Josiah Gray

Washington Nationals, Starting Pitcher
Age: 26-325d (Dec 21, 1997)
Exp: 3.075 Years
Country: US
College: Le Moyne
Drafted: Round 2 (#72 overall), 2018
Agent(s): Icon Sports Management
2025 Payroll Salary

$2,000,000

2025 Cash

$2,000,000

Career Earnings

$4,075,096

2025-2025 Arbitration (CURRENT)

Josiah Gray signed a 1 year , $2,000,000 contract with the Washington Nationals, including $2,000,000 guaranteed, and an average annual salary of $2,000,000. In 2025, Gray will earn a base salary of $2,000,000, while carrying a total salary of $2,000,000.
Contract Terms:
1 yr(s) / $2,000,000
Average Salary:
$2,000,000
Signing Bonus:
N/A
Year Age Status PayrollAnnual Luxury Tax Tax % League Tax Cash Annual Cash Cumulative
2025 27
Estimate
 $2,000,000 $2,000,000 0.83% $2,000,000 $2,000,000
2026 28
ARB 2
2027 29
ARB 3
Year Age Service Status Base Salary Incentives Likely Incentives Unlikely Payroll Salary Luxury Tax
2025 27 3.075
Estimate
 $2,000,000 - - $2,000,000 $2,000,000
2026 28 --
ARB 2
2027 29 --
ARB 3
Year Age Status Base Salary Cash Total Cash Cumulative AYC Cumulative AYC Remaining
2025 27
Estimate
 $2,000,000 $2,000,000 $2,000,000 $2,000,000 $2,000,000
Source: MLB contract specifics generally collected from verified reports.

2024-2024 Pre-Arb

Josiah Gray signed a 1 year , $757,400 contract with the Washington Nationals, including $757,400 guaranteed, and an average annual salary of $757,400.
Contract Terms:
1 yr(s) / $757,400
Average Salary:
$757,400
Signing Bonus:
N/A
Free Agent:
2028 / UFA
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2023-2023 Pre-Arb

Josiah Gray signed a 1 year , $730,000 contract with the Washington Nationals, including $730,000 guaranteed, and an average annual salary of $730,000.
Contract Terms:
1 yr(s) / $730,000
Average Salary:
$730,000
Signing Bonus:
N/A
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2022-2022 Pre-Arb

Josiah Gray signed a 1 year , $703,500 contract with the Washington Nationals, including $703,500 guaranteed, and an average annual salary of $703,500.
Contract Terms:
1 yr(s) / $703,500
Average Salary:
$703,500
Signing Bonus:
N/A
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2021-2021 Pre-Arb

Josiah Gray signed a 1 year , $570,500 contract with the Los Angeles Dodgers, including $570,500 guaranteed, and an average annual salary of $570,500.
Contract Terms:
1 yr(s) / $570,500
Average Salary:
$570,500
Signing Bonus:
N/A
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2018-2018 Signing Bonus

Josiah Gray signed a 1 year , $772,500 contract with the Cincinnati Reds, including $772,500 guaranteed, and an average annual salary of $772,500.
Contract Terms:
1 yr(s) / $772,500
Average Salary:
$772,500
Signing Bonus:
N/A
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Seasons

3.075 Years

Career Earnings thru 2025

$4,075,096

Earnings w/ Different Teams

3 teams

Earnings Per Year

Year Age Team(s) Status Cash Total Cash Cumulative Awards
2018 20
Signing Bonus
$772,500
$772,500
2021 23
Active
Retained
$570,500
$230,025
$1,343,000
$1,573,025
2022 24
Active
$703,500
$2,276,525
2023 25
Active
$1,041,171
$3,317,696
2024 26
Injured
$757,400
$4,075,096
Total      
$4,075,096
$4,075,096
2025 27
Active / estimate-arbitration
$2,000,000
Total
$6,075,096

Earnings Per Team

Years Team Base Signing Incentives Cash Cumulative
1 - $772,500 - $772,500
4 $2,761,400 - $311,171 $3,072,571
1 $230,025 - - $230,025
Year Team(s) Age Base Signing Incentives Cash Total Cash Cumulative
2018
20
$772,500
$772,500
$772,500
2021
23
$570,500
$230,025
$570,500
$230,025
$1,343,000
$1,573,025
2022
24
$703,500
$703,500
$2,276,525
2023
25
$730,000
$311,171
$1,041,171
$3,317,696
2024
26
$757,400
$757,400
$4,075,096
Total
$2,991,425
$772,500
$311,171
$4,075,096
$4,075,096
2025
27
$2,000,000
$2,000,000
Total
$4,991,425
$772,500
$311,171
$6,075,096

