With the regular season just two weeks away, our final installment of 2022 Money Tiers focuses on the Tight End position. We've classifed a few dozen big men into various categories, noting those with multi-year financial security, plenty more on veritable one year tenders, and a few ready for their next big payday.

• THREE & WE'LL SEE
• LET'S PLAY TWO
• ONE & DONE
• EXTENSION READY
• ROOKIE PENDING

Three & We'll See

David Njoku (Browns, 26)

Signed Thru: 2025
Guarantees Thru: 2024
Guarantee Remaining: $28M

Njoku’s extension was a surprise for some, but he started to find his sea legs (finally) toward the end of 2022, and the prospect of a major QB upgrade with Deshaun Watson could really lift him to higher ceilings. His new contract carries $17M fully guaranteed right now, but another $11M locks in next March. Behind him 4th-rounder Harrison Bryant holds a 2 year, $1.9M non-guaranteed contract.

Dallas Goedert (Eagles, 27)

Signed Thru: 2025
Guarantees Thru: 2024
Guarantee Remaining: $24.25M

Goedert’s massive extension contains early vesting guarantees right through the 2024 season, though his 4 year payout of $43M isn’t exactly a market resetting cash flow. Jack Stoll (UDFA minimum) stands to get work behind him right now.

Let's Play Two

Mark Andrews (Ravens, 25)

Signed Thru: 2025
Guarantees Thru: 2023
Guarantee Remaining: $26.5M

Andrews snagged 107 balls last year, the most in his career. With Hollywood Brown now in Arizona, and Lamar Jackson looking for more reasons to garner a fully guaranteed contract, the upside potential here is massive. Financially Andrews’ $7.5M salary for 2023 is already fully guaranteed, but the final 2 years, $22M thereafter is fluffy. Nick Boyle remains his TE2 in 2022, but a high cap number ($10.3M) next year could mean change in that regard.

George Kittle (49ers, 29)

Signed Thru: 2025
Guarantees Thru: 2023
Guarantee Remaining: $23.1M

Kittle’s deal remains healthy through the 2023 season, after which there’s a 2 year, $29M non-guarantee. With youngster Trey Lance now at the helm, look for Kittle’s usage rate to soar in 2022, with increased targets for 6th-rounder Charlie Woerner as well.

Taysom Hill (Saints, 32)

Signed Thru: 2025
Guarantees Thru: 2023
Guarantee Remaining: $20M

Hill enters the 2022 season as the #2 TE on the Saints depth chart, despite holding some of the highest guarantees among the entire league positionally. He’ll factor into special teams, and may even get a few snaps at QB still, but we’ll need a TED talk someday to fully understand his financial career. Hill is fully guaranteed this year at $10.1M, and fully guaranteed next year at $9.9M.

Zach Ertz (Cardinals, 31)

Signed Thru: 2024
Guarantees Thru: 2023
Guarantee Remaining: $17.5M

With Chrisitan Kirk now in Jacksonville, and Deandre Hopkins on the shelf for 6 weeks, Ertz could be a major factor in Kyler Murray’s passing game this season. He’s financially secure through 2023, with a $10M option thereafter. 2nd-rounder Trey McBride and veteran Maxx Williams will provide strong depth for Arizona here.

Jonnu Smith (Patriots, 27)

Signed Thru: 2024
Guarantees Thru: 2023
Guarantee Remaining: $15.25M

Smith remains one of the highest paid blocking tight ends in NFL history, and is not only fully guaranteed this year at $9M, but $6.25M of his 2023 salary is already locked in as well. Can the Patriots find him more than 28 catches in 2022? Maybe, but Henry & Smith don’t appear to be the 1-2 punch we expected.

C.J. Uzomah (Jets, 29)

Signed Thru: 2024
Guarantees Thru: 2023
Guarantee Remaining: $15M

Uzomah platformed a big year in Cincy into a $15M guarantee with the Jets and could be a very strong 1-2 punch with Tyler Conklin in 2022, if the QB position improves. Uzomah’s deal is 2 years, $16M with an $8M “option” for 2024.

Tyler Conklin (Jets, 27)

Signed Thru: 2024
Guarantees Thru: 2023
Guarantee Remaining: $10M

Conklin signed a slightly lesser version of C.J. Uzomah’s free agent contract with the Jets this March, including $6M guaranteed for 2022, and another $3.9M in 2023. The two should create a formidable arsenal for the Jets QB (TBD).

Mo Alie-Cox (Colts, 28)

Signed Thru: 2024
Guarantees Thru: 2023
Guarantee Remaining: $8.2M

Alie-Cox garnered an extension prior to free agency, locking in $11.6M over the next two seasons. He’s caught 70 balls in 4 seasons to date. Behind him, 4th-rounder Kylen Granson carries a non-guaranteed 3 years, $2.8M, while new 3rd-rounder Jelani Woods could push to be the main pass catcher of this group at some point.

Gerald Everett (Chargers, 28)

Signed Thru: 2023
Guarantees Thru: 2023
Guarantee Remaining: $8M

The Chargers signed Everett away from Seattle, guaranteeing $8M of a $12M contract through 2023. He’s a 50 catch TE when all is well, but that could increase in Justin Herbert’s pass-heavy offense. Former UDFA Donald Parham (1 year, $895k), and 3rd-rounder Tre McKitty (3 years, $3.1M) will provide depth this season.

Ian Thomas (Panthers, 26)

Signed Thru: 2024
Guarantees Thru: 2023
Guarantee Remaining: $8M

Thomas was extended 3 years this past February despite just 90 catches in 4 seasons. He’s a versatile TE though, and could take a step forward in the passing game with Baker Mayfield at the helm. 3rd-rounder Tommy Tremble remains the TE2 in Carolina with 3 non-guaranteed years left on his rookie contract.

Extension Ready

T.J. Hockenson (Lions, 25)

Signed Thru: 2023
Guarantees Thru: 2023
Guarantee Remaining: $12.7M

Detroit exercised a $9.3M option for 2023, fully guaranteeing it. Hockenson has posted back to back solid seasons - but still hasn’t had that full breakout campaign as of yet. He projects to a 4 year, $54M extension currently, but all signs point to Detroit waiting a year to lock that in. UDFA Brock Wright projects to win the TE2 spot on a minimum salary.

Dalton Schultz (Cowboys, 26)

Signed Thru: 2022
Guarantees Thru: 2022
Guarantee Remaining: $10.9M

Schultz will play out a 1 year, $10.9M franchise tag in Dallas, despite 78 catches, 800 yards, and 8 TDs last season. Another tag would cost $13.1M, which shouldn’t be considered out of the question for 2023. Schultz projects to a 4 year, $58M extension in our system. 4th-rounder Jake Ferguson projects to slot into the TE2 role, with 4 years, $4M ahead of him.

Mike Gesicki (Dolphins, 26)

Signed Thru: 2022
Guarantees Thru: 2022
Guarantee Remaining: $10.9M

Gesicki is a wide receiver dressed up like a TE for football season, but a projected reduced role in this new Dolphins’ offense has many wondering if he’s actually a late summer trade candidate. For now, he’s a 1 and done candidate in Miami on his signed franchise tag, carrying a 4 year, $57M projection in our system. Vet Durham Smythe was brought back on a 2 year, $7M ($3.5M guaranteed) deal to fill in behind him.

Hunter Henry (Patriots, 27)

Signed Thru: 2023
Guarantees Thru: 2022
Guarantee Remaining: $10M

Henry quietly caught 50 passes for 600 yards and 9 touchdowns last season, and with a wide receiver room that didn’t get markedly better this offseason, there’s no reason to believe he won’t factor in this manner again. If this becomes the case, look for New England to restructure 2023 into an extension that works better for both sides.

Noah Fant (Seahawks, 24)

Signed Thru: 2023
Guarantees Thru: 2023
Guarantee Remaining: $9M

The Seahawks exercised a $6.85M option in 2023 for Fant upon acquiring him from Denver, but a strong 2022 campaign should translate into a multi-year extension sooner rather than later. Fant carries a 4 year, $59.5M projection in our system currently. Behind him, Will Dissly throws his hat into the overpaid TE2 race, as the 26 year old scored a $10M guarantee this season, with a chance at $6M more next year.

Travis Kelce (Chiefs, 32)

Signed Thru: 2025
Guarantees Thru: 2022
Guarantee Remaining: $2M

Kelce’s deal has 4 years, $53M remaining on it, but is only structurally secure through 2022. If he has the year most expect him to have sans Tyreek Hill, ripping up the last 3 seasons on this contract and starting fresh could benefit both sides financially. Behind him, Blake Bell was brought back on a veteran minimum deal and former 5th rounder Noah Gray will compete for time.

Darren Waller (Raiders, 30)

Signed Thru: 2023
Guarantees Thru: N/A
Guarantee Remaining: $0

Waller has a hamstring and contract issue heading into 2022 - and both should be concerning. With 2 years, $13.8M non-guaranteed left on his deal, and a $13.9M valuation in our system, there’s a lot of progress to be made here financially. Will the Raiders give in? Is this a sneaky late summer trade possibility? Either way, Foster Moreau (1 year, $2.54M) & Nick Bowers (1 year, $825k) will be vaulted into bigger roles to start the season.

Dawson Knox (Bills, 25)

Signed Thru: 2022
Guarantees Thru: N/A
Guarantee Remaining: $0

Knox doubled his production in 2021, and has developed a strong relationship with QB1 Josh Allen for on and off the field. He’s a late summer extension candidate that will become a franchise tag candidate should a deal not be completed. Knox projects to a 4 year, $49M deal in our system currently. Behind him, Buffalo brought in O.J. Howard on a 1-year flier ($3.5M).

Rookie Pending

Kyle Pitts (Falcons, 21)

Signed Thru: 2024 (+ option)
Guarantees Thru: 2024
Guarantee Remaining: $11M

The Falcons have plenty of roster deficiencies to begin 2022, but freak weapon at TE isn’t one of them. Pitts was targeted 110 times last season, but with lesser options in the passing game, should see plenty more this time around. Veteran Anthony Firkser will begin the year as the TE2 in Atlanta.

Pat Freiermuth (Steelers, 24)

Signed Thru: 2024
Guarantees Thru: 2022
Guarantee Remaining: $934k

The #55 overall pick last year caught 60 passes and found the end zone 7 times in his rookie campaign. More consistent QB play should improve upon these numbers even more. 5th-rounder Zach Gentry is the early TE2 candidate in Pittsburgh, entering a contract year on his rookie deal.

Cole Kmet (Bears, 23)

Signed Thru: 2023
Guarantees Thru: N/A
Guarantee Remaining: $0M

After years of Jimmy Graham, the Bears will finally turn this thing over to Kmet, who showed plenty of signs he can be a true TE1 last season (60 catches). The Bears aren’t ready to win, but seeing a strong relationship between Justin Fields and Kmet form shouldn’t be out of the question for 2022. Behind him, vets Ryan Griffin & James O'Shaughnessy will battle for the TE2 gig on 1 year contracts.

Albert Okwuegbunam (Broncos, 24)

Signed Thru: 2023
Guarantees Thru: N/A
Guarantee Remaining: $0M

Okwuegbunam caught 33 balls in a limited role behind Noah Fant last season, but he’ll get the keys to the car with Russell Wilson for 2022. His 2 years, $1.9M is non-guaranteed through 2023. Behind him 3rd-rounder Greg Dulcich projects to win the TE2 spot, with 4 years, $5.2M ahead on his rookie contract.

Daniel Bellinger (Giants, 21)

Signed Thru: 2025
Guarantees Thru: 2022
Guarantee Remaining: $793k

This year’s 4th-round pick will be vaulted into immediate TE1 duties for Daniel Jones. He’s a pass-catch first type player, who may thrive in a dink and dunk type Giants offense that may very well be blown up after 2022. UDFA Chris Myarick is slated to add depth for NYG this season.

One & Done

Evan Engram (Jaguars, 27)

Signed Thru: 2022
Guarantees Thru: 2022
Guarantee Remaining: $8.25M

Engram joins the Jags following a mediocre showing with the Giants, but is being paid to break out under Doug Pederson’s new offense ($10M max). Jacksonville will run out veteran Dan Arnold in a 1 year, $2.5M deal & former 5th-rounder Luke Farrell (3 years, $2.7M) behind him this season.

