Bailey Ober
2025 Payroll Salary
$3,700,000
2025 Cash
$3,700,000
Career Earnings
$2,938,849
2025-2025 Arbitration (CURRENT)
Year | Age | Status | PayrollAnnual | Luxury Tax | Tax % League Tax | Cash Annual | Cash Cumulative | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
2025 | 29 |
Estimate
|
$3,700,000 | $3,700,000 | 1.54% | $3,700,000 | $3,700,000 | |
2026 | 30 |
ARB 2
|
||||||
2027 | 31 |
ARB 3
|
||||||
2028 | 32 |
UFA |
Year | Age | Service | Status | Base Salary | Incentives Likely | Incentives Unlikely | Payroll Salary | Luxury Tax | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
2025 | 29 | 3.093 |
Estimate
|
$3,700,000 | - | - | $3,700,000 | $3,700,000 | |
2026 | 30 | -- |
ARB 2
|
||||||
2027 | 31 | -- |
ARB 3
|
||||||
2028 | 32 | -- |
UFA |
Year | Age | Status | Base Salary | Cash Total | Cash Cumulative | AYC Cumulative | AYC Remaining | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
2025 | 29 |
Estimate |
$3,700,000 | $3,700,000 | $3,700,000 | $3,700,000 | $3,700,000 |
2024-2024 Pre-Arb
2023-2023 Pre-Arb
2022-2022 Pre-Arb
2021-2021 Pre-Arb
2017-2017 Signing Bonus
Seasons
3.093 Years
Career Earnings thru 2025
$2,938,849
Earnings w/ Different Teams
1 team
Earnings Per Year
Year | Age | Team(s) | Status | Cash Total | Cash Cumulative | Awards |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
2017 | 21 |
Signing Bonus
|
$125,000 |
$125,000 |
||
2021 | 25 |
Injured
|
$371,107 |
$496,107 |
||
2022 | 26 |
Active
|
$706,200 |
$1,202,307 |
||
2023 | 27 |
Active
|
$974,692 |
$2,176,999 |
||
2024 | 28 |
Active
|
$761,850 |
$2,938,849 |
||
Total |
$2,938,849 |
$2,938,849 |
||||
2025 | 29 |
Active / estimate-arbitration
|
$3,700,000 |
|||
Total |
$6,638,849 |
Earnings Per Team
Years | Team | Base | Signing | Incentives | Cash Cumulative |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
5 | $2,381,097 | $125,000 | $432,752 | $2,938,849 |
Year | Team(s) | Age | Base | Signing | Incentives | Cash Total | Cash Cumulative |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
2017 | 21 |
$125,000 |
$125,000 |
$125,000 |
|||
2021 | 25 |
$371,107
|
$371,107 |
$496,107 |
|||
2022 | 26 |
$706,200
|
$706,200 |
$1,202,307 |
|||
2023 | 27 |
$541,940
|
$432,752 |
$974,692 |
$2,176,999 |
||
2024 | 28 |
$761,850
|
$761,850 |
$2,938,849 |
|||
Total |
$2,381,097 |
$125,000 |
$432,752 |
$2,938,849 |
$2,938,849 |
||
2025 | 29 |
$3,700,000
|
$3,700,000 |
||||
Total |
$6,081,097 |
$125,000 |
$432,752 |
$6,638,849 |
Earnings Per Team
Years | Team | Base | Signing | Incentives | Cash Cumulative |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
5 | $2,381,097 | $125,000 | $432,752 | $2,938,849 |
Injuries
Year | Dates | Reason | |
---|---|---|---|
2022 | MIN | Jun 06, 2022 - Sep 16, 2022 | Groin |
2022 | MIN | Apr 30, 2022 - May 21, 2022 | Groin |
2021 | MIN | Sep 28, 2021 - Oct 03, 2021 | Hip |
- Mar 01, 2024 Signed a 1 year $761,850 contract with Minnesota (MIN)
- Sep 15, 2023 Recalled from the Minors by Minnesota (MIN)
- Aug 28, 2023 Optioned to the Minors by Minnesota (MIN)
- Apr 28, 2023 Recalled from the Minors by Minnesota (MIN)
- Apr 24, 2023 Optioned to the Minors by Minnesota (MIN)
