Michael GinnittiFebruary 28, 2019

QUARTERBACKS

Ryan Tannehill, QB, MIA, 30

He’s almost certainly heading out of Miami one way or another. A trade is highly unlikely at this point.

Pre June 1st
$13.4M of dead cap to the Dolphins, a cap savings of $13.1M

Post June 1st
$7.8M of 2019 dead cap, $5.6M of 2020 dead cap, a 2019 cap savings of $18.75M.

Traded Contract:
2 years, $38.27M

 

Derek Carr, QB, OAK, 27

Carr is likely the 2019 QB for the Raiders, but if by chance they happen to draft someone who by chance can win the job away from him this summer, then all bets are off.

Pre June 1st
$7.5M of dead cap to the Raiders, a cap savings of $15M

Post June 1st
$2.5M of 2019 dead cap, $5M of 2020 dead cap, a 2019 cap savings of $20M.

Traded Contract:
4 years, $78.425M

 

Josh Rosen, QB, ARI, 22

It would be wild, but there’s a hot stove world that exists where Rosen is out the door after just 1 year in Arizona. That world is likely not this world though.

Pre June 1st
$8.15M of dead cap to the Cardinals, a cap loss of $4.1M

Post June 1st
$2.7M of 2019 dead cap, $5.4M of 2020 dead cap, a 2019 cap savings of $1.2M

Traded Contract:
3 years, $6.21M, plus a 4th-year option

 

Russell Wilson, QB, SEA, 30

While the idea on its surface seems absurd, the fact of the matter is the Seahawks are in a rebuild mode (even if it didn’t look like it in 2018), and Wilson is entering a contract year. If he’s unwilling to extend this offseason, Seattle has to at least do its due diligence in preparing for the worst. Letting him walk for nothing would be a travesty.

Pre or Post June 1st
$8.2M of dead cap to the Seahawks, a cap savings of $17M

Traded Contract:
1 year, $17M

 

 

RUNNING BACKS

LeSean McCoy, RB, BUF, 30

The Bills have said publicly they plan to keep Shady through his contract year, but it’s hard to imagine they won’t at least try to find a taker.

Pre or Post June 1st
$2.625M of dead cap to the Bills, a cap savings of $6.425M.

Traded Contract:
1 year, $6.425M

 

Jordan Howard, RB, CHI, 24

He was reportedly on the trade block last October, so seeing him move this spring wouldn’t be a huge surprise.

Pre or Post June 1st
$62,007 of dead cap to the Bears, clearing $2.045M of cap space.

Traded Contract:
1 year, $2.045M

 

Theo Riddick, RB, DET, 27

Riddick’s production has dropped each of the past few seasons, while his salary jumps up to $3.675M in 2019. He’s more likely a cut candidate.

Pre or Post June 1st
$962,500 of dead cap to the Lions, a cap savings of $3.66M.

Traded Contract:
1 years, $3.675M

 

Duke Johnson, RB, CLE, 25

Johnson likely stays until the fate of Kareem Hunt is known, but will be pushed to the back of the line once Hunt is activated alongside Nick Chubb.

Pre June 1st
$2.25M of dead cap to the Browns, a cap savings of $800,000

Post June 1st
$750,000 of 2019 dead cap, $1.5M of 2020 dead cap, a 2019 cap savings of $2.3M.

Traded Contract:
3 years, $11.55M

 

 

WIDE RECEIVERS

Antonio Brown, WR, PIT, 30

Financially speaking this move is a mess for Pittsburgh, and has to be considered unlikely until it actually happens.

Pre March 17th
$21.12M of dead cap to the Steelers, a cap savings of $1.045M.

March 17- June 1
$23.62M of dead cap to the Steelers, a cap loss of $1.455M

Post June 1st
$12.04M of 2019 dead cap, $11.58M of 2020 dead cap to the Steelers, a 2019 cap savings of $10.125M.

Traded Contract:
3 years, $38.9M

 

Odell Beckham Jr, WR, NYG, 26

Will they or won’t they? It’s likely they won’t. But here are the numbers if they do.

Pre June 1st
$16M of dead cap to the Giants, a cap savings of $5M.

Post June 1st
$4M of 2019 dead cap, $12M of 2020 dead cap, a 2019 cap savings of $17M.

Traded Contract:
4 years, $77M

 

John Ross, WR, CIN, 24

The #9 overall selection 2 years ago has 21 grabs in 16 games, but also 7 scores.

Pre June 1st
$5.3M of dead cap to the Bengals, a cap loss of $625,000.

Post June 1st
$2.65M of 2019 dead cap, $2.65M of 2020 dead cap, a 2019 cap savings of $2M.

Traded Contract:
2 years, $4.7M, plus a 3rd-year option

 

Emmanuel Sanders, WR, DEN, 31

The Broncos have picked up the option (rather than outright releasing him), but it’s still very possible Sanders is shopped this spring.

