Scott AllenJune 19, 2023

Wyndham Clark wins the U.S. Open. This is Clark's second win of the season as well as his second career PGA Tour win. He earns $3.6 million for the 2023 season; his on-course earnings are now at $10.09 million and his career total is $15.11 million.

U.S. Open Top 10 Payouts

1. Wyndham Clark: $3,600,000

T2. Rory McIlroy: $2,160,000

3. Scottie Scheffler: $1,413,430

4. Cameron Smith: $990,867

T5. Tommy Fleetwood, Min Woo Lee, Rickie Fowler: $738,934

T8. Harris English, Tom Kim: $562,809

T10. Xander Schauffele, Jon Rahm, Austin Eckroat, Dustin Johnson: $435,018

Full Results

2023 Earnings Leaders Update

1. Scottie Scheffler: $17,706,725

2. Jon Rahm: $15,210,984

3. Wyndham Clark: $10,092,979

4. Viktor Hovland: $9,685,096

5. Rory McIlroy: $8,994,758

Full List

Keith SmithJune 18, 2023

Only a few days after it was reported the Washington Wizards would work with Bradley Beal on finding a trade, the team found one. Washington is sending Beal to the Phoenix Suns for Chris Paul, Landry Shamet and still-to-be-reported collection of second-round picks and pick swaps.

Let’s break down the first major move of the 2023 NBA offseason!

(NOTE: This article will be updated if the deal expands into a three-team trade sending Chris Paul to a team other than Washington.)

The Mechanics

From a salary cap, trade rules and salary-matching perspective, this is a fascinating trade. This trade is presumably being made as a part of the 2022-23 league year, which means the salaries used on both sides are more complex than your standard deal.

On one side, the Wizards are trading one of the largest salaries in the NBA in Bradley Beal’s $43,279,250 contract for the 2022-23 season. On the Suns side, Landry Shamet’s $9,250,000 deal is also a simple one.

It’s Chris Paul, and the nature of his partially guaranteed contract for 2023-24 season, where things get complicated. Because Paul’s deal is only partially guaranteed, he counts at different amounts as outgoing and incoming salary in a trade.

On the Wizards side as incoming money, Paul counts at his 2022-23 salary of $28.4 million, because we’re still in that league year. On the Suns side, Phoenix needs to bump his guarantee amount for next season to make this trade legal. At the current $15.8 million, the Suns would have been about $12 million shy of matching salary for Beal. Because of that, Paul’s guarantee will be bumped to just over $25 million. That will allow for the outgoing salary-matching to be enough to bring in Beal.

For Beal, he has a 15% trade bonus in his contract that no longer applies. Because that bonus would take him over his max salary, it will be automatically waived. On the flip side, Beal’s no-trade clause (the only negotiated NTC in the NBA), will carry over to the Suns and remain intact.

As for the draft picks, the Suns have all of their own second-round selections from 2023 (it’s pick #52) through 2028 (they owe 2029 to the Oklahoma City Thunder). Phoenix can also offer Washington the ability to swap first-round picks in 2024 and 2026. The Suns can’t trade a first-round pick, as they owe their 2023, 2025, 2027 and 2029 picks to the Brooklyn Nets from the Kevin Durant trade. The Stepien Rule prohibits teams from trading away future first-round picks in consecutive drafts, blocking Phoenix from adding anything beyond pick swaps into this deal.

The Suns

If we focus simply on the basketball factors, the Suns did quite well in this trade. Bradley Beal is very, very good. He’s one of the best scorers in the NBA. He’s also a better playmaker than he generally gets credit for. There isn’t a team in the NBA that can match the scoring/shooting trio of Beal alongside Kevin Durant and Devin Booker.

The fit isn’t perfect. All three players are score-first guys who can also pass. It’s going to take a little while to iron that out. What helps is Durant has played with other good scorers and shooters for his entire career. Booker has played with Durant some, but also alongside a ball dominant point guard in Chris Paul. They both know how to work off-ball, as does Beal, who spent his formative NBA years playing alongside John Wall in Washington, and also with Russell Westbrook for a season.

All three of Durant, Booker and Beal can shoot, which also helps. In other recent “Big 3” groupings, there has historically been one player who isn’t much of a threat without the ball. That won’t be a problem with this trio.

Assuming everything gets ironed out on the court, where things go could go sideways on the Suns is with depth, injuries and the cap sheet. And all three are tangled together like a Gordian knot. But there’s no case of swordsmanship to solve this problem.

Barring further adjustments to this deal, Phoenix only has five players under contract. Durant, Booker and Beal are joined by Deandre Ayton and Cameron Payne as signed for next season. And that quintet combines to make $169.4 million. That’s a scant $10.1 million below the projected Super Tax of $179.5 million, with 10 roster spots to fill.

That means that Phoenix is going to be closer to the actual Sun than they are to the Super Tax line when all is said and done.

Even if the Suns break up Ayton’s $32.5 million deal into two or three contracts and players, they’ll still likely take back as much money as they send out, if not more. And they’ll need to sign at least nine players if they don’t trade Ayton in a 1-for-3 kind of deal.

Because they won’t have the Taxpayer MLE, by virtue of being over the Super Tax, and they don’t have a first-round pick in the 2023 NBA Draft, Phoenix will be limited to re-signing their own players and adding new players on minimum deals.

In effect, this is the first “new team” test of the new CBA and it’s going to play out live in front of us.

Because of their limited ability to bring in outside help, it could make it more likely that Phoenix will re-sign their own free agents like Torrey Craig, Bismack Biyombo and Jock Landale, who they have Early Bird rights for. That allows the Suns to give each of them a potentially bigger-than-expected bump in pay. As long as James Jones doesn’t go too far in raises for those three, he could turn them into valuable pieces of salary-matching for future trades down the line.

