MLB
Nathaniel Lowe
Nathaniel Lowe
Washington Nationals, 1st Base
Age: 29y-6m-3d (Jul 07, 1995)
Exp: 4.145 Years
Country: US
College: Mississippi State
Drafted: Round 13 (#390 overall), 2016
Agent(s): Sportsmeter, LLC
2025 Payroll Salary
$10,700,000
2025 Cash
$10,700,000
Career Earnings
$13,686,388
2025-2025 Arbitration (CURRENT)
Player and team have filed for arbitration. The player-side has filed a salary of $11,100,000, while the team-side has filed a salary of $10,300,000.
Contract Terms:
1 yr(s) / $10,700,000
Average Salary:
$10,700,000
Signing Bonus:
N/A
Free Agent:
2027 / UFA
| Year | Age | Status | PayrollAnnual | Luxury Tax | Tax % League Tax | Cash Annual | Cash Cumulative | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 |
|
29 |
Arb Filed
|
$10,700,000
(Arb. Midpoint)
|
$10,700,000 | 4.44% | $10,700,000 | $10,700,000 |
| 2026 |
|
30 |
ARB 4
|
|||||
| 2027 |
|
31 |
UFA |
| Year | Age | Service | Status | Base Salary | Incentives Likely | Incentives Unlikely | Payroll Salary | Luxury Tax | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 |
|
29 | 4.145 |
Arb Filed
|
$10,700,000 | - | - |
$10,700,000
(Arb. Midpoint)
|
$10,700,000 |
| 2026 |
|
30 | -- |
ARB 4
|
|||||
| 2027 |
|
31 | -- |
UFA |
| Year | Age | Status | Base Salary | Cash Total | Cash Cumulative | Cash Remaining | AYC Cumulative | AYC Remaining | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 |
|
29 |
Arb Filed |
$10,700,000 | $10,700,000 | $10,700,000 | - | $10,700,000 | $10,700,000 |
Source:
MLB contract specifics generally collected from verified reports.
2024-2024 Arbitration
Contract Terms:
1 yr(s) / $7,500,000
Average Salary:
$7,500,000
Signing Bonus:
N/A
Free Agent:
2027 / UFA
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2023-2023 Arbitration
Contract Terms:
1 yr(s) / $4,050,000
Average Salary:
$4,050,000
Signing Bonus:
N/A
Free Agent:
2027 / UFA
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2022-2022 Pre-Arbitration
Contract Terms:
1 yr(s) / $716,000
Average Salary:
$716,000
Signing Bonus:
N/A
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2021-2021 Pre-Arbitration
Contract Terms:
1 yr(s) / $575,000
Average Salary:
$575,000
Signing Bonus:
N/A
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2020-2020 Pre-Arbitration
Contract Terms:
1 yr(s) / $563,500
Average Salary:
$563,500
Signing Bonus:
N/A
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2019-2019 Pre-Arbitration
Contract Terms:
1 yr(s) / $555,000
Average Salary:
$555,000
Signing Bonus:
N/A
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2016-2016 Signing Bonus
Contract Terms:
1 yr(s) / $100,000
Average Salary:
$100,000
Signing Bonus:
N/A
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Seasons
4.145 Years
Career Earnings thru 2025
$13,686,388
Earnings w/ Different Teams
2 teams
Earnings Per Year
| Year | Age | Team(s) | Status | Cash Total | Cash Cumulative | Awards |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2016 | 20 |
|
Signing Bonus
|
$100,000 |
$100,000 |
|
| 2019 | 23 |
|
Active
|
$205,896 |
$305,896 |
|
| 2020 | 24 |
|
Reserve / minor-buried
|
$84,105 |
$390,001 |
|
| 2021 | 25 |
|
Active
|
$575,000 |
$965,001 |
|
| 2022 | 26 |
|
Active
|
$1,171,387 |
$2,136,388 |
AL Silver Slugger:1B |
| 2023 | 27 |
|
Active / Arb Avoided
|
$4,050,000 |
$6,186,388 |
Champion AL Gold Glove:1B |
| 2024 | 28 |
|
Active / Arb Avoided
|
$7,500,000 |
$13,686,388 |
|
| Total |
$13,686,388 |
$13,686,388 |
||||
| 2025 | 29 |
|
Active / estimate-arbitration-filed
|
$10,700,000 |
||
| Total |
$24,386,388 |
Earnings Per Team
| Years | Team | Base | Signing | Incentives | Cash Cumulative |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 |
|
$290,001 | $100,000 | - | $390,001 |
| 4 |
|
$12,841,000 | - | $455,387 | $13,296,387 |
| Year | Team(s) | Age | Base | Signing | Incentives | Cash Total | Cash Cumulative |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2016 |
|
20 |
$100,000 |
$100,000 |
$100,000 |
||
| 2019 |
|
23 |
$205,896
|
$205,896 |
$305,896 |
||
| 2020 |
|
24 |
$84,105
|
$84,105 |
$390,001 |
||
| 2021 |
|
25 |
$575,000
|
$575,000 |
$965,001 |
||
| 2022 |
|
26 |
$716,000
|
$455,387 |
$1,171,387 |
$2,136,388 |
|
| 2023 |
|
27 |
$4,050,000
|
$4,050,000 |
$6,186,388 |
||
| 2024 |
|
28 |
$7,500,000
|
$7,500,000 |
$13,686,388 |
||
| Total |
$13,131,001 |
$100,000 |
$455,387 |
$13,686,388 |
$13,686,388 |
||
| 2025 |