Pre or Post June 1st
$2.6M of dead cap to the Broncos, a cap savings of $10.25M

Traded Contract:
1 year, $10.25M

 

DeSean Jackson, WR, TB, 32

Showed he’s still got plenty of production left in him, he’s on really nice $10M salary to finish off his current contract in TB.

Pre or Post June 1st
$0 of dead cap to the Bucs, a cap savings of $10M

Traded Contract:
1 year, $10M

 

Nelson Agholor, WR, PHI, 25

A solid receiver, but clearly now not a top threat. His $9.3M salary for 2019 puts him in a tough spot for any team. He’s a potential release candidate if a trade partner can’t be found.

His $9.387M 5th-year option becomes fully guaranteed on March 13th. Trading him leaves behind $0 of dead cap to the Eagles.

Traded Contract:
1 year, $9.387M

 

Devante Parker, WR, MIA, 26

It’s possible no WR in Miami is safe this offseason, but Parker’s $9.3M 5th-year-option fully guarantees on March 13th. Sending out that much without taking on dead cap would be a win for the Dolphins.

Traded Contract:
1 year, $9.3M

 

 

TIGHT ENDS

Cameron Brate, TE, TB, 27

His production fell off drastically in 2018 with the emergence of OJ Howard, but with Adam Humphries possibly out the door this March, could be forced into a bigger passing role.

Pre or Post June 1st
$0 dead cap, a cap savings of $7M.

Traded Contract:
5 years, $33.8M

 

Kyle Rudolph, TE, MIN, 29

The long-time Vikings big man is heading into a contract year in 2019 that comes with a $7.6M price tag. With a pay raise likely coming for Adam Thielen, they simply may not be able to afford Rudolph.

Pre or Post June 1st
$0 dead cap, a cap savings of $7.625M.

Traded Contract:
1 year, $7.625M

 

 

DEFENSE

Justin Houston, OLB, KC, 30

Still showed above average EDGE production, but the Chiefs have too many mouths to feed elsewhere.

Pre Just 1st
$7.1M of dead cap to the Chiefs, a cap savings of $14M.

Post June 1st
$5.6M of 2019 dead cap, $1.5M of 2020 dead cap, a 2019 cap savings of $15.5M.

Traded Contract:
2 years, $33M

 

Trae Waynes, CB, MIN, 26

The Vikings will look to upgrade this position, so shedding Waynes’ $9M salary will be useful. He’s a likely release candidate if a trade partner can’t be found.

Waynes’ $9.069M salary fully guarantees on March 13th. Trade him leaves behind $0 of dead cap to the Vikings.

Traded Contract:
1 year, $9.069M

 

Shaq Lawson, DE, BUF, 24; Jerry Hughes, DE, BUF, 30

The Bills 1st round pick back in 2016 has been inconsistent to say the least. It’s possible the Bills shop 30 year old Jerry Hughes as well, a player who carries a $10M cap hit and could still bring back a solid return via trade for Buffalo.

Pre or Post June 1st (Lawson)
$1.4M of dead cap to the Bills, a cap savings of $1.85M.

Pre March 17th (Hughes)
$2.9M of dead cap to the Bills, a cap savings of $7.5M

Traded Contract:
Lawson: 1 year, $1.8M, plus a 2nd-year option; Hughes: 1 year, $7.5M

 

DeMarcus Lawrence, EDGE, DAL, 26

He’s one of the premier pass rushers in all of football, but he’ll also need to be paid as such this spring. Dallas has plenty of mouths to feed over the next 12 months, and it could be devastating to their short-term financial future to sink a max contract into Lawrence, even if he’s worth it. He’d also warrant a great trade return for Dallas.

The Cowboys haven’t officially slapped a tag on Lawrence, but if/when they do it’ll come in at $20.5M. Lawrence won’t sign it, so it’ll be on Dallas to lock him in by July 15th, or hope he’s tradable.

Traded Contract:
1 year, $20.5M

 

Josh Norman, CB, WAS, 31

Norman was never going to live up to a $15M per year deal, but he’s still a viable asset in the secondary. The Redskins have holes to fill, and are cap-sunk with the injury to QB Alex Smith. A trade or release for Norman would help.

Pre June 1st
$6M of dead cap to the Redskins, a cap savings of $8.5M

Post June 1st
$3M of 2019 dead cap, $3M of 2020 dead cap, a 2019 cap savings of $11.5M.

Traded Contract:
2 years, $24M

 

Jamie Collins, OLB, CLE, 28

He’s just flat out overpaid, which isn’t a good recipe for a trade. The Browns don’t need the cap space, but they would likely choose to get younger and cheaper here. A release is more likely when it’s all said and done.

Pre June 1st
$2.5M dead cap to the Browns, a cap savings of $9.25M

Post June 1st
$1.25M of 2019 dead cap, $1.25M of 2020 dead cap, 2019 cap savings of $10.5M.

