Michael GinnittiFebruary 23, 2024

The Bills approach March with more than $50M of cap to clear, & a half dozen of notable defensive players set to hit the open market. Factor in a mess of a contract situation with ED Von Miller, a rumored mess with WR Stefon Diggs, and Buffalo might be one of the more polarizing teams to follow in the coming weeks.

RELATED
2024 Buffalo Bills Salary Cap Table

2024 Pending Bills’ Free Agents

Cap Casualties ($17M saved)

Tre'Davious White (CB)

White won’t be healthy enough to pass a physical this March, so the most likely outcome here is that Buffalo releases him via a failed physical designation before his $1.5M March 18th roster bonus becomes due. The Bills could/should work out a renegotiated contract with White to retain his services in some capacity.
Potential March Savings: $6M

Ryan Bates (G/C)

Moving on from Bates would be risky, as he’s one of the better “6th-Men” in all of football. But if the plan is to keep Mitch Morse one more season (and all signs point to that being the case), Bates may simply be too expensive to remain in his depth role. There should be trade value here, so freeing up $1.4M of cap, and adding a draft pick or two could be win/win.
Potential March Savings: $1.43M

Deonte Harty (KR/WR)

Harty never fully materialized as an asset in the offensive gameplan, despite showing plenty of signs of that in New Orleans leading up to his signing with the Bills. His versatility is valuable, but a $4.24M salary & $5.5M cap figure likely makes him too rich to keep in this current setting.
Harty has a $500,000 roster bonus due March 18th, so Buffalo will need to make a decision prior to that date.
Potential March Savings: $4.1M

Nyheim Hines (KR/RB)

Hines missed all of 2023 due to a non-football injury. Like Harty (above), he’s probably a tad bit overpaid for his role (returner, running back), but it seems likely that Buffalo will hang on to one of the two for the 2024 season. Moving on from Hines before a March 18th roster bonus ($500,000) can open up $4.9M.
Potential March Savings: $4.9M

Damar Hamlin (S)

Hamlin’s role has been reduced to special teams almost exclusively. While Buffalo will be seeking depth in their secondary, taking the $1M of space by moving off of this contract likely makes sense early on.
Potential March Savings: $1.055M

Cap Conversions ($42.8M saved)

Process a full base salary plus $6M roster bonus conversion on QB Josh Allen, freeing up $22.7M of cap. Allen has 5 years remaining on his current contract.

Process a full base salary plus $1M roster bonus conversion on OL Mitch Morse, freeing up $5.3M of cap space when factoring in 4 void years. Morse is almost 32 years old, so an extension probably doesn’t make sense here.

Process a $5M roster bonus conversion on TE Dawson Knox, freeing up $4M of cap when factoring in 2 void years. Knox is a fringe roster bubble candidate, but $8.58M of his 2024 compensation is already fully guaranteed. Assuming the Bills move on after 2024, the contract will carry an $11.8M dead cap hit after this conversion (still saving $3.6M).

Process a $10M salary conversion on ED Von Miller. This one is a true numbers game. By March 18th, all $17.145M of Miller’s 2024 salary will become fully guaranteed. A full base salary conversion would open up over $12.7M of space, but would increase his 2025 dead cap hit north of his current $23.8M cap figure next season. Pushing out $8M of cap as projected here keeps the Bills on the right side of the dead cap spectrum in 2025 (when they will almost certainly move on).

Process a full base salary conversion on S Jordan Poyer, tacking on 4 void years. At nearly 33-years-old, it stands to reason that 2024 could be Poyer’s last. Buffalo can open up $2.8M of much needed space this season by utilizing this void year strategy.

Extensions ($12.9M saved)

Dion Dawkins (LT)

The nearly 30-year-old had his best season to date in 2023, solidifying his role on Josh Allen’s blindside for the foreseeable future. Dawkins is entering the final season of a 5 year, $59M deal in Buffalo, set to earn $10.3M cash in 2024. We’re projecting a 3 year, $57M extension, including $36.5M fully guaranteed at signing, and $50M across the next 3 seasons. The deal would lower his current 2024 by $5.3M.

Taron Johnson (CB)

Johnson’s worth and value was on full display both when he was making plays on the field - and maybe more importantly, when he was noticeably absent due to injury. The 27-year-old enters a contract year in 2024, set to earn $7.7M against a $12.4M cap hit. We’re projecting a 3 year, $42M extension for Johnson that includes $21.1M fully guaranteed at signing, through 2025. Our projection also lowers his 2024 cap hit by $3.6M.

Rasul Douglas (CB)

Douglas was the one of the better trade deadline acquisitions across the league last October, and he enters a contract year in Buffalo, set to earn $9M against a $9M cap hit. We’re projecting a 2 year, $28M tack on extension here, including $13M in 2024, $20.5M fully guaranteed through 2025, and a $4M reduction of his 2024 cap hit.

But What Abouts

Stefon Diggs (WR)

Despite the rumors, Diggs’ contract says he’s going nowhere in 2024, at least for now. If a few things fall Buffalo’s way in the coming months, a Post June 1st trade could certainly be an option - but generally speaking that’s a very low possibility in this league. The Bills hold $31M of bonus proration dead cap on Diggs right now. Next season, those numbers are already $22.2M dead against $27.3M active cap. So while Buffalo would like to do something about his $27.8M cap figure this season, processing any type of salary conversion would further impact their ability to move on after 2024 - a likely scenario based on many factors. All $18.5M of Diggs’ 2024 salary will become fully guaranteed on March 17th.

Matt Milano (LB)

Milano was extended last March to a 2 year, $28M contract that included an $11.8M signing bonus in 2023, and a $10M option bonus for 2024. In this regard his “conversion” was already baked into the cake. Buffalo will have an opportunity to push some cap down the road next season, when he carries a $16.1M cap hit for 2025, though his dead cap figure is already north of his active cap figure.

Ed Oliver (DT)

Oliver signed his massive sophomore extension last June, including a $14.75M signing bonus for 2023, & a $12.5M option bonus in March of 2024. This structure kept his cap figure at bay for the upcoming season ($9.725M). Buffalo will look to address his contract again in 2025, when Oliver’s cap hit spikes to $20.75M.

 

Michael GinnittiFebruary 22, 2024

Six notable quarterbacks could be eyeing a big pay day this NFL offseason. We detail full contract breakdown projections for Kirk Cousins, Dak Prescott, Jordan Love, Tua Tagovailoa, Jared Goff, & Trevor Lawrence this spring.

KIRK COUSINS (VIKINGS, 36)

Quick Details
3 years, $100,000,000
$33,333,333 AAV
$75M Guaranteed at Signing
$75M Practically Guaranteed

Cousins has spent 6 years on a fully guaranteed contract in Minnesota, but that may not be in the cards this time around. While a return to the Vikings still appears imminent, Cousins may need to drop his value to secure 2 fully guaranteed seasons on his next contract, as we’ve noted here. In this projection, Cousins gets $50M in 2024, and is fully guaranteed $75M through 2025.