|
29 |
$10,700,000
|
$10,700,000 |
|||
| Total |
$23,831,001 |
$100,000 |
$455,387 |
$24,386,388 |
Earnings Per Team
| Years | Team | Base | Signing | Incentives | Cash Cumulative |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 |
|
$290,001 | $100,000 | - | $390,001 |
| 4 |
|
$12,841,000 | - | $455,387 | $13,296,387 |
Injuries
| Year | Dates | Reason | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 |
TEX |
Mar 28, 2024 - Apr 20, 2024 | Oblique |
-
Dec 22, 2024
Traded to Washington (WSH) from Texas (TEX) for Robert Garcia
-
Jan 11, 2024
Signed a 1 year $7.5 million contract with Texas (TEX), avoiding arbitration
-
Jan 13, 2023
Signed a 1 year $4.05 million contract with Texas (TEX), avoiding arbitration
-
Mar 27, 2022
Signed a 1 year $716,000 contract with Texas (TEX)
-
Mar 01, 2021
Signed a 1 year $575,000 contract with Texas (TEX)
-
Dec 10, 2020
Traded to Texas (TEX) from Tampa Bay (TB) with Jake Guenther and Carl Chester for Heriberto Hernandez, Osleivis Basabe and Alexander Ovalles
-
Jul 03, 2016
Signed a contract with Tampa Bay (TB)
-
Jun 15, 2016
Drafted by Tampa Bay (TB): Round 13 (#390 overall)
| Year | Team | GP | GS | PA | AB | R | H | 2B | 3B | HR | RBI | TB | BB | K | SB | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | TEX | 140 | 136 | 565 | 486 | 62 | 129 | 16 | 1 | 16 | 69 | 195 | 71 | 125 | 2 | .265 | .361 | .401 | .762 | 2.62 |
| 2023 | TEX | 161 | 161 | 724 | 623 | 89 | 163 | 38 | 3 | 17 | 82 | 258 | 93 | 165 | 1 | .262 | .360 | .414 | .774 | 2.57 |
| 2022 | TEX | 157 | 154 | 645 | 593 | 74 | 179 | 26 | 3 | 27 | 76 | 292 | 48 | 147 | 2 | .302 | .358 | .492 | .850 | 3.17 |
| 2021 | TEX | 157 | 151 | 642 | 557 | 75 | 147 | 24 | 3 | 18 | 72 | 231 | 80 | 162 | 8 | .264 | .357 | .415 | .772 | 2.29 |
| 2020 | TB | 21 | 20 | 76 | 67 | 10 | 15 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 11 | 29 | 9 | 28 | 1 | .224 | .316 | .433 | .749 | 0.35 |
| 2019 | TB | 50 | 36 | 168 | 152 | 24 | 40 | 8 | 0 | 7 | 19 | 69 | 13 | 50 | 0 | .263 | .327 | .454 | .781 | 0.43 |
Calculated Market Value
Market Value
- 1 years, $17,950,403
- Avg. Salary: $17,950,403
- MLB Rank: 83
- 1B Rank: 5
Current Contract
- Free Agent: 2027
- Avg. Salary: $10,700,000
- MLB Rank: 157
- 1B Rank: 12
Comparable Players
We've selected the following players based on their age, contract status, and statistical production to compare Nathaniel Lowe to.
| Player | Length | Value | Avg. Salary | Age When Signed |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Vladimir Guerrero Jr. | 1 | $19,900,000 | $19,900,000 | 24 |
| Josh Bell | 2 | $33,000,000 | $16,500,000 | 30 |
| Pete Alonso | 1 | $20,500,000 | $20,500,000 | 28 |
| Anthony Rizzo | 2 | $40,000,000 | $20,000,000 | 33 |
| Averages | 2 | $28,350,000 | $19,225,000 | 28.8 |
Base Calculated Value
After adjusting the above contracts as if signed at Lowe's current age (29), a linear regression is performed, providing us with the following initial value.
| Length | Value | Avg. Salary |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | $19,457,377 | $19,457,377 |
Statistical Comparisons
Now we'll compare our variables and Lowe statistically over the two seasons prior to their signing. In this case we're analyzing: GP%, H/Gm, RBI/Gm, K/Gm, AVG/Yr, OPS, WOBP, ISO, WAR
| Player | GP% | H/Gm | RBI/Gm | K/Gm | AVG/Yr | OPS | WOBP | ISO | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
Vladimir Guerrero Jr.
2022-2023
|
97.53 | 1.06 | 0.60 | 0.68 | 0.27 | 0.80 | 0.36 | 0.19 | 2.80 |
|
Josh Bell
2021-2022
|
92.59 | 0.92 | 0.53 | 0.68 | 0.26 | 0.80 | 0.36 | 0.19 | 3.19 |
|
Pete Alonso
2022-2023
|
96.62 | 0.91 | 0.79 | 0.89 | 0.24 | 0.85 | 0.36 | 0.27 | 3.67 |
|
Anthony Rizzo
2021-2022
|
83.64 | 0.84 | 0.50 | 0.69 | 0.24 | 0.80 | 0.35 | 0.22 | 2.33 |
| Average | 92.60 | 0.93 | 0.61 | 0.74 | 0.25 | 0.81 | 0.36 | 0.22 | 3.00 |
|
Nate Lowe
2023-2024
|
92.90 | 0.97 | 0.50 | 0.96 | 0.26 | 0.77 | 0.36 | 0.14 | 2.62 |
| Pct Change | 0.32 | 4.30 | -18.03 | -29.73 | 5.20 | -5.19 | -0.56 | -36.36 | -12.67 |
| Median Prime % Change | -5.19% | ||||||||
| Average Prime % Change | -10.30% | ||||||||
Calculated Market Value: Nathaniel Lowe
After applying our Prime % figures into our base calculated value, we're given two values. The average of these values becomes our current calculated market value.
| Terms | Avg. Salary |
|---|---|
| 1 years, $17,950,403 | $17,950,403 |