Traded Contract:
2 years, $23M

Michael GinnittiFebruary 19, 2019

Projected 2019 Franchise Tag Values

  • Quarterback $24.865M
    Running back $11.214M
    Wide receiver $16.787M
    Tight end $10.387M
    Offensive linemen $14.067M
    Defensive end $17.128M
    Defensive tackle $15.209M
    Linebacker $15.443M
    Cornerback $16.022M
    Safety $11.15M
    Kicker/Punter $4.971M

 

Grady Jarrett (DT, ATL)

Projected Price: $15.35M

The Falcons rarely use the tag, and have cleared considerable cap space with a few releases already, making a long-term deal much more likely. His current market value also sits at $15.5M.

 

DeMarcus Lawrence (DE, DAL)

Projected Price: $20.5M

Lawrence has been an elite edge rusher over the past 2 seasons and will command a long-term deal north of $20M. The Cowboys have around $50M to spend right now, but with deals for Dak, Zeke, & Amari also in play, this will be one to watch.

 

Trey Flowers (DE, NE)

Projected Price: $17.3M

The Pats have been linked to potential tags for Flowers, OT Trent Brown, & K Stephen Gostkowski. Of the three, Flowers seems the more possible, though none are "likely". Flowers was easily the best pass-rush option for a sneaky good Pats defense in 2019. He'll need to take the Patriots discount to stay long-term though.

 

Jadeveon Clowney (OLB, HOU)

Projected Price: $15.6MM

This one seems like a slam dunk, as Houston likely wants another year to see if Clowney has officially turned the corner, while they also possess north of $60M in cap space. He holds a market value of $16.6M heading into March.

 

Dee Ford (OLB, KC)

Projected Price: $15.6M

The Chiefs have around $25M in space at the time of this post, so slapping a $15M+ tag on Ford will be costly, but doing so may mean others will fall. It's very possible Justin Houston is shipped out via trade/release in the coming weeks to clear room for Ford's pricetag.

 

Landon Collins (S, NYG)

Projected Price: $11.2M

The Giants defensive rebuild likely stops here, as Collins is too young, and too talented to just let walk away. An $11M tag for a team with $27M of space isn't ideal, so expect something more long-term around $9.5M per year to come sooner rather than later.

 

Nick Foles (QB, PHI)

Projected Price: $25.1M

It's risky business to tag a player you really don't want, and certainly can't afford in order to trade him, but it appears the Eagles are poised to make this move. He'll likely cost a 3rd round pick, and a restructured extension once he gets wherever he's going. Foles carries a $19.2M market value into the tag window.

 

Robbie Gould (K, SF)

Projected Price: $5M

One of the most accurate kickers since the new rules have been in place, Gould won't be allowed to walk one way or another. The 49ers hold $50M+ of space yet again, so a placeholder tag while they hammer out a multi-year deal won't hurt a bit. A deal north of $4.25M per year will make him the highest paid kicker in the league.

 

Frank Clark (DE, SEA)

Projected Price: $17.3M

The Seahawks have cleared up enough space ($50M) to offer themselves options with Clark. It's now a lock that he'll be tagged in order to provide more time to hammer out an extension. He holds a $15.7M market value currently.

 

Donovan Smith (OT, TB)

Projected Price: $14.2M

This is a bit of a tough call, as the Bucs are teetering on a complete rebuild, and Smith has been inconsistent through his first few seasons. But the position should prove too important to give up on, & a 1-year tag to see how 2019 plays out makes the most sense. The 25-year-old carries a $10.2M market value.

Michael GinnittiFebruary 07, 2019

Knicks Send Porzingis to the Mavericks

Jan 31

Dallas MavericksDALLAS ACQUIRES
Kristaps Porzingis ($5,697,054)
Courtney Lee ($12,253,780)
Tim Hardaway Jr. ($19,200,127)
Trey Burke ($1,795,015)
Dallas MavericksNEW YORK ACQUIRES
Dennis Smith Jr. ($3,819,960)
Wesley Matthews
 ($18,622,513)
DeAndre Jordan ($22,897,200)
2021 1st round pick (unprotected)
2023 1st round pick (top-10 protected)

Kristaps Porzingis (PF, 23): Holds a $4.4M restricted qualifying offer for 2019-20. He's eligible for a maximum 5 year, $158M extension, but early signs point to a "prove it" year in Dallas before the 23-year-old gets locked in.

Courtney Lee (SG, 33): The 33-year-old carries a $12.75M salary for 2019-20, and has seen limited action thus far in 2018. This was a successful salary dump for the Knicks.

Tim Hardaway Jr. (SG, 26): Will actually be a nice piece to complement Luka Doncic & Porzingis. Hardaway has an $18.1M salary in 2019, then an $18.9M player option in 2020. The 26-year-old should be a factor in Dallas.

