Keith SmithMay 20, 2024

Spotrac’s Free Agent by Position Series

Point Guards   |   Shooting Guards   |   Small Forwards   |   Power Forwards   |   Centers

2024 NBA free agency is right around the corner. This isn’t considered to be a blockbuster free agent class, but there are several impact players available. In these rankings, we took a similar approach to the one many teams use when it comes to ranking available players. Each position was broken down into tiers. The tiers are:

  • All-Star: These aren’t all necessarily All-Stars, but they have the ability to be an All-Star
  • Starters: These players are either starters or they produce at a starter-level of impact
  • Rotation: These are solid players that should be in a team’s regular season rotation
  • Fringe: These are players at the end of the bench or Two-Way players largely in the G League

Players were then ranked within their tiers. All potential free agents have been ranked, including those with pending options.

ALL-STAR TIER

  1. Tyrese Maxey – Philadelphia 76ers (RFA)    
    Maxey is a free agent in name only. He's going to re-sign with Philadelphia on a five-year max deal worth either 25% and possibly up to 30% of the cap.

  2. James Harden – LA Clippers (UFA)
    Harden is very likely to re-sign with the Clippers. The questions are for how many years and how much money? He's still an offensive force, even if he's slipping. That keeps him in All-Star consideration and near the top of this list.

  3. Immanuel Quickley – Toronto Raptors (RFA) 
    If a cap space team wanted to offer Quickley a max contract, the Raptors might blink. Otherwise, Toronto will re-sign Quickley and install him as their point guard of the future. He was THE get in the OG Anunoby trade.

STARTER TIER

  1. D'Angelo Russell – Los Angeles Lakers (PLAYER)
    Russell is in an interesting spot. He's not going to be a top target for any of the cap space teams, but some of them could turn to him. He can score and pass. Put the right defense around him, and he's a solid starting point guard.

  2. Tyus Jones – Washington Wizards (UFA)
    Jones first year as a starter went pretty well. He put up career-highs nearly across the board. Jones is a low-end starter and a high-end backup. He'll have plenty of offers, should he choose to leave a starting job in Washington.

  3. Russell Westbrook – LA Clippers (PLAYER)
    We're closing in on the end for Westbrook, but we aren't there yet. He's best as a backup, but could still be a starter somewhere. He'll probably return to the Clippers, but he might try to find a bigger role elsewhere.

  4. Markelle Fultz – Orlando Magic (UFA)
    Fultz dealt with injuries again. He's abandoned any pretense of a three-point shot. But he does a nice job in the midrange game, and he's a solid defender. He'd be a low-end starter, but a pretty good backup, just not in Orlando.

  5. Kyle Lowry – Philadelphia 76ers (UFA)
    Lowry is squeezing all he can out of his career at this point. He seemed rejuvenated by landing at home in Philadelphia. Look for Lowry to return to the Sixers, likely on a minimum deal as a low-minutes starter or as Maxey's backup.

ROTATION TIER

  1. Monte Morris – Minnesota Timberwolves (UFA)
    This was a lost season for Morris. He wasn't healthy with Detroit and didn't carve out a real role with Minnesota. Still, he's one of the best backup point guards in the NBA. He'll have no problem finding a contract to fill that role.

  2. Jose Alvarado – New Orleans Pelicans (TEAM)
    Alvarado probably won't even hit free agency. The Pelicans are close enough to the tax line that picking up his option and dealing with free agency next summer is the way. He's a key backup for New Orleans, so he'll stick around.

  3. Patrick Beverley – Milwaukee Bucks (UFA)
    Beverley isn't the defender he once was. He's also hit the point where he's known as much for his antics as his play on the floor. But he can still hit shots and defend better than most. He'll get another minimum deal from someone.

  4. Spencer Dinwiddie – Los Angeles Lakers (UFA)
    Dinwiddie's stint with Lakers went about the same as his last couple of seasons have gone. He's become mostly a three-point shooter as he's aged. Someone will offer him a deal as a backup.

  5. Reggie Jackson – Denver Nuggets (PLAYER)
    Jackson will likely pick up his player option. He's not going to make that much anywhere else. He'll be back with Denver as a solid backup for Jamal Murray, or he'll be traded to fill a roster hole elsewhere.

  6. Kris Dunn – Utah Jazz (UFA)
    Dunn got his career on track with two good years in Utah. He's one of the better defensive lead guards in the game. More importantly, he's shot well for two seasons. Dunn should get a nice contract for a team looking for a third guard.

  7. Cameron Payne – Philadelphia 76ers (UFA)
    Payne is a fine backup point guard. You could do better, but you could do a whole lot worse. He'll have offers for the minimum from a lot of different teams. We'll see if anyone goes a little further to get him locked into their rotation.

  8. Dennis Smith Jr. – Brooklyn Nets (UFA)
    After almost washing out of the NBA, Smith has done a nice job getting his career going. He can't shoot, but he's learned to use his athleticism to get downhill and on defense. You could do a lot worse at backup point guard than Smith.

  9. Dalano Banton – Portland Trail Blazers (TEAM)
    Beware good stats on a bad team! But Banton has shown he can play before putting up numbers as Portland played out the string. As such, the Blazers will pick up his option to keep him around on a very friendly contract.

  10. Delon Wright – Portland Trail Blazers (UFA)
    Wright is in the journeyman stage of his career. He can still play, so he'll probably keep getting backup point guard jobs. But he's going to get part of the MLE or minimums from here on out. And that’s fine value for where Wright is at.

  11. Aaron Holiday – Houston Rockets (UFA)
    Holiday had a terrific season as a the backup point guard for the Rockets, which allowed the team to bring Amen Thompson along slowly. Holiday should get a deal to return, but this time as the third point guard in a deep guard group.

  12. Jordan McLaughlin – Minnesota Timberwolves (UFA)
    For whatever reason, McLaughlin hasn't every fully seized a rotation role. He's had one for moment, but never kept it. The offensive production is impressive, so someone might get a steal here for a minimum deal or a bit more.

FRINGE TIER (UNRANKED AND PRESENTED IN ALPHABETICAL ORDER)

  1. Amari Bailey – Charlotte Hornets (RFA / TWO-WAY) 
    Bailey was fine in the G League. He's got decent size for the position. In order to breakthrough in the NBA, he'll need to shoot it a lot better. He's likely headed back to the G League or overseas.

  2. J.D. Davison – Boston Celtics (RFA / TWO-WAY) 
    In two years, Davison has seen minimum NBA run. He's an overwhelming athlete in the G League, and an much-improved playmaker. The challenge is that Davison can't shoot. Until that improves, he won't crack an NBA roster.

  3. Jeff Dowtin – Philadelphia 76ers (TEAM)
    Dowtin put together a nice run for the Sixers, after a bunch of other guys were injured. He also had a solid season in the G League. If he's not a cap space casualty, Dowtin would be back as deep bench depth on a friendly contract.