Phoenix has full Bird rights on pending restricted Darius Bazley, and he could also see a contract that comes in a bit richer than it was thought. Again, the idea would be to push the boundaries of what keeps Bazley a tradable asset in such a re-signing.

The Suns other free agents are all coming off minimum deals, but guys like Damion Lee, Josh Okogie, T.J. Warren and Terrence Ross can all still play. All could be candidates to return for the minimum. The same is true of Ishmail Wainright, who Phoenix has a team option for.

As for outside help, barring an Ayton trade, it’s going to come in the form of veteran minimum deals. But with plenty of rotation spots available and a chance to contend for a title, the Suns should be able to pick off a few value signings to fill out their bench. This will likely happen after the first wave or two of free agency passes, all the cap space is gone and teams are left with parts of Mid-Level and Room Exceptions to offer. At that point, a veteran minimum deal from a contender in Phoenix looks pretty good.

And that depth is going to be needed, because none of Durant, Booker or Beal has a sterling track record when it comes to health. All are a good bet to miss a decent chunk of time. Without quality backups, injuries could be this team’s ultimate Achilles heel.

Long-term, the Suns have a lot of money locked in. As a matter of fact, it’s nearly ¾ of a billion dollars (billion with a B) in guaranteed money on the Phoenix cap sheet through 2027-28. The Suns will owe Deandre Ayton, Bradley Beal, Devin Booker and Kevin Durant over $723 million combined.

That’s a staggering figure. Yes, the cap is going up, but the Suns will be dealing with the Super Tax for at least the next three to four seasons.

Bradley Beal is a better player than Chris Paul, even factoring in injury history. The fit is a little weird, but the Suns should be able to make it work. And they better, given the roster restrictions and cash commitment they’ve put on themselves for the next few years.

The Wizards

Washington’s part in all of this is far less complex than Phoenix’s is. The Wizards essentially salary-dumped Bradley Beal less than a year after handing him a five-year, $251 million dollar contract.

Chris Paul is still a good player, but he’s never going to suit up for Washington. He’ll either be traded in an expanded version of this deal, or traded in a separate deal, or waived. Landry Shamet is a fine role player, but who knows if he’ll ever play any sort of meaningful role for the Wizards? He could be flipped in a trade too.

The draft picks are nothing to write home about. Swaps only matter if you think you’ll be a better team in the years you hold the swaps. Maybe that happens here, maybe it doesn’t. It’s a good way off. Second-rounder picks have more value in this new Super Tax world, but only if you’re a super expensive team.

And there’s the key.

The Wizards are no longer going to be super expensive. At least not for a while.

Washington’s new front office, led by Michael Winger and Will Dawkins, was very open that they were given permission by team governor Ted Leonsis to rebuild, if they thought that was the best way forward. After years and years of being content to play for the middle, the Wizards are finally rebuilding.

The most long-term money that Washington has committed moving forward belongs to Daniel Gafford, who is owed just over $40 million through 2025-26. That’s relative peanuts for a starting-level center.

Kyle Kuzma is going to opt out for next season, and he’s probably leaving town, given where the Wizards are heading. Kristaps Porzingis may opt in for $36 million, as there are reports he may want that money now and to take his chances in free agency next summer. Even if Washington can’t find a deal for Porzingis, and they should be able to without much worry (Porzingis played at an All-Star level last year and stayed healthy), his deal will come off the books next season.

If they play their cards right, Washington can hit the summer of 2024 with somewhere between $26 and $40 million in committed salary on their books. That would leave the Wizards able to create between $75 and $90 million in potential cap space.

Talk about increased flexibility.

Now, cap space often turns into nothing more than broken dreams. But to even have the ability to have those cap space induced dreams is a win for the Wizards.

Every four to eight years we get told that our nation’s capital is ushering in a fresh start. For the past decade-plus, that’s never included the team that plays in Washington D.C. It’s always been same old, same old. We finally got that fresh start. And it’s going to be exciting to see what that fresh start brings for the Washington Wizards.

Keith SmithJune 14, 2023

A handful of players got a jump on “option season” already. Danuel House Jr. of the Philadelphia 76ers and Otto Porter Jr. of the Toronto Raptors exercised their player options to return to their teams well ahead of their due dates. Fred VanVleet of the Raptors chose to decline his player option a few days ahead of his player option due date.

As a point of order, a player or team option isn’t really declined. It’s simply not exercised. A player must exercise, or opt in, to his option year, while a team must take the same action when they have control. The lone exception here is an Early Termination Option. For an ETO, a player must decline or opt out. No action would result in that player staying under contract.

With three decisions already made, we’re going to take a shot at predicting what happens with the remaining 40 player and team options.

Atlanta Hawks

No pending options

Boston Celtics

Danilo Gallinari - $6.8M player option

Gallinari is coming off a torn ACL that cost him the entirety of the 2022-23 season. He’s going to pick up this option and will hopefully debut for Boston this coming fall.

Mike Muscala - $3.5M team option

The Celtics are likely to pick up their option for Muscala and bring him back next season. They invested two second-round picks in a trade for him at the 2022 trade deadline. He’ll be back to provide depth up front in Boston.

Brooklyn Nets

No pending options

Charlotte Hornets

No pending options

Chicago Bulls

Andre Drummond - $3.4M player option

Drummond will reportedly pick his option up. That makes sense, as this is a bit more than he’d make on veteran minimum deal in free agency. He could also have a bigger role with Chicago, pending what happens with Nikola Vucevic.

Derrick Jones Jr. - $3.4M player option

Jones is in roughly the same boat as Drummond, and he’ll also reportedly pick up his option. Considering he’d probably get a veteran minimum deal elsewhere, picking up his option gets Jones a bit more money now.

Cleveland Cavaliers

Lamar Stevens - $1.9M team option

This one is a real decision. Stevens showed he can be an NBA rotation player next year, so the Cavs would love to keep him around. If they pick up their option, he’ll be an unrestricted free agent in 2024. There’s probably not enough of a worry to necessitate handing restricted free agency now. Stevens will be back on his minimum deal.