Austin Hooper (Titans, 28)

Signed Thru: 2022
Guarantees Thru: 2022
Guarantee Remaining: $6M

Hooper joined the Titans after his release from Cleveland this past March. Can he be the right weapon to fill the shoes that Jonnu Smith left 2 years ago? He’s two seasons removed from 75 catches and 6 TDs, so there’s at least a glimmer of hope. Veteran Geoff Swaim scored a $3.4M guarantee on a 1 year contract to fill in behind Hooper this season.

Pharaoh Brown (Texans, 28)

Signed Thru: 2022
Guarantees Thru: 2022
Guarantee Remaining: $3M

A UDFA back in 2017, Brown is on his 3rd team, but finally gets a chance to be the #1 option at his position in 2022. 5th-rounder Brevin Jordan has 3 non-guaranteed years left on his deal, while new 5th-rounder Teagan Quitoriano is under contract through 2025. Houston appears to be band-aiding this position currently.

Logan Thomas (Commanders, 31)

Signed Thru: 2024
Guarantees Thru: 2022
Guarantee Remaining: $2.2M

A torn ACL derailed what was a really nice 25 or so game stretch for Thomas, who is looking to regain that production now with Carson Wentz at the helm. He’s on a one-and-done contract structurally, but holds decent financial value going forward if he can return to form. Former 4th-rounder John Bates figures to slot into the TE2 role in year two of his rookie contract.

Hayden Hurst (Bengals, 29)

Signed Thru: 2022
Guarantees Thru: 2022
Guarantee Remaining: $2M

Hurst was brought in to replace CJ Uzomah after two mediocre years with the Falcons. He’s got 60 catch potential, but in a loaded Bengals’ offense, may simply be a role player for 2022, making his $3.5M price about right. Drew Sample will slot into the TE2 role again in the final year of his rookie contract.

Robert Tonyan Jr. (Packers, 28)

Signed Thru: 2022
Guarantees Thru: 2022
Guarantee Remaining: $1M

Tonyan is on his way back from a torn ACL, but had a great rapport with Aaron Rodgers in 2020-21. Half of his 1 year contract is based on per-game active bonuses, but a healthy season could mean a small extension thereafter. Behind him, Marcedes Lewis is set to play out the final year of his contract on a $4M salary.

Cameron Brate (Buccaneers, 31)

Signed Thru: 2023
Guarantees Thru: N/A
Guarantee Remaining: $0

Brate signed a 2 year, $8M restructured contract to remain in Tampa Bay this year, and will likely share time quite a bit with newly signed vet Kyle Rudolph as well. Tom Brady still has plenty of mouths to feed on this offense, but with the exception of Chris Godwin - much of the contracts are in a one-and-done capacity.

Tyler Higbee (Rams, 29)

Signed Thru: 2023
Guarantees Thru: N/A
Guarantee Remaining: $0

Higbee is entering year 4 of a 5 year contract with the Rams, with 2 years, $12.8M non-guaranteed remaining. With 60+ catches and 5 touchdown grabs last season, it stands to reason that another impactful season would lead to a restructured extension next offseason. Former 4th-rounder Brycen Hopkins (2 years, $1.9M) and UDFA Roger Carter will compete in a depth role.

Irv Smith (Vikings, 24)

Signed Thru: 2022
Guarantees Thru: N/A
Guarantee Remaining: $0

The former #50 overall pick is entering a contract year in 2022, but also returning from recent thumb surgery. Many expect the Vikings to post big offensive numbers again, but just how effective Smith will be in a pass-catching role remains to be seen. Behind him, Johnny Mundt joins from the Rams on a small guarantee ($200k).

Adam Trautman (Saints, 25)

Signed Thru: 2023
Guarantees Thru: N/A
Guarantee Remaining: $0

Trautman is actually listed as the TE1 on early Saints depth charts, despite just 42 catches in two seasons. He’s a jack of all trades type player, so a non-guaranteed 2 year, $2M remaining contract is priced right.

Michael Harris' recent extension with the Braves is just the latest example of players locking themselves into fair market extensions early in their careers. If this trend is here to stay, we'll take a look at which players could be next.

Arizona Diamondbacks

Corbin Carroll (OF, 21)

Put Carroll in conversation of “players who could get a huge contract extension before ever taking a MLB at bat”. The 21 year old outfielder has 600 minor league plate appearances, and he’s gotten better at every level. The #2 prospect in baseball could be a September callup for the floundering Diamondbacks, but a full-time promotion seems imminent. Luis Robert’s 6 year, $50M deal in Chicago seems a likely starting point here, though Carroll may want a year in the big league’s to show his talents before signing anything

Don’t let the current MLB standings fool you. Corbin Carroll, Alek Thomas, and recently drafted Dru Jones are all legit positional talents, and 6 of Arizona’s Top 10 prospects are pitchers. This is a team prepping for a run.

Atlanta Braves

Vaughn Grissom (SS, 21)

Yea, he hit a towering home run over the green monster to start his MLB career, but we’re looking at the whole picture here. Dansby Swanson is a pending UFA (having one of the best seasons of his career), so there’s a logical hole at the position forthcoming, but Grissom might not be ready defensively to step into that big of a role. With the rest of the infield completely intact (Riley, Albies, Olson), Atlanta probably doesn’t want to take a chance at such an important position - but they might. 

Baltimore Orioles

Adley Rutschman (C, 24)

The Orioles have been one of the better stories in MLB this season, and Rutschman’s promotion is a big reason why. Rutschman is one of the best offensive catching prospects we’ve seen in years, and could be a future captain for this organization. Baltimore appears ready to take the next steps forward in their rebuild process, and are expected to be aggressive this winter. As we move closer towards an automated strike zone, forward thinking teams will place an emphasis on offensive catchers as their defensive contributions will be minimized.

The problem? MLB currently possesses 4 catchers with an average salary north of $10M. The average signed age of those 4 contracts: 30-years-old. Buster Posey’s 8 year $159M extension with the Giants at age 26 was the last young catcher contract - and it was signed 10 years ago. Baltimore probably wants to see a full 2023 season under his belt before any sort of offer is made.

Boston Red Sox

Rafael Devers (3B, 25)

Devers has been in the league for the better part of 5 seasons now, including back to back All Star selections, and two Top 12 MVP candidacies. The 25 year old projects to an 11 year, $368M contract in our system right now. Are the Red Sox willing to bite this bullet before Devers enters his final year of team control?

Cleveland Guardians

Andres Gimenez (SS, 23)

Acquired from the Mets in the Francisco Lindor trade, Gimenez has had a breakout campaign in 2022 (currently ranks as the 7th best value in the league according to our True Value Statistic). He becomes arbitration eligible for the first time next year, so there’s no rush to a new contract, but (despite a strong pipeline of middle infielders in the system), the Guardians have a track record of signing blossoming young talent to less than market extensions - so why wouldn’t they at least try here?

Detroit Tigers

Spencer Torkelson (1B, 22), Riley Greene (CF, 21)

With general manager Al Avila now out, the Tigers “process” appears to be at a standstill, despite big offseason contracts for Javy Baez & Eduardo Rodriguez. While the organization still possesses strong young position players like Greene, their arms (Matt Manning, Casey Mize) leave much to be desired.

Will the next front office look to trade a few of these bats in order to quickly fill these pitching holes? Or will they zag, and lock in these young position players, looking to solidify a core that can hopefully attract offseason talent to Detroit? Easier said than done.

Houston Astros

Kyle Tucker (OF, 25)

On pace for back to back 30 HR/90 RBI campaigns, Tucker isn’t just a complementary piece to Houston’s puzzle, he’s a core element. He’s team-controlled through 2025, which aligns with the expirations of both Jose Altuve and Alex Bregman’s contracts, but Tucker may be the centerpiece for Houston’s next generation. He projects to a 6 year, $180M contract currently.

Kansas City Royals

Bobby Witt Jr. (SS, 22)

Witt is the perfect candidate for an early extension, as he’s filling up the stat sheet (power, speed, etc..) despite battling injuries and a lackluster lineup around him. The Royals aren’t going to attract major free agents, and their payroll going forward is minimal at best. Locking in one of their own makes perfect sense, and an adjusted version of Wander Franco’s 11 year, $182M contract should be the floor.

Seattle Mariners

Julio Rodriguez (OF, 21)

The clock just started on J-Rod, and he’s already an All-Star selection and soon to be rookie of the year nomination deep. Will the Mariners follow the Padres’ lead with Fernando Tatis Jr. (bad timing), and build out a career long contract now before the going gets too good? FTJ was 21 when he signed his 14 year, $340M contract. J-Rod will be 22 this December. With legitimate 5-tool production already here, Seattle should be attempting to lock in this deal now. The per 162 game comparisons for these two players are extremely close, with Tatis Jr. projecting to produce slightly more power on average. An extension in the $340M ballpark makes sense.

The preseason is a great phase to see just how deep a team’s running back room is prior to the season. An already wildly unstable position can get even shakier when an undrafted free agent steps onto the field and proves he can hang. We’ve organized a few dozen notable running backs into financial tiers, providing analysis for each on where things may be headed in the coming months.

• MULTI-YEAR SECURITY
• JURY'S STILL OUT
• YEAR-TO-YEAR
• 2023 EXTENSION?
• EARLY RELEASES
• ONE & DONE

Multi-Year Security

James Conner (27, ARZ)

Contract Remaining: 3 years, $21M
Guarantee: $13.5M thru 2023
The #6 running back in 2021 according to PFF has a chance to be even more impactful with Chase Edmonds now in Miami. He’s a 200 rush attempt, 40 catch candidate every year.

Nick Chubb (26, CLE)

Contract Remaining: 3 years, $27.25M
Guarantee: $7M thru 2023
Chubb remains one of the most productive rushing backs in the game, despite a dropoff in his receiving numbers. His cap hit jumps form $5.2M this year to $14.85M next year - nothing a simple restructure can’t fix. 

Breece Hall (21, NYJ)

Contract Remaining: 4 years, $9M
Guarantee: $6.3M thru 2024
Hall will partner with Michael Carter as one of the better, young one-two punches in the game. The #36 selection out of Iowa State can do it all, and found the end zone weekly at the college level. 

Travis Etienne (23, JAX)

Contract Remaining: 3 years, $5.4M (+ option)
Guarantee: $5.4M thru 2024
Etienne’s return from injury is one of the more anticipated in the league this season. The 23 year old weapon is under team control through 2025, so he and Trevor Lawrence have plenty of time to figure this out.

Najee Harris (24, PIT)

Contract Remaining: 3 years, $5.5M (+ option)
Guarantee: $5.5M thru 2024
For the most part, Harris finished off 2021 as advertised, posting nearly 1,700 yards from scrimmage - including a whopping 74 receptions. With the Steelers’ QB position in flux, look for another heavy dose of Harris for a few more seasons.

Leonard Fournette (27, TB)

Contract Remaining: 3 years, $21M
Guarantee: $12M thru 2023
Fournette had offers elsewhere, but returned to the Bucs on a solid 2nd-tier free agent contract. He’s almost certain to see $14M from it over the next two seasons, while he looks to build on a 1,200 yards from scrimmage, 70 catch campaign last year.

Jury’s Still Out

Alvin Kamara (27, NO)

Contract Remaining: 4 years, $59.3M
Guarantee: $16.5M thru 2023
This one’s complicated, as Kamara is facing league suspension due to a battery charge. Delays to that hearing appear to be pushing things back a year, but if/when the suspension comes in, all future guarantees on this contract will void. For now though, Kamara is secure on 2 years, $22.5M.

Year to Year

Cordarrelle Patterson (31, ATL)

Contract Remaining: 2 years, $10.5M
Guarantee: $5M thru 2022
Patterson compiled 52 catches against 618 yards rushing last year, and with the QB situation in a bit of flux, should be asked to do much of the same in 2022. His non-guaranteed $4.25M for 2023 is very much a toss up though.

JK Dobbins (23, BAL)

Contract Remaining: 2 years, $2.4M
Guarantee: $0
Baltimore will slow play Dobbins back into the lineup this year, but there’s no reason to believe he won’t ramp back up into the versatile weapon he was drafted to be. It’s unlikely any type of early extension is coming though. 

Gus Edwards (27, BAL)

Contract Remaining: 2 years, $7.6M
Guarantee: $0
Edwards won’t be ready for the start of 2022 as he recovers from an ACL injury. He’s on a 1 year, $3.25M contract until further notice.