  4. Malachi Flynn – Detroit Pistons (RFA) 
    Flynn put up the most unlikely 50-point game in NBA history. But before and after that, there just hasn't been enough improvement. He's also 26 years old now. This is probably a third-guard on a minimum type of situation, at best.

  5. Jordan Ford – Sacramento Kings (RFA / TWO-WAY) 
    Ford's size works against him, but he shot it really well in the G League this season. He's still more scorer than playmaker, but there's potential there. Another G League season is likely in his future.

  6. Collin Gillespie – Denver Nuggets (RFA / TWO-WAY) 
    Gillespie got healthy, after missing his entire rookie season due to injury. He showed he can shoot and score. The Nuggets like him, so he may be back on the big roster as the third point guard.

  7. Jacob Gilyard – Brooklyn Nets (RFA / TWO-WAY) 
    Gilyard had quite the season for a two-way guy. He played a lot because Memphis was hit with so many injuries. Gilyard is tiny, but he can shoot from deep and he can run an offense. He'll be a third guard or on a two-way somewhere.

  8. Jordan Goodwin – Memphis Grizzlies (RFA / TWO-WAY) 
    Goodwin had every opportunity to breakthrough as an NBA guy last year, and he just didn't take it. He's got good size, but he shot terribly with both Phoenix and Memphis. Still, he showed enough previously to get another NBA shot.

  9. Ashton Hagans – Portland Trail Blazers (RFA / TWO-WAY) 
    Hagans was just ok in late-season minutes for Portland. He did a nice job in the G League though. Another two-way deal would be good for Hagans, even if he's now aged out of prospect status.

  10. Quenton Jackson – Indiana Pacers (RFA / TWO-WAY) 
    If Jackson could shoot, he'd be a lot more interesting as a two-way guy. He's got terrific size for the position, he has a nice feel for the game and he's a competitive defender. But as a non-shooter, it's hard to see him making it in the NBA.

  11. Saben Lee – Phoenix Suns (UFA / TWO-WAY)
    Lee has taken it as far as he can as a two-way guy, as he's no longer eligible for a two-way deal. He's still more scorer than shooter or playmaker. That works against him. An overseas deal may be next up for Lee.

  12. Kira Lewis Jr. – Utah Jazz (RFA / TWO-WAY) 
    Despite initial promise in his rookie season, Lewis never really got there. As a former first-round pick, he'll need to rebuild his value in the G League or overseason. But he only need to look at teammate Kris Dunn to see the path.

  13. Skylar Mays – Los Angeles Lakers (UFA / TWO-WAY)
    Mays is too good for the G League, but not quite good enough to snag a full NBA roster spot. He's out of two-way eligibility, so it's a camp deal and battling for a spot, or heading overseas for a bigger deal and role.

  14. Patty Mills – Miami Heat (UFA)
    We might be at the end of the line for Mills, who has had a great career. He'll be 36 years old next season, so it's a minimum deal or nothing. Maybe a big summer with Australia could propel him for more, but it's unlikely.

  15. Daishen Nix – Minnesota Timberwolves (RFA / TWO-WAY) 
    Nix is tough, he's a pretty good scorer and an improving playmaker. He just can't shoot. On the plus side, he's only 22 years old. So, there's some potential left. He's only got one year of two-way eligibility remaining though.

  16. Trequavion Smith – Philadelphia 76ers (RFA / TWO-WAY) 
    Smith can fill it up as a scorer. He's only just started to figure out the playmaking part of being a point guard. At 21 years old, Smith would be perfect for another year on a two-way as a developmental player.

  17. Isaiah Thomas – Phoenix Suns (UFA)
    Thomas did well to battle back into the NBA. Now, who knows? He's 35 years old, he's still small and the athleticism is starting to wane. Maybe Thomas earned another look. If not, it's been one heck of a run.

  18. Duane Washington Jr. – New York Knicks (RFA / TWO-WAY) 
    Washington scores in bunches in the G League. He's had only limited NBA opportunities though, and he's now 24 years old. He could get another two-way deal or cash in with a big deal overseason.

  19. TyTy Washington Jr. – Milwaukee Bucks (RFA / TWO-WAY) 
    As a former first-round pick, Washington has some cache that others in this range don't. The challenge is that he hasn't shown it in the NBA. He's likely back on another two-way deal somewhere next season.

  20. Brandon Williams – Dallas Mavericks (RFA / TWO-WAY) 
    Williams uses his athleticism to overwhelm players on the G League level to score. He's not a great shooter though. That, plus his lack of size, holds him back from breaking through with an NBA role.

2024 NBA Free Agent Trackers

All PositionsPoint GuardsShooting Guard  |  Small Forward  |  Power Forward  |  Center 

Scott AllenMay 20, 2024

Xander Schauffele wins the PGA Championship. Schauffle earns $3.33 million million bringing his 2024 on-course earnings to $4.3 and his career on-course earnings to $45.60 million. 

PGA Championship Top 10 Payouts

Full Results

2024 Earnings Leaders Update

Full List

Scott AllenMay 16, 2024

Top-10 2024 Guaranteed Salaries

A look at the top ten highest guaranteed salaries in the MLS for the 2024 season (as of May 16, 2024 per MLSPA Salary Guide)

  1. Lionel Messi (MIA), $20,446,667

  2. Lorenzo Insigne (TOR), $15,400,000

  3. Sergio Busquets (MIA), $8,774,996

  4. Xherdan Shaqiri (CHI), $8,153,000

  5. Sebastian Driussi (ATX), $6,722,500

  6. Federico Bernardeschi (TOR), $6,295,381

  7. Emil Forsberg (RBNY), $6,035,625

  8. Hector Herrera (HOU), $5,246,875

  9. Hany Mukhtar (NSH),$5,211,667

  10. Carles Gil (NE), $4,452,083

Full rankings list can be viewed here 

2024 Guaranteed Salaries per Team

Based on the Top-100 Guaranteed salaries, FC Cincinnati and Seattle Sounders FC each have 6 in the Top-100, followed by Chicago Fire FC, LA Galaxy, and Inter Miami FC who each have 5.

Inter Miami FC leads all teams with a total of $41.6 million in total guaranteed salary reported followed up by Toronto FC ($32.1 million) and Chicago Fire FC ($25.1 million). Teams with the lowest guaranteed salary reported were Real Salt Lake ($13.6 million), CF Montreal ($12.05 million) and St. Louis CITY SC($12.02 million). 

The full breakdown can be viewed here.