JORDAN LOVE (PACKERS, 25)

Quick Details
4 years, $200,000,000
$50,000,000 AAV
$87.5M Guaranteed at Sign
$150M Practically Guaranteed

Love more than outplayed his bridge extension in 2023, making it unrealistic that he would play out the 2024 campaign on a 1 year, $11M contract. We've projected a 4 year, $200M extension for the 25 year old, including a $50M signing bonus, & $87.5M fully guaranteed at signing. The deal contains large roster bonuses that vest 1 offseason early for 2026 ($37.5M) & 2027 ($25M) raising the practical guarantee on this deal up to $150M. Love secures a $40M raise this season within this projection.

DAK PRESCOTT (COWBOYS, 31)

Quick Details
3 years, $180,000,000
$60,000,000 AAV
$119M Guaranteed at Signing
$169M Practically Guaranteed

The Cowboys have a few options with Dak Prescott, but the most likely outcome is an extension for the 31-year-old this offseason. We haven’t been shy with this one, making Prescott the first $60M per year player in terms of new money average. In total, we’ve projected a 4 year, $214M contract, with $169M guaranteed for practical purposes, and $119M of it fully guaranteed at signing. Prescott secures an historic $75M signing bonus, and his cap figure for 2024 lowers from $59.4M to $41.6M.

TUA TAGOVAILOA (DOLPHINS, 25)

Quick Details
4 years, $220,000,000
$55,000,000 AAV
$105M Guaranteed at Signing
$165M Practically Guaranteed

The Dolphins appear poised to extend Tua this offseason, who is entering his fully guaranteed 5th-year-option season (valued at $23.171M). We’ve projected a contract that tacks on 4 years & $220M, or 5 years, $243M total value. Of this, $105M is fully guaranteed at signing through 2025, another $50M locks in next March, and a final $10M roster bonus vests a year early for the 2027 season. Miami may look to build in per game active bonuses for this contract based on Tagovailoa’s injury history, but we’ve opted to leave these out for now. The bottom line here is that no player in football has more leverage than an above-average quarterback, and that has been reflected here.

TREVOR LAWRENCE (JAGUARS, 25)

Quick Details
6 years, $300,00,000
$50,000,000 AAV
$105M Guaranteed at Signing
$175M Practically Guaranteed

Lawrence hasn’t lived up to the full billing of his #1 overall draft pick status, but it appears he’s done enough to at least get the conversation started regarding a long-term extension in Jacksonville. Mathematically he’s a $48M player in our system, but we’ve upped our projection to an even $50M per year in terms of new money. Lawrence’s rookie contract currently carries around $27.5M remaining (4th year salary + expected 5th year option for 2025), making the total value of this contract 8 years, $327,500,000. Of that, $105M is fully guaranteed at signing, with another $70M set to lock in by March of 2026. There’s a lot of “fluff” built into the backend of this contract, affording the Jaguars a chance to gain significant value if Lawrence progresses into elite status over the next few seasons. And if not, it’ll be 4 years, $175M and then on to the next.

JARED GOFF (LIONS, 29)

Quick Details
4 years, $180,000,000
$45,000,000 AAV
$86.5M Guaranteed at Signing
$146.5M Practically Guaranteed

Goff has answered every bell since joining the Lions, and now enters an expiring contract year, set to earn $26.6M against a $31.6M cap hit. It’s not a foregone conclusion that Detroit will extend Goff this offseason, but for now it remains highly likely. We’ve tacked on 4 new years, $180M new money to his contract, combining for a total value 5 years, $206.5M. While we’ve only allocated $86.5M guaranteed at signing (a little escrow relief for a front office that might have 4 large extensions to process this spring), from a practical standpoint, we’ve locked in $146.5M of this contract (71%). Goff earns a $20M pay raise in 2024, and $136.5M over the next 3 seasons. It’s far from a top of the market contract, but it might be just what the doctor ordered to the Lions competitive for the next few seasons.

BAKER MAYFIELD (BUCCANEERS, 29)

Quick Details
4 years, $120,000,000
$30,000,000 AAV
$53M Guaranteed at Signing
$85M Practically Guaranteed

Baker's comeback has been one of the more enjoyable storylines of the past few seasons, culminating with a playoff win this past season with the Bucs. Tampa Bay is trying to keep Baker off of the open market at the final hour. We've projected a contract that essentially plays like a cap-adjusted version of Geno Smith's deal in Seattle, while using a double bonus structure to keep cap hits insanely low over the next two seasons.

Michael GinnittiFebruary 19, 2024

With the 2024 league year less than a month away (March 13th), NFL teams will soon begin to make plenty of moves to begin the process of getting cap compliant from a Top 51 standpoint. We’ve identified at each major position group that is currently trending toward a release, trade, or retirement in the coming weeks, including any pertinent financial information for each.

QB: Russell Wilson (DEN, 35)

The contract might not say it’s time to move on - but the Broncos certainly are. There are a few ways Wilson’s release can go down, and we’ve detailed those as much as possible here. All you need to know for now, is that the deal contacts $39M in guaranteed cash, and $85M of total dead cap. Denver’s Contract Options with Russell Wilson

Also: Jimmy Garoppolo (LV), Zach Wilson (NYJ), Mac Jones (NE)

RB: Nick Chubb (CLE, 28)

The Browns absolutely want a healthy Nick Chubb leading their offense again, but that might be easier said than done at this point. The reality here is that an organization with -$20M of cap space right now, probably needs to get out of this Chubb deal, freeing up $11.8M of cap in doing so. A reunion on a much more team-friendly contract can certainly be hammered out in succession.

Also: Miles Sanders (CAR), Nyheim Hines (BUF), Jeff Wilson (MIA)

WR: Mike Williams (LAC, 29)

Williams was going to be a bubble candidate even before the ACL injury, which further complicates things for the Chargers this March. If Williams can’t yet pass a physical, LA will need to carry this contract indefinitely before making a firm decision. There’s a $3M roster bonus due on March 15th, but none of his $17M base salary will become guaranteed until Week 1. The Chargers may opt to process a salary cap conversion, and stash him on a PUP list through the spring.

Also: Brandon Aiyuk (SF), Tim Patrick (DEN), Marquez Valdes-Scantling (KC)

TE: C.J. Uzomah (NYJ, 31)

It doesn’t appear as though the Jets are primed to shake up their roster a whole lot this offseason, but picking up an extra $5.3M of cap space & upgrading the TE room this spring probably makes a lot of sense. Uzomah has just 29 catches in 27 games as a Jet.

Also: Will Dissly (SEA), Jonnu Smith (ATL), Logan Thomas (WSH)

OT: David Bakhtiari (GB, 32)

Much of Bakhtiari’s 5 year, $107M contract has been detoured by injury, as the former 4th round pick has seen action in just 14 games across the past 3 seasons. Green Bay can open up almost $21M of much needed cap space by moving on this March.