Trey Burke (PG, 26): Was a late addition to this trade, and will head to free agency after the year.

Dennis Smith Jr. (PG 21): Holds a $4.4M salary in 2019-20, then a $5.6M team option in 2020-21, & his restricted offer of $7.7M in 2021-2022. The 21-year-old has a chance to be a key piece going forward.

Wesley Matthews (SG, 32): Brings over an expiring contract and will likely test free agency after the year.

DeAndre Jordan (C, 30): Brings over an expiring contract and will likely hit the open market, though a small extension is possible.

 

The Knicks actually wind up adding $6.3M of tax cap to 2018-19 in this deal, but clear $30.9M of 2019-20 tax space, which should prove very useful this July.

 

 

Portland Acquires Rodney Hood from the Cavs

Feb 4

Cleveland CavaliersCLEVELAND ACQUIRES
Nik Stauskas ($1,512,601)
Wade Baldwin
 ($1,544,951)
2021 2nd round pick
2023 2nd round pick
Cleveland CavaliersPORTLAND ACQUIRES
Rodney Hood ($3,472,887)

Rodney Hood (SG, 26): Hood holds an expiring contract on his $3.4M qualifying offer and is a solid rental piece for Portland's playoff run.

Nik Stauskas (SG, 25): Brings over a near minimum $1.6M salary on an expiring contract. He'll hit the open market in July.

Wade Baldwin (PG, 22): The former Grizzlies first round pick is on a near minimum expiring contract and will hit the open market in July.

 

The Cavaliers clear around $415,000 of 2018-19 tax cap with this deal, picking up a few solid draft picks along the way. There are no future financial ramifications.

 

 

Lakers Acquire Reggie Bullock from the Pistons

Feb 6

Detroit PistonsDETROIT ACQUIRES
Sviatoslav Mykhailiuk ($1,487,694)
2021 2nd round pick
Detroit PistonsLOS ANGELES ACQUIRES
Reggie Bullock ($2,500,000)

Reggie Bullock (SG, 27): Has had a strong year in Detroit (12 PPG, 3 RB, 2.5 Ast) and will be a depth rental piece, with a potentially larger role should the Lakers ship out their kids. He's on an expiring contract.

Sviatoslav Mykhailiuk (SG, 21): Was a non-factor in LA, and probably won't be much more in Detroit. He holds a non-guaranteed $1.4M salary in 2019-20, then a few club options thereafter.

 

The Lakers add $1.01M of 2018-19 tax cap, clearing $1.4M in 2019-20.

 

 

76ers Acquire Tobias Harris from the Clippers

Feb 6

Los Angeles ClippersLOS ANGELES ACQUIRES
2023 2nd round pick
2021 2nd round pick
2021 1st round pick ((MIA unprotected 1st))
2020 1st round pick
Mike Muscala
 ($5,000,000)
Wilson Chandler
 ($12,800,562)
Landry Shamet
 ($1,703,640)
Los Angeles ClippersPHILADELPHIA ACQUIRES
Mike Scott ($4,320,500)
Boban Marjanovic ($7,000,000)
Tobias Harris
 ($14,800,000)

Tobias Harris (SF, 26): Brings over an expiring contract as a very solid rental piece for the postseason, plus bird rights with the ability to be extended thereafter. This was a big get for Philly.

Boban Marjanovic (C, 30): Carries an expiring contract as a salary dump and likely won't be a factor in PHI.

Mike Scott (PF, 30): Brings over an expiring contract as a salary dump and likely won't be a factor in PHI.

Mike Muscala (PF, 27): Adds a decent rental depth piece on an expiring contract and will hit the open market after the year.

Wilson Chandler (SF, 31): Wasn't getting many looks in Philly, but should fill-in nicely in LA once he returns from a quad injury. He's on an expiring contract.

Landry Shamet (PG, 21): A late first round pick this past draft, Shamet was one of the better bench players in Philly, and will have a chance to breakout a bit in LA. He holds a $1.9M salary in 2019-20, then 3 straight club options.

 

The Sixers added $6.6M of 2018-19 tax cap in this deal, clearing just $1.9M of 2019-20 space going forward.

 

 

Suns Acquire Johnson, Ellington from the Heat

Feb 6

Miami HeatMIAMI ACQUIRES
Ryan Anderson ($20,421,546)
Miami HeatPHOENIX ACQUIRES
Tyler Johnson ($19,245,370)
Wayne Ellington
 ($6,270,000)
$1.8M cash

Tyler Johnson (SG, 25): Holds a $19.2M player option next year that's likely to opt-in to. He's been a double digit scorer in Miami.

Wayne Ellington (SG, 31): Holds an expiring contract and will likely be bought out to afford him a chance to join a contending team.