Dallas Mavericks

No pending options

Denver Nuggets

Bruce Brown - $6.8M player option

Brown is going to opt out. The real question: Will he stay in Denver? Following the Nuggets winning the title, Brown said he wants to stay. The challenge is Denver can only offer him $7.8 million using his Non-Bird rights. This could be a Bobby Portis in Milwaukee type of situation. Play one more year on an under-market deal, then the Nuggets take care of Brown with Early Bird rights in the summer of 2024.

Detroit Pistons

Alec Burks - $10.5M team option

The Pistons didn’t trade Burks at the deadline, because they valued his veteran game with their young team. It’s hard to imagine much has changed. Look for Detroit to pick up their option for Burks and for him to be a part of things…at least until next trade season.

Isaiah Livers - $1.8M team option

Livers has shown enough flashes that he should be back for the minimum. Detroit will pick this option up and Livers will get another chance to earn a rotation spot this summer and in camp.

Eugene Omoruyi - $1.9M team option

Omoruyi can play, but the Pistons will probably decline his option. That doesn’t mean he might not be back, but for now the roster spot and the cap space are more important for Detroit.

Golden State Warriors

Donte DiVincenzo - $4.7M player option

DiVincenzo got squeezed a bit in free agency, but made the most of it. He bounced back to have a very good year. The Warriors won’t be able to offer him much of a raise if he opts out, but DiVincenzo will probably test the market and see if there’s more out there for him this summer.

Draymond Green - $27.6M player option

Green is widely expected to opt out. The question is if he’ll re-sign with the Warriors or not. The best guess here is that Green opts out and re-signs on a long-term deal, but one that allows Golden State some flexibility at the end.

Houston Rockets

Kenyon Martin Jr. - $1.9M team option

 This one depends on what the Rockets overall free agency plans are. If they are continuing with the rebuild, they probably decline Martin’s option. That would allow them to control the process in restricted free agency, as they work out a long-term deal with Martin. If Houston is chasing veterans with their cap space, they should pick up Martin’s option as a cheaper depth player. He’ll be an unrestricted free agent in 2024 that way, but that’s a risk worth taking if using cap space on win-now players this summer.

Indiana Pacers

No pending options

LA Clippers

No pending options

Los Angeles Lakers

Malik Beasley - $16.5M team option

Beasley never really found a groove with the Lakers, but he’s still a good shooter/scorer off the bench. Los Angeles looks increasingly less likely to go the cap space route, which means they’ll pick up this option for Beasley. He can be a rotation guy next season and, if nothing else, a nice piece of salary-matching in a later trade.

Memphis Grizzlies

Xavier Tillman Sr. - $1.9M team option

This is another situation where declining the option makes the player a restricted free agent, while picking it up makes him unrestricted a year from now. Tillman is probably never going to be a primary target in free agency, so there’s no need worry about controlling his free agent process. Memphis should pick this option up and keep Tillman for frontcourt depth.

Miami Heat

Victor Oladipo - $9.5M player option

Oladipo will pick this option up. There was a point where that would have been just fine with the Heat. Then Oladipo suffered another serious knee injury. Now, that’s some money Miami will have to work around on their books in what looks like a very important summer of re-signings and other moves.

Milwaukee Bucks

Jevon Carter - $2.2M player option

Carter will likely opt out of this deal, as it’s less than he could make by signing for the veteran minimum. Carter could find more than that from a guard-needy team in free agency. At the very least, he can re-sign with the Bucks for the minimum and do this dance again next summer.

Khris Middleton - $40.4M player option

On one hand, $40.4M is a lot for Middleton to opt out of. This is even more true with the news that he underwent another knee surgery shortly after the season. On the other hand, Middleton is one of the better free agents available this summer. He’ll opt out and recoup this money by signing for less next season, but by adding several years on a new deal. The question: Will that be with the Bucks or someone else?

Minnesota Timberwolves

Nathan Knight - $1.9M team option

Knight is a handy depth piece, and not someone other teams will target in free agency. Much like Xavier Tillman Sr. in Memphis, the Wolves would be smart to pick up their option and worry about unrestricted free agency later.

New Orleans Pelicans

Willy Hernangomez - $2.6M team option

The Pelicans value Hernangomez as a stay-ready center option and as a locker room influence. New Orleans has no realistic shot at cap space, so there’s no reason to not bring back Hernangomez.

Herb Jones - $1.8M team option

Jones is in a bit of a weird spot. He’s worth WAY more than a minimum deal, as an All-Defense level of player. But the Pelicans don’t have to give him that right now. Given how expensive New Orleans’ roster already is, and the fact that Jones can still be a restricted free agent in 2024, look for the Pels to pick up this option and have Jones as one of the best values in the NBA next season.

Naji Marshall - $1.9M team option

Marshall is in a bit of a different spot than Jones. He’ll be unrestricted next summer if New Orleans picks up their option for him this year. He’s improved each year, so exposing him to unrestricted free agency is a bit of a risk. Look for the Pelicans to decline the option, make Marshall a restricted free agent this summer and then to work out a longer deal.

New York Knicks

Josh Hart - $12.9M player option

Hart has one of the NBA’s most unique contracts, in that he can opt in, but his deal then becomes fully non-guaranteed. It’s like an MLB mutual option. But that doesn’t really matter, as Hart has said he plans to opt out. That makes sense, as he’ll get more money and more years on a new deal.

Miles McBride - $1.8M team option

The Knicks will pick up this option for McBride and will bring him back for minimum money. He’s a good third point guard and he’s a value play for a roster that is starting to get expensive.