Also: Joseph Noteboom (LAR), Chukwuma Okorafor (PIT)

G: Laken Tomlinson (NYJ, 32)

Tomlinson started 16 games last season, but appears to be showing direct signs of decline as his clock turns past 32-years of age. The Jets will certainly focus their offseason on the interior of their offensive line, so opening up $8.1M of cap space by moving on here makes sense.

Also: Austin Corbett (CAR), Ryan Bates (BUF)

C: Corey Linsley (LAC, 32)

Linsley was diagnosed with a heart-related condition during the 2023 season, putting his football career on high notice. The guaranteed portion of his 5 year, $62.5M contract has expired, and the Chargers can open up $8.9M of cap by moving on (or with an expected retirement).

Also: Mason Cole (PIT) 

DL: Devon Godchaux (NE, 29)

Godchaux was on an upward trajectory in New England, just 18 months removed from an extension that secured him $15M guaranteed, but started to see his playing time reduced slightly in the 2023 campaign. He carries a non-guaranteed $8.15M for 2024, all of which can be freed up if the Patriots decide to release or trade him this spring.

Also: D.J. Jones (DEN), Harrison Phillips (MIN), Bryan Mone (SEA)

ED: Joey Bosa (LAC, 28)

The Hot Stove has been full of reports that the Chargers may move on from 32-year-old Khalil Mack this spring (maybe rightfully so?), but the franchise may be more concerned about the availability of Joey Bosa going forward. The former #3 overall pick has been paid over $45M for just 14 games played since 2022. Bosa’s deal contains 2 years, $47.3M remaining, and the Chargers can free up over $14M of space by moving on by March 15th, when a $7M roster bonus is due.

Also: Khalil Mack (LAC), Emmanuel Ogbah (MIA), Tyus Bowser (BAL)

LB: Leighton Vander Esch (DAL, 28)

A neck injury (spinal stenosis) could force Vander Esch to walk away from the game this offseason. $1M of his 2024 salary is fully guaranteed, leading to $2.25M of dead cap against a $4.4M hit.

Also: De'Vondre Campbell (GB)

CB: Xavien Howard (MIA, 30)

Howard agreed to a restructured contract back in April of 2022, earning $37.5M over the past two seasons in Miami. An early trade/release only frees up $2.8M of cap space, but a Post June 1st designation can open up $18.5M on June 2nd. Can the Dolphins afford to keep his $25.9M hit on the books that long?

Also: J.C. Jackson (NE), Tre'Davious White (BUF), Donte Jackson (CAR)

S: Jamal Adams (SEA, 28)

Back to Back to Back IR stints have made Jamal Adams’ 4 year, $70M contract in Seattle one of the tougher ones to swallow. With the guaranteed portion of this contract now expired, the Seahawks can move on this March, freeing up $6M of 2024 cap in doing so.

Also: Budda Baker (ARI), Kevin Byard (PHI), Tracy Walker (DET)

K: Jake Moody (SF, 24)

Will the Niners front office give up on a 2023 3rd round pick this quickly? In most cases this answer would be no, but San Francisco’s reluctance to utilize Moody in big spots down the stretch has to be a factor in how they feel about him long-term. None of the $3.7M due over the next 3 seasons is guaranteed.

Also: Eddy Pineiro (CAR), Anders Carlson (GB)

P: Tress Way (WSH, 33)

Way has spent the past decade in Washington, but a parting could be in the cards this offseason. The Commanders can free up all of his $3.15M salary in the coming months.

Also: Johnny Hekker (CAR), Jamie Gillan (NYG)

Scott AllenFebruary 19, 2024

Hideki Matsuyama wins The Genesis Invitational. Matsuyama earns $4 million bringing his 2024 on-course earnings to $4.37 million and his career on-course earnings to $48.5 million. 

The Genesis Invitational Top 10 Payouts

Full Results

2024 Earnings Leaders Update

Full List

Michael GinnittiFebruary 18, 2024

Can you imagine if we knew nothing about the turmoil between Russell Wilson and the Broncos right now? Sometime around March 16th, Adam Schefter would casually drop a tweet letting the world know that Denver was in the process of releasing their fully guaranteed QB, and the football world would have been shook for days.

Unfortunately, Denver is so psyched to move on from him, they let the cat out of the bag last Fall. We’ll detail how this mess might shake out from a financial perspective, offering our best educated guess on how things might go in the coming weeks.

A few quick notes before we get deep into the weeds...

  • Wilson's $39M 2024 compensation is already fully guaranteed
  • Wilson's $22M option bonus for 2024 is due March 17th
  • Wilson's $37M 2025 salary becomes fully guaranteed on March 17th
  • The deal contains $85M of dead cap ($46M bonus proration, $39M cash)

Just Give it To Me Now Doc

If the Broncos really want to cause a stir, they can simply outright release Wilson before March 17th. All that would lead to is a $39M cash payment, and an $85M dead cap hit (a loss of $49.6M against their 2024 cap table). Something tells me they won’t be going this route…

The Classic Post 6/1 Designation

If the Broncos were to do absolutely nothing to this contract, but then designate Wilson a Post 6/1 release prior to March 17th (when his $37M salary for 2025 becomes fully guaranteed), Denver would carry his entire $35.4M salary cap hit into June, then take on dead cap hits of $53M for 2024, & $32M in 2025. Seems backwards right? The issue here is that $22M of Wilson’s 2024 compensation comes in the form of an option bonus. If that option isn’t exercised, it turns into a guaranteed salary. So Denver would be allocating $39M of salary + $14M of bonus proration into the 2024 season per this move. The reason to go this route? Front load the damage, and make the 2025 situation a little more palatable.

Exercise Early

Wilson’s 2024 compensation breaks down as a $17M base salary, & a $22M option bonus - all of which is fully guaranteed. If Denver exercises the option bonus then designates him a Post June 1st release (before March 17th), they can push $17.6M of that cap into 2025, leading to a $35.4M dead hit in 2024, & a $49.6M hit in 2025. This represents $0 savings for the upcoming season, but actually opens up $5.8M of cap for the 2025 season. Just for clarity, Wilson still gets his $39M cash payment in 2024. This is simply a maneuver to adjust the cap allocations a bit.

Cap Convert It All

If the Broncos feel like they need to free up cap space in 2024 by moving on from their $39M guaranteed QB (snarky tone), they can exercise the $22M option bonus AND convert $15.79M of his $17M base salary into a signing bonus this March. Then, a Post June 1st release designation would come with a 2024 dead cap hit of $22.768M, but a 2025 dead cap hit at $62.2M. Again, not ideal - but nothing here will be. Just for clarity, Wilson still gets his $39M cash payment in 2024. This is simply a maneuver to adjust the cap allocations a bit.