Top-2 Guaranteed Salaries per Team

Atlanta United 

Giorgos Giakoumakis, $2,248,417

Thiago Almada, $2,232,000

Austin FC

Sebastian Driussi, $6,722,500

Emiliano Rigoni, $2,047,996

Chicago Fire FC

Xherdan Shaqiri, $8,153,000

Hugo Cuypers, $3,528,044

FC Cincinnati

Luciano Acosta, $4,216,413

Aaron Boupendza, $1,759,600

Columbus Crew

Diego Rossi, $3,376,827

Cucho Hernandez, $2,886,000

Charlotte FC

Liel Abada, $2,448,500

Karol Swiderski, $2,258,000

Colorado Rapids

Kevin Cabral, $1,950,000

Djordje Mihailovic, $1,675,000

FC Dallas

Petar Musa, $2,230,000

Jesus Ferreira, $2,204,000

D.C. United

Christian Benteke, $4,432,778

Mateusz Klich, $2,093,588

Houston Dynamo FC

Hector Herrera, $5,246,875

Sebastián Ferreira, $2,290,200

LA Galaxy

Joseph Paintsil, $3,358,000

Gabriel Pec, $2,459,000

Los Angeles FC

Denis Bouanga, $3,609,500

Aaron Long, $1,303,044

Inter Miami FC

Lionel Messi, $20,446,667

Sergio Busquets, $8,774,996

Minnesota United FC

Teemu Pukki, $3,550,000

Emanuel Reynoso, $2,251,200

CF Montreal

Victor Wanyama, $1,800,000

Josef Martinez, $1,309,091

New England Revolution

Carles Gil, $4,452,083

Giacomo Vrioni, $1,947,500

New York Red Bulls

Emil Forsberg, $6,035,625

Dante Vanzeir, $1,489,767

Nashville SC

Hany Mukhtar, $5,211,667

Walker Zimmerman, $3,456,979

New York City FC

Thiago Martins, $2,462,000

Hannes Wolf, $1,510,000

Orlando City

Luis Muriel, $4,336,150

Facundo Torres, $1,812,400

Philadelphia Union

Mikael Uhre, $2,040,000

Daniel Gazdag, $1,757,500

Portland Timbers

Jonathan Rodríguez, $2,627,500

Evander, $2,355,000

Real Salt Lake

Cristian Arango, $2,088,746

Justen Glad, $1,330,000

Seattle Sounders FC

Raul Ruidiaz, $2,729,120

Albert Rusnak, $2,221,667

San Jose Earthquakes

Cristian Espinoza, $2,002,000

Carlos Gruezo, $1,681,086

Sporting Kansas City

Alan Pulido, $3,600,000

Nemanja Radoja, $1,530,000

St. Louis CITY SC

Roman Bürki, $1,657,469

João Klauss, $1,370,284

Toronto FC

Lorenzo Insigne, $15,400,000

Federico Bernardeschi, $6,295,381

Vancouver Whitecaps FC

Ryan Gauld, $2,985,000

Andres Cubas, $1,146,375

Taylor VincentMay 16, 2024

1. Sam Staab to Chicago

Trade Details

Chicago acquires: Sam Staab

Washington acquires: 2024 1st round pick (#1 overall, selected Croix Bethune)

Contract Status

Signed thru 2026; UFA 2027

Analysis

Hours before the 2024 Collegiate Draft began, it was announced that defender Sam Staab had been traded from the Washington Spirit to the Chicago Red Stars, and in return the Spirit received Chicago’s third overall draft pick. 

Staab was originally drafted fourth overall in the 2019 Collegiate Draft by the Washington Spirit, and in her time with the Spirit, was a three-time NWSL Ironwoman (someone who plays every available regular-season minute), and in 2023 she set a new league record for the most consecutive regular season-starts. On top of all that, she earned Best XI of the Month six times in her career including the March/April Best XI last month with Chicago. After arriving in the Windy City, Staab also signed a three-year extension with Red Stars, keeping her with the squad through 2026. 

The Spirit used their newly acquired third overall draft pick to pick midfielder Croix Bethune. As well as winning the March/April NWSL Rookie of the Month, Bethune was also named to the Best XI of the Month. The rookie is also in fourth place in the Golden Boot race with four goals and four assists in her nine matches. 

2. Ashley Sanchez to North Carolina

Trade Details

North Carolina acquires: Ashley Sanchez

Washington acquires: 2024 1st round pick (#5 overall, selected Hal Hershfelt), $250,000 Allocation Money

Contract Status

Signed thru 2026; UFA 2027

Analysis

In the midst of the Collegiate Draft, midfielder Ashley Sanchez was traded from the Washington Spirit to the North Carolina Courage in return for $250,000 in allocation money and the fifth overall draft pick.

Sanchez was drafted by the Washington Spirit in 2020 and was a highly impactful player for the team, got her first cap for the US Women’s National Team in 2021, and was named to the USWNT roster for the 2023 FIFA World Cup. In 2023, Sanchez played over 1600 minutes for the Spirit, scoring five goals and an assist. Since joining the Courage, Sanchez has played in 770 minutes over nine games, with a goal, three assists, and an 80% passing accuracy. 

With the fifth overall draft pick that they acquired, the Washington Spirit picked midfielder Hal Hershfelt. Hershfelt has played in all nine matches for the Spirit this year, with two goals and an 81% passing accuracy. 

3. Rocky Rodriguez to Angel City

Trade Details

Angel City acquires: Rocky Rodriguez

Portland acquires: $275,000 Allocation Money

Contract Status

Signed thru 2025; UFA 2026

Analysis

In its first two seasons, Angel City’s midfield struggled to really find its identity and create a consistent flow between the lines. A large part of this was the lack of depth in the midfield. After midfielder Savannah McCaskill signed with the San Diego Wave as a part of her free agency during the 2023-24 offseason, ACFC was in further need of some added numbers in the midfield. And so, Angel City traded $275,000 in allocation money—and potentially some conditional funds toward the transfer fee threshold—for Portland Thorns midfielder Rocky Rodriguez. 

Although a concussion kept the Costa Rican national team player out of the first two games of the season, Rodriguez has seen playing time in every Angel City game since then with a 78% passing accuracy. 

4. Mandy Haught to Utah

Trade Details

Utah acquires: Mandy Haught

NJ/NY Gotham acquires: $150,000 Allocation Money, protection from UTAH in 2024 Expansion Draft

Contract Status

Signed thru 2024; 2025 Mutual Option (RFA if declined)

Analysis

Ahead of the trade window closing for the 2024 Expansion Draft, NJ/NY Gotham goalkeeper Mandy Haught was traded to the Utah Royals for expansion protection and $150,000 in allocation money. 

During the 2023 season, following injuries to goalkeepers Abby Smith and Michelle Betos, Haught stepped in the starting role without a hitch, aiding Gotham in its final run into playoff qualification—making it above the cutline thanks to having a two goal differential over Orlando. Haught then held clean sheets in the quarterfinals and semifinals to get Gotham to the NWSL Championship which they would go on to win. Haught has thus far played in every single minute for the Royals this year.

5. Arin Wright to Louisville

Trade Details

Louisville acquires: Arin Wright

Chicago acquires: $125,000 Allocation Money, 2024 2nd round pick (#15 overall, Jameese Joseph)

Contract Status

Signed thru 2024, UFA 2025

Analysis

Just 30 minutes before the Collegiate Draft began, it was announced that long-time Chicago defender Arin Wright was traded to Racing Louisville in return for the 15th overall pick and $125,000 in allocation money.