Derrick Rose - $15.6M team option

Luxury tax concerns will drive the decision to decline Rose’s option for New York. The Knicks are dancing around the tax line, and that’s before re-signing Hart, which they intend to do. That means Rose’s option will be declined. But he could always re-sign for far less money as a free agent, if New York thinks he has anything left.

Oklahoma City Thunder

Lindy Waters III - $1.9M team option

What the Thunder do with Waters’ team option will be a signal for their free agency plans. If they decline it, OKC is probably looking at using their cap space to sign or trade for someone. If they pick it up, they’ll let Waters go into training camp to fight for a spot on a roster that will add Chet Holmgren and another player through the draft.

Orlando Magic

Goga Bitadze - $2.1M team option

The Magic are looking at creating a good amount of cap space. They like Bitadze, but to maximize that space, they need to let him go. He could always return later in free agency.

Michael Carter-Williams - $3.1M team option

It was great to see Carter-Williams make his way back to the NBA after an ankle injury. Orlando might bring him back to compete for a roster spot in training camp, but that will come after declining this option.

Admiral Schofield - $1.9M team option

Schofield earned his callup from a two-way deal, but it may be somewhat short-lived. Again, because of cap space being a priority, Schofield will likely have his option declined. Like Bitadze and Carter-Williams, he could be back to fight for a roster spot in training camp.

Philadelphia 76ers

James Harden - $35.6M player option

Here we go again, but in very different circumstances. Harden pulled a bit of a surprise by opting out and taking less last summer to allow Philadelphia to sign some free agents. This time around, he’s going to opt out to get a max deal. Whether that comes from the Sixers or another team (Houston Rockets?) remains to be seen.

Montrezl Harrell - $2.7M player option

Harrell didn’t see much run for the 76ers. If he wants a bigger role, he’ll probably opt out and move on in free agency. Harrell would also make slightly more in actual salary by signing a new minimum deal with another team.

Phoenix Suns

Ishmail Wainright - $1.9M team option 

Wainright has been better than expected for the Suns. He’s a willing defender, and willing shooter. Unfortunately, he’s not much of a shot-maker. This is truly a 50-50 decision, as Phoenix needs depth and Wainright is at least an NBA-level guy. But the guess here is the Suns decline and take the roster spot for a veteran on the minimum.

Portland Trail Blazers

Kevin Knox - $3M team option

The Blazers won’t pick up Knox’s option. Either they are conserving wiggle room around the tax to put win-now players around Damian Lillard. Or Portland is rebuilding and won’t want the extra money for a non-rotation guy on the books.

Sacramento Kings

Kessler Edwards - $1.8M team option

Edwards will get caught up in which direction the Kings go. They can reasonably create over $21 million in cap space. That could be enough to be a player in free agency. If they plan to re-sign Harrison Barnes and stay over the cap, Edwards’ option probably gets picked up. We’re projecting the latter here.

San Antonio Spurs

No pending options

Toronto Raptors

Gary Trent Jr. - $18.6M player option

Trent is going to opt out and hit free agency as one of the best 3&D options available. He’s a great fit for any of the cap space teams, so look for him to cash in. Toronto could pivot towards a reset, if not rebuild, so Trent may not be a part of their plans either.

Utah Jazz

Jordan Clarkson - $14.3M player option

Clarkson is going to opt out, but that doesn’t mean his time in Utah is over. The Jazz like Clarkson quite a bit, and he enjoys being there. This would be about adding more years to his deal, as he begins his age-31 season.

Rudy Gay - $6.5M player option

Gay is going to pick up his option. He wouldn’t sniff as much money in free agency. Once he opts in, look for Utah to potentially have Gay in a trade package, as they continue rebuilding the roster.

Talen Horton-Tucker - $11M player option

Horton-Tucker could possibly get more by opting out, but it’s not a lock. He’s shown he can play a rotation role, but money is going to dry up quickly, especially for guys who are best in a combo-guard role off the bench. Look for Horton-Tucker to opt in and try to cash in next summer.

Damian Jones - $2.6M player option

Jones will opt in, because he’s a minimum salary guy either way. Might as well take the guaranteed money by opting in. Like Gay, he could be a part of trade packages for Utah.

Washington Wizards

Kyle Kuzma - $13M player option

Kuzma has far outplayed this contract, so he’ll opt out. With the Wizards possibly rebuilding, he’s probably moving on. That’s not a bad thing for Kuzma though, as he’ll be a highly sought-after player as a scoring combo-forward.

Kristaps Porzingis - $36M player option

This one is weird. Had Washington not moved to a new front office, Porzingis probably would have opted out and signed a long-term deal with the Wizards. The buzz now is that Porzingis may opt in and take the guaranteed big salary. At that point, it’s up the Wizards new decision-makers to trade him or not.

 

Michael GinnittiJune 13, 2023

As the NFL offseason turns from business to practice, a snapshot look at the top of the mountain for each position's financial market, including metrics for average salary and practical guarantee, and the days since the belt has last been passed.

Player Top AAV Days Since Reset Top Guarantee Days Since Reset
Quarterback $52,000,000 47 $230,000,000 452
Running Back $16,015,875 1,156 $38,162,500 1,156
Fullback $5,400,000 821 $10,000,000 821
Wide Receiver $30,000,000 447 $75,000,000 370
Tight End $17,000,000 276 $40,000,000 1,034
Offensive Line $25,000,000 86 $64,166,000 956
Interior Defensive Line $31,666,666 372 $95,000,000 372
Edge Defender $28,002,750 642 $102,000,000 1,050
Linebacker $20,000,000 154 $60,000,000 154
Cornerback $21,000,000 393 $71,250,000 421
Safety $19,133,000 300 $42,000,000 300
Kicker $6,000,000 309 $17,500,000 309
Punter $3,675,000 739 $7,500,000 739
Long Snapper $1,575,000 89 $2,600,000 89

Quarterback

The average QB salary pinnacle has been eclipsed twice this spring, with Jalen Hurts & Lamar Jackson leapfrogging Aaron Rodgers in recent weeks. Joe Burrow & Justin Herbert should have something to say about this very soon. From a guarantee standpoint, Deshaun Watson's unicorn contract remains top dog, with Lamar & Hurts filing in appropriately underneath him as a more true top metric.