Find a Trade Partner

We’re not going to spend too much time here as A) it’s highly unlikely and B) any possibility for a trade will have to include some sort of retained salary, which comes with endless outcomes.

For practicality purposes, let’s just throw this scenario out there. Denver exercises the $22M option bonus, spreading it out over the next 5 seasons of the contract for cap purposes. They then carry Wilson’s $35.4M salary cap hit into June, and pray that somebody’s free agency & draft went horribly wrong a month ago. Now, Wilson is on a $17M guarantee for 2024, & a $37M guarantee for 2025. Is there a team willing to take on Russell Wilson at 2 years, $54M?

Just Let it Ride

By all accounts, the relationship between Denver & Russell Wilson is long past the point of return, but that doesn’t necessarily mean the Broncos have to shred this contract up. Deciding not to play Wilson is not a breach of terms here by any means. The structure of this contract says that these two sides should remain married through 2024 (and 2025, but we won’t go there). Is this situation really that much different than what the TItans just went through with Ryan Tanehill?

Tannehill played out 2023 on a $36.6M cap hit in Tennessee. Injury & poor play saw him lose the starting role midseason, and the Titans simply rolled on. Now that isn’t exactly an apples to apples comparison, as Tannehill will now walk into free agency, leaving behind only $9.2M of voided dead cap. But the point here is that teams have become much less sensitive to dealing with ugly cap charges, even if they don’t net any positive football return.

Wilson will be demanding a trade or release this offseason - there’s no question to be had there - but the Broncos will not be required to comply.

The Likely Outcome

Time travel back to August 31st 2022 and never offer Wilson this contract extension, leaving him on a 2 year, $51M contract that would have expired after the 2023 season, leaving Denver with $0 of dead cap and Wilson the chance to hit free agency?

But back to reality here, it’s not my money so the Classic Post June 1st Designation could be the best way forward here. If we’re reading the Broncos properly, it appears as though a few notable players could be moved on from, signifying a bit of a purge/reset season. In that same breath, declining Wilson’s $22M option bonus, taking the $53M dead cap hit this season, and the $32M hit in 2025 seems to align with this mindset.

A $53M dead cap hit would easily become the highest ever single season cap figure (for an active or inactive player), but that’s the price to pay for bailing out of a monster QB contract 2 years before you’re supposed to.

Keith SmithFebruary 15, 2024

NBA transaction season has just about wrapped up. There will be a handful more waivers, signings and probably even some contract extensions, but the big stuff is done. The focuses for teams become split after the trade deadline and the All-Star Break.

For the players and coaches, they focus on building towards the postseason. For teams that are out of the running for postseason spots, they pivot toward development.

For front offices, part of the focus goes towards the 2024 NBA Draft. There’s a lot of scouting to be done, both on the college and international levels. The other part starts preparing for the offseason. Who will have cap space, who will have only the MLE, who might be a second apron team and who becomes available because of all the above?

That means it’s time to take an updated look at where each of the NBA’s 30 teams project to land as far as spending power for the 2024 offseason. Of course, these projections will change as teams sign extensions, make two-way conversions and potentially sign and waive players. However, it’s good to take an updated look at where teams stand today.

A few notes:

  • We are using the NBA’s official projections for the salary cap and tax lines. Some are projecting greater growth than the 3.5% represented here, but we will always use the official projections from the league.
    • Salary Cap of $141,000,000
    • Luxury Tax of $171,315,000
    • First Apron of $178,655,000
    • Second Apron of $189,485,000
  • Max salary tiers grow with the cap. They are as follows:
    • 0-6 Years of Service: $35,250,000
    • 7-9 Years of Service: $42,300,000
    • 10+ Years of Service: $49,350,000
  • A projection has been made on all 2024-25 player and team options. Similarly, a projection was made on all partial and non-guaranteed contracts. And, finally, a projection made on renouncing free agents has also been made for cap space teams.
  • 2024 NBA Draft picks were based on ESPN’s BPI forecast for expected final record. All conditions on picks owned and owed were then reflected to determine the draft order and the subsequent cap holds.
  • No trades, extensions or signings have been projected. Essentially, rosters are as they stand at the time of publication.
  • With the advent of the new CBA, the landscape has changed around the NBA. There used to be three basic categories of teams each summer: Cap Space teams, Non-Taxpayer Mid-Level Exception teams and Taxpayer Mid-Level Exception teams. Each season there would also be a handful of “swing” teams that could fall in one bucket or another.

In this new world, we have a fourth category: Second Apron teams. These are the NBA’s most expensive teams that the new CBA was largely designed to punish.

Under the new CBA, if you are at or over the second apron, you lose access to the Taxpayer MLE. In addition, the trade rules tighten up for these teams. Salary-matching in trades is limited to 100%, they aren’t allowed to aggregate salaries together in trades, they can’t participate in sign-and-trade deals, and they won’t be able to use TPEs.

Essentially, Second Apron teams are going to limited to making 1-for-1 trades where they take back the same money as they send out (or less), signing their own draft picks and signing players to minimum salaries.

With all that said, here is the updated projected spending power for each NBA team in 2024 free agency!

Cap Space Teams (5)

  1. Detroit Pistons: $61.3 million
  2. Orlando Magic: $45.1 million
  3. Utah Jazz: $42.7 million
  4. Philadelphia 76ers: $42.4 million
  5. Toronto Raptors: $41.5 million

This is the smallest group of teams we can confidently project to have cap space in a decade of doing this exercise. As more and more teams prioritize extensions and trades, cap space (and the number of impact free agents) has dried up. Still, as we write every time we talk about cap space, having this kind of room doesn’t just mean signing free agents. Cap space can also be used to facilitate trades, either for yourself or others.

The Pistons jumped up to the top of the list after a series of moves where they shed some long-term money to create even more cap flexibility. As it stands now, the only non-Rookie Scale player Detroit projects to have on their roster is Isaiah Stewart, who is starting a four-year, $60 million Rookie Scale extension. Simone Fontecchio will probably get a qualifying offer, as the third-year NBA player is the closest thing this roster has in terms of age and experience. That makes for yet another year of massive amounts of cap space for Troy Weaver to work with.

Orlando comes in second in projections by virtue of having a roster full of players on rookie scale contracts and team-friendly deals. This includes all of the Magic’s best players. In the recent past, Orlando has eschewed cap space to re-sign or extend their own players. That seems poised to change, as the Magic are finally in position to really push the rebuild forward with an impact addition or two. And they need to do that before they have to start extending players like Franz Wagner and Paolo Banchero in coming years. In order to create meaningful space, Orlando will have to move on from one, or both, of Markelle Fultz and Jonathan Isaac. Both players have been extremely injury prone during their Magic tenure. One thing to keep an eye on: Orlando could let both go for cap space (renouncing Fultz and waiving Isaac), then bring them back on new deals at lower numbers, but with additional years added on.