Ryan Anderson (PF, 30): 24,793,702$15.6M of his 2019-20 salary is fully guaranteed, though he's a waive candidate.

 

The Heat clear $5.09M of 2018-19 tax space (but still remain over the threshold), while also adding $2M of 2019-20 cap.

 

 

Bulls Take Otto Porter Jr.'s Max from the Wizards

Feb 6 2019

Chicago BullsCHICAGO ACQUIRES
Otto Porter Jr. ($26,011,913)
Chicago BullsWASHINGTON ACQUIRES
Bobby Portis ($2,494,346)
Jabari Parker ($20,000,000)
2023 2nd round pick

Otto Porter Jr. (SF, 25): Brings over salaries of $27.25M next year, and a $28.4M player option in 2020-21. He's overpaid, but should have more room to produce in Chicago.

Bobby Portis (PF, 23): Holds a $3.6M restricted offer for 2019-20 and is averaging 14 points & 7 rebounds per game. He holds a $7.5M cap hold next year until a new deal is put in place (somewhere).

Jabari Parker (PF, 23): Is averaging 14 points, 6 boards & 2 assists this year, and holds a $20M club option for 2019-20. The option must be exercised by June 29th.

 

Washington clears $3.5M of 2018-19 tax cap, while shedding Porter's $27.25M next season.

 

 

Rockets Acquire Depth from Kings, Cavs

Feb 6 2019

Cleveland CavaliersCLEVELAND ACQUIRES
Brandon Knight ($14,631,250)
Marquese Chriss
 ($3,206,160)
2019 1st round pick (protected)
Cleveland CavaliersHOUSTON ACQUIRES
Iman Shumpert ($11,011,236)
Nik Stauskas ($1,512,601)
Wade Baldwin
 ($1,512,601)
Cleveland CavaliersSACRAMENTO ACQUIRES
Alec Burks ($11,286,515)
2020 2nd round pick (lesser of Rockets/Warriors)

Iman Shumpert (SG, 28): Brings solid veteran depth across the board on an expiring contract

Nik Stauskas (SG, 25): Brings over a near minimum $1.6M salary on an expiring contract. He'll hit the open market in July.

Wade Baldwin (PG, 22): The former Grizzlies first round pick is on a near minimum expiring contract and will hit the open market in July.

Alec Burks (SG, 27): Holds an expiring contract and has posted 10+ points, 4 rebounds, & 2 assists per game.

Brandon Knight (PG, 27): Has played a total of 12 games over the past year and a half, and holds a $15M salary in 2019-20. He's a buyout candidate next year.

Marquese Chriss (PF, 21): The #8 overall pick in 2016 had his option for 2019 declined, setting him up for free agency after this year.

 

The Rockets clear $3.8M of 2018-19 tax space with this move, and another $15.6M for 2019-20. The Kings add $250,000 to this year's cap, while the Cavs added $3.5M in 2018-19, $15.6M in 2019-20.

 

 

Pelicans Acquire Morris from the Wizards

Feb 7

Washington WizardsWASHINGTON ACQUIRES
Wesley Johnson ($6,134,520)
Washington WizardsNEW ORLEANS ACQUIRES
Markieff Morris ($8,600,000)

Markieff Morris (PF, 29): Brings double digit production to the Pelicans who might need to fill a big-man role sooner than later. He's on an expiring contract.

Wesley Johnson (SF, 31): Has had better days on the court, and will be a bench body in Washington through the remainder of the 2018-19 season.

 

Washington clears $2.46M of 2018-19 tax cap.

 

 

Kings Acquire Harrison Barnes from Dallas

Feb 7

Dallas MavericksDALLAS ACQUIRES
Zach Randolph ($11,692,308)
Justin Jackson ($2,807,880)
Dallas MavericksSACRAMENTO ACQUIRES
Harrison Barnes ($24,793,702)

Harrison Barnes (SF, 26): Holds a $25.1M player option in 2019-20 & brings a nice veteran presence to a young, improving Kings squad.

Zach Randolph (PF, 37): Brings an expiring contract to Dallas that he'll likely be waived from in the coming days.

Justin Jackson (SF, 23): The #15 overall selection in 2017 has been about half the player he was projected to be thus far. He holds a $3.2M salary in 2019-20 then a club option in 2020-2021.

 

Dallas clears $10.29M of 2018-19 tax cap, and another $21.8M in 2019-20. Big money move for the Mavs.

 

 

Rockets Ship Ennis to Sixers

Feb 7

Houston RocketsHOUSTON ACQUIRES
2021 2nd round pick (rights to swap)
Houston RocketsPHILADELPHIA ACQUIRES
James Ennis ($1,621,415)
2021 2nd round pick (rights to swap)

James Ennis (SF, 28): Bounced around a few benches since joining the league in 2013. He holds a $1.8M player option for 2019-20 that comes off the Rockets' books.