Christian McCaffrey (26, CAR)

Contract Remaining: 4 years, $44.8M
Guarantee: $8.1M thru 2022
McCaffrey’s deal offers a small out of the upcoming season, putting him on immediate notice. With the QB situation still in flux, it’s plausible that the Panthers keep him through 2023 ($12M), especially if he manages to remain healthy in 2022.

Joe Mixon (26, CIN)

Contract Remaining: 3 years, $29.1M
Guarantee: $0
Mixon was a big part of the Bengals’ surprise Super Bowl run (1,700 yards from scrimmage, 42 catches, 16 TDs). There’s no reason to believe he won’t be as big of a factor in 2022, which could lead to a restructured extension thereafter. He’s a $12.5M running back in our system right now.

Javonte Williams (22, DEN)

Contract Remaining: 3 years, $4.2M
Guarantee: $1M thru 2022
It was originally thought that Williams would be the workhouse in Denver this season, but the Broncos re-signed Melvin Gordon late in free agency, bundling up that 1-2 attack yet again. The future still lies with Williams, and he’ll have a chance to bust out in 2023, when he also becomes extension eligible.

Clyde Edwards-Helaire (23, KC)

Contract Remaining: 2 years, $3.5M (+option)
Guarantee: $1.6M thru 2022
CEH hasn’t lived up to the billing just yet, and the Chiefs have added more bodies to the RB room to try to shore up the position. It’s probably still his job to lose, but with the guaranteed portion of the contract falling off next March, there’s a lot riding on 2022.

Austin Ekeler (27, LAC)

Contract Remaining: 2 years, $11.25M
Guarantee: $1.25M thru 2022
Ekeler has 282 receptions in 5 seasons, including 70 last year. Toss in nearly 1,600 yards from scrimmage and he remains a vital weapon to Justin Herbert’s bigtime offense. The Chargers have added backs that could eventually replace him, at salaries of $5.5M & $5.75M through 2023, there’s a good chance he sees this contract out.

Isaiah Spiller (21, LAC)

Contract Remaining: 4 years, $4.3M
Guarantee: $736k thru 2022
The 4th round pick this past May should step right in as the complementary piece to Austin Ekeler, and early signs say he’s going to fit well. The bigger his role gets, the more value his $1.1M AAV will provide.

Cam Akers (23, LAR)

Contract Remaining: 2 years, $2.5M
Guarantee: $0
Akers has seen action in just 14 games across his first two seasons after the Rams selected him #52 overall back in 2020. Early projections say the Rams offense could include a lot more emphasis on the run game, so a breakout year - and possible extension discussions - could be in store for Akers. It’s a wait and see situation until then.

Chase Edmonds (26, MIA)

Contract Remaining: 2 years, $12.1M
Guarantee: $6.1M thru 2022
Edmonds will be asked to do a little of everything in Mike McDaniel’s creative offense, and he should respond nicely barring injury. This is a 1 year contract until it’s not though. 

Dalvin Cook (27, MIN)

Contract Remaining: 4 years, $45.9M
Guarantee: $8.4M thru 2022
Can Cook stay healthy enough to recreate the near 2,000 yards from scrimmage performance he posted in 2020? The Vikings have a chance to post huge offensive numbers collectively in 2022, and while Cook’s deal is year-to-year from here out, he’s as good as locked in as any. Keep in mind there’s a civil lawsuit for assault still looming in the next calendar year.

Michael Carter (23, NYJ)

Contract Remaining: 3 years, $2.8M
Guarantee: $0
Carter amassed 1,000 yards from scrimmage - including 36 receptions - in his inaugural season, and should pair up nicely with Breece Hall for an excellent running back committee. He’s year to year through 2024, and extension eligible after 2023.

Elijah Mitchell (24, SF)

Contract Remaining: 3 years, $2.8M
Guarantee: $0
Mitchell missed 6 weeks in 2021, and enters 2022 at less than full health as well. But health is likely SF’s only concern with him at this point, as the youngster posted 1,100 yards from scrimmage in his limited rookie campaign. The Niners are loaded with athletes at this position, so no one player may rise to huge production numbers, but then neither will their contracts as well.

Antonio Gibson (24, WAS)

Contract Remaining: 2 years, $2.3M
Guarantee: $0
Fumbles are officially a problem here, and they appear to be continuing early on in the 2022 offseason. J.D. McKissic was brought back to play robin in this running game, but there’s a very real world where Brian Robinson the #98 selection this past May, could supplant Gibson from his RB1 role sooner rather than later. 

2023 Extension Coming?

Tony Pollard (25, DAL)

Contract Remaining: 1 year, $965k
Guarantee: $0
Pollard is ready to take over the Cowboys’ rushing game, but Ezekiel Elliott’s $12M+ salary is still standing in his way. Will Dallas extend Pollard as the back of their future before moving on from Elliott next March? He’s a $6M running back as a veritable RB2, but that price will likely need to approach $8M as a full-time starter. 

D'Andre Swift (23, DET)

Contract Remaining: 2 years, $3M
Guarantee: $1.3M
Swift caught 62 balls out of the backfield in 2021, proving he’s truly one of the better versatile backs in the game. The Lions made big strides this offseason, and are many experts pick to be the surprise NFC team in 2022. Another strong campaign could mean an extension next March for Swift, who currently projects to a $10.2M contract in our system.

A.J. Dillon (24, GB)

Contract Remaining: 2 years, $2.4M
Guarantee: $0
Dillon is ready to bust out, but he’ll share the workload with Aaron Jones in 2022 once again. With the latter likely falling off of the roster next spring, Dillon could very well gather a new contract before he’s officially given the RB1 keys. He projects to an $8M per year extension currently.It should be noted though that Aaron Jones was let to play out his entire rookie contract, and was extended at the final hour before hitting free agency

Jonathan Taylor (23, IND)

Contract Remaining: 2 years, $3M
Guarantee: $0
Taylor becomes extension eligible after 2022, and if this campaign is anything like last year’s, the Colts may have no choice. The 23-year-old already projects to a 4 year, $65M deal.

James Robinson (24, JAX)

Contract Remaining: 1 year, $895,000
Guarantee: $0
Robinson played well in Etienne’s absence, before an injury of his own slowed his 2021 campaign. His usage alongside Etienne will be something to watch, but with restricted free agency ahead of him next March, it’s safe to assume he’ll stick for a bit. 

Derrick Henry (28, TEN)

Contract Remaining: 2 years, $24.5M
Guarantee: $0
We’re not referencing many 28 year olds on this list - but then again there aren’t many Derrick Henry’s in the world to reference. A foot injury limited his 2021 to just 8 games - 8 games where he averaged 136 yards from scrimmage. If he stays on this course in 2022, a restructured extension is likely in the cards.

Early Releases

Ezekiel Elliott (27, DAL)

Contract Remaining: 5 years, $65.3M
Guarantee: $12.4M thru 2022
Zeke’s been hearing Tony Pollard’s footsteps behind him for the better part of two years now, and that won’t stop in 2022. Elliott is playing on a 1 year, $12.4M, as the remaining 4 years are about as fluffy as NFL contracts get. 

Aaron Jones (27, GB)

Contract Remaining: 3 years, $33.75M
Guarantee: $3.75M thru 2022
Jones’ contract was structured in a pay-as-you-go manner, giving the Packers an out after every season. The almost 28 year old is likely to give way to AJ Dillon after the 2022 season, as his cap hit rises to $20M in 2023.

Nyheim Hines (25, IND)

Contract Remaining: 3 year, $13.9M
Guarantee: $3.3M thru 2022
With the offense now running through Taylor, Hines’ production took a significant hit in 2021. His versatility out of the backfield still makes him valuable, but he’s playing on a 1 year, $3.64M contract for all intents and purposes.

J.D. McKissic (28, WAS)

Contract Remaining: 2 years, $7M
Guarantee: $3.6M thru 2022
McKissic spurred the Bills to return to his role in Washington, where he saw action in just 11 games last season. He’s grabbed 80 receptions in a season not too long ago, and could be seeking an effort like that again in 2022. It’s a 1 year, $4M contract until it’s not.

One & Done?

Devin Singletary (24, BUF)

Contract Remaining: 1 year, $2.54M
Guarantee: $0
Singletary broke out slightly last year, compiling 870 yards on the ground, and 40 catches through the air. He’s a solid option for Allen & the Bills, but he’s one of many at this point. If James Cook shows any kind of promise in his rookie campaign, looking for Singletary to hit the open market next March.

David Montgomery (25, CHI)

Contract Remaining: 1 year, $2.79M
Guarantee: $0
Montgomery and the Bears haven’t offered much publicly about a contract extension, leaving some to believe that the running back isn’t interested in sticking around. He’s doubled his production as a pass catcher in each of the past two seasons, making him a viable option on an expiring contract - at just 25 years old. He’ll soon be the next $12M+ running back (somewhere).

Kareem Hunt (27, CLE)

Contract Remaining: 1 year, $6.25M
Guarantee: $1.5M
Hunt wants a bigger role, and a multi-year guarantee, something the Browns don’t appear willing to offer him. It may be a huge year for the running backs in Cleveland, which should act as a nice showcase for Hunt as he approaches free agency (unless the Browns slap a tag on him next February).

Jamaal Williams (27, DET)

Contract Remaining: 1 year, $4M
Guarantee: $1M
Williams is an underrated RB2, compiling 750 yards from scrimmage last season in Detroit. Does another 2 year, $6M extension keep him in the fold, or will the Lions try to get younger here?

Marlon Mack (26, HOU)

Contract Remaining: 1 year, $2M
Guarantee: $250,000
Mack stands to lead a very heavy RBBC system in Houston. The Texans currently have 7 running backs rostered at a combined cap hit of $8.7M.

Josh Jacobs (24, LV)

Contract Remaining: 1 year, $2.1M
Guarantee: $2.1M
Jacobs’ role has been in question all offseason, and his declined 5th-year option certainly didn’t help. Vegas added Brandon Bolden, and drafted two RBs this past May, so it stands to reason that outside of a huge campaign, it’s a 1 and done situation for Jacobs.

Kenyan Drake (28, LV)

Contract Remaining: 1 year $8.25M
Guarantee: $8M
Drake’s 2021 was limited to 12 games due to injury, but he still managed to catch 30 balls and garner 550 yards from scrimmage in that time. His versatility will be vital to what is now quite a potent Vegas offense, but contractually he’s a 1 and done.

Darrell Henderson (24, LAR)

Contract Remaining: 1 year, $1M
Guarantee: $0
He’s found himself on the IR each of the past two seasons, but also showed a good deal of potential in an expanded role last season. With Cam Akers back in the fold, Henderson’s role in a contract year is certain to be reduced.

Damien Harris (25, NE)

Contract Remaining: 1 year, $1.1M
Guarantee: $0
Harris nearly rushed for 1,000 yards last year, so there’s RB1 capability. But with Rhamondre Stevenson drafted in 2021, & Pierre Strong taken this past May, it feels like the Patriots are poised to just churn and burn the RB position for the foreseeable future.

Saquon Barkley (25, NYG)

Contract Remaining: 1 year, $7.2M
Guarantee: $7.2M
When he’s healthy, he’s a 1,000 yards rushing, 50 receptions type running back. Does that warrant a #2 overall draft selection? No. But it may warrant a non-max ($6M-$7M) extension or free agent contract. It’s impossible to imagine anything happening early here, so this is certainly a discussion for February.

Miles Sanders (25, PHI)

Contract Remaining: 1 year, $1.2M
Guarantee: $0
Sanders has seen just 12 games of action in each of the last two seasons, and didn’t find the endzone at all last year, but he’s a 5+ yard per attempt rusher with the ability to catch a few balls a game as needed. Free Agency is more likely than an extension at this point.

Rashaad Penny (26, SEA)

Contract Remaining: 1 year, $5.75M
Guarantee: $5M
The Seahawks brought Penny back on a 1 year deal both to reward his (finally) breakout campaign in 2021, and fill the void that Chris Carson’s neck injury brought. Penny will get another chance to lead this group in 2022, but will almost certainly make way for Kenneth Walker thereafter.

As the 2022 NFL regular season approaches, we'll push ahead to players from each position who are positioning themselves for big paydays in the coming months.