TOP AAV

Lamar Jackson, $52,000,000
Signed Date: April 27, 2023

TOP GUARANTEE

Deshaun Watson, $230,000,000
Signed Date: March 18, 2022

Running Back

Not great. It's been over 1,100 days since the average salary and guarantee figure at the running back position has been reset. The Saquon Barkley's of the world are in the process of attemping, but McCaffrey's numbers seem safe for the time being.

TOP AAV

Christian McCaffrey, $16,015,875
Signed Date: April 13, 2020

TOP GUARANTEE

Christian McCaffrey, $38,162,500
Signed Date: April 13, 2020

Fullback

Kyle Juszczyk is on his third contract with the Niners and should eclipse the $42M earned mark this season, which more than doubles any other fullbacks career earnings in NFL history.

Top AAV

Kyle Juszczyk, $5,400,000
Signed Date: March 14, 2021

Top Guarantee

Kyle Juszczyk, $10,000,000
Signed Date: March 14, 2021

Wide Receiver

Tyreek Hill's $30M gets an asterisk because of the validity of it. His deal in Miami carries a $24M AAV for 4 years, with a whopping $45M cash payout set for an unlikely 5th year. Davante Adams' $28M is backloaded into the final two seasons of his deal, but Justin Jefferson's next contract could soon add plenty of substance back into this market.

Top AAV

Tyreek Hill, $30,000,000*
Signed Date: March 23, 2022

Top Guarantee

Cooper Kupp, $75,000,000
Signed Date: June 8, 2022

Tight End

A few tight ends have feebly taken over the AAV belt of late, but George Kittle's $40M practical guarantee has stuck for over 1,000 days. A big 2023 for Kyle Pitts in Atlanta could begin the process of changing that sooner rather than later.

Top AAV

Darren Waller, $17,000,000
Signed Date: September 10, 2022

Top Guarantee

George Kittle, $40,000,000
Signed Date: August 13, 2020 

Offensive Lineman

While the AAV market for OLs has matured exponentially, the guarantee numbers seem to be lagging behind a bit. It stands to reason that a position group with 7 players now earning $20M over more on average should have practical guarantees upwards of $75M. Andrew Thomas is a candidate to get there soon.

Top AAV

Laremy Tunsil, $25,000,000
Signed Date: March 19, 2023

Top Guarantee

Ronnie Stanley, $64,166,000
Signed Date: October 30, 2020

Interior Defensive Lineman

It's Aaron Donald's world and everyone else is just playing for 2nd. Well, the IDL market saw three consecutive brand new seconds this offseason, and Quinnen Williams, Christian Wilkins, & Chris Jones could have more to say about it shortly.

Top AAV

Aaron Donald, $31,666,666
Signed Date: June 6, 2022

Top Guarantee

Aaron Donald, $95,000,000
Signed Date: June 6, 2022

Edge Defender

It's been almost 650 days since the Edge Defender average salary market has been reset, and over 1,000 since Joey Bosa's $102M guarantee took over the top spot resepctively. There's no reason Nick Bosa shouldn't stand atop both of these lists soon.

Top AAV

T.J. Watt, $28,002,750
Signed Date: September 9, 2021

Top Guarantee

Joey Bosa, $102,000,000
Signed Date: July 28, 2020

Linebacker

The Ravens pumped $60M guaranteed into Roquan Smith after handing out two picks and a player to secure the rights to him las Halloween. Devin White & Patrick Queen are at least hoping to get a sniff of these numbers soon.

Top AAV

Roquan Smith, $20,000,000
Signed Date: January 10, 2023

Top Guarantee

Roquan Smith, $60,000,000
Signed Date: January 10, 2023

Cornerback

For awhile, the cornerback markets aligned closely with the wide receiver markets - for obvious reasons. While it's easy to look at Alexander's $21M versus Hill's $30M and see an ocean in between, there's only a $3.75M difference between the top practical guarantee figures ($75M vs. $71.25M). A.J. Terrell & Trevon Diggs are fringe candidates to approach these numbers soon.

Top AAV

Jaire Alexander, $21,000,000
Signed Date: May 16, 2022

Top Guarantee

Denzel Ward, $71,250,000
Signed Date: April 18, 2022

Safety

It's been almost a full calendar year since Derwin James reset both of these markets, and there's no clearcut next man up candidate right now. Antoine Winfield Jr. seems the closest in the clubhouse for now.

Top AAV

Derwin James, $19,133,000
Signed Date: August 17, 2022

Top Guarantee

Derwin James, $42,000,000
Signed Date: August 17, 2022

Kicker

Justin Tucker's contract is now nearly a year old, and his $17.5M guaranteed still sits $4.5M higher than any other kicker in the game (Matt Gay's free agent deal in Indy carries $13M).

Top AAV

Justin Tucker, $6,000,000
Signed Date: August 8, 2022

Top Guarantee

Justin Tucker, $17,500,000
Signed Date, August 8, 2022

Punter

All of Michael Dickson's $7.5M guarantee was paid out in Year 1 (2021), putting him back on a year to year contract in Seattle.

Top AAV

Michael Dickson, $3,675,000
Signed Date: June 4, 2021

Top Guarantee

Michael Dickson, $7,500,000
Signed Date: June 4, 2021

Long Snapper

The Patriots have financially rewarded special teamers for a long time, and that includes carrying the league's top-paid long snapper for 2023.