Utah made some moves to clear out a little long-term salary, or at least salary questions, at the deadline. That sees the Jazz set up to have nearly $43 million in cap space. A large chunk of that will probably be reserved to do a renegotiation-and-extension with Lauri Markkanen. But Utah should still have a nice amount left over after to do some more work with.

The Sixers have been bandied about as having double-max cap space and the like for months now. For a while, that seemed extremely unlikely. It’s still not really a thing, but they can get close. There’s a world where the only salary commitments Philadelphia has on the books are Joel Embiid at $51.4 million and Tyrese Maxey’s cap hold at $13 million. That would see the Sixers able to create nearly $65 million in space. That’s still not double-max cap space, but it’s really, really close. We’re going to stay a bit more conservative and project the 76ers to keep a few other guys and land just north $42 million in space.

No team changed their cap space outlook more than Toronto did. They moved on from Pascal Siakam and OG Anunoby as their big deals. But the Raptors shed some salary into next year and beyond in other moves too. This projection accounts for declining Bruce Brown’s team option, which would give Masai Ujiri and staff the most flexibility they’ve had in ages. If Brown’s option is picked up, Toronto will probably operate as over the cap team. But they’ve got a lot of wings now. Look for them to take the cap space route.

Cap Space – Non-Taxpayer MLE Swing Teams (3)

This is an interesting mix of two rebuilding teams and a team that is in contention right now. That’s not generally where we typically find a potential cap space team, but the Thunder are anything but typical.

  1. Charlotte Hornets
  2. Oklahoma City Thunder
  3. San Antonio Spurs

Charlotte is in a bit of a weird spot. For another season, the Miles Bridges question hangs over this team. He signed the qualifying offer, so Bridges will be an unrestricted free agent next summer. Signs point toward Bridges and the Hornets wanting to sign a new contract. If that happens, they’ll likely operate as an over-the-cap team. If Charlotte moves on from some players, including Bridges, they can create about $28.6 million in cap space.

The Thunder finally went under the cap last offseason. They used that space to act as a clearing house for some contracts, in exchange for even more draft picks. This summer should go differently. Oklahoma City could create in the range of $30 million in cap space. That means renouncing both Gordon Hayward and Aleksej Pokusevski, which isn’t out of the question. Hayward could be re-signed to a much lower salary than he currently makes, and leave the Thunder with some space to add another player. A lot will likely depend on how this playoff run goes for OKC and Hayward.

Victor Wembanyama and the other young Spurs keep developing so rapidly, that their cap space projection has changed. The San Antonio no longer projects to have the first or second overall pick in the draft. On the flip side, the Spurs do look more likely to pick up the Raptors first-round pick though. So, a projection of around $20.7 million in cap space feels pretty safe. If Toronto keeps, their pick, San Antonio will bump up closer to $26.4 million in cap space. Either way, it’s enough to add to a fun, young roster.

Non-Taxpayer MLE Teams (6)

This is usually the largest group of teams we have, and it may well still end up that way. But for now, we can confidently project only six teams to be in range of using the full Non-Taxpayer MLE.

  1. Brooklyn Nets
  2. Houston Rockets
  3. Indiana Pacers
  4. New York Knicks
  5. Sacramento Kings
  6. Washington Wizards

All four of these teams have two things in common: They look to have only handful of roster spots to fill and they have plenty of clearance under the first apron. That puts all of these teams in range to use the full Non-Taxpayer MLE without tripping into any hard cap issues.

In addition, unlike the swing teams, there isn’t a reasonable path to cap space for any of these teams. Indiana would be the closest, but they’d be punting on some valuable players to create cap space. That seems highly unlikely. Houston and Washington could have been swing Cap Space-Non-Taxpayer teams, but both took on money for next season in trades that has them likely to stay over the cap.

Non-Taxpayer MLE – Taxpayer MLE Swing Teams (3)

This group is close to tripping into the luxury tax, or even over the first apron. Most of that is related to pending free agents that these teams could re-sign. And for a handful, they are close enough to the first apron, that the hard cap would become an issue if they used the Non-Taxpayer MLE.

  1. Chicago Bulls
  2. Cleveland Cavaliers
  3. New Orleans Pelicans

The Bulls, Cavaliers and Pelicans are all going to have free agent decisions to make. If they re-sign, or extend, those players to expected-value contracts, they’ll be butting up against the tax or even the first apron. That will take them out of range of using the Non-Taxpayer MLE.

The lone exception here is if Chicago were to lose DeMar DeRozan. If that happened, the Bulls would have more than enough room to use the full Non-Taxpayer MLE. That situation could resolve itself early, however, if DeRozan and the Bulls can reach an agreement on an extension.

Taxpayer MLE Teams (4)

The addition of the second apron has created a smaller-than-usual window for teams to be in position to use the Taxpayer MLE, but without creating issues against the second apron hard cap.

  1. Atlanta Hawks
  2. Dallas Mavericks
  3. Miami Heat
  4. Portland Trail Blazers

The Hawks are in a tricky spot. As it stands, they have a pretty small window to work within. And that’s before re-signing Saddiq Bey. But Atlanta also seems pretty likely to move off some long-term this summer. That could free up some much-needed flexibility. But dancing around the tax and the first apron is still pretty likely too.

The Mavericks project to be around $9 million under the second apron, but they also only have a few roster spots to fill. That leaves enough room to use the Taxpayer MLE to add a player, with enough wiggle room to stay under the hard cap that would be created at the second apron.

It might be a surprise to see the rebuilding Trail Blazers in this spot, but they took on a good amount of salary in the Damian Lillard trade, and the subsequent Jrue Holiday trade. Portland also re-signed Jerami Grant to a big contract too. And, somewhat surprisingly, the Blazers didn’t make any moves at the trade deadline. As it stands, Portland sits just over the luxury tax line. That won’t be a thing for long, as a rebuilding team can’t pay the tax. But it will limit what kind of spending power Portland has this summer. Instead of free agent signings, look for the Trail Blazers to keep retooling their roster through trades.

Second Apron Teams (9)

This is our largest group of teams for 2024 offseason projections. This is a direct result of two things. First, the second apron exists now, and some teams are over or up against it. Second, several teams took the “gap year” (or maybe better put the “get your books in order year”) to load up. That’s got us in a spot where roughly one-third of the league will be unable to add a free agent for more than the minimum this summer.

  1. Boston Celtics
  2. Denver Nuggets
  3. Golden State Warriors
  4. LA Clippers
  5. Los Angeles Lakers
  6. Memphis Grizzlies
  7. Milwaukee Bucks
  8. Minnesota Timberwolves
  9. Phoenix Suns

All nine of these teams are already over or right up against the second apron. Or they will be once they re-sign some key free agents. From there, this group of nine will be limited to making 1-for-1 trades where they take in similar (but not more) money, signing their own draft picks and signing players to minimum contracts.

