin Gausman
2020-2021
|
21.50 | 5.47 | 11.28 | 2.38 | 3.22 | 1.07 | 3.04 | 5.19 |
Tyler Glasnow
2022-2023
|
11.50 | 5.51 | 12.82 | 2.74 | 2.44 | 0.99 | 2.94 | 3.49 |
Carlos Rodon
2021-2022
|
27.50 | 5.65 | 12.26 | 2.54 | 2.63 | 0.99 | 2.45 | 6.37 |
José Berríos
2020-2021
|
22.00 | 5.80 | 9.64 | 2.91 | 3.76 | 1.19 | 3.76 | 3.14 |
Average | 20.63 | 5.61 | 11.50 | 2.64 | 3.01 | 1.06 | 3.05 | 4.55 |
Tarik Skubal
2023-2024
|
23.00 | 5.92 | 11.06 | 1.60 | 2.60 | 0.91 | 2.24 | 6.16 |
Pct Change | 11.49 | 5.53 | -3.83 | 39.39 | 13.62 | 14.15 | 26.56 | 35.38 |
Median Prime % Change | 13.89% | |||||||
Average Prime % Change | 17.79% |
Calculated Market Value: Tarik Skubal
After applying our Prime % figures into our base calculated value, we're given two values. The average of these values becomes our current calculated market value.
Terms | Avg. Salary |
---|---|
8 years, $224,855,320 | $28,106,915 |