 

Houston clears $1.62M of 2018-19 tax cap, & amother $1.8M in 2019-20.

 

 

Bucks Acquire Mirotic from the Pelicans

Feb 7

Detroit PistonsDETROIT ACQUIRES
Thon Maker ($2,799,720)
Detroit PistonsMILWAUKEE ACQUIRES
Nikola Mirotic ($12,500,000)
Detroit PistonsNEW ORLEANS ACQUIRES
Jason Smith ($5,450,000)
2021 2nd round pick (WAS pick)
2020 2nd round pick (WAS pick)
Stanley Johnson
 ($3,940,402)
2019 2nd round pick (DEN pick - top-55 protected)
2020 2nd round pick (MIL pick)

Nikola Mirotic (PF, 27): He's gotten better each of the past three seasons and will be a big addition to a young Bucks team. Mirotic brings over an expiring contract.

Jason Smith (PF, 32): Hasn't been much of a factor in 2018, but brings over a tenable $5.45M salary on an expiring contract. Stanley Johnson (SF, 22): Lasted about 35 minutes as a member of the Bucks, Johnson can bring some production and is headed for restricted free agency.

Stanley Johnson (SF, 22): The #8 overall selection back in 2015 has underachieved in his short time in Detroit, but will join a strong, young core in Milwaukee. He holds a $4.4M qualifying offer in 2019-20 as a restricted free agent.

Thon Maker (C, 21): Wanted out of Milwaukee as his playing time was dipping mightily. He can play inside and out when right, and should get a chance at more minutes in Detroit. He carries a $3.5M salary in 2019-20, then a $4.8M restricted offer in 2020-21.

 

Milwaukee adds $4.25M of 2018-19 tax cap, but clear $3.5M in 2019-20. The Pelicans clear another $4.25M in 2018-19, adding the $3.5M to Johnson next season, while the Pistons clear $2.65M in 2018-19.

 

 

Rockets Flip Stauskas, Baldwin to Indy

Feb 7

Houston RocketsHOUSTON ACQUIRES
2nd round pick
Houston RocketsINDIANA ACQUIRES
Nik Stauskas ($1,512,601)
Wade Baldwin
 ($1,544,951)

Nik Stauskas (SG, 25): Brings over a near minimum $1.6M salary on an expiring contract. He'll hit the open market in July.

Wade Baldwin (PG, 22): The former Grizzlies first round pick is on a near minimum expiring contract and will hit the open market in July.

 

Houston sheds $3M from their 2018-19 tax cap, putting them under the threshold - the clear goal here.

 

 

Grizzlies Acquire Avery Bradley from the Clip

Feb 7

Los Angeles ClippersLOS ANGELES ACQUIRES
Garrett Temple ($8,000,000)
JaMychal Green
($7,666,667)
Los Angeles ClippersMEMPHIS ACQUIRES
Avery Bradley ($12,000,000)

Avery Bradley (SG, 28): Bradley's production is way down in 2018, so a change of scenery should do him well. He brings a $12M cap figure in 2018, & a $12.96M hit in 2019-20, though just $2M is fully guaranteed right now.

Garrett Temple (SG, 32): Carries over an $8M salary on an expiring contract, and just under 10 points, 3 rebounds per game.

JaMychal Green (PF, 28): The big man has put up 10 points, 6 boards this year, and should help fill the void of the departed Marc Gasol. He brings over a $7.6M salary on an expiring contract.

 

The Clippers take on $3.6M of 2018-19 tax cap, but shed Bradley's $12.96M hit for 2019-20. Gearing up for a big offseason.

 

 

Raptors Acquire Marc Gasol from the Grizzlies

Feb 7

Memphis GrizzliesMEMPHIS ACQUIRES
Jonas Valanciunas ($16,539,326)
Delon Wright
 ($2,536,898)
C.J. Miles
 ($8,333,333)
2024 2nd round pick
Memphis GrizzliesTORONTO ACQUIRES
Marc Gasol ($25,406,736)

Marc Gasol (C, 34): The big man brings over $25.4M this year, & a $25.5M player option for 2019-20. He'll be a key component to their postseason run.

Jonas Valanciunas (C, 26): A younger, cheaper version of Gasol, Jonas brings over a $16.5M salary this year, & a $17.6M player option for 2019-20.

Delon Wright (PG, 26 ): A depth ball handler still on his rookie deal, Wright carries over $2.5M this year before heading to restricted free agency.

C.J. Miles (SF, 31 ): The production is way down, but Miles is relatively cheap at $8.3M this year, & an $8.7M player option next year.

 

The Raptors add $1.9M of tax cap in 2018-19, & around $800,000 for next season.