Top AAV

Joe Cardona, $1,575,000
Signed Date: March 16, 2023

Top Guarantee

Joe Cardona, $2,600,000
Signed Date: March 16, 2023

Michael GinnittiJune 12, 2023

Our first annual NFL Movement Series continues with the Running Backs, highlighting every move - every team - has made at the position since the beginning of the new league year.

RB1 Movement
9 starting RB1s from the 2022 season are now either available free agents, or on a new team for the 2023 season (Singletary, Montgomery, Elliott, Swift, Cook, Harris, Sanders, Penny, Fournette).

Only 4 running backs (all depth role players) were extended prior to the start of the league year (JaMycal Hasty, Ameer Abdullah, Salvon Ahmed, & Jonathan Williams). The four contracts combine for $1.25M guaranteed.

Five free agent running backs currently project to start for their respective team this season (Miles Sanders, David Montgomery, Alexander Mattison, Raheem Mostert, D'Onta Foreman), while 1 more (Bijan Robinson) will slot in as Atlanta's RB1 as the most recent #8 overall pick this year. The Eagles acquired D'Andre Swift from the Lions to lead their running back room this fall.

Elsewhere, three running backs were offered the $10.091M franchise tag this spring (Tony Pollard, Josh Jacobs, & Saquon Barkley). Of them, only Pollard has signed the tag at the time of this piece.

Cap Conversions
Four running backs had their contracts adjusted this spring for cap purposes. Gus Edwards, Alvin Kamara, & Christian McCaffrey all processed simple restructures, while Aaron Jones actually accepted a $5M cash pay cut to remain in Green Bay this season.

The RB Market
For the fourth straight offseason, no running back has been able to eclipse Christian McCaffrey's $16.015M average annual salary. The largest average salary contract signed by a running back in 2023 (franchise tags notwithstanding) went to Miles Sanders at $6.35M per year, nearly $10M less than the top of the market. In terms of guarantee, the 2023 breadwinner was Bijan Robinson's rookie contract, which guarantees him $22M over the next 4 seasons in Atlanta. From a veteran standpoint, Miles Sanders' $13M takes the cake, $25M less than McCaffrey's top figure. 

Free Agency Recap
28 running backs have signed free agent contracts thus far this offseason, combining for $121M of total value, with $54M (45%) of it guaranteed at signing.

Draft Recap
18 running backs were selected in the 2023 draft, including 7 in the Top 90 selections. Of the 23 running backs selected in 2022, 6 are already RB1s for their respective franchises, while at least three others have already proved to be valuable resources.

Related
2023 Free Agent Running Back Signings
2023 Running Back Contract Extensions
Top Running Back Financials

TEAM BY TEAM ANALYSIS

Arizona Cardinals

Atlanta Falcons

Baltimore Ravens

  • Converted $2.3M of Gus Edwards’ 2023 salary into signing bonus, clearing $2.8M of cap
  • Signed Justice Hill ($1.25M guaranteed) for a reserve role
  • Added UDFA Keaton Mitchell (East Carolina) to compete for a reserve role
  • Added UDFA Owen Wright (Monmouth) to compete for a reserve role

Buffalo Bills

  • Signed Damien Harris ($1M guaranteed) for a starting role
  • Signed Latavius Murray ($802,500 guaranteed) to compete for a reserve role
  • Added UDFA Jordan Mims (Fresno State) to compete for a reserve role

Carolina Panthers

Chicago Bears

Cincinnati Bengals

Cleveland Browns

  • Signed John Kelly to compete for a reserve role
  • Signed Nate McCrary to compete for a reserve role
  • Added UDFA Hassan Hall (Georgia Tech) to compete for a reserve role

Dallas Cowboys

  • Assigned starting RB Tony Pollard a $10M franchise tag
  • Released Ezekiel Elliott with a Post 6/1 Designation, clearing $10.9M of cap
  • Signed Ronald Jones II ($302,500 guaranteed) to compete for a starting role
  • Signed Rico Dowdle ($100,000 guaranteed) to compete for a reserve role
  • Drafted Deuce Vaughn (Round 6) to compete for a reserve role 

Denver Broncos

Detroit Lions

Green Bay Packers

  • Signed Tyler Goodson to compete for a reserve role
  • Starting RB Aaron Jones accepted a $5M pay cut for 2023, while also converting $8.52M of salary & roster bonus into signing bonus, clearing $11.816M of cap
  • Drafted Lew Nichols III (Round 7) to compete for a reserve role
  • Signed Emanuel Wilson to compete for a reserve role 

Houston Texans

Indianapolis Colts

  • Drafted Evan Hull (Round 5) to compete for a reserve role 

Jacksonville Jaguars

Kansas City Chiefs

Las Vegas Raiders

Los Angeles Chargers

Los Angeles Rams

  • Drafted Zach Evans (Round 6) to compete for a reserve role
  • Added UDFA Tiyon Evans (Louisville) to compete for a reserve role

Miami Dolphins

  • Extended Salvon Ahmed ($300,000 guaranteed) to compete for a reserve role
  • Re-signed Jeff Wilson ($2.6M guaranteed) for a starting role
  • Re-signed Raheem Mostert ($2.2M guaranteed) for a starting role
  • Re-signed Myles Gaskin to compete for a reserve role
  • Drafted Devon Achane (Round 3) to compete for a starting role
  • Added UDFA Chris Brooks (BYU) to compete for a reserve role

Minnesota Vikings

New England Patriots

New Orleans Saints

New York Giants

New York Jets

Philadelphia Eagles

  • Signed Kennedy Brooks to compete for a reserve role
  • Re-signed Boston Scott ($1M guaranteed)  to compete for a starting role
  • Signed Rashaad Penny ($600,000 guaranteed) to compete for a starting role
  • Acquired D'Andre Swift ($0 guaranteed) from Detroit to compete for a starting role

Pittsburgh Steelers

San Francisco 49ers

  • Converted $10.72M of Christian McCaffrey’s 2023 salary into signing bonus, clearing $8.576M of cap
  • Added UDFA Ronald Awatt (Texas El-Paso) to compete for a reserve role
  • Added UDFA Khalan Laborn (Marshall)  to compete for a reserve role

Seattle Seahawks

Tampa Bay Buccaneers

Tennessee Titans

Washington Commanders

Scott AllenJune 12, 2023

Nick Taylor wins the RBC Canadian Open via playoff with Tommy Fleetwood. This is Taylor's third PGA Tour win of his career and first of the season. He earns $1.62 million for the 2023 season; his on-course earnings are now at $9.43 million and his career total is $22.0 million.