Wright was picked eighth overall in the 2015 NWSL Collegiate Draft by Chicago and last year set a new record for the player with the most starts in Red Stars history. Wright requested the trade to return to her home state of Kentucky. Wright’s ability to play outside back and center back has been very useful for Racing, especially after defender Elli Pikkujämsä tore her ACL and ended up on the Season-Ending Injury list back in March. 

With the acquired draft pick, the Red Stars chose midfielder Jameese Joseph. Joseph has found playing time in six matches for Chicago thus far and has gotten one assist and had nine tackles won. 

 

Related:

NWSL Trade Tracker

 

Michael GinnittiMay 15, 2024

With the bulk of the 2024 NFL offseason now behind us, the time to start thinking about next March is now. Spotrac has identified a few notable players at each position group currently on track to become unrestricted free agents after the upcoming season.

RELATED: 2025 NFL FREE AGENT TRACKER

QUARTERBACK

Prescott, who has a no-tag clause in his expiring contract with the Cowboys, is trending toward the open market as of now, and the cost to keep him in Dallas now approaches $60M per year. It seems likely that Jordan Love & Tua Tagovailoa will agree to extensions in the coming months, but the long-term QB plan in Pittsburgh is another situation to monitor.

RUNNING BACK

It was a strong free agency for the running back position this past March, but will the trend continue going forward? Conner has quietly put together a nice run in Arizona, but he’ll be nearly 30 by the time he signs his next deal. Nick Chubb’s recovery from injury this upcoming season will be something to monitor, as Cleveland will be motivated to keep him in the fold for their continuing contention window.

WIDE RECEIVER

It feels like everytime we go to create a list of wide receivers available (draft prospects, extension candidates, trade candidates, etc…) we wind up with a laundry list of talent. The same goes for the upcoming free agency pool, though it’s safe to assume that a few of these names will be removed in the coming weeks and months via extension or a tag. Jefferson & Lamb should obliterate the non-QB money market soon.

TIGHT END

A largely weak list for now could (should) be bolstered this winter by cap casualty candidates. All three of these players have a good chance to secure a multi-year guarantee next March.

OFFENSIVE LINE

Age is certainly a factor with many of the names listed below, but this is a solid group of starting offensive lineman currently set to hit the free market, highlighted by Tristan Wirfs (TB), Taylor Decker (DET), Quinn Meinerz (DEN), Trey Smith (KC), & Creed Humphrey (KC).

TACKLES

GUARDS

CENTERS

INTERIOR DEFENDER

It’s been a big year for defensive tackle money, with Chris Jones (KC), Christian Wilkins (LV), & Justin Madubuike (BAL) resetting the top of the market across the board. The current free agent class isn’t likely to require contracts anywhere near the top of the mountain, but they’ll benefit from the positional raise nonetheless.

EDGE DEFENDER

5 edge defenders signed free agent contracts this past March that contained more than $25M fully guaranteed (Danielle Hunter at $48M led the group). There’s a world where 3-4 of next year’s class eclipse this mark easily, though age is a factor across the board here.

LINEBACKER

As teams continue to passover paying off-ball linebackers in favor of other positions, more and more talented players will be allowed to test the open market. Unfortunately, this is also leading to a bit of a devaluation for these players, as supply is outweighing demand on an annual basis. Patrick Queen’s 3 year, $41M contract in Pittsburgh is all the evidence we need.

CORNERBACK

Samuel Jr. and Terrell should sign extensions in the coming weeks, setting up Jonathan Jones & Charvarius Ward as likely top names to watch heading through the 2024 campaign. Jaire Alexander ($21M per year) & Denzel Ward ($71.25M guaranteed) have held the top marks at the position for a minute now.

SAFETY

Overall, safety contracts have taken a hit in recent offseason (on a similar trajectory to off-ball linebackers). The stars will continue to see big numbers (as evidenced by Antione Winfield Jr.’s recent payday), but by and large, teams are allowed above average players to test the open market before extending. 

SPECIAL TEAMS

Harrison Butker was the 3rd highest rated kicker in 2023 according to PFF, with Prater, McPherson, & Hopkins all cracking the Top 10. This has become a year-to-year what-have-you-done-for-me-lately position however, so most of these names will need strong 2024s to secure any type of multi-year guarantee. The top marks currently sit at $6M per year, $17.5M guaranteed for kickers, $3.6M per year, $7.5M guaranteed for punters.

RELATED: 2025 NFL FREE AGENT TRACKER

Scott AllenMay 12, 2024

Rory McIlroy wins the Wells Fargo Championship. McIlroy earns $3.6 million million bringing his 2024 on-course earnings to $6.6 and his career on-course earnings to $86.69 million. 

Wells Fargo Championship Top 10 Payouts

Full Results

2024 Earnings Leaders Update

Full List

Keith SmithMay 12, 2024

The 2024 NBA Draft order is almost fully set after the Draft Lottery saw some excitement. The Atlanta Hawks jumped from the 10th overall pick to the first overall pick. The Houston Rockets (via the Brooklyn Nets) jumped from the ninth overall pick to the third overall pick. And the San Antonio Spurs run of draft luck continued, as they not only jumped from the fifth overall pick to the fourth overall pick, but they also got the Toronto Raptors pick, when it slid down to the eighth overall pick.

The only remaining draft pick item is whether or not the New Orleans Pelicans will take the Los Angeles Lakers pick at 17th overall, or if the Pelicans will defer that pick to the 2025 NBA Draft. New Orleans has until June 1 to make the decision. Most expect the Pels to defer, given the projected strength of the 2025 draft class compared to this current one.

As the Pelicans decision won’t have any meaningful impact on our projections here, it’s time to update the projections.

A few notes:

  • We are using the NBA’s official projections for the salary cap and tax lines. Some are projecting greater growth than the 3.5% represented here, but we will always use the official projections from the league.
    • Salary Cap of $141,000,000
    • Luxury Tax of $171,315,000
    • First Apron of $178,655,000
    • Second Apron of $189,485,000
  • Max salary tiers grow with the cap. They are as follows:
    • 0-6 Years of Service: $35,250,000
    • 7-9 Years of Service: $42,300,000
    • 10+ Years of Service: $49,350,000
  • A projection has been made on all 2024-25 player and team options. Similarly, a projection was made on all partial and non-guaranteed contracts. And, finally, a projection made on renouncing free agents has also been made for cap space teams.
  • No trades, extensions or signings have been projected. Essentially, rosters are as they stand at the time of publication.
  • With the advent of the new CBA, the landscape has changed around the NBA. There used to be three basic categories of teams each summer: Cap Space teams, Non-Taxpayer Mid-Level Exception teams and Taxpayer Mid-Level Exception teams. Each season there would also be a handful of “swing” teams that could fall in one bucket or another.

In this new world, we have a fourth category: Second Apron teams. These are the NBA’s most expensive teams that the new CBA was largely designed to punish.