 

 

Lakers Ship Beasley & Zubac to the Clippers

Feb 7

Los Angeles ClippersLOS ANGELES ACQUIRES
Michael Beasley ($3,500,000)
Ivica Zubac ($1,544,951)
Los Angeles ClippersLOS ANGELES ACQUIRES
Mike Muscala ($5,000,000)

Michael Beasley (SF, 30): Fell out of favor with the Lakers and will bring 11 points per game to the Clippers on an expiring $3.5M salary.

Ivica Zubac (C, 21): The young big man was on a nice stretch, lifting his numbers to 8.5 points, 5 boards per game. He brings over a $1.5M salary in 2018-19 before restricted free agency.

Mike Muscala (PF, 27): A depth player who does well around the rim, Muscalar brings over a $5M salary on an expiring contract.

 

The Lakers add $44,951 to their 2018-19 tax cap, but open up a roster spot for a move to come. They also clear a 2019-20 cap hold from Zubac.

 

 

Former #1 overall Fultz heads to Orlando

Feb 7

Orlando MagicORLANDO ACQUIRES
Markelle Fultz ($8,339,880)
Orlando MagicPHILADELPHIA ACQUIRES
Jonathon Simmons ($6,000,000)
2020 1st round pick (protected)
2nd round pick

Markelle Fultz (PG, 20): The Fultz experiment comes to a close in Philly. He brings an $8.3M salary for 2018-19, $9.75M salary in 2019-20, and club options thereafter.

Jonathon Simmons (SF, 29): After a really nice 2017, Simmons has battled an abdomen injury of late. He brings a $6M salary to Philly in 2018-19, then a $5.7M salary for 2019-20, but just $1M of it guaranteed.

 

The Sixers clear $2.3M of 2018-19 tax cap, while also clearing at least $4M from 2019-20;

Michael GinnittiJanuary 31, 2019

With Tom Brady & the New England Patriots headed for yet another February game, we’ll have a little fun with the arguable “GOAT”’s career earnings. It’s been no secret that Brady has been thrifty & generous with his agreed upon salaries over the past decade or so, but we wanted to assess just how much he may have left on the table. While there’s no perfect science to determine this, we took a quick look at every contract Brady’s signed, assessing the market around him at that particular time, then comparing his production to players of similar age/skill, and their actual earnings versus his. At each contract, we’ve identified the amount of money he likely left on the table during the years in which he played on that deal.

 

>VIEW TOM BRADY'S CONTRACT HISTORY HERE

 

The 2000 Draft & Rookie Contract

Let’s change history and assume that Brady was the top-rated QB heading into the draft. That nod actually went to Chad Pennington who the Jets selected #18 overall, and then signed to a 5 year, $23M contract. Brady of course was selected 181 picks later, and given a 3 year $866,500 deal with New England (including a $38,500 signing bonus).

Brady played out two years of that deal before being extended, earning $603,660, while Pennington reeled in $6.591M across 2000-2001.

Adjusted Earnings Result: -$5.9M

 

2002 Extension

The Patriots quickly extended Brady to a 4 year, $29.625M new money deal, which carried a $7.4M AAV - 7th in the league among all QBs. Not only was this a strong deal for Brady, but it came just a few months after the Pats extended previous starting QB Drew Bledsoe to a 10 year, $102.8M contract extension. Bledsoe was traded to Buffalo not too long after Brady’s new contract was finalized.

Around the same time, the Eagles extended their former #2 overall pick Donovan McNabb to a 9 year $70M contract that paid out $30.3M over the first three seasons. McNabb was solid across those years (2002-2004) combining for 64 TDs, 25 INTs, 60% Comp., a 90.4 rating, but Brady was as good if not better (79 TDs, 40 INT, 61% Comp., 87.8 rating). Brady earned $19M across 2002-2004 from this contract before another extension was announced in 2005.

Adjusted Earnings Result: -$11.3M

 

2005 Extension

28-year old Brady signed a 4 year $42.8M extension in early 2005 that came with $20M guaranteed and a $10.7M AAV. While over in Indianapolis, the Colts had recently extended a fellow by the name of Peyton to a 7 year $99.2M contract, also at the age of 28.

Brady played on this contract from 2005-2009, earning $54.5M for his efforts (64.7 Comp %, 128 TDs, 47 INTs, 98.7 Rating). Across Peyton’s 5 year span (2004-2008), he reeled in $68.1M (66.4 Comp. %, 166 TDs, 55 INT, 103.5 Rating). Peyton was flat out better statistically across this span, deeming the money earned fairly accurate.

Adjusted Earnings Result: $0

 

2010 Extension

After the 2009 season, the Pats handed 33-year-old Brady a 4 year $72M contract, with $30M guaranteed and an $18M AAV. This made Brady the highest average paid QB in football, surpassing the 6 year $97.5M extension ($16.25M AAV) the Giants gave 29-year-old Eli Manning in New York and 5 year $74.25M ($14.85M AAV) deal the Redskins extended 33-year-old Donovan McNabb to.