RBC Canadian Open Top 5

P1. Nick Taylor: $1,620,000

P2. Tommy Fleetwood: $981,000

T3. C.T. Pan, Tyrrell Hatton, Aaron Rai: $477,000

Full Results

2023 Earnings Leaders Update

1. Scottie Scheffler: $16,293,295

2. Jon Rahm: $14,775,966

3. Viktor Hovland: $9,426,434

4. Max Homa: $8,573,087

5. Tyrrell Hatton: $7,582,427

Full List

Scott AllenJune 12, 2023
Scott AllenJune 12, 2023
Michael GinnittiJune 07, 2023

Despite back-to-back fairly mediocre seasons, Ed Oliver and the Buffalo Bills agreed to a 4 year, $68M contract extension this week, keeping the 25-year-old defensive tackle under term through the 2027 season. The deal tacks on to a previously exercised $10.753M option salary for 2023, combining to create a 5 year, $78.753M deal in total.

The Average Annual Value

In terms of new money/new years, Oliver’s extension rings in at $17M per year, good enough for 11th among active defensive tackle contracts.

Newly Signed Defensive Tackle AAVs
Jeffery Simmons, TEN, $23.5M
Daron Payne, WSH, $22.5M
Dexter Lawrence, NYG, $21.8M
Javon Hargrave, SF, $21M
Ed Oliver, BUF, $17M
Dalvin Tomlinson, CLE, $14.25M
David Onyemata, ATL, $11.6M

Expected upcoming contracts for Chris Jones, Quinnen Williams, Christin Wilkins, & Derrick Brown could push Oliver’s number out of the Top 15 shortly.

The Guarantee Structure

Oliver bags $24.5M fully guaranteed at signing, nearly $14M more than he was previously set to earn on his 5th-year option. The figure ranks 12th among veteran defensive tackle contracts, while the percentage guaranteed (36.07%) is one of the lowest figures currently on the books (Vita Vea, 20.75%).

The $24.5M derives from a $14.75M signing bonus (11th), his $2M 2023 salary, and $7.75M of 2024 compensation.

Things get better quickly for Oliver though, as another $7M of 2024 salary becomes fully guaranteed on February 12th, one day following the upcoming Super Bowl. Five days into the 2024 league year (March 17th), $8.25M of his 2025 salary fully guarantees.

If he’s on the roster for the 5th league day of 2025, another $5.5M of salary fully locks in, for a total $45.278M practically guaranteed, 6th most among active defensive tackles.

The Cash Flow

Oliver will see $16.778M in the first year of this new contract, which ranks 11th among active defensive tackle contracts, and represents a $6.025M raise from his previous compensation. Oliver’s deal includes $500,000 in attainable incentives for the 2023 season.

The $32.4M set to be earned through 2 years currently ranks 10th, as does the $47.128M of 3-year cash built into the contract. This 3 year payout represents the practical outcome for this contract based on guarantee structure, which calculates to a practical average annual value of $15.7M.

$31.6M of this contract (40%) lives in the final two “fluffy” years of this deal.

The Cap Hits

As with most multi-year extensions, Oliver’s new deal provides the team significant cap savings for the upcoming season. In this case, Buffalo frees up $5.775M of space, lower Oliver’s cap hit from $10.753M down to $4.978M.

2023: $4.978M
2024: $9.25M
2025: $20.75M
2026: $22.375M
2027: $21.4M

With the league salary cap set to increase at an extremely high rate over the next 3 seasons, there’s a very realistic possibility that Buffalo gets through the next 3 seasons without ever having to touch this Oliver contract for cap purposes.

The Potential Out

As stated above, the guarantee structure of this contract makes it a 3 year, $47.128M contract for practical purposes. Oliver will need to be on the roster for the 5th league day of 2026 to lock in any more early money (a $1.25M roster bonus).

Can the Bills get out before 2025? Yes, with a little cash on the side.

If Buffalo is forced to make this a one-and-done deal, releasing him after the 2023 season but before February 12th, they’ll owe him an additional $7.75M cash to do so. The Bills can designate Oliver a Post 6/1 release, carry his $9.25M cap hit through the spring, and split up the $19.55M of dead cap into $10.7M for 2024, $8.85M for 2025. Additionally, the $7.75M cash to be paid out contains offset language, so the Bills would be credited back for any earnings Oliver were to take in from another team in 2024.

If the Bills are forced to release Oliver after the 2024 season it will be a similar conversation, but the total dead cap to be dealt with is $26.475M, which includes $8.25M of guaranteed salary. Furthermore, Buffalo would need to carry a $20.75M cap hit through June 1st to designate him accordingly. Doable, but messy.

Assuming Oliver plays out the next three seasons of this contract, Buffalo will be able to outright release him in March of 2026 with a $12.15M dead cap hit, freeing up $10.2M of space immediately.

Add-Ons

As with all Buffalo contracts these days, Oliver’s contract isn’t as simple as a signing bonus and a biweekly paycheck.

Option Bonus
In addition to a $14.75M signing bonus, Oliver will earn a $12.5M bonus next March, assuming the Bills keep him on the active roster through the 2023-24 Super Bowl.