Under the new CBA, if you are at or over the second apron, you lose access to the Taxpayer MLE. In addition, the trade rules tighten up for these teams. Salary-matching in trades is limited to 100%, they aren’t allowed to aggregate salaries together in trades, they can’t participate in sign-and-trade deals, they can’t send out cash in trades (no more buying draft picks!) and they won’t be able to use TPEs.

Essentially, Second Apron teams are going to limited to re-signing their own free agents, making trades where they take back the same money as they send out (or less) buy trading one player out, signing their own draft picks and signing players to minimum salaries.

With all that said, here is the updated projected spending power for each NBA team in 2024 free agency!

Cap Space Teams (6)

  1. Detroit Pistons: $64.4 million

  2. Philadelphia 76ers: $61.3 million

  3. Utah Jazz: $38.3 million

  4. Oklahoma City Thunder: $35.3

  5. Orlando Magic: $25.2 million

  6. San Antonio Spurs: $21.3 million

This is the smallest group of teams we can confidently project to have cap space in a decade of doing this exercise. As more and more teams prioritize extensions and trades, cap space (and the number of impact free agents) has dried up. Still, as we write every time we talk about cap space, having this kind of room doesn’t just mean signing free agents. Cap space can also be used to facilitate trades, either for yourself or others.

The Pistons jumped up to the top of the list after a series of moves where they shed some long-term money to create even more cap flexibility. As it stands now, the only non-Rookie Scale player Detroit projects to have on their roster is Isaiah Stewart, who is starting a four-year, $60 million Rookie Scale extension. Simone Fontecchio will probably get a qualifying offer, as the third-year NBA player is the closest thing this roster has in terms of age and experience. Dropping back in the draft from the first pick to the fifth pick increased Detroit’s spending power by over $4 million. That makes for yet another year of massive amounts of cap space for Troy Weaver to work with.

The Sixers have been bandied about as having double-max cap space and the like for months now. For a while, that seemed extremely unlikely. It’s still not really a thing, but they can get close. There’s a world where the only salary commitments Philadelphia has on the books are Joel Embiid at $51.4 million and Tyrese Maxey’s cap hold at $13 million. That would see the Sixers able to create nearly $65 million in space. That’s still not double-max cap space, but it’s really, really close. We’re going to stay a bit more conservative and project the 76ers to also keep Ricky Council IV and their draft pick, and that will put them at just over $61 million in space.

Utah made some moves to clear out a little long-term salary, or at least salary questions, at the deadline. That sees the Jazz set up to have over #38 million million in cap space. Danny Ainge is talking about going star-hunting this summer. If that fails, a large chunk of that will probably be reserved to do a renegotiation-and-extension with Lauri Markkanen. Even after that, Utah should still have a nice amount left over after to do some more work with.

Oklahoma City hasn’t seen enough from Gordon Hayward post-trade deadline to keep him on the books. They should hit the summer with only a few open roster spots and about $35 million to spend. That’s terrifying for the rest of the league, considering how well this extremely young team is already performing.

Orlando comes in fifth in cap space projections by virtue of having a roster full of players on rookie scale contracts and team-friendly deals. This includes all of the Magic’s best players. In the recent past, Orlando has eschewed cap space to re-sign or extend their own players. That seems poised to change, as the Magic are finally in position to really push the rebuild forward with an impact addition or two. And they need to do that before they have to start extending players like Franz Wagner and Paolo Banchero in coming years. In order to create meaningful space, Orlando will have to move on from one, or both, of Markelle Fultz and Jonathan Isaac. Both players have been extremely injury prone during their Magic tenure. One thing to keep an eye on: Orlando could let both go for cap space (renouncing Fultz and waiving Isaac), then bring them back on new deals at lower numbers, but with additional years added on. Fow now, we’re projecting Fultz is renounced as a free agent, but Isaac sticks around for the final season of his contract.

San Antonio could stay over the cap, if they wanted to keep their non-guaranteed and partially-guaranteed players. But having over $21 million to spend, along with two more lottery picks, puts the Spurs in position to add talent as they attempt to climb up in the Western Conference standings.

Cap Space – Non-Taxpayer MLE Swing Teams (2)

  1. Charlotte Hornets

  2. Toronto Raptors

Charlotte is in a bit of a weird spot. For another season, the Miles Bridges question hangs over this team. He signed the qualifying offer, so Bridges will be an unrestricted free agent next summer. Signs are pointing toward Bridges and the Hornets wanting to sign a new contract. If that happens, the Hornets will operate as an over-the-cap team. After dropping in the lottery, if Charlotte moves on from some players (including Bridges), they can create about $33.8 million in cap space. Keep an eye on this situation, especially with a fresh start in ownership, the front office and the coaching staff.

We’re now projecting the Raptors to forgo cap space this summer. This over-the-cap projection accounts for picking up Bruce Brown’s team option. Once Toronto signed Kelly Olynyk to his extension, that signaled they’ll probably stay over the cap and pursue upgrades via trades and value signings. If the Raptors were to decline Brown’s option, and waive/renounce other players (except for Immanuel Quickley), they could create $29.8 million in cap space. Keeping Brown, and others, is probably the better path forward, so we’ve updated this projection accordingly.

Non-Taxpayer MLE Teams (6)

This is usually the largest group of teams we have, and it may well still end up that way. But for now, we can confidently project only six teams to be in range of using the full Non-Taxpayer MLE.

  1. Brooklyn Nets

  2. Houston Rockets

  3. Indiana Pacers

  4. New York Knicks

  5. Sacramento Kings

  6. Washington Wizards

All six of these teams have two things in common: They look to have only handful of roster spots to fill and they have plenty of clearance under the first apron. That puts all of these teams in range to use the full Non-Taxpayer MLE without tripping into any hard cap issues.

In addition, unlike the swing teams, there isn’t a reasonable path to cap space for any of these teams. Indiana would be the closest, but they’d be punting on some valuable players to create cap space. That seems highly unlikely. Houston and Washington could have been swing Cap Space-Non-Taxpayer teams, but both took on money for next season in trades that has them likely to stay over the cap.

Non-Taxpayer MLE – Taxpayer MLE Swing Teams (3)

This group is close to tripping into the luxury tax, or even over the first apron. Most of that is related to pending free agents that these teams could re-sign. And for a handful, they are close enough to the first apron, that the hard cap would become an issue if they used the Non-Taxpayer MLE.

  1. Chicago Bulls

  2. Cleveland Cavaliers

  3. New Orleans Pelicans

The Bulls, Cavaliers and Pelicans are all going to have free agent decisions to make. If they re-sign, or extend, those players to expected-value contracts, they’ll be butting up against the tax or even the first apron. That will take them out of range of using the Non-Taxpayer MLE.

The lone exception here is if Chicago were to lose DeMar DeRozan. If that happened, the Bulls would have more than enough room to use the full Non-Taxpayer MLE. That situation could resolve itself early, however, if DeRozan and the Bulls can reach an agreement on an extension.