Something to keep an eye on: If a team in this group underwhelms in the postseason, they could look to move a player or two to start the process of cleaning up their cap sheet. But most of these teams are contenders, or could be contenders with better health or a roster move or two. That’s going to keep most of them in a position to remain pretty expensive.

 

Scott AllenFebruary 12, 2024

Nick Taylor wins the WM Phoenix Open after birdieing the 18th to push a playoff with Charlie Hoffman. Taylor earns $1.584 million bringing his career on-course earnings to $16.5 million. 

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Scott AllenFebruary 12, 2024

Dustin Johnson wins the second LIV Golf event of 2024 at Las Vegas earning himself $4 million, plus $375k for the team bonus. Johnson's career LIV Golf earnings (individual + team) is now at $22.6 million.

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Michael GinnittiFebruary 11, 2024

With Super Bowl 58 upon us, Spotrac dives into 10 players set to take the field who are eyeing up sizable paydays in the coming weeks and months.

Chris Jones

DEFENSIVE TACKLE, KC, 29

Jones was looking for $30M per year this time last offseason. An unsuccessful holdout & a great 2023 campaign and a $33M+ franchise tag value keeps that hope alive this time around. One of the best interior DLs of this generation should have no trouble securing his asking price on the open market, but we’ll predict a slightly less figure to return to KC (again).

Projected Contract: 3 years, $85M ($75M guaranteed)

Fred Warner

LINEBACKER, SF, 28

Arguably the best off-ball linebacker in all of football, Warner enters a contract year in 2024, set to earn $19.5M against a sizable $24.4M cap figure. Extending the leader of their defense to lower that hit seems a no brainer for the upcoming offseason - but it won’t be cheap.

Projected Contract: 4 years, $80M ($45M guaranteed)

Brandon Aiyuk

WIDE RECEIVER, SF, 25

Heading toward a fully guaranteed $14.1M 5th-year-option season, 49ers WR Brandon Aiyuk remains the 4th option in this Niners offense, but he’s excelled over the past two seasons. Can San Francisco justify another $20M+ weapon on this team, or is a surprise trade forthcoming this March?

Projected Contract: 3 years, $69M ($44M guaranteed)

L'Jarius Sneed

CORNERBACK, KC, 27

Sneed is a strong outside coverage cornerback with the aggressiveness and mindset of a do-it-all safety. This type of resume has generally led to bigger paydays on the open market of late. Sneed is a $16M+ per year player in our system, but Xavien Howard’s $18M per year deal in Miami is a likely target here.

Projected Contract: 4 years, $65M ($35M guaranteed)

Creed Humphrey

CENTER, KC, 25

PFF’s #4 rated center for 2023, Humphrey has filled up every ounce of his rookie contract and then some to date. He became extension eligible for the first time this winter, and should be in the conversation for the largest center contract in NFL history.

Projected Contract: 4 years, $60M ($45M guaranteed)

Charvarius Ward

CORNERBACK, SF, 28

Ward finished up 2023 as PFF’s #6 rated cornerback, notably due to his ability to shut down receivers in coverage. He’s entering a contract year in 2024, set to earn $13M against an $18M cap figure. The Niners can lower that salary cap hit with a multi-year extension this spring.

Projected Contract: 3 years, $45M ($30M guaranteed)

Harrison Butker

KICKER, KC, 29

Butker has entering a contract year in 2024, set to finish out a 6 year, $21M contract in Kansas City. He finished out 2023 as one of the most effective kickers in the game, putting him in line for an extension at or around the $6M per year mark.

Projected Contract: 4 years, $22M ($12M guaranteed)

Drue Tranquill

LINEBACKER, KC, 28

Signed to a 1 year, $3M “showcase” deal by KC this past March, Tranquill proved he’s worthy of a multi-year guarantee this time around. The former 4th round pick by the Chargers could see upwards of $7M per year this March.

Projected Contract: 2 years, $14M

Chase Young

DEFENSIVE END, SF, 24

Young was a surprise move at this past deadline, joining a loaded Niners defense with a chance to reestablish his good name before his first trip to the open market. He’s likely headed for a “showcase” contract we’ve seen so many talented edge rushers take in past offseasons.

Projected Contract: 1 year, $13M + incentives

Javon Kinlaw

DEFENSIVE TACKLE, SF, 26

Kinlaw hasn’t lived up to his #14 overall ceiling, but a strong finish to his rookie contract (3.5 sacks, 25 tackles) sets him up for a potential showcase contract this March.

Projected Contract: 1 year, $5.3M

Keith SmithFebruary 10, 2024

The 2024 NBA trade deadline is at 3:00 PM ET on Thursday, February 8. That means teams are facing their last window to make significant upgrades to their roster. But there’s one more transaction window that comes after the trade deadline has come and gone.

The buyout market has become the trade deadline’s less glamorous cousin. The big moves are done at the deadline, but there are always a handful more deals to come through the end of February.

Following the February 8 trade deadline, the next big date to watch is March 1. Players waived after March 1 are not eligible to play in that season’s playoffs. Effectively, that’s the last day for players to get set free to catch on with playoff teams following the trade deadline.

The way this happens is that the player is waived by his current team. Upon clearing waivers, which the vast majority of players do, they become a free agent. In many of these cases, players and their former team will come to an agreement to buy out the remainder of their contract. This means the player gives back some portion of their guaranteed salary in order to become a free agent.

Sometimes these buyouts occur immediately on the heels of the trade deadline and the player clears waivers by the end of the weekend. For others, the buyout negotiations may run through the All-Star break and get completed before the end of the month. But in almost all cases, any significant buyouts will occur by March 1, to allow that player to remain playoff-eligible.

This season, there is a wrinkle to the buyout market. Under the new CBA, teams that are above the first tax apron are not eligible to sign any players whose previous salary was above the Non-Taxpayer MLE equivalent. For this season, that amount is $12,405,000. The following teams are currently above the first apron:

Below are some players to keep an on eye on for the 2024 buyout market. In most cases, these are veterans on an expiring contract. Some may have some salary that goes into next season. It’s rare for a deal running more than two seasons to be bought out, but it does occasionally happen.

In addition, most of these players are either out of their team’s rotation, or they are blocking minutes for a younger player to get into their team’s rotation. For some, their teams are expected to make other changes before the deadline, which will push them even further to the backend of the roster.

It’s also worth noting that every player listed here is also a possibility to be traded. We’re not going to repeat that point with each player listed. In some cases, they could be traded and then bought out. Mostly, this is a list of players who could take a buyout if they are still on a roster somewhere at the end of the day on trade deadline day of Thursday, February 8.

Lastly, just about every player on this list will be recognizable to even casual NBA fans. They’ve all played big roles at some point in their careers. However, for many of these players, we’re at the point in their careers where they are more name than game. No one listed here is overly likely to swing a playoff game, never mind a playoff series. Keep that in mind when dreaming about how your team could fill out their bench on the buyout market.