Per-Game Active Bonus
Starting in 2024 and through the remainder of the contract, Oliver will earn $25,000 every week that he’s on the active roster, for a maximum of $425,000 per year. Any weeks missed in 2023 will represent cap savings for the 2024 season.

Workout Bonus
Oliver will reel in a healthy $500,000 if he participates in the majority of Buffalo’s offseason program. 31 current Bills players have an offseason bonus built into their contract.

Incentives
Oliver’s deal contains $500,000 of incentives in 2023, then $750,000 of incentives each of 2024-2027. The specific details of these incentives have not yet been made available to us yet

Concluding Thoughts

The timing of this contract seems the most debatable part. The outside world (ourselves included) have had Oliver on the trade block for months, with Buffalo even retaining some of his 5th-year option salary to acquire a better draft pick.

The Bills zagged our zig, shelling out an above average, but nowhere near top of the market, contract for their former #9 overall pick.

In the grand scheme of things, this contract offers very little risk. Assuming this is a 3 years and out scenario as we’ve laid out here, Oliver will account for $47.1M of cap and cash through 2026 (including the dead cap to be taken on that year). If the league salary cap soars to at or around $240M in 2024, Oliver will represent less than 4% of that. A franchise tag for Oliver in 2024 would account for around 9% of the league cap.

Best Case Scenario: Buffalo gets the most out of Oliver in 2023, and they have a bonafide center of the defensive line player under term through 2027, at less than $16M per year (half of what the Top DT market will be by then).

Michael GinnittiJune 07, 2023

Our first annual NFL Movement Series begins with the QB position, highlighting every move - every team - has made at the position since the beginning of the new league year.

QB1 Movement
Thus far, 5 QB1s have been extended (Jalen Hurts, Jordan Love, Lamar Jackson, Daniel Jones, Geno Smith), while two more (Joe Burrow, Justin Herbert) are in active negotiations for their next contract.

At least 2 free agents (Derek Carr, Jimmy Garoppolo) will open Week 1 as a starting QB, with two more (Gardner Minshew, Baker Mayfield) in the fold as well. Three newly drafted QBs (Bryce Young, C.J. Stroud, Anthony Richardson) are in the running to open the season as their team's QB1, while Aaron Rodgers is currently the only QB acquired via trade who will take the opening snap in 2023. And of course 1 QB1, Tom Brady, officially (officially) retired.

Based on current projections, 12 NFL teams are set to run a brand new QB1 onto the field this season in comparison to last year Week 1.

Cap Conversions
5 QB1 contracts have had cap conversions processed this offseason, none larger than the $45M salary to bonus transfer that Deshaun Watson received from the Browns (what will become an annual tradition like no other).

The QB Market
Financially speaking the QB market jumped from $50.1M to at least $52M per year (likely more after additional extensions hit the books). Based on an AAV/League Cap comparison, elite QBs are now chiming in at nearly 25%, which means a salary cap jump to $240M next season could equate to $60M per year contracts within the next 12 months. The going guaranteed rate for an elite QB is now approaching $200M from a practical standpoint, $140M fully guaranteed at signing.

Related:
2023 Free Agent Quarterback Signings
2023 Quarterback Contract Extensions

TEAM BY TEAM ANALYSIS

Arizona Cardinals

Atlanta Falcons

Baltimore Ravens

Buffalo Bills

  • Converted $26.4M of Josh Allen’s salary into signing bonus, clearing $21M of cap space
  • Signed Kyle Allen ($350,000 guaranteed) to compete for the QB2 role
  • Re-signed Matt Barkley ($235,200 guaranteed) to compete for the QB2 role

Carolina Panthers

  • Signed Andy Dalton ($8M guaranteed) for the QB2 role
  • Drafted Bryce Young (#1 overall) for the (assumed) QB1 role

Chicago Bears

Cincinnati Bengals

Cleveland Browns

Dallas Cowboys

  • Converted $29.2M of Dak Prescott’s 2023 salary into signing bonus, clearing $22M of cap
  • Signed Cooper Rush ($2.75M guaranteed) for the QB2 role

Denver Broncos

Detroit Lions

Green Bay Packers

Houston Texans

  • Signed Case Keenum ($4M guaranteed) for a reserve role
  • Drafted C.J. Stroud (#2 overall) for the assumed QB1 role

Indianapolis Colts

Jacksonville Jaguars

Kansas City Chiefs

Las Vegas Raiders

Los Angeles Chargers

  • Signed Easton Stick to a 1-year extension ($1.15M guaranteed) for the QB2 role
  • Exercised a $29.5M 5th-year option for QB1 Justin Herbert, and are actively negotiating a multi-year extension with him
  • Drafted Max Duggan (Round 7) to compete for a reserve role

Los Angeles Rams

Miami Dolphins

Minnesota Vikings

  • Converted Kirk Cousins’ $20M roster bonus into signing bonus, clearing $16M of cap
  • Signed Nick Mullens ($1.9M guaranteed) for the QB2 role
  • Drafted Jaren Hall (Round 5) to compete for a reserve role

New England Patriots

New Orleans Saints

New York Giants

  • Extended Daniel Jones ($81M guaranteed) for the QB1 role
  • Added UDFA Tommy DeVito (Illinois) to compete for a reserve role

New York Jets

Philadelphia Eagles

Pittsburgh Steelers

San Francisco 49ers

  • Signed Sam Darnold ($3.5M guaranteed) to compete for a QB role
  • Signed Brandon Allen ($200,000 guaranteed) to compete for a reserve role

Seattle Seahawks

  • Extended QB1 Geno Smith ($27.3M guaranteed)
  • Re-signed Drew Lock ($1.75M guaranteed) for the QB2 role
  • Added Holton Ahlers (East Carolina) to compete for a reserve role

Tampa Bay Buccaneers

Tennessee Titans

  • Drafted Will Levis (Round 2) to compete for the QB2 role

Washington Commanders

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