Quarterback: Joe Burrow (CIN, $43.1M)

NCAA National Championship -> Torn ACL -> Super Bowl finalist -> #1 rated PFF QB. It’s been a wild few years for Burrow, but all signs point to him being this generation’s elite winner, even if his stats may lag behind the likes of a Herbert or Mahomes. He becomes extension eligible for the first time after 2022, and Kyler Murray’s $104M guaranteed at signing, $160M practically speaking, becomes his floor.Honorable Mention: Justin Herbert (LAC, $43M), Lamar Jackson (BAL, $44M)

Running Back: Tony Pollard (DAL, $6.3M)

Pollard broke out in 2021, leaving many to wonder if Dallas would simply move away from Ezekiel Elliott before the 2022 campaign. Zeke’s contract made that difficult, so it’ll be another strong one-two punch season for the Cowboys’ running game. Pollard will play out an expiring contract, while Elliott’s deal contains no more future guaranteed salary. Honorable Mention: Damien Harris (NE, $5.8M), D’Ernest Johnson (CLE, $2.5M)

Wide Receiver: Justin Jefferson (MIN, $26M)

196 catches, 3,000+ yards, and 17 TDs in 2 seasons, including 91 yards per game, and 10 yards per grab. Not a bad start to an NFL career. Kevin O’Connell’s offense should continue that trend, and Jefferson will become extension eligible after the upcoming season. Honorable Mention: CeeDee Lamb (DAL, $16.5M), Tee Higgins (CIN, $18M)

Tight End: Dawson Knox (BUF, $12.3M)

Knox broke out last year after a sluggish start in Buffalo. He’s extension eligible right now, but appears poised for a franchise tag next February at this stage. Honorable Mention: T.J. Hockenson (DET, $13.5M), Darren Waller (LV, $14M)

Offensive Tackle: Elgton Jenkins (GB, $14M)

Jenkins filled in at left tackle for the injured David Bakhtiari, and could take that role on full-time after the 2022 season. Unfortunately, he’s also recovering from a torn ACL as he enters his expiring contract year. Honorable Mention: Donovan Smith (TB, $19.3M), Andrew Thomas (NYG, $16.3M)

Offensive Guard: Quenton Nelson (IND, $17.2M)

Nelson and the Colts have been in contract discussions for quite some time, but still seem far apart in their negotiations. It’s safe to assume that Nelson has $20M per year on his brain, and it’s hard to argue that figure all things considered. $50M guaranteed should be the first number he considers though. Honorable Mention: Wes Schweitzer (WAS, $13.8M), Chris Lindstrom (ATL, $10.3M)

Offensive Center: Andre James (LV, $12M)

With Derek Carr now re-upped long term, and left tackle Kolton Miller paid handsomely as well, keeping a recently blossoming Andre James in the fold past 2022 makes sense as well. Honorable Mention: Matt Hennessy (ATL, $9.6M), Lloyd Cushenberry (DEN, $7M)

Defensive Tackle: Jeffery Simmons (TEN, $23.6M)

The advanced stats have never treated Simmons well, but he’s always comp’ed closely with DeForest Buckner (who signed a $21M per year deal 2 ½ years ago). With Aaron Donald now at the $30M per year/$95M guaranteed mark, it’s safe to assume that $25M/$75M is within reach here. Honorable Mention: Chris Jones (KC, $21.1M), Christian Wilkins (MIA, $16.7M)

Edge Defender: Nick Bosa (SF, $27.8M)

Bosa has been one of the most consistent edge rushers in the game (when healthy), compiling production that falls in just slightly behind that of T.J. Watt’s ($28M per year, $80M guaranteed). That puts his 4 year, $111M projection about where it belongs. Honorable Mention: Rashan Gary (GB, $20.5M), Marcus Davenport (NO, $23.2M)

Linebacker: Roquan Smith (CHI, $17.6M)

The Bears made Smith a back-loaded, low guarantee offer this summer that was not only rejected, but has prompted a trade request. The off-ball linebacker market now sits at $19.7M per year, $52.5M guaranteed. Most expect Smith to eclipse this (even if the numbers don’t quite project him there yet). Honorable Mention: Jordyn Brooks (SEA, $12.5M), Tremaine Edmunds (BUF, $14.2M)

Cornerback: A.J. Terrell (ATL, $20.8M)

Terrell has quietly put together an impressive resume for a bad Falcons team. He’s a cornerstone piece to keep and build around, but it won’t be cheap. Jaire Alexander’s $21M per year and Denzel Ward’s $71.25M guaranteed are the new bars to eclipse. Honorable Mention: Rock Ya-Sin (LV, $10.7M), Kenny Moore (IND, $10M)

Safety: Derwin James (LAC, $16.5M)

James has been holding out much of the summer as he negotiates his next contract in LA. The safety market has pushed up nicely this summer, thanks to deals for Jamal Adams, Minkah Fitzpatrick, and Marcus Williams. James belongs squarely in this mix, with $18.4M per year, $38M guaranteed as the current ceiling. Honorable Mention: Antoine Winfield Jr. (TB, $16.3M), Amani Hooker (TEN, $16.7M)

Special Teams: Matt Gay (K, LAR, $5M)

While consistent (98% PAT, 94% FG), Gay probably doesn’t belong in the Justin Tucker/Harrison Butker conversation just yet. All said though, a $5M per year $12M+ guaranteed extension should be in the cards. Honorable Mention: Greg Joseph (K, MIN, $4.75M), Deonte Harty (KR, $10M)

Our weekly series of “The next $50M Wide Receiver” continues, this time with Deebo Samuel, whose 3 year, $71.55M extension with the 49ers includes $41M fully guaranteed at signing. Our deep dive into the rest of the numbers continues here.

The $23.85M Average Salary

The new money average salary chimes in just above Terry McLaurin’s recent deal ($22.7M), and just under DK Metcalf’s ($24M).

Overall, the AAV is good enough for 8th among active wide receivers, and soon to be 1st on the 49ers (once the Garoppolo situation flushes out).

The $58.1M Guaranteed

But who’s counting average salaries anyway. The number that matters most at the onset of this contract is the $58.1M all of which becomes fully guaranteed by April 1st, 2023.

At the time of signing (+ a few days later), $41M of the contract fully locks in, including Deebo’s signing bonus, 2022 salary, 2023 salary, 2023 per game active bonus, 2023 workout bonus, a 2023 option bonus, and $4.555M of 2024 salary.

In other words, he’s good for a while. None of the $17.5M compensation for 2025 comes with an early vesting guarantee trigger, making it a veritable option year for the contract.

Deebo’s $41M guaranteed at signing ranks 5th among WR deals, while the $58.1M of practical guarantees chimes in 9th.

The Cash Flow

The $24.035M signing bonus + minimum $965,000 salary in 2022 means $25M of cash for the upcoming season. This ranks 7th among active wide receiver contracts (Metcalf is 1st with $31M).

From there, Samuel will see $36.2M in two seasons (16th), and $58.1M through three seasons (8th). 

The Cap Flow

Samuel’s 2022 cap hit rises from $5.1M to $6.6M (+$1.5M). His 2023 hit remains extremely team friendly ($8.68M) before things get a little squirrely. Two void years in 2026-2027 help keep things somewhat tamer.

2022: $6.6M
2023: $8.6M
2024: $28.5M
2025: $24.2M
2026: $8.49M (dead cap)

Deebo’s $20.9M base salary in 2024 is an obvious restructure candidate, a move that would jack up the 2025 hit, and the voidable dead cap as well.

Rushing Incentives

Deebo wasn’t lying. Early in the offseason, reports swirled that Samuel was unhappy with his role as a gadget offensive weapon, alluding the fact that he wanted to limit his rushing attempts in the 49ers offense.

He backed that sentiment up contractually, building in not-likely-to-be-earned incentives tied to Rushing Yards and Rushing Touchdowns.

2023-25 Annual Incentives (max $650,000)
$650,000 for 380+ Rush yards
$150,000 for 3 Rush TDs

In other words, the Niners can choose to use him this way - but it’ll cost them.

Concluding Thoughts

This is in no way a top of the market wide receiver contract, but it’s perfectly plausible that Deebo left a little cash on the table in order to guarantee his freedom before age 30. The deal mimics A.J. Brown’s contract nicely, including guaranteed per game active and workout bonuses splattered all over each year following the 2022 season.

With Top 10 guarantees, and Top 10 3-year cash payouts, there’s simply not much to complain about from the player’s perspective. Toss in the unique rushing incentives, and Deebo may become a $24.5M per year player for much of this contract.

With the 2022 MLB trade deadline about 100 hours away, we’ll take a quick look at notable candidates rumored to be on the move, including the cost to acquire them on August 2nd.

Starting Pitchers

Carlos Rodon (SP, 29, SF)
Contract Status: 2023 Player Option ($22.5M)
Deadline Salary: $7.56M

Noah Syndergaard (SP, 29, LAA)
Contract Status: Pending UFA
Deadline Salary: $7.38M

Nathan Eovaldi (SP, 32, BOS)
Contract Status: Pending UFA
Deadline Salary: $5.97M

Jake Odorizzi (SP, 32, HOU)
Contract Status: 2023 Player Option ($6.5M)
Deadline Salary: $2.81M

Luis Castillo (SP, 29, CIN)
Contract Status: Arbitration thru 2023
Deadline Salary: $2.58M

Michael Lorenzen (SP, 30, LAA)
Contract Status: Pending UFA
Deadline Salary: $2.37M

Shohei Ohtani (SP/DH, 27, LAA)
Contract Status: Arbitration thru 2024
Deadline Salary: $1.93M

Tyler Mahle (SP, 27, CIN)
Contract Status: Arbitration thru 2023
Deadline Salary: $1.82M

Frankie Montas (SP, 29, OAK)
Contract Status: Arbitration thru 2023
Deadline Salary: $1.76M

Michael Fulmer (SP, 29, DET)
Contract Status: Pending UFA
Deadline Salary: $1.74M

Drew Smyly (SP, 33, CHC)
Contract Status: Club Option thru 2023
Deadline Salary: $1.49M

Pablo Lopez (SP, 26, MIA)
Contract Status: Arbitration thru 2024
Deadline Salary: $861k

Jose Quintana (SP, 33, PIT)
Contract Status: Pending UFA
Deadline Salary: $703k

Jose Urquidy (SP, 27, HOU)
Contract Status: Arbitration thru 2025
Deadline Salary: $263k

Paul Blackburn (SP, 28, OAK)
Contract Status: Arbitration thru 2025
Deadline Salary: $249k

Relief Pitchers

Josh Hader (RP, 28, MIL)
Contract Status: Arbitration thru 2023
Deadline Salary: $3.86M

Andrew Chafin (RP, 32, DET)
Contract Status: Player Option thru 2023
Deadline Salary: $2.1M

Daniel Bard (RP, 37, COL)
Contract Status: Pending UFA
Deadline Salary: $1.54M

David Robertson (RP, 37, CHC)
Contract Status: Pending UFA
Deadline Salary: $1.23M

Matthew Strahm (RP, 30, BOS)
Contract Status: Pending UFA
Deadline Salary: $1.05M

Dylan Floro (RP, 31, MIA)
Contract Status: Arbitration thru 2023
Deadline Salary: $1.05M

Anthony Bass (RP, 34, MIA)
Contract Status: 2023 Club Option ($3M)
Deadline Salary: $1.05M

Jorge Lopez (RP, 29, BAL)
Contract Status: Arbitration thru 2024
Deadline Salary: $527k

Tanner Scott (RP, 27, MIA)
Contract Status: Arbitration thru 2024
Deadline Salary: $369k

Gregory Soto (RP, 27, DET)
Contract Status: Arbitration thru 2025
Deadline Salary: $254k

Paolo Espino (RP, 35, WSH)
Contract Status: Team Control thru 2026
Deadline Salary: $251k

David Bednar (RP, 27, PIT)
Contract Status: Team Control thru 2026
Deadline Salary: $251k

Steven Okert (RP, 30, MIA)
Contract Status: Team Control thru 2026
Deadline Salary: $249k

Catchers

Willson Contreras (C, 30, CHC)
Contract Status: Pending UFA
Deadline Salary: $3.38M

Christian Vazquez (C, 31, BOS)
Contract Status: Pending UFA
Deadline Salary: $2.46M

Sean Murphy (C, 27, OAK)
Contract Status: Arbitration thru 2025
Deadline Salary: $255k

