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Perhaps the biggest surprise of the Los Angeles Angels disappointing season has been the emergence of Patrick Sandoval as a middle of the rotation starter. Never a highly regarded prospect (LAA #12 in 2019), he’s easily the Angels breakout player of the year providing consistency behind Ohtani and Syndergaard. Despite that success, his peripherals suggest over performance and regression could be coming. The HR/9 is way down from previous career averages and his 3.64 ERA has some luck built in (4.54 xERA). For these reasons, I think Sandoval can be exposed by good offenses like Texas and like the Rangers money line (-108).

The Angels have the highest strikeout rate in the league (26.3%) and are now without Mike Trout indefinitely. Toss in a looming trade line with plenty of notable players rumored to be on the block (including Shohei Ohtani), and there's reason to believe the Angels' struggles will continue this weekend.

Consider a single game parlay, adding one of 2022's bigger surprises Martin Perez at over 5.5 Ks, plus a Texas Rangers moneyline win over LAA.

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