Taxpayer MLE Teams (5)

The addition of the second apron has created a smaller-than-usual window for teams to be in position to use the Taxpayer MLE, but without creating issues against the second apron hard cap.

  1. Atlanta Hawks

  2. Dallas Mavericks

  3. Golden State Warriors

  4. Miami Heat

  5. Portland Trail Blazers

The Hawks are in a tricky spot. As it stands, they have a pretty small window to work within. And that’s before re-signing Saddiq Bey. But Atlanta also seems pretty likely to move off some long-term salary this summer. That could free up some much-needed flexibility. But dancing around the tax and the first apron is still pretty likely too. This only increased after jumping from the 10th overall pick up to the first overall pick. That added over $7 million to the Hawks books (from $5.5 to $12.6 million) for this upcoming season.

The Mavericks project to be around $13 million under the second apron, but they also only have a few roster spots to fill. That leaves enough room to use the Taxpayer MLE to add a player, with enough wiggle room to stay under the hard cap that would be created at the second apron.

We’ve moved the Warriors into this group. They continue to publicly indicate that they are going to get under the second apron, if not out of the tax entirely this summer. That would mean moving on from Chris Paul (he’s got a fully non-guaranteed $30 million contract) and re-signing Klay Thompson for roughly half what he makes now. That’s not really unrealistic, so we’ll take Golden State at their word and move them out of the second apron group.

Miami is always active and chasing upgrades. But they’ll be doing so while dancing around the first apron. It’s unlikely they’ll end up over the second apron, but it’s something to keep an eye on.

It might be a surprise to see the rebuilding Trail Blazers in this spot, but they took on a good amount of salary in the Damian Lillard trade, and the subsequent Jrue Holiday trade. Portland also re-signed Jerami Grant to a big contract too. And, somewhat surprisingly, the Blazers didn’t make any big moves at the trade deadline. As it stands, Portland sits just over the luxury tax line. That won’t be a thing for long, as a rebuilding team can’t pay the tax. But it will limit what kind of spending power Portland has this summer. Instead of free agent signings, look for the Trail Blazers to keep retooling their roster through trades.

Second Apron Teams (8)

This is our largest group of teams for 2024 offseason projections. This is a direct result of two things. First, the second apron exists now, and some teams are over or up against it. Second, several teams took the “gap year” (or maybe better put the “get your books in order year”) to load up. That’s got us in a spot where almost one-third of the league will be unable to add a free agent for more than the minimum this summer.

  1. Boston Celtics

  2. Denver Nuggets

  3. LA Clippers

  4. Los Angeles Lakers

  5. Memphis Grizzlies

  6. Milwaukee Bucks

  7. Minnesota Timberwolves

  8. Phoenix Suns

All eight of these teams are already over or right up against the second apron. Or they will be once they re-sign some key free agents. From there, this group will be limited to re-signing their own free agents, making trades where they take in similar (but not more) money, signing their own draft picks and signing players to minimum contracts.

Something to keep an eye on: Some of this group underwhelmed in the postseason (Clippers, Lakers, Bucks, Suns). That means they could look to move a player or two to start the process of cleaning up their cap sheet. But most of these teams are contenders, or could be contenders with better health or a roster move or two. That’s going to keep most, if not all, of them in a position to remain pretty expensive.

 

Michael GinnittiMay 09, 2024

As NFL teams turn their focus toward the summer months, we'll begin to project how rosters & lineups will shake out for the upcoming 2024 season, starting with a few financials notes for projected starting & backup quarterbacks.

STARTER VALUE
9 teams currently project to carry a QB1 that will earn less in 2024 than his respective QB2

  • New England (Brissett, Maye)
  • Las Vegas (O’Connell, Minshew)
  • Minnesota (Darnold, McCarthy)
  • Indianapolis (Richardson, Flacco)
  • Pittsburgh (Wilson, Fields)
  • Tennessee (Levis, Rudolph)
  • Carolina (Young, Dalton)
  • San Francisco (Purdy, Dobbs)
  • Houston (Stroud, Mills)

ROOKIE CONTRACTS
40% of the projected QB1s & QB2s are on a rookie contract, including 6 in their first year. 11 projected starting QBs are set to play on a rookie contract (though Trevor Lawrence & Tua Tagovailoa could extend this summer).

VET CONTRACTS
17 projected QB1s & QB2s enter 2024 on a brand new contract, including 4 projected starters (Cousins Darnold, Brissett, Wilson, Mayfield). Barring an extension this summer, Jared Goff is set to play out the 6th season of his current contract. Patrick Mahomes is in Year 5, while Josh Allen & Dak Prescott are starting down Year 5 of their extensions.

QB1 High: Mahomes, $450M; QB1 Low: Wilson, $1.21M
QB2 High: Minshew: $25M; QB2 Low: Johnson, $1.3M

ANNUAL AVERAGES
Only 1 projected starting QB carries an average salary below $1M: Brock Purdy (SF). The average of the QB1 averages currently chimes in at $25M, with projected backup QBs set to earn $3.6M on average.

QB1 High: Burrow, $55M; QB1 Low: Purdy, $934k
QB2 High: Minshew, $12.5M; QB2 Low: Bagent, $906k

EXTENSION CANDIDATES
Dak Prescott (DAL): Is entering the 4th and final season of his recent extension, set to earn $34M for 2024.
Jared Goff (DET): Is entering the 6th and final season of his contract, set to earn $27.3M for 2024
Jordan Love (GB): Is entering the 2nd and final season of his bridge extension, set to earn $11M for 2024
Trevor Lawrence (JAX): Is entering the 4th year of his rookie contract. The Jags exercised a $25.6M option for 2025
Tua Tagovailoa (MIA): Is entering the 5th and final season of his rookie contract, set to earn $23.1M for 2024

PENDING FREE AGENTS
7 projected starting QBs are slated for free agency next March:

  • Dak Prescott (DAL)
  • Jared Goff (DET)
  • Jordan Love (GB)
  • Tua Tagovailoa (MIA)
  • Sam Darnold (MIN)
  • Jacoby Brissett (NE)
  • Russell Wilson (PIT)

(scroll right for additional data)