Davis Bertans (Oklahoma City Thunder, PF, 31 years old)

Remaining Salaries: $17 million in 2023-24, $5.25 million guaranteed in 2024-25

Bertans has seldom played as a part of the Thunder’s rotation this season. He’s essentially a three-point specialist now, but still a fairly good one. OKC has worked buyouts with veterans in the past, especially after exhausting the trade market for them. In Bertans’ case, exhausting the trade market could stretch into next summer as the Thunder could guarantee a larger portion of his contract to use him in an offseason deal.

UPDATE: Traded to the Hornets

Andre Drummond (Chicago Bulls, C, 30 years old)

Remaining Salaries: $3.4 million in 2023-24

Drummond has been having a very productive season for the Bulls. He’s one of the best backup centers in the NBA now. Chicago should be able to find a trade for him, if they desire. If they don’t, Drummond could agitate for buyout, because he could help a contender in a bigger role. But the Bulls are also apparently leaning into a postseason push via the Play-In Tournament. Don’t be surprised if Drummond finishes the year in Chicago as the Bulls backup center.

Evan Fournier (New York Knicks, SG/SF, 31 years old)

Remaining Salaries: $18.6 million in 2023-24, $19 million team option in 2024-25

Fournier isn’t a part of the Knicks rotation. He only sees minutes when the team is down several players on the wing. But his contract is a really nice piece of salary-matching in any potential trade. Don’t bet on a buyout for that reason. If New York doesn’t make a move using Fournier’s contract at the trade deadline, look for them to pick up his team option for next season. That will allow the Knicks to keep Fournier as a salary-matching piece in a deal over the summer and all the way through the 2025 trade deadline, if necessary.

UPDATE: Traded to the Pistons, unlikely to work a buyout

Danilo Gallinari (Detroit Pistons, PF/C, 35 years old)

Remaining Salaries: $6.8 million in 2023-24

Gallinari has flashed in moments since getting traded to Detroit in mid-January. He doesn’t have a real place on the Pistons though, as they’ve got younger players who need minutes. If Detroit can’t swing another trade for Gallinari, he’s a prime buyout candidate. The extra bonus? Gallo’s salary is under the Non-Taxpayer MLE amount. That makes him free to join any team in the league for the stretch run.

UPDATE: Waived by the Pistons

Joe Harris (Detroit Pistons, SF/SG, 32 years old)

Remaining Salaries: $19.9 million in 2023-24

Harris hasn’t played much for the Pistons. He’s still a pretty good shooter though and teams are always looking for shooting. The challenge is that Harris makes too much to join any of the apron teams. But there are playoff teams where he could provide some shooting in a bench role. And Detroit clearly has no need for him, with younger players getting all the minutes in front of Harris.

UPDATE: Waived by the Pistons

Gordon Hayward (Charlotte Hornets, SF/SG, 33 years old)

Remaining Salaries: $31.5 million in 2023-24

Under the old CBA, Hayward would have been a prime buyout candidate. He’s a health-risk to be sure, but Hayward is very productive when he plays. He’s shooting well and still has a good all-around game. He’d be a great fit in the rotation for any title contender. But therein lies the rub. Some of the teams that Hayward could fit best on would be restricted from signing him, because he makes more than then Non-Taxpayer MLE. It’s also important to note that Hayward would lose his Bird Rights if he takes a buyout. Hayward might be able to land a contract from a team that starting in the $15-$18 million range via a sign-and-trade this summer. That means retaining his Bird Rights might be more valuable than catching on with a second-tier contender after a buyout.

UPDATE: Traded to the Thunder, unlikely to work a buyout

Jock Landale (Houston Rockets, C, 28 years old)

Remaining Salaries: $8 million per season through 2026-27 all non-guaranteed

Landale can be a productive player, but he hasn’t been a fit in Houston. Jeff Green has taken on the primary backup center role in the minimal minutes behind Alperen Sengun. That makes Landale available. If the Rockets don’t put Landale into a trade, he could get a jump on finding his next team by taking a buyout. Houston could also guarantee his deal for next season, and continue to look at him as tradable salary too. Call this one 50-50 at best.

Kyle Lowry (Charlotte Hornets, PG, 37 years old)

Remaining Salaries: $29.7 million in 2023-24

Lowry is the classic buyout guy on this list. So much so that the Hornets have all but acknowledged that’s what will happen, assuming they can’t re-trade the veteran point guard before Thursday’s deadline. Lowry makes too much to join any of the apron teams, but none of them have a really glaring need for a point guard anyway. Look for Lowry to get set free and to join one of the second-tier contenders that can use a veteran backup lead guard.

Doug McDermott (San Antonio Spurs, SF/PF, 32 years old)

Remaining Salaries: $13.7 million in 2023-24

This one is kind of tough. McDermott plays regular minutes for the Spurs. He’s not really blocking any younger players. He’s also still really productive as a shooter (44.1% on 3.8 3PA per game). San Antonio is exploring the trade market for McDermott, but hasn’t found a deal just yet. If they can’t, the Spurs may do the veteran a solid by cutting him free. However, McDermott makes just above the Non-Taxpayer MLE amount, which limits his potential post-buyout teams. That could complicate things a bit.

UPDATE: Traded to the Pacers, unlikely to work a buyout

Patty Mills (Atlanta Hawks, PG, 35 years old)

Remaining Salaries: $6.8 million in 2023-24

Mills hasn’t played much for the Hawks. When he has, Mills has done ok. He’s not going to light anyone up, but Mills could be a nice third guard and someone you throw in a game when you need a scoring spark. His current deal is small enough that Mills could join any team in the league if he takes a buyout.

Monte Morris (Detroit Pistons, PG, 27 years old)

Remaining Salaries: $9.8 million in 2023-24

Morris is both too good and younger-than-usual to be on this list, but his circumstances find him here. He recently returned from a quad injury to start playing for the Pistons. It’s taking him a bit to find his rhythm, but Morris is one of the best available backup point guards on the trade market. If Detroit can’t find a deal they like, they could work a buyout to let Morris join a playoff team. He’s got a small enough salary that joining anyone is on the table. Look for the Pistons to try to find a trade first, however. And we’ve seen Detroit keep vets in curious situations before too.

UPDATE: Morris will not work a buyout after being traded to the Minnesota Timberwolves

Mike Muscala (Detroit Pistons, C, 32 years old)

Remaining Salaries: $3.5 million in 2023-24

Muscala has stepped in as the backup to Jalen Duren since Detroit acquired him in mid-January. The Pistons seem to like that he brings a stretch element to the floor, which their other centers don’t. That makes it far from a guarantee that Muscala gets a buyout. But if there are signs that a playoff team has a role for Muscala, he could push for a buyout.