- Apr 23, 2023 Recalled from the Minors by Minnesota (MIN)
- Mar 01, 2022 Signed a 1 year $706,200 contract with Minnesota (MIN)
- Jul 02, 2017 Signed a contract with Minnesota (MIN)
- Jun 21, 2017 Drafted by Minnesota (MIN): Round 12 (#346 overall)
- Jul 15, 2016 Unsigned by Los Angeles (LAD)
- Jun 11, 2016 Drafted by Los Angeles (LAD): Round 23 (#701 overall)
Year | Team | GP | GS | H | R | ER | BB | K | HR | W | L | SV | IP | ERA | WHIP | WAR |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
2024 | MIN | 31 | 31 | 136 | 81 | 79 | 43 | 191 | 27 | 12 | 9 | 0 | 178.7 | 3.98 | 1.00 | 2.90 |
2023 | MIN | 26 | 26 | 125 | 58 | 55 | 29 | 146 | 22 | 8 | 6 | 0 | 144.3 | 3.43 | 1.07 | 2.94 |
2022 | MIN | 11 | 11 | 48 | 22 | 20 | 11 | 51 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 56.0 | 3.21 | 1.05 | 0.96 |
2021 | MIN | 20 | 20 | 92 | 45 | 43 | 19 | 96 | 20 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 92.3 | 4.19 | 1.20 | 1.17 |
Calculated Market Value
Market Value
- 4 years, $74,280,388
- Avg. Salary: $18,570,097
- MLB Rank: 64
- SP Rank: 22
Current Contract
- Free Agent: 2028
- Avg. Salary: $3,700,000
- MLB Rank: 250
- SP Rank: 80
Comparable Players
We've selected the following players based on their age, contract status, and statistical production to compare Bailey Ober to.
Player | Length | Value | Avg. Salary | Age When Signed |
---|---|---|---|---|
Max Fried | 1 | $15,000,000 | $15,000,000 | 29 |
Kevin Gausman | 5 | $110,000,000 | $22,000,000 | 30 |
Nathan Eovaldi | 2 | $34,000,000 | $17,000,000 | 32 |
Michael Wacha | 2 | $32,000,000 | $16,000,000 | 32 |
Averages | 3 | $47,750,000 | $17,500,000 | 30.8 |
Base Calculated Value
After adjusting the above contracts as if signed at Ober's current age (29), a linear regression is performed, providing us with the following initial value.
Length | Value | Avg. Salary |
---|---|---|
4 | $75,034,484 | $18,758,621 |
Statistical Comparisons
Now we'll compare our variables and Ober statistically over the two seasons prior to their signing. In this case we're analyzing: GS/Yr, IP, K/9, BB/9, ERA, WHIP, FIP, WAR
Player | GS/Yr | IP | K/9 | BB/9 | ERA | WHIP | FIP | WAR |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Max Fried
2022-2023
|
22.00 | 5.98 | 8.76 | 1.82 | 2.52 | 1.07 | 2.92 | 6.67 |
Kevin Gausman
2020-2021
|
21.50 | 5.47 | 11.28 | 2.38 | 3.22 | 1.07 | 3.04 | 5.19 |
Nathan Eovaldi
2021-2022
|
26.00 | 5.61 | 9.06 | 1.69 | 3.81 | 1.21 | 3.54 | 3.82 |
Michael Wacha
2022-2023
|
23.50 | 5.57 | 7.83 | 2.54 | 3.27 | 1.14 | 4.01 | 4.13 |
Average | 23.25 | 5.66 | 9.23 | 2.11 | 3.21 | 1.12 | 3.38 | 4.95 |
Bailey Ober
2023-2024
|
28.50 | 5.67 | 9.36 | 1.99 | 3.71 | 1.03 | 3.89 | 3.48 |
Pct Change | 22.58 | 0.18 | 1.41 | 5.69 | -15.58 | 8.04 | -15.09 | -29.70 |
Median Prime % Change | 0.80% | |||||||
Average Prime % Change | -2.81% |
Calculated Market Value: Bailey Ober
After applying our Prime % figures into our base calculated value, we're given two values. The average of these values becomes our current calculated market value.
Terms | Avg. Salary |
---|---|
4 years, $74,280,388 | $18,570,097 |