TEAM QB1 CONTRACT TYPE/YEAR 2024 CASH AVERAGE SALARY   QB2 CONTRACT TYPE/YEAR 2024 CASH AVERAGE SALARY   QB1+QB2 QB1-QB2
ARI Kyler Murray VET 3 $38,850,000 $46,100,000   Desmond Ridder ROOKIE 3 $1,192,542 $1,340,740   $40,042,542 $37,657,458
ATL Kirk Cousins VET 1 $62,500,000 $45,000,000   Michael Penix Jr. ROOKIE 1 $14,256,916 $5,720,659   $76,756,916 $48,243,084
BAL Lamar Jackson VET 2 $32,500,000 $52,000,000   Josh Johnson VET MIN $1,377,500 $1,377,500   $33,877,500 $31,122,500
BUF Josh Allen VET 4 $30,000,000 $43,005,667   Mitchell Trubisky VET 1 $2,750,000 $2,625,000   $32,750,000 $27,250,000
CAR Bryce Young ROOKIE 2 $2,475,231 $9,488,768   Andy Dalton VET 2 $4,000,000 $5,000,000   $6,475,231 -$1,524,769
CHI Caleb Williams ROOKIE 1 $26,332,132 $9,871,515   Tyson Bagent ROOKIE 2 $915,000 $906,667   $27,247,132 $25,417,132
CIN Joe Burrow VET 2 $65,714,000 $55,000,000   Jake Browning ROOKIE 2 $915,000 $972,500   $66,629,000 $64,799,000
CLE Deshaun Watson VET 3 $46,000,000 $46,000,000   Jameis Winston VET 1 $4,000,000 $4,000,000   $50,000,000 $42,000,000
DAL Dak Prescott VET 4 $34,000,000 $40,000,000   Cooper Rush VET 2 $2,250,000 $2,500,000   $36,250,000 $31,750,000
DEN Bo Nix ROOKIE 1 $11,151,848 $4,653,292   Jarrett Stidham VET 2 $6,000,000 $5,000,000   $17,151,848 $5,151,848
DET Jared Goff VET 6 $27,300,064 $33,500,000   Hendon Hooker ROOKIE 2 $1,009,956 $1,429,755   $28,310,020 $26,290,108
GB Jordan Love VET 2 $11,000,000 $13,500,000   Sean Clifford ROOKIE 2 $915,000 $1,041,045   $11,915,000 $10,085,000
HOU C.J. Stroud ROOKIE 2 $2,399,057 $9,069,811   Davis Mills ROOKIE 4 $3,116,000 $1,304,383   $5,515,057 -$716,943
IND Anthony Richardson ROOKIE 2 $2,295,183 $8,498,508   Joe Flacco VET 1 $4,500,000 $4,500,000   $6,795,183 -$2,204,817
JAC Trevor Lawrence ROOKIE 4 $5,677,294 $9,198,372   Mac Jones ROOKIE 4 $2,785,412 $3,896,588   $8,462,706 $2,891,882
KC Patrick Mahomes VET 5 $45,750,000 $45,000,000   Carson Wentz VET 1 $3,325,000 $3,325,000   $49,075,000 $42,425,000
LAC Justin Herbert VET 2 $56,600,000 $52,500,000   Easton Stick VET 1 $2,667,500 $2,667,500   $59,267,500 $53,932,500
LAR Matthew Stafford VET 3 $31,000,000 $40,000,000   Jimmy Garoppolo VET 1 $3,178,750 $3,178,750   $34,178,750 $27,821,250
LV Aidan O'Connell ROOKIE 2 $915,000 $1,087,345   Gardner Minshew VET 1 $12,500,000 $12,500,000   $13,415,000 -$11,585,000
MIA Tua Tagovailoa ROOKIE 5 $23,171,000 $7,568,860   Mike White VET 2 $3,500,000 $4,000,000   $26,671,000 $19,671,000
MIN Sam Darnold VET 1 $10,000,000 $10,000,000   JJ McCarthy ROOKIE 1 $13,509,396 $5,463,699   $23,509,396 -$3,509,396
NE Jacoby Brissett VET 1 $8,000,000 $8,000,000   Drake Maye ROOKIE 1 $24,262,100 $9,159,941   $32,262,100 -$16,262,100
NO Derek Carr VET 2 $30,000,000 $37,500,000   Jake Haener ROOKIE 2 $915,000 $915,000   $30,915,000 $29,085,000
NYG Daniel Jones VET 2 $36,000,000 $40,000,000   Drew Lock VET 1 $5,000,000 $5,000,000   $41,000,000 $31,000,000
NYJ Aaron Rodgers VET 2 $38,161,112 $37,500,000   Tyrod Taylor VET 1 $6,000,000 $6,000,000   $44,161,112 $32,161,112
PHI Jalen Hurts VET 2 $40,000,000 $51,000,000   Kenny Pickett ROOKIE 3 $1,983,900 $3,516,976   $41,983,900 $38,016,100
PIT Russell Wilson VET MIN $1,210,000 $1,210,000   Justin Fields ROOKIE 4 $3,233,448 $4,717,989   $4,443,448 -$2,023,448
SEA Geno Smith VET 2 $22,500,000 $25,000,000   Sam Howell ROOKIE 3 $985,000 $1,005,400   $23,485,000 $21,515,000
SF Brock Purdy ROOKIE 3 $985,000 $934,252   Joshua Dobbs VET 1 $2,250,000 $2,250,000   $3,235,000 -$1,265,000
TB Baker Mayfield VET 1 $30,000,000 $33,333,333   Kyle Trask ROOKIE 4 $1,414,819 $1,383,834   $31,414,819 $28,585,181
TEN Will Levis ROOKIE 2 $1,183,735 $2,385,541   Mason Rudolph VET 1 $2,870,000 $2,870,000   $4,053,735 -$1,686,265
WAS Jayden Daniels ROOKIE 1 $25,067,108 $9,436,663   Marcus Mariota VET 1 $6,000,000 $6,000,000   $31,067,108 $19,067,108
Taylor VincentMay 09, 2024

Almost one-third done with the 2024 NWSL season, it’s a good time to take a look at the 2024 Collegiate Draft, how things panned out contract wise, the impact of teams' draft classes, and the most/least impactful trades of draft day. 

Contract Length Breakdown

The 2024 NWSL Draft had the most players drafted with expansion sides Bay FC and Utah Royals increasing the total teams involved up to 14. Of the 56 players drafted, 25% of the players drafted didn’t end up signing with the NWSL team that drafted them. Another quarter of the draftees were signed to contracts of at least three years, while the largest percentage of draftees were signed to a one year contract with an option year for 2025. 

A breakdown of the contract length given per round of draft picks can be seen below. As is roughly expected, a majority of the first round picks were signed to contracts of at least three years guaranteed. As the rounds continue, the average contract lengths reduce until the fourth and final round where a majority of the players were not signed to their drafting teams. 

The 2024 NWSL draft picks and the specific contracts per player can be found: https://www.spotrac.com/nwsl/draft/_/year/2024 

Team Breakdown of Draft Picks

Reminder: The mode is the most frequent number that appears in a set of data. It is used here to highlight the trend of teams in the length of the contracts they signed draftees. In the case of Chicago and Louisville, there was an even split so both numbers were included. 

Both Seattle and North Carolina have had 0 official minutes played by their draft picks thus far. This is more surprising for the Courage than the Reign because of the fact that all three of the Courage’s picks were signed for three year contracts compared to the fact that neither of Seattle’s signed picks were longer than a 1 year contract with an option. Maddie Mercado did play in roughly 2 minutes of stoppage time for the Reign in their latest match against Kansas City, but stoppage time minutes don’t count toward official minute stats.