Victor Oladipo (Memphis Grizzlies, SG, 31 years old)

Remaining Salaries: $9.5 million in 2023-24

This is the saddest story on this list. Oladipo has fully fallen into the point where he’s more “Victor Oladipo’s expiring contract” than he is a helpful basketball player. Oladipo is continuing his recovery from left patellar tendon surgery last year. There’s no sense that he’s close to playing. If the Grizzlies don’t re-trade Oladipo in a deal this week, they’ll likely waive him (probably without Oladipo giving back any money in a buyout) to open a roster spot.

UPDATE: Waived by the Grizzlies

Kelly Olynyk (Utah Jazz, PF/C, 32 years old)

Remaining Salaries: $12.2 million in 2023-24

Olynyk is highly unlikely to take a buyout, but his name comes up enough that we’re including him here. The reason that he’s not really a buyout candidate is that the Jazz should be able to find a trade for him assuming they want to move Olynyk at all. He’s been extremely productive as a backup frontcourt player for Utah this season. And the Jazz are in the mix for a postseason spot. If Utah doesn’t trade Olynyk for future assets, they’ll probably just keep him and figure out a potential sign-and-trade or re-signing this summer. One last thing to note: Olynyk’s salary is just enough below the Non-Taxpayer MLE amount that he could sign with anyone if he did work a buyout agreement.

UPDATE: Traded to the Raptors, unlikely to work a buyout

Cedi Osman (San Antonio Spurs, SF/SG, 28 years old)

Remaining Salaries: $6.7 million in 2023-24

Osman has had a pretty productive season for the Spurs as a reserve wing. The challenge? San Antonio has several other players who play the same position as Osman. If a trade doesn’t develop for the veteran wing, look for Osman to look for a buyout. His salary is low enough that he can catch on with any team. And several playoff teams will be looking for wing depth for their postseason push.

Philadelphia 76ers (Several veterans on expiring contracts)

It’s a little hard to peg where the Sixers are at. They could put a bunch of their expiring deals together in a trade to add help now. They could keep those players and let their deals expire to have a bunch of cap space this summer. A handful could be buyout candidates, but Philadelphia needs depth and versatility now that Joel Embiid is out for a while. We’re including the 76ers to acknowledge that something could happen here, but it’s far too nebulous to get into individual details.

Otto Porter Jr. (Toronto Raptors, PF/SF, 30 years old)

Remaining Salaries: $6.3 million in 2023-24

Porter was a surprising signing with Toronto in the summer of 2022, and it hasn’t gone well. Porter has rarely been healthy enough to have an impact for the Raptors. Now, he’s on an expiring deal on a team that is resetting their roster. Considering he’s played only 23 games in a season-plus in Toronto, it’s hard to know exactly where Porter is at. But he did play a key role in helping the Warriors in the 2022 NBA Finals. He’s the kind of guy contenders will take a chance on. He has the added benefit of having a low enough salary that he can sign with anyone, should he take a buyout.

UPDATE: Traded to the Jazz

P.J. Tucker (LA Clippers, PF/C, 38 years old)

Remaining Salaries: $11 million in 2023-24, $11.5 million player option in 2024-25

Tucker hasn’t played much since joining the Clippers in the James Harden trade in early-November. Normally, the second year of money would keep a guy like Tucker off this list. Look for LA to exhaust every possible trade option before Thursday’s deadline. As a second apron team, this is the Clippers last chance to take on additional money in trades, and last chance to aggregate salaries together in a deal. If Tucker isn’t traded before the deadline, it becomes an interesting conversation on what happens next, given the $11.5 million he’s owed for next year. But he’s made it clear he still wants to play, and there are contenders interested. And, just in case you haven’t figured it out by now, Tucker makes just under the Non-Taxpayer MLE amount, so he’s free to sign with any team. Also, there’s a good chance Tucker is a post-trade buyout guy if he’s moved before the deadline to a non-playoff team.

Delon Wright (Washington Wizards, PG, 31 years old)

Remaining Salaries: $8.2 million in 2023-24

Wright missed a lot of time earlier this season due to injuries. But he’s healthy now and he could help a number of teams as a backup guard. He has a very reasonable salary, so the Wizards will explore trade options before even discussing a buyout. But Washington took care of Will Barton in a similar spot last season. They could do the same for Wright this year.

Thaddeus Young (Toronto Raptors, C/PF, 35 years old)

Remaining Salaries: $8 million in 2023-24

The Raptors started the process of resetting their roster when they traded OG Anunoby and Pascal Siakam. Those trades, and a subsequent minor injury to Jakob Poeltl, have actually opened up rotation minutes for Young. The veteran big man made the most of it with some solid play. If Toronto continues to prioritize long-term players, there’s a chance Young could take a buyout. At that point, he could join any playoff team to add some frontcourt depth.

UPDATE: Traded to the Nets, waived by the Nets

Spencer Dinwiddie (PG, 30 years old)

Dinwiddie was traded by the Brooklyn Nets to the Toronto Raptors and subsequently waived. The veteran lead guard hasn’t shot it well at all this season, but he’s already got suitors lining up to sign him. If a team needs some bench scoring and a guy who can also be a fill-in starter, Dinwiddie would be a nice pickup.

Killian Hayes (PG, 22 years old)

Hayes was cut loose by the Detroit Pistons when they needed to create roster spots in the deadline moves. He’s younger than the usual late-season addition, but Hayes has struggled in his NBA career. If a team has a good player development staff, and can afford to give Hayes minutes to figure things out, he’s a great “second draft” guy. Sometimes point guards take a while, and Hayes is worth taking a shot on.

Furkan Korkmaz (SG/SF, 26 years old)

The Indiana Pacers will reportedly waive Korkmaz after they acquired him in a three-team deadline deal with the Philadelphia 76ers and San Antonio Spurs. Korkmaz’s rep has always been that of a guy who can shoot and provide some scoring punch. He mostly delivered on that when he was a regular rotation guy for the Sixers. The last two years, Korkmaz has barely played. He’s worth taking a flyer on for a team that needs some bench production.

Robin Lopez (C, 35 years old)

We could be at the end of the line for Lopez. He hasn’t held a regular rotation role for the last three seasons. In limited opportunities, Lopez didn’t look very good this season. But if a team really needs a veteran center, Lopez is a great locker room guy to add for some bench depth.

Chimezie Metu (C, 26 years old)

After a few good years with the Sacramento Kings, Metu never quite found his footing with the Phoenix Suns. However, he can score and has a little range. Metu is also a decent rebounder too. He’ll catch on with a team looking to add to their frontcourt depth.

Marcus Morris Sr. (PF, 34 years old)

Morris will reportedly be waived by the San Antonio Spurs after they acquired him in a three-team deadline deal with the Indiana Pacers and Philadelphia 76ers. Morris was a productive rotation player for years for several teams. This season, he looked good in his opportunities with the Sixers. Morris can still score and he’s shooting 40% from deep this season. He’d make a nice addition for a team that needs some frontcourt scoring off their bench.

 

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