1st Basemen

Josh Bell (1B, 29, WSH)
Contract Status: Pending UFA
Deadline Salary: $3.51M

Trey Mancini (1B/OF, 30, BAL)
Contract Status: Mutual option thru 2023
Deadline Salary: $2.63M

C.J. Cron (1B, 32, COL)
Contract Status: Signed thru 2023 ($7.25M)
Deadline Salary: $2.54M

Dominic Smith (1B/OF, 27, NYM)
Contract Status: Arbitration thru 2024
Deadline Salary: $1.38M

Ji-Man Choi (1B, 31, TB)
Contract Status: Arbitration thru 2023
Deadline Salary: $1.12M

Christian Walker (1B, 31, ARZ)
Contract Status: Arbitration thru 2024
Deadline Salary: $914k

Middle Infielders

Whit Merrifield (2B, 33, KC)
Contract Status: Signed thru 2023 ($6.75M)
Deadline Salary: $2.46M

Jose Iglesias (SS, 32, COL)
Contract Status: Pending UFA
Deadline Salary: $1.75M

Donovan Solano (2B, 34, CIN)
Contract Status: Pending UFA
Deadline Salary: $1.58M

Cesar Hernandez (2B, 32, WSH)
Contract Status: Pending UFA
Deadline Salary: $1.4M

Andrelton Simmons (SS, 32, CHC)
Contract Status: Pending UFA
Deadline Salary: $1.4M

3rd Basemen

J.D. Davis (3B, 29, NYM)
Contract Status: Arbitration thru 2024
Deadline Salary: $970k

Brandon Drury (3B, 29, CIN)
Contract Status: Pending UFA
Deadline Salary: $597k

Outfielders

Juan Soto (OF, 23, WSH)
Contract Status: Arbitration thru 2024
Deadline Salary: $6M

Joey Gallo (OF, 28, NYY)
Contract Status: Pending UFA
Deadline Salary: $3.61M

David Peralta (OF, 34, ARZ)
Contract Status: Pending UFA
Deadline Salary: $2.81M

Ian Happ (OF, 27, CHC)
Contract Status: Arbitration thru 2023
Deadline Salary: $2.4M

Bryan Reynolds (OF, 27, PIT)
Contract Status: Arbitration thru 2025
Deadline Salary: $2.37M

Tommy Pham (OF, 34, CIN)
Contract Status: 2023 Mutual Option ($6M)
Deadline Salary: $2.1M

Robbie Grossman (OF, 32, DET)
Contract Status: Pending UFA
Deadline Salary: $1.75M

Michael Taylor (OF, 31, KC)
Contract Status: Signed thru 2023 ($4.5M)
Deadline Salary: $1.58M

Ramon Laureano (OF, 27, OAK)
Contract Status: Arbitration thru 2024
Deadline Salary: $861k

Jose Siri (OF, 26, HOU)
Contract Status: Team Control thru 2027
Deadline Salary: $247k

Designated Hitters

Nelson Cruz (DH, 41, WSH)
Contract Status: Mutual Option thru 2023
Deadline Salary: $4.2M

J.D. Martinez (DH, 34, BOS)
Contract Status: Pending UFA
Deadline Salary: $6.8M

Do you think we missed someone? Hit us up @spotrac with suggestions!

DK Metcalf became the latest wide receiver to grab the bag this NFL offseason, locking in a 3 year, $72M extension with the Seattle Seahawks. The deal runs through the 2025, or Metcalf’s age 28 season, putting him in line for at least one more shot at a major payday.

The $24M Average Salary

The new money average annual salary ties Stefon Diggs for 6th among wide receiver contracts, but ranks first among Seahawks by a healthy margin (Jamal Adams, $17.6M).

Metcalf becomes the 10th new member of the $20M+ club this offseason.

The Cash Flow

A record-setting $30M signing bonus hands DK $31M cash in Year 1 of this contract, the most in NFL history.

1-Year Cash: $31M (1st)
2-Year Cash: $45.2M (5th)
3-Year Cash: $58.2M (8th)
4-Year Cash: $76.2M (7th)

The Cap Flow

Seattle’s traditional “double-bonus” structure means this deal is already loaded with dead cap. The Seahawks also opted against adding void years (for now), so the signing bonus only prorates over 4 years, while the 2023 option bonus only spreads over 3.

These bonuses + healthy base salaries make up the entire contract. There are no workout payments, no per game active bonuses, not even an early March roster bonus built in.

2022: $8.8M (+$4.5M versus rookie contract)
2023: $13.7M ($6M less than a projected tag)
2024: $24.5M
2025: $29.5M

The Guarantee Structure

Also a Seattle tradition, Metcalf’s contract contains no full guarantees past the first year of the deal. The $31M guaranteed at signing is comprised of his $30M signing bonus, and $1M 2022 base salary.

If he’s on the roster the 5th league day of 2023, another $14.2M locks in in the form of a $2.2M base salary, & $12M option bonus.

If he’s on the roster the 5th league day of 2024, another $13M of base salary becomes fully guaranteed.

So for practical purposes, this is a 3 year, $58.2M contract, with a 1 year, $18M “option” thereafter. This $58.2M is all guaranteed for injury at the time of signing.

Secret Agent

Metcalf’s deal It becomes the 3rd high impact, 3-year, simple structure WR contract from agent Tory Dandy this offseason (Chris Godwin, Mike Williams). Dandy also represents A.J. Brown, who wound up with 4 new years in Philly, as well as  Marquise Brown/Deebo Samuel - who are certain to be next in this conversation.

Concluding Thoughts

This is business as usual for Seattle, but its risky business right now as well. The Seahawks aren’t exactly in a prime window of contention post the loss of QB Russell Wilson amongst others.

It’s certainly plausible that Metcalf becomes impatient with a floundering franchise over the next few seasons, thus seeking bluer skies. However, the double bonus structure in this deal means that Seattle will be taking on extremely high dead cap numbers should they move on (trade or release).

A trade at the onset of the 2024 league year, for instance, would mean $23M of dead cap for the Seahawks (just $1.5M of cap savings). Will this matter to a bad team with no highly paid QB on the roster? Not much, but it’s still of note at the time of this signing.

From Metcalf’s standpoint this is an outstanding contract based on the short term, and stable 3 year guarantee structure. Metcalf will be 28 if he’s extended after 3 seasons, just barely 29 if he plays this entire contract out. Either way, he should have no trouble locking into a new mega deal prior to age 30.

With the trade deadline upon us, and the second half of the MLB season underway, our focus turns to players who will face contract option decisions in the next few months.

Related Links
2023 Option Tracker | 2023 Free Agents

Arizona Diamondbacks

Ian Kennedy (RP, 37)
$4M Club Option ($250,000 buyout)
A leg injury puts the brakes on a potential deadline move, but there’s still a chance the Diamondbacks exercise Kennedy at a $4M clip for 2023 ($250,000 buyout otherwise). He’s a steady arm out of the pen, and should offer midseason trade value on an expiring contract.

Zach Davies (SP, 29)
$1.5M Mutual Option ($250,000 buyout)
Davies was operating a sub 4 ERA in 15 starts before a shoulder injury shelved him indefinitely. He’ll likely be the side to opt out of $1.5M next year in favor of a multi-year guarantee. Especially as he approaches 30 years of age.

Atlanta Braves

Charlie Morton (SP, 38)
$20M club option (no buyout)
Morton hasn’t been able to recreate a stellar 2021 this season, giving up almost as many home runs at the midway point than he did all of last year. It seems likely that the Braves decline the $20M guarantee, especially with no buyout, and bring him back a little cheaper in more of an innings-eater role.

Will Smith (RP, 33)
$13M club option ($1M buyout)
Despite a 37 save 2021, Smith has been shaky in a combination closer/setup role this season. With the walks and runs way up, he’s no longer a sure bet reliable option in the backend of the pen. Atlanta will likely punt on the $13M salary in favor of a $1M buyout.

Baltimore Orioles

Jordan Lyles (SP, 31)
$11M club option ($1M buyout)
The ERA (4.77) and WHIP (1.4) certainly aren’t screaming reliable arm, but Lyles has been a must have innings eater for an Orioles team trying to surface for the first time in years. With that said, a raise to double his current salary ($5.5M) next season probably doesn’t make sense. He’s also a fringe trade candidate this deadline.

Boston Red Sox

Chris Sale (SP, 33)
2 year, $55M player option
Sale pitched 0 innings in 2020, 42 in 2021, and 5 this season before being struck by a ball that sent him back to the IL. In other words, he’s not opting out of a 2 year, $55M guarantee ahead of him, with a $20M vesting option possible in 2024. Barring a massive turnaround in 2023, this will go down as one of the more unfortunate blockbuster busts in MLB history.

Xander Bogaerts (SS, 29)
4 year, $80M player option
Bogaerts is opting out. Boston is too good this year to deal him prior to the deadline, so they’ll be dealing with 29 other teams to try and woo him back this winter. The good news? Trevor Story and Jeter Downs are already rostered for the foreseeable future. Bogaerts projects to a 6 year, $184M contract in our system. 

James Paxton (SP, 33)
$13M club option / $4M player option
Paxton was signed knowing he wouldn’t take the mound until around the All-Star break (Tommy John). It’s looking like August now, putting the future of his contract in question. He’ll need to produce for a few months to get Boston even considering picking up the $13M option. If they don’t, Paxton will have the chance to play on a $4M salary with the Red Sox in 2023, or opt-out, hit free agency, and bet on himself with a whole new contract.

Hirokazu Sawamira (RP, 34)
$3M club option ($1M buyout)
The numbers this year look identical to what they were last year. Sawamira is a serviceable, reliable middle inning option. This should be an easy exercise for Boston.

Chicago Cubs

Drew Smyly (SP, 33)
TBD Mutual Option ($1M buyout)
Smyly isn’t much more than an innings eater at this point, and while we don’t know the exact value of his mutual option, if it’s anywhere near the $5M mark, it’s probably going to be too rich for the Cubs’ in 2023. A deadline trade could change this.

Mychal Givens (RP, 32)
TBD Mutual Option
Givens has been good in a limited role this year, posting a career best ERA (2.87) at the time of this piece. Even if the Cubs opt-in, there’s a chance Givens takes himself to the open market for brighter skies.

Chicago White Sox

A.J. Pollock (OF, 34)
$10M player option ($5M buyout)
Pollock is on pace for 530 plate appearances, which will increase the option value to $13M. With injuries and inconsistent play now a part of his life, it’s tough to imagine him punting on this kind of 1 year salary, unless he’s assured a multi-year guarantee on the open market.

Tim Anderson (SS, 29)
$12.5M club option ($1M buyout)
The White Sox will exercise this as quickly as possible.

Josh Harrison (2B, 35)
$5.5M club option ($1.5M buyout)
Harrison is on pace for 475 plate appearances this season, which will increase the option value to $5.75M. He’s not much more than a platoon player at this stage, so a near $6M salary might be too rich to stick on.

Cincinnati Reds

Mike Minor (SP, 34)
$13M mutual option
This salary converted from a team option to a mutual one per the trade from KC. The Royals have also agreed to cover the $1M buyout attached to it. The 6.65 ERA & 1.6 WHIP tend to paint the picture of where this is going from the Reds’ standpoint. 

Tommy Pham (OF, 34)
$6M mutual option ($1.5M buyout)
Pham’s on pace for 20 HRs, 70 RBIs, so he’s still a serviceable MLB starter. It stands to reason that he’ll take the $1.5M buyout, hit the open market, and try to find a multi-year guarantee.

Cleveland Guardians

Bryan Shaw (RP, 34)
$4M club option (no buyout)
This option will probably look more like $5M after Shaw’s appearance incentives kick in. Shaw posted a 3.49 ERA and nearly a strikeout per inning in 81 appearances last season, but those numbers are much worse thus far in 2022 (5.29 ERA, .82 K/IP). Cleveland probably punts on this salary.

Colorado Rockies

Charlie Blackmon (OF, 36)
$10M player option
The option should increase to $18M based on plate appearances over the past few seasons, which should make it an absolute no-brainer for Blackmon to play on. He’s having a solid 2022 campaign - but not an $18M one.

Scott Oberg (RP, 32)
$8M club option
Elbow injuries have shelved Oberg for 3 seasons. There’s not a chance the Rockies exercise the $8M.

Detroit Tigers

Andrew Chafin (RP, 32)
$6.5M player option
Chafin is a legit trade candidate heading into August which could change the landscape of his future on this contract. If he’s traded to a contender, sticking around there for another year might make sense. Otherwise, he’s certainly performed himself into a multi-year guarantee.