Signing only one draft pick, Angel City outside back Madison Curry has truly been the most impactful draft pick of the later rounds in the draft, filling in almost seamlessly for the LA-based side after M.A. Vignola (NWSL 2023 Best XI Second team) went down injured in ACFC’s week two matchup against Orlando.

Of teams with more than one draft pick, the draftees of the Washington Spirit have averaged the most minutes played, led by midfielders Croix Bethune and Hal Hershfelt who both have played in a majority of the Spirit’s minutes. In eight games, Bethune has already scored three goals in addition to her four assists, while Hershfelt has two goals of her own and an impressive 81% passing accuracy. The Spirit currently sit in third place in the table through eight games. 

The Kansas City Current signed two draft picks, although one is a goalkeeper—and none of the four signed drafted goalkeepers across the league have played a single minute so far—the other drafted player was defender Ellie Wheeler who started in Kansas City’s first six matches, and scored a goal in her professional debut, aiding to KC’s current unbeaten run. With defender Hailie Mace building back her minutes after missing the first few games with a knock, Kansas City has good depth of outside backs as the team marches toward the mid-season break in July. 

Racing Louisville and the Utah Royals are the other two squads whose signed rookies have an average of at least 300 minutes per person, even with Racing being one of four squads with only seven matches played rather than eight. 

Both of Racing’s signings—forwards Emma Sears and Reilyn Turner—have been impactful both when starting and when coming off the bench, with Turner having two goals and two assists and Sears having a goal of her own. 

Utah’s roster as an expansion team has the most draftees signed of any squad at six, and although number one overall draft pick Ally Sentnor is leading both the Utah draftees and all of the draftees in general in playing time with 720 min, and has two goals and two assists. Four of Utah’s six signed draft picks have over 300 minutes played. 

Of teams who have utilized their draft classes less, Portland forward Payton Linnehan and San Diego defender Kennedy Wesley have really stepped up in the last few weeks filling in for injured teammates. They’ll also be players to watch develop through the year. 

Breakdown of Draft-Day Trades

Most Impactful: Washington Spirit

What will likely be the most impactful trade of Draft Day was the Chicago Red Stars trading the number three overall pick to the Washington Spirit in return for centerback Sam Staab—who recently was named to the NWSL’s March/April Best XI. With that number three pick, the Spirit chose Croix Bethune, who is currently leading the draftees in minutes played thus far this season, won March/April Rookie of the Month and made the NWSL Best XI for March/April. In hindsight, both teams have greatly benefited from the outcome of the trade. 

Least Impactful: Angel City FC

There were six trades during the draft itself, however only one team traded for a draft pick then didn’t end up signing the player: Angel City FC. The LA-based club sent $15k in allocation money to Utah for the 44th overall pick, proceeded to pick midfielder Jessica Garziano from St. Johns, but didn’t end up signing her. 

Michael GinnittiMay 08, 2024

With the 2024 MLB season now just around 20% completed, we’ll take a quick look back at the Top 10 Free Agent Contracts signed this past winter, highlighting each player’s respective production out of the game, and making note of any contract specifics going forward.

RELATED: 2024 MLB FREE AGENCY

Shohei Ohtani (DH, Dodgers)

10 years, $700M

He leads the league in hits, runs, doubles, homers, batting average, slugging, OPS, OPS+ & total bases - need we say more? Only teammate Mookie Betts has better odds to win NL MVP as of now, but Ohtani is closing in quickly. Contractually there are no opt-outs, a full no trade clause, and a well-known boatload of cash deferrals.

Yoshinobu Yamamoto (SP, Dodgers)

12 years, $325M

After a rocky debut, Yamamoto has sparkled in 7 straight starts, posting a 2.79 ERA, while striking out 47 batters, walking only 8 in 42 innings pitched. Furthermore, his innings per start have begun to creep up, a sign that the 25-year-old may be rounding into form as the Dodgers look to extend their NL West lead through the middle months of the season. Contractually, the Dodgers have him guaranteed through 2029 ($155M total), after which the first of two player opt-outs become available.

Aaron Nola (SP, Phillies)

7 years, $172M

The strikeouts are a little down and the walks are a little up, but for the most part, Nola is performing right at his career average in Year 10. The contract carries 6 more seasons with no opt-outs and a full no trade clause. His Phillies have a 3 game lead on the Braves atop the NL East currently. 

Jung-hoo Lee (OF, Giants)

6 years, $113M

On its surface, it may appear as though Lee’s MLB career has gotten off to a slow start, and production-wise that is true. But the plate disciple, batted ball rates, and rest of season projections all point to Lee not only succeeding as a MLB player, but eventually thriving. The contract is locked through 2027 ($72M), with a player opt-out available thereafter.

Josh Hader (RP, Astros)

5 years, $95M

To say the Astros start (12-23) has been a surprise would be the understatement of the century. Sure, the team behind Hader is faltering, but Hader’s numbers themselves are cause for concern as well. A 42% hard hit percentage is Hader’s highest since 2019, and a .418 slugging percentage against is a career high. He gave up 3 HRs all of 2023, but has already handed out 2 in 14 2024 innings. Contractually, there are no opt-outs, and full no trade clause, and $90M guaranteed remaining.

Eduardo Rodriguez (SP, Diamondbacks)

5 years, $77M

A lat strain has kept E-Rod on the shelf to start his D-Backs career, and a setback has his timetable to return in question. He’s locked in through 2027, with a vesting option in available in 2028 based on innings.

Cody Bellinger (CF, Cubs)

3 years, $80M

A rib injury derailed his season-start, but the numbers since returning seem to be resembling 2023 quite a bit. Good news for the Cubs, who handed Bellinger a $15M+ raise this season, with back to back player options ($27.5M, $25M) to follow.

Sonny Gray (SP, Cardinals)

3 years, $75M

The Cardinals don’t have many things to hang their hat on this season, but Gray is one of them. The 34-year-old carries a sparkling 0.89 ERA, 0.85 WHIP, 11.3 Ks/9, and a whopping 466 ERA+ across 5 starts. The contract holds 2 years, $65M guaranteed with a 3rd year option available through 2027. There’s a great chance he’s a serious trade deadline name in a few months.

Blake Snell (SP, Giants)

2 years, $62M

The late free agent signing (March 18th) kept Snell off the active roster early on, and a hip injury has him off the active roster now indefinitely. In between, the 2023 Cy Young winner posted 3 horrific starts (11.57 ERA, 4 BB/9, 18 hits in 11.2 innings). The contract breaks down as a 1 year, $32M deal, with a $30M player option available in 2025.

Matt Chapman (3B, Giants)

3 years, $54M

After a torrid start to 2023 in Toronto, Chapman crashed back down to earth to finish off the season (though he still posted a 5-year-best 4.4 WAR). His 2024 production thus far puts him on pace to finish well below his 162-game averages. Contractually, Chapman can make this a 1 year, $20M contract, a 2 year, $38M contract, or the full 3 year, $54M contract.

RELATED: 2024 MLB FREE AGENCY

 

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