Earnings Per Team

Years Team Base Signing Incentives Cash Cumulative
1 - $772,500 - $772,500
4 $2,761,400 - $311,171 $3,072,571
1 $230,025 - - $230,025

Injuries

Year Dates Reason
2024 WSH Apr 09, 2024 - Sep 29, 2024 Elbow
Year Team GP GS H R ER BB K HR W L SV IP ERA WHIP WAR
2024 WSH 2 2 15 13 13 5 9 2 0 2 0 8.3 14.04 2.40 -0.55
2023 WSH 30 30 152 72 69 80 143 22 8 13 0 159.0 3.91 1.46 3.12
2022 WSH 28 29 136 84 83 66 154 38 7 10 0 148.7 5.03 1.36 0.56
2021 WSH 14 13 63 44 43 33 76 19 2 2 0 70.7 5.48 1.36 -0.10

Calculated Market Value

$9.8M Avg. Annual Salary

Market Value

  • 4 years, $39,320,784
  • Avg. Salary: $9,830,196
  • MLB Rank: 139
  • SP Rank: 52

Current Contract

  • Free Agent: 0
  • Avg. Salary: $2,000,000
  • MLB Rank: 357
  • SP Rank: 109

Comparable Players

We've selected the following players based on their age, contract status, and statistical production to compare Josiah Gray to.

Player Length Value Avg. Salary Age When Signed
Patrick Sandoval 1 $5,025,000 $5,025,000 26
Lucas Giolito 2 $38,500,000 $19,250,000 29
Mitch Keller 5 $77,000,000 $15,400,000 27
Ranger Suarez 1 $5,050,000 $5,050,000 28
Averages 2 $31,393,750 $11,181,250 27.5

Base Calculated Value

After adjusting the above contracts as if signed at Gray's current age (26), a linear regression is performed, providing us with the following initial value.

Length Value Avg. Salary
4 $61,190,140 $15,297,535

Statistical Comparisons

Now we'll compare our variables and Gray statistically over the two seasons prior to their signing. In this case we're analyzing: GS/Yr, IP, K/9, BB/9, ERA, WHIP, FIP, WAR

Player GS/Yr IP K/9 BB/9 ERA WHIP FIP WAR
Patrick Sandoval
2022-2023
 27.50 5.33 8.55 4.12 3.51 1.43 3.64 2.32
Lucas Giolito
2022-2023
 31.50 5.49 9.91 3.48 4.89 1.37 4.66 1.15
Mitch Keller
2022-2023
 30.50 5.61 8.77 2.97 4.06 1.32 3.84 2.63
Ranger Suarez
2022-2023
 25.50 5.50 8.02 3.41 3.92 1.37 3.88 3.12
Average 28.75 5.48 8.81 3.50 4.10 1.37 4.01 2.31
Josiah Gray
2023-2024
 16.00 5.23 8.91 4.96 8.98 1.93 5.43 2.73
Pct Change -44.35 -4.56 1.14 -41.71 -119.02 -40.88 -35.41 18.18
Median Prime % Change -38.15%
Average Prime % Change -33.33%

Calculated Market Value: Josiah Gray

After applying our Prime % figures into our base calculated value, we're given two values. The average of these values becomes our current calculated market value.

Terms Avg. Salary
4 years, $39,320,784 $9,830,196

FEATURED PLAYER NEWS

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Analyzing & Predicting Juan Soto's Free Agent Contract

As MLB officially flips the switch to offseason-mode, the focus immediately turns to Juan Soto, the most exciting free agent since: well Shohei Ohtani 12 months ago. We’ll take a few moments here to dive into a calculated value & predicted outcome for Soto’s free agent journey over the next few weeks.

TRANSACTIONS

Mar 01, 2024
Signed a 1 year $757,400 contract with Washington (WSH)
Mar 01, 2023
Signed a 1 year $730,000 contract with Washington (WSH)
Mar 01, 2022
Signed a 1 year $703,500 contract with Washington (WSH)
Jul 29, 2021
Traded to Washington (WSH) from Los Angeles (LAD) with Keibert Ruiz , Gerardo Carrillo and Donovan Casey for Max Scherzer and Trea Turner
Dec 21, 2018
Traded to Los Angeles (LAD) from Cincinnati (CIN) with Homer Bailey and Jeter Downs for Matt Kemp, Yasiel Puig, Alex Wood, Kyle Farmer and $7M
Jun 12, 2018
Signed a contract with Cincinnati (CIN)
Jun 04, 2018
Drafted by Cincinnati (CIN): Round 2 (#72 overall)

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