Houston Astros

Justin Verlander (SP, 39)
$25M player option (conditional)
Verlander is 14 innings pitched away from vesting the $25M option for the 2023 season. He’s 13-3 with 117 strikeouts and a 1.86 ERA in 18 starts this year thus far. Will the then 40 year old future Hall of Famer opt out for a multi-year guarantee? There’s at least an argument to be made for it.

Los Angeles Dodgers

Justin Turner (3B, 37)
$16M club option ($2M buyout)
While the consistent power numbers are way down, Turner’s overall resume is starting to look like it does on an annual basis. He has 22 doubles through 85 games, on pace for a career high there by quite a bit, and the RBI numbers should be approaching 90 yet again. With that said, the Dodgers are going to have to reduce payroll at some point. $16M for 38 year old Turner might be a breaking point.

Max Muncy (1B, 31)
$13M club option ($1.5M buyout)
Muncy holds 9 HRs, 9 doubles, and a .159 batting average at the time of this piece. It’s tough to imagine the Dodgers handing him a raise next year.

Daniel Hudson (RP, 35)
$6.5M club option ($1M buyout)
A torn ACL injury cut Hudson’s season off at 25 appearances, but he was one of LA’s most reliable relievers at the time. The timetable for him to return probably doesn’t allow this option to be exercised, but his performance on the mound would have.

Danny Duffy (SP, 33)
$7M club option
He’s yet to throw a pitch for the Dodgers (hand injury), but is slated to make an August return to the mound. If he’s a factor down the stretch and into the postseason, there’s a world with $7M for a spot starter/middle reliever makes sense.

Hanser Alberto (2B, 29)
$2M club option ($250k buyout)
Alberto is a platoon infield utility player with a below average bat. These types of players are vital to contenders, but if LA thinks they can nickel and dime him back down near a minimum contract, they’ll decline this.

Miami Marlins

Jorge Soler (DH, 30)
$15M player option
Soler’s deal contains $12M in 2022, a $15M player option in 2023, and a $9M player option in 2024 (additional incentives available as well). His 2022 has been underwhelming, putting him in line to take on the $15M next year, with a chance to get himself into a better spot to opt-out, and seek out another multi-year guarantee.

Joey Wendle (3B, 32)
$6.3M club option ($75,000 buyout)
Wendle isn’t going to come close to recreating the All-Star season he posted in 2021 with the Rays, but he’s a consistent contact hitter with an OPS in the mid 700s. With that said, the Marlins almost always choose $75,000 over $6.3M.

Anthony Bass (RP, 34)
$3M club option
Bass is likely to be traded before you finish reading this sentence. With the Marlins sliding further backwards, Bass is posting over a strikeout an IP, along with a 1.51 ERA/.96 WHIP. He’s doing work in the 7th, 8th, and 9th innings this season and is a model template for what contenders are looking for down the stretch. Wherever he lands, a $3M option exercise probably also makes sense.

Milwaukee Brewers

Kolten Wong (2B, 31)
$10M club option ($2M)
With production down in almost all regards, it’s tough to imagine Milwaukee locking in a $1.5M pay raise next season.

Brad Boxberger (RP, 34)
$3M club option ($750k buyout)
The walks and home runs allowed are up, but Boxberger has still been fairly consistent in 2022 for the Brewers. It’s still hard to see a $1.25M pay raise coming his way though.

Minnesota Twins

Carlos Correa (SS, 27)
$35.1M player option
The Twins were probably hoping for a bit more at this point, but Correa is on pace to post Correa type numbers. With a $35.1M option decision this and next December, how will he approach one of Scott Boras’ more surprising recent contracts? An educated guess says he opts in for 2023, with a serious question mark for 2024.

Miguel Sano (3B, 29)
$14.25M club option ($2.75M buyout)
Sano rediscovered his power stroke in 2021, but was limited to just 17 games in 2022 before knee surgery sidelined him indefinitely. The Twins will opt-out of this contract.

Sonny Gray (SP, 32)
$12.5M club option
Gray has been efficient in 14 2022 starts thus far and is on pace to be a factor for the Twins into the postseason. There’s no reason to believe Minnesota won’t bring him back on a $12-$13M salary for 2023 (incentives could increase the value).

Dylan Bundy (SP, 29)
$11M club option ($1M buyout)
Bundy is playing out 2022 on a $4M salary, posting a mid 4 ERA, giving up way too many homers, but eating up a solid amount of innings for the Twins. If he’s asked to play that role next year, a jump up to $11M seems too high.

Chris Archer (SP, 33)
$10M mutual option ($750,000 buyout)
It’s been a struggle for Archer to stay healthy, but his 16 2022 starts have been his best in 5 seasons (3.41 ERA, 1.2 WHIP). If it continues the Twins may look to keep him at $10M, but will he opt-in on his end?

New York Mets

Jacob deGrom (SP, 34)
$30.5M player option deGrom’s return to the mound isn’t just about the Mets’ 2022 finish, but also very much about his immediate contract future. The 34-year-old can opt out of the remaining 2 years, $63M on the deal after this season, and (despite the injuries), it’s still widely believed that he’ll do just that.

Taijuan Walker (SP, 29) $6M player option ($3M buyout)
Walker’s tenure in NY has been excellent. Barring a worthy extension offer from the Mets, he’ll take the $3M buyout and hit the open market this winter.

Dan Vogelbach (DH, 29)
$1.5M club option ($200k buyout)
Acquired from the Pirates in July, he’s a platoon bat for the Mets’ 2022 stretch run and nothing more for now. 

John Curtiss (RP, 29)
$775,000 club option  ($70,000 buyout)
Curtiss was signed with the knowledge that he would miss the entire 2022 season (elbow), so it stands to reason that the Mets will exercise his 2023 salary to see what they can squeeze out of him.

New York Yankees

Anthony Rizzo (1B, 32)
$16M player option
There’s an outside chance that Rizzo finishes 2022 with 25 doubles, 40 homers, and 100 RBIs for the Yankees. He’s opting out.

Luis Severino (SP, 28)
$15M club option ($2.75M buyout)
After making just 7 starts in 3 years, Severino had posted 16 starts in 2022 before his shoulder started acting up. The strikeout rate and WHIP are where NYY wants him to be, but will he stay healthy enough to keep around? One more year probably makes sense.

Oakland Athletics

Stephen Piscotty (OF, 31)
$15M club option ($1M buyout)
He’s missed 50 games with a calf injury, and is squarely on the trade block (as are most A’s), but it’ll take a hall of fame last 2 months for a team to consider him on a $15M salary next year. 

Elvis Andrus (SS, 33)
$15M player option
He’s a shell of himself at age 33, but still a serviceable starting SS. It seems impossible that he won’t jump on one final $15M salary before he hits the open market.

Philadelphia Phillies

Aaron Nola (SP, 29)
$16M club option ($4.25M buyout)
Nola has been fantastic this season, posting a low 3 ERA, 131 ERA+, and .9 WHIP heading into August. He’s a lock for the $16M salary in 2023. It’ll cost much more in 2024.

Jean Segura (2B, 32)
$17M club option ($1M buyout)
Following a solid 2021 campaign, a broken finger has kept Segura out of action for 2 months. Even if Philadelphia sees him in their future, taking the $1M buyout and starting over probably makes sense.

Zach Eflin (SP, 28)
$15M mutual option ($150,000 buyout)
Eflin had been a solid back end of the rotation arm for Philly this year before a knee injury popped up. He’s got a history with knee issues, so it’s concerning for his future with the organization. Philly likely declines their side of the $15M next year.

Pittsburgh Pirates

Felipe Vazquez (RP, 31)
$10M club option
He’s in jail. 

San Diego Padres

Wil Myers (OF, 31)
$20M club option ($1M buyout)
A knee injury (that might require surgery) has all but vanquished Myers’ 2022 campaign. The Padres will punt on the option year and let him test the open market.

Eric Hosmer (1B, 32)
3 year, $39M player option
The only opt-out in Eric Hosmer’s contract comes after the 2022 season, and it seems impossible that he’’ll exercise it. It’s been a rough three years of Hosmer offensively speaking.

Robert Suarez (RP, 31)
$5M player option ($1M buyout)
Suarez was a viable mid to late inning option for San Diego through 22 appearances. But a knee injury has shelved him indefinitely. It seems likely he takes on the $5M salary.

Nick Martinez (SP, 31)
$6.5M player option ($1.5M buyout)
Martinez has an opt out after each of the next 3 seasons. He’s started 10 games, finished 5 out of the pen, and is being utilized as a 7th/8th inning arm as well. That kind of versatility can pay in the right system. He may look to cash in a little higher this offseason.

San Francisco Giants

Carlos Rodon (SP, 29)
$22.5M player option
Another All-Star season, another sub 3 ERA, 11.3 strikeouts per 9, and not yet 30 years old. There’s an opt-out and a bigtime multi-year guarantee coming from someone this offseason. Our system calls him a 4 year, $117M pitcher.

Evan Longoria (3B, 36)
$13M club option ($5M buyout)
Longoria’s been in steady decline since 2016, with injuries factoring into each of the past 3 seasons. The Giants won’t take on the $13M option, but a return in an inexpensive depth role shouldn’t be out of the question.

Seattle Mariners

Ken Giles (RP, 31)
$9.5M club option ($500k buyout)
He’s pitched 4 innings in 2022 and isn’t slated to return again until early August. But the Mariners are turning a corner here quickly, and a $9.5M salary for a seasoned reliever isn’t crazy. This is a yes for now.

Chris Flexen (SP, 28)
$4M club option (conditional)
Flexen is 45 innings away from this converting to an $8M player option. He’s a .500 pitcher this year after a 14-6 2021, and the strikeout ratios are never going to wow anyone, but at 28, Flexen must think he can secure a $10M+ multi-year guarantee this offseason. 

St. Louis Cardinals

Nolan Arenado (3B, 31)
5 year, $144M player option
At nearly $29M per year over the next 5 seasons, it seems unlikely that Arenado will opt out. The Rockies are paying quite a bit of this, so the Cardinals will continue to get strong value out of a player who annually posts 30 doubles, 30 homers, 100 RBIs and a near .300 average.

Tampa Bay Rays

Kevin Kiermaier (OF, 32)
$13M club option ($2.5M buyout)
Kiermaier missed 40 games in 2021, and is now done for the rest of 2022 with hip surgery. He’s been a Ray his whole career, but that likely changes in 2023.

Texas Rangers

Jose Leclerc (RP, 28) $6M club option ($750k buyout)
He’s battled injuries routinely since 2020, but posts lights out strikeout rates when active. Texas is entering “all-in” mode with many of their contracts. A $6M flier on reliever with 9th inning experience doesn’t seem crazy.

Kole Calhoun (OF, 34) $5.5M club option
After missing 100 games last year in Arizona, a healthy Calhoun is rounding back into form this year for Texas. It seems likely he plays himself into the $5.5M salary for 2023.

Garrett Richards (RP, 34)
$9M club option ($1M buyout)
He’s been a jack of all trades this season, making appearances in 28 games, finishing 9, and starting 2. Is $9M too much for a long reliever/spot starter? Probably.

Washington Nationals

Nelson Cruz (DH, 42)
$16M mutual option ($3M buyout)
Cruz is on the move this deadline, so this option will be someone else’s problem soon. He’s quietly on pace for 15 HRs and 75 RBIs. If he wants to continue playing (for the team he finishes 2022 with), it seems a no brainer for Cruz to opt-in to $16M. Will his team comply though?

The Seattle Seahawks acquire QB Jordan Love from the Green Bay Packers for a 3rd round pick.

Love’s shot in Green Bay probably vanished with Aaron Rodgers’ 3 year, $150M extension. It’s still conceivable that Rodgers moves on after 2022, but if not, acquiring a trade asset for their former #26 overall pick makes sense. Seattle is about to roll into 2022 with Drew Lock & Geno Smith, so adding a young arm like Love fits their current model. Love has 2 years, $4M (guaranteed) remaining on his contract, plus a potential 5th-year option in 2024.

The Baltimore Ravens acquire WR Deebo Samuel from the San Francisco 49ers for WR Devin Duvernay, and a 2nd round pick.

Baltimore never replaced Marquise Brown after they shipped him to Arizona on draft day. While the roster is loaded with impact running backs, and Rashod Bateman is a top tier breakout candidate, adding Samuel would change the pace and ceiling for this Ravens’ offense. Deebo has 1 year, $3.9M remaining on his rookie contract, so this deal will come with an extension in mind (4 years, $100M+).

The Chicago Bears acquire WR Denzel Mims from the New York Jets for a 6th round pick.

Mims is a release candidate this summer, despite 2 years, $2.4M (non-guaranteed) remaining on his rookie contract. Will a WR-needy team swoop in with a late round pick before that happens? Chicago is about to roll out Byron Pringle, Darnell Mooney, & Velus Jones Jr. for Justin Fields’ sophomore campaign. Mims should be able to compete for a spot here out of the gate.

The Las Vegas Raiders acquire S Jessie Bates from the Cincinnati Bengals for S Johnathan Abram & a 3rd round pick

The Raiders went “all-in” in a lot of areas this offseason, but still find themselves in one in a division loaded with pass-offense. Abram will be fighting for a starting spot this camp, despite being their #27 overall selection back in 2019. He has 1 year, $2M (guaranteed) remaining on his rookie deal. Bates has no plans to sign his $12.9M franchise tag in Cincinnati. He’s no longer eligible for a long term extension, but can be structured on any form of 1-year deal for 2022. There’s probably a world where the Raiders can get Cincinnati to retain some of the salary prior to the trade.

The Atlanta Falcons trade LB Deion Jones to the Denver Broncos for a 6th round pick.

Jones has been on the trade block for awhile, and his contract doesn’t help the situation much. He’s fallen off of a cliff productively over the past two seasons, but a change of scenery (especially to a contender) could very well change that course of action. The Falcons restructured Jones’ deal prior to the 2021 season, including fully guaranteeing his $9.64M salary for 2022, making this a 1 year, $9.6M traded deal for all intents and purposes. A trade leaves behind $9.9M of dead cap this season, and another $5.3M next year.

QB Jimmy Garoppolo accepts a 1 year, $7.5M restructured contract to remain in San Francisco for 2022

It’s getting late for starting QBs to bounce around, and there doesn’t appear to be a clear path for Garoppolo (who isn’t yet 100% healthy) to land a chance at a starting gig. Obviously a training camp injury can quickly change this, and the 49ers should wait a move like this out as long as possible, but if nothing else surfaces, dropping Garoppolo’s 2022 compensation down to the $7.5M injury guarantee, while adding in plenty of playing time/production incentives, should satisfy their need for an experience backup QB this season.

The Los Angeles Rams sign DL Ndamukong Suh

Suh remains available, despite having been linked to a few notable teams throughout the summer. He played out a 1 year, $14M contract with the Rams back in 2018, before his 3-year (successful) stint in Tampa Bay. Los Angeles lost a few notable names this offseason (and signed a few new ones), but a 1 year, $5M (incentive laden) deal to add him into the mix can’t hurt.

With training camps here, we'll categorize the more notable NFL positions into "financial tiers", breaking down which players are locked in, playing for a new deal, could be on their way out, & plenty more.

• TWO FOR FOUR
• THREE & WE'LL SEE
• LET'S PLAY TWO
• ONE & DONE
• EXTENSION READY
• ROOKIE PENDING
• ROOKIE LOCKED
• WORK TO DO

TWO FOR FOUR

Cooper Kupp (Rams, 29)

Signed Through: 2026
Guarantees Through: 2025
Guarantee Remaining: $75M

There’s a feasible “out” after 2024 ($5M cash buyout), but it stands to reason that Kupp and the Rams will be together for the next 4 seasons. He’ll earn $90M if he remains on the deal that long.

Tyreek Hill (Dolphins, 28)

Signed Through: 2026
Guarantees Through: 2024
Guarantee Remaining: $72.2M

Assuming a restructure to his $31.2M cap hit in 2023, Hill is all but guaranteed 4 years, $95.4M from this contract. The $45M salary in 2026 is another story.

THREE & WE'LL SEE

Davante Adams (Raiders, 30)

Signed Through: 2026
Guarantees Through: 2023
Guarantee Remaining: $65.6M

If we’re being honest here, this is a 1 year, $23.35M in terms of guarantee structure. Realistically speaking, Adams will see at least $66M over the next 3 seasons on this contract, with 4 years, $103.75M well within reach.

A.J. Brown (Eagles, 25)

Signed Through: 2026
Guarantees Through: 2024
Guarantee Remaining: $57.2M

Brown re-established the rookie-extension market with his trade & sign to Philly this spring. For now, it’s a 3 year, $57.2M contract. But the restructure-happy Eagles will certainly convert his 2024 salary for cap purposes, stabilizing Brown’s 2025 compensation. It’ll likely be 4 years, $73.2M before an extension or bail out is executed.

Terry McLaurin (Commanders, 26)

Signed Through: 2025
Guarantees Through: 2024
Guarantee Remaining: $53M

McLaurin will have all $47.1M of his 3 year compensation fully guaranteed by next March, easily securing this contract through the 2024 season. It’s a 1 year, $18M option, or a restructured extension thereafter.

Stefon Diggs (Bills, 29)

Signed Through: 2027
Guarantees Through: 2023
Guarantee Remaining: $47.9M
It’s probably unfair to call this a 2 year contract (especially based on the dead cap due to the double bonus), but based on the guarantee scheduling, that’s exactly what this is right now. Diggs’ 2024 salary doesn’t lock in until March of 2024, giving Buffalo an out if needed.

LET'S PLAY TWO

D.J. Moore (Panthers, 25)

Signed Through: 2025
Guarantees Through: 2024
Guarantee Remaining: $41.6M

Moore probably underachieved a bit on this contract, but he added about $10M of full guarantee more than his 5th year option + a franchise tag would have paid out through 2023, and locked in an extra million into 2024 as well. If the Panthers totally combust, this is a very tradable contract.

Mike Williams (Chargers, 28)

Signed Through: 2024
Guarantees Through: 2023
Guarantee Remaining: $40M

Williams gets a clean $40M fully guaranteed over the next two seasons, then a $20M option in 2024, including a $3M roster bonus due in early March.

Chris Godwin (Buccaneers, 26)

Signed Through: 2024
Guarantees Through: 2023
Guarantee Remaining: $40M

A carbon copy of Mike Williams’ deal in LA, Godwin gets a clean guarantee through 2023, a $20M option in 2024, and a chance to do it all over again at age 29.

Christian Kirk (Jaguars, 26)

Signed Through: 2025
Guarantees Through: 2023
Guarantee Remaining: $39M

One of the surprise contracts of the offseason doesn’t have much long-term substance to it. Still, $39M over 2 years is a big pull for Kirk, and if he gels with Trevor Lawrence, this contract will hold value through 2025.

Brandin Cooks (Texans, 29)

Signed Through: 2024
Guarantees Through: 2023
Guarantee Remaining: $36M

Cooks backed up his desire to stay in Houston with a healthy extension this offseason. It’s a fully guaranteed 2 year, $37M deal for now, with a 1 year, $16.5M option at his age 31 2024 season.

Allen Robinson (Rams, 29)

Signed Through: 2024
Guarantees Through: 2023
Guarantee Remaining: $30.75M

Robinson joins the Rams on a two year guarantee, with a chance to void out the 2024 season if he reaches 2,200 receiving yards over that span.

Courtland Sutton (Broncos, 27)

Signed Through: 2025
Guarantees Through: 2023
Guarantee Remaining: $26.5M

Sutton’s 2022 & 2023 salaries both locked in this past March, putting him on a 2 year, $26.5M deal from a guarantee perspective. If he and Russell Wilson gel, the 4 years, $54M remaining on this contract will offer Denver a ton of value (until he demands a restructured extension).

Michael Gallup (Cowboys, 26)

Signed Through: 2026
Guarantees Through: 2023
Guarantee Remaining: $23M

A torn ACL derailed Gallup’s chance to cash in big this offseason, and he returns to Dallas on a team-friendly 2 year, $23M guarantee. It’s a “we’ll see” situation after that.

Kenny Golladay (Giants, 29)

Signed Through: 2024
Guarantees Through: 2023
Guarantee Remaining: $22M

Despite the numbers above, this could very well be a make or break year for Golladay. His 2022 compensation ($17M) is fully locked in, as is a $4.5M roster bonus for 2023. But if the wheels fall off here, look for the Giants to work their way out of it via trade.

Hunter Renfrow (Raiders, 27)

Signed Through: 2024
Guarantees Through: 2023
Guarantee Remaining: $21M

Renfroe bagged $14.5M fully guaranteed at signing, including $4.3M of 2023 compensation. With Davante Adams’ covering him from the other side of the field, the sky may be the limit here, and another extension at age 29 could very well be in the cards.

Keenan Allen (Chargers, 30)

Signed Through: 2024
Guarantees Through: 2023
Guarantee Remaining: $18M

Allen’s $16.5M 2022 salary, & $1.5M of his 2023 salary are fully locked in right now. Assuming things stay on track, a $3.5M roster bonus will vest next March, putting him inline for at least 2 years, $35.5M more of this contract.

Zay Jones (Jaguars, 27)

Signed Through: 2024
Guarantees Through: 2023
Guarantee Remaining: $16M

Jones joins Christian Kirk as shiny new weapons for Trevor Lawrence to play with in Doug Pederson’s offense. It’s a 2 year, $16M contract with an $8M option in 2024 for all intents.

Russell Gage (Buccaneers, 26)

Signed Through: 2024
Guarantees Through: 2023
Guarantee Remaining: $15M

Gage locked in a fully guaranteed $10M salary this season, and $5M (half) of his 2023 salary as well. The remaining $5M of next season guarantees early March 2023, so there’s a very strong chance this is a 2 for 20, with a $10M option year in 2024.

Tim Patrick (Broncos, 28)

Signed Through: 2024
Guarantees Through: 2023
Guarantee Remaining: $11.7M

Patrick saw his 2022 compensation, and $5.5M of 2023 salary become fully guaranteed this past March. He, Courtland Sutton, and Jerry Jeudy will get a new life with Russell Wilson running the Broncos’ offense from here out.

ONE & DONE

Amari Cooper (Browns, 28)

Signed Through: 2024
Guarantees Through: 2022
Guarantee Remaining: $20M

Cooper brings 3 years, $60M to the Browns, but just 1 year, $20M guaranteed (already converted to signing bonus). It’s easy to look at this from all angles and assume it’s a one and done situation for this contract, but keeping Cooper under term, flexing the cap around a little, and giving him a full season with Watson at the helm might be better business for Cleveland.

Tyler Lockett (Seahawks, 30)

Signed Through: 2025
Guarantees Through: 2022
Guarantee Remaining: $16M

A $13M option bonus was paid out this spring, piling up the dead numbers in both 2022 & 2023. Outside of that, there’s nothing stable about this contract past the upcoming season (except of course the fact that he’s very good).

Michael Thomas (Saints, 29)

Signed Through: 2024
Guarantees Through: 2022
Guarantee Remaining: $15.3M

He’s missed a year and a half of action, and his eventual replacement (Chris Olave) was drafted this past May. He’s on a year to year basis from here out, despite $25.4M of dead cap built into 2023.

Corey Davis (Jets, 27)

Signed Through: 2023
Guarantees Through: 2022
Guarantee Remaining: $13M

Davis only played 9 games in 2021, so the Jets will be looking for plenty more in a fully guaranteed $13M 2022. It’s a 1 year, $10.5M option thereafter.

Robbie Anderson (Panthers, 29)

Signed Through: 2023
Guarantees Through: 2022
Guarantee Remaining: $13M

Anderson’s cap hit jumps from $11M to $21.7M in 2023. While the Panthers will certainly be able to tolerate it, Anderson will remain a “one and done” candidate until he’s not. He’s a trade candidate as well.

Curtis Samuel (Commanders, 26)

Signed Through: 2023
Guarantees Through: 2022
Guarantee Remaining: $10M

Samuel’s injuries have all but wiped out his big free agent signing in Washington. He’ll have a chance right that ship in Carson Wentz’s offense, but for now it’s hard to imagine him sticking on this deal past 2022.

Robert Woods (Titans, 30)

Signed Through: 2025
Guarantees Through: 2022
Guarantee Remaining: $10M

Woods was acquired from the Rams long before the A.J. Brown exit was finalized. Despite 4 years, $57M remaining on his deal, it’s a 1 year $10M contract from a guarantee structure layout.

DJ Chark (Lions, 26)

Signed Through: 2022
Guarantees Through: 2022
Guarantee Remaining: $10M

Chark accepting a one year tender surprised a few people, but the $10M guarantee is certainly nothing to scoff at. He’ll get a chance to produce in an improving Lions’ offense, then hit the open market in a cap-inflated 2023 offseason.

Marquez Valdes-Scantling (Chiefs, 28)

Signed Through: 2024
Guarantees Through: 2022
Guarantee Remaining: $9M

$6.44M of MVS’ 2023 salary fully guarantees next March, so a solid 2022 will make this a 2 year, $18M contract fairly easily. But KC built this as a 1 year, $9M deal for now.

Adam Thielen (Vikings, 32)

Signed Through: 2024
Guarantees Through: 2022
Guarantee Remaining: $4.2M

Thielen restructured his deal this March for cap purposes, but it did little to secure the 2 years, $30M remaining after the 2022 season. He’s a bubble candidate from here out.

JuJu Smith-Schuster (Chiefs, 25)

Signed Through: 2022
Guarantees Through: 2022
Guarantee Remaining: $2.49M

Just 25 years old, another injury slowed JuJu’s inaugural season with Patrick Mahomes. He returns on an incentive-laden deal for 2022, with a chance to take the reins on the WR1 spot, and land a multi-year guarantee in 2023.

Sammy Watkins (Packers, 29)

Signed Through: 2022
Guarantees Through: 2022
Guarantee Remaining: $350k

Watkins joins his 5th NFL team in 9 seasons, this time on nothing more than a bloated camp contract in Green Bay. Then again, this seems like one of those moves that works out fantastically for Aaron Rodgers and the Packers. If it does, it’ll be one of the best $1.85M spent in the league this season.

DeAndre Hopkins (Cardinals, 30)

Signed Through: 2024
Guarantees Through: n/a
Guarantee Remaining: $0M

Hopkins’ PED suspension voided all future salary guarantees, putting him on a year to year status with Arizona from here out. With a $30.75M cap hit looming in 2023, something is going to give in the coming months. For now, we’ll assume it’s a simple base salary restructure to remain with the Cardinals.

Mike Evans (Buccaneers, 29)

Signed Through: 2023
Guarantees Through: n/a
Guarantee Remaining: $0

Evans restructured his contract for the 5th time this March, piling $21M of dead cap into the 2023 season (the contract’s last). Despite nearing 30, an extension should be in the cards next offseason both for business and football purposes.

Diontae Johnson (Steelers, 26)

Signed Through: 2022
Guarantees Through: n/a
Guarantee Remaining: $0

Johnson and the Steelers remain far apart in extension discussions (per local reports), putting him in line for either a franchise tag next February or a trip to the open market next March. The former 3rd round pick is one of the more underrated young pass catchers in the game, and currently projects to a 4 year, $86M contract in our system.

DeVante Parker (Patriots, 29)

Signed Through: 2023
Guarantees Through: n/a
Guarantee Remaining: $0

Parker joins the Patriots on a 2 year, $12.3M deal, but none of it is guaranteed. He’ll get every opportunity to be the primary pass catcher this year, with exceptional value if that becomes the case.

Allen Lazard (Packers, 26)

Signed Through: 2024
Guarantees Through: n/a
Guarantee Remaining: $0

Green Bay tendered Lazard at a $3.9M salary for 2022, putting him in line for free agency after the upcoming season. He’s averaging just 36 grabs, 480 yards per year over the past three seasons, but his 8 receiving TDs in 2021 showed his red zone value, and clear chemistry with Aaron Rodgers. He’ll remain a financial value this season.

Jarvis Landry (Saints, 30)

Signed Through: 2022
Guarantees Through: 2022
Guarantee Remaining: $3M

After a release from Cleveland, Landry chose a familiar landing spot in New Orleans, joining Michael Thomas, Deonty Harty, and Chris Olave in a strong WR room. It’s a bit of a reset showcase season for Landry, who will almost certainly be looking for multi-year security after 2022.

Tyler Boyd (Bengals, 28)

Signed Through: 2023
Guarantees Through: n/a
Guarantee Remaining: $0

In true Bengals fashion, the guarantees ran out on this contract years ago. With Ja’Marr Chase and Tee Higgins set to gather a majority of the opportunities, Boyd’s future (while valuable) may be dwindling in Cincinnati. With 2 years, $17.6M left on the contract, it’s feasible he plays in 2022 with the Bengals, then seeks a bigger role elsewhere.

EXTENSION READY

Marquise Brown (Cardinals, 25)

Signed Through: 2023
Guarantees Through: 2023
Guarantee Remaining: $15.5M

The Cardinals acquired Brown from Baltimore as both coverage for Deandre Hopkins suspension, and a bonafide WR2 once he returns. There’s guaranteed team control here through 2023, so an extension doesn’t have to come this summer, but it sure feels like that will be the case anyway. Brown projects to a 3 year, $64M extension in our system.

Deebo Samuel (49ers, 26)

Signed Through: 2022
Guarantees Through: n/a
Guarantee Remaining: $0

Samuel’s discontent with the 49ers usage of him has been made public since March. Toss in an expiring contract with no guarantees, and the situation is about as fluid as possible. A camp holdout won’t happen (will force him into restricted free agency next March), but a trade demand sure might. For now, the speedy weapon projects to a 4 year, $98M contract in our system.

D.K. Metcalf (Seahawks, 25)

Signed Through: 2022
Guarantees Through: n/a
Guarantee Remaining: $0

Metcalf doesn’t appear phased by the walls crumbling around him in Seattle. The former 2nd round pick is set to play out a non guaranteed $3.9M salary in 2022, with a franchise tag or free agency ahead of him next March. He projects to a 4 year, $91M contract in our system right now.

ROOKIE PENDING

Justin Jefferson (Vikings, 23)

Signed Through: 2023 (+ option)
Guarantees Through: 2023
Guarantee Remaining: $4.19M

The 23-year old can’t even be evaluated against his current aged peers from a mathematical standpoint. His numbers align with (or surpass) the best WRs in the game, regardless of age or experience. Jefferson becomes extension eligible after 2022, currently projecting to a 4 year, $104M contract in our system.

CeeDee Lamb (Cowboys, 23)

Signed Through: 2023 (+ option)
Guarantees Through: 2023
Guarantee Remaining: $4.4M

With Amari Cooper now in Cleveland, Lamb will be given every chance to prove he’s the next WR1 of Dallas’ future. His opportunity aligns with extension eligibility after the upcoming season. CeeDee projects to a 4 year, $67M contract in our system currently.

Jerry Jeudy (Broncos, 23)

Signed Through: 2023 (+ option)
Guarantees Through: 2023
Guarantee Remaining: $4.67M

Jeudy missed 7 weeks last season, slowing his chance to exceed a solid rookie campaign. There’s big expectations for him this season with Russell Wilson now at the helm. A strong 2022 likely puts him into extension conversations after the season, as he becomes eligible for the first time this January

Tee Higgins (Bengals, 23)

Signed Through: 2023
Guarantees Through: 2022
Guarantee Remaining: $1M

Higgins can do it all, and many project we haven’t yet seen the path to the ceiling for his career. A full offseason with a healthy Joe Burrow should put he and Ja’Marr Chase into a different level of comfort and creativity on the field. Higgins becomes extension eligible after 2022, projecting to a 4 year, $74M deal right now in our system.

Michael Pittman Jr. (Colts, 25)

Signed Through: 2023
Guarantees Through: 2022
Guarantee Remaining: $1M

Pittman had a breakout 2021 (88 catches, 1,082 yards, 6 TDs), and should be in line for even more opportunities with Matt Ryan at the helm. He becomes extension eligible after 2022, so in essence, he’s playing for his next contract right now. Limited early production has him projecting to a 3 year, $42M deal in our system.

Gabriel Davis (Bills, 23)

Signed Through: 2023
Guarantees Through: n/a
Guarantee Remaining: $0

A 4th round pick in 2020, Davis broke out last year, becoming a goto target for Josh Allen down the stretch and through the postseason. He’s one of the buzzier names heading into 2022, and should he hold his own again, will be a top extension candidate heading toward March. He projects to a 3 year, $26M contract in our system.

Darnell Mooney (Bears, 25)

Signed Through: 2023
Guarantees Through: n/a
Guarantee Remaining: $0

Mooney was one of the lone bright spots for the Bears in 2021 (81 catches, 1,055 yards, 4 TD). The former 5th round pick will look to further gel with Justin Fields, despite a lackluster roster surrounding him. Mooney will become extension eligible after 2022, projecting to a 3 year, $44.5M extension currently in our system.

ROOKIE LOCKED

Jaylen Waddle (Dolphins, 24)

Signed Through: 2024 (+ option)
Guarantees Through: 2024
Guarantee Remaining: $9.3M

Waddle caught 104 balls for 1,015 yards, and 6 TD - and wasn’t the rookie of the year. With much of the attention paid to Miami’s acquisition of Tyreek Hill this offseason, Waddle’s ridiculous 2021 has been suppressed a bit. The two should be a major problem for teams out of the gate (barring Tua can play QB1 at a consistent level). Waddle is team controlled through 2025, and not extension eligible until after 2023, making Hill’s contract much easier to swallow for the next few seasons.

Ja'Marr Chase (Bengals, 22)

Signed Through: 2024 (+ option)
Guarantees Through: 2024
Guarantee Remaining: $9.2M

The offensive rookie of the year will remain one of the best values in all of football for at least two more seasons, as his extension eligibility doesn’t kick in until after the 2023 campaign.

DeVonta Smith (Eagles, 23)

Signed Through: 2024 (+ option)
Guarantees Through: 2024
Guarantee Remaining: $7.4M

Smith’s 2021 production (64 catches, 916 yards, 5 TDs) might dip a bit with AJ Brown now in the fold, but it’s obvious he’s going to be a real factor in the Eagles’ offense. He’s team controlled through 2025, not extension eligible until 2024 and primed to be one of the better values in the game.

Rashod Bateman (Ravens, 23)

Signed Through: 2024 (+ option)
Guarantees Through: 2024
Guarantee Remaining: $5.4M

With Hollywood Brown now out west, Bateman will get legitimate WR1 opportunities this season. He won’t become extension eligible until after 2023, so there’s massive team value on the table here.

Amon-Ra St. Brown (Lions, 22)

Signed Through: 2024
Guarantees Through: n/a
Guarantee Remaining: $0

The breakout star of 2021 (90 catches, 912 yards, 5 TDs) will now be surrounded by Jameson Williams (eventually) and DJ Chark for the upcoming season. St. Brown won’t be extension eligible until after 2023, so his league minimum salaries will continue to be one of the best values in football.

Drake London (Falcons, 21)

Signed Through: 2025 (+ option)
Guarantees Through: 2025
Guarantee Remaining: $21.5M

The #8 overall pick in this year’s draft will get immediate WR1 looks in the Falcons’ offense. He’s team controlled through 2026, and not extension eligible until after 2024, so any production here will be team-friendly.

WORK TO DO

Parris Campbell (Colts, 25)

The #59 selection back in 2019 has only seen action in 15 games over 3 seasons. Can he stay healthy? Will he gel with Matt Ryan? The time is certainly now, as his rookie contract will expire after the 2022 campaign.

Chase Claypool (Steelers, 24)

He’s still a trade candidate as teams enter camp, but with 2 years, $2.7M non guaranteed remaining on his contract, he’s also a pretty easy keep for the Steelers if the right offer doesn’t surface. With that said, Claypool has 121 grabs, 1,733 yards, and 11 TDs in his first two seasons. There are glimpses that he can be at least a quality WR2 in the right offense.

Brandon Aiyuk (49ers, 24)

Aiyuk has posted serviceable WR2 seasons to start his career, but the #25 overall pick from 2020 will certainly be asked to produce more with the Trey Lance era now here. He’s not extension eligible until after 2022, and there’s no reason to believe an early contract would be on the table. For now, he’s a $16M receiver in our system.

Kadarius Toney (Giants, 23)

The #20 overall pick in 2021 caught 40 balls in 10 games, but missed all of spring ball with a knee issue. He’s as much a breakout candidate as he is a bust candidate in 2022, but may be limited by Daniel Jones’ ceiling. Brian Daboll should be a welcoming sight for Toney.