Brady played on this deal for 3 seasons (2010-2012), compiling 109 TDs, 24 INTs, a 64.7 Comp%, and a 104.6 Rating, arguably the best 3-year span of his career. Eli’s 2010-12 span saw 86 TDs, 56 INTs, a 61% Comp. rate, and an 88.6 Rating - well below Brady’s level. McNabb threw more INTs than TDs in his first year with the Redskins, and was run out of town a few months later (traded to Minnesota).

Brady earned $48.25M across 2010-12 for his efforts, while in New York, Eli was able to pull in $52.75M for his much lesser production. While McNabb pulled in almost $19M in 2010 due to some shifty contract maneuvers prior to the new CBA. His career would finish a few months later after an unsuccessful 2011 in Minnesota.

Adjusted Earnings Result: -$4.5M

 

2013 Extension

36-year-old Brady re-upped in 2013 to a 3 year $41M extension that included a $30M signing bonus, and $33M guaranteed at signing. His $13.6M AAV ranked 12th among QBs, well behind the 6 year $108M ($18M AAV) contract the Cowboys handed to 33 year old Tony Romo that year. Meanwhile in Green Bay, a 29-year-old Aaron Rodgers penned a 5 year, $110M contract extension with a whopping $54M guaranteed, and a $22M AAV.

Brady would play out 2013 & 2014 on this deal, throwing for 58 TDs, 20 INTs, a 62% completion rate, and a 92.1 rating. Romo actually matched him pound for pound, compiling 65 TDs, 19 INTs, a 66% completion rate, and a 104 rating. While Rodgers raised the bar even higher, producing 55 TDs, 11 INTs, a 66% completion rate and a 110 rating in just 25 games across 2013 & 2014.

Brady earned $27M across those two seasons, compared to $49.15M for Rodgers, & $40M for Romo.

Adjusted Earnings Result: $-11M.

 

2015 Restructure & 2016 Extension

This is the year things got fun, as a TON of veteran QBs found themselves with new extensions. Ben Roethlisberger (33) signed a 4 year $87.4M deal, Eli Manning (34) signed a 4 year, $84M deal, and Philip Rivers (33) signed a 4 year $83.25M deal - to name a few.

Meanwhile in New England, the Patriots and a 38-year-old Brady agreed on a 3 year $27M extension - $0 signing bonus, $0 fully guaranteed, but the whole deal was guaranteed for injury. On paper, this seemed ridiculous at the time.

But, hindsight ended up being 20/20 with this maneuver, as the Patriots ripped up the final two years of that deal prior to the 2016 season and rewarded 39-year-old Brady with a 2 year $41M new money extension, which included a $28M signing bonus. So, across a three year span (2015-2017), Brady ended up reeling in $42.7M

2015-17 Production & Pay
Rivers: 90 TDs, 44 INTs, 63.2% completion rate, 92.6 rating, $68M earned
Roethlisberger: 78 TDs, 43 INTs, 65% completion rate, 94.4 rating, $65M earned
Brady: 96 TDs, 17INTs, 66% completion rate, 105 rating, $42.7M earned

Adjusted Earnings Result: -$24M

 

2018 Extension

As per usual, the Patriots re-upped Brady after two years on his previous deal, signing the 41-year-old to a 2 year $30M new money extension, including a $10M signing bonus, and attainable $5M incentives. His $15M AAV ranked 21st among QBs this year, and his $15M cash earned just 19th. A slow start to the season wound up forcing Brady to miss out on all of his incentives.

Meanwhile across the league, Aaron Rodgers secured a $33.5M AAV, and $80M guaranteed in Green Bay, while Kirk Cousins locked in $84M fully guaranteed with Minnesota, and Alex Smith, $55M guaranteed in Washington.

2015-17 Production & Pay
Rodgers: 25 TDs, 2 INTs, 62.3% completion rate, 97.6 rating, $66.9M earned
Smith: 10 TDs, 5 INTs, 62.5% completion rate, 85.6 rating, $40M earned
Cousins: 30 TDs, 10 INTs, 70% completion rate, 99.7 rating, $26M earned
Brady: 29 TDs, 11 INTs, 66% completion rate, 97.6 rating, $15M earned

Adjusted Earnings Result: -$29.3M

 

Actual Versus Estimated Adjusted Career Earnings

Brady’s actual earnings from 2000-2018 come in just north of $212M.
Based on our little experiment here, his earnings could have have pretty easily calculated north of $298M with a proper draft spot, and top market value contracts as he went along.

 

2019 & Forward

Brady is again set to earn $15M in 2019 based on his extension last season, but with the Patriots once again Super Bowl bound, and his postseason performance as good as any he’s had to date, it stands to reason that another “Brady-like” extension is forthcoming this offseason. While Drew Brees’ 2 year, $50M extension is the likely “value” comparison for a player of Brady’s caliber, a 3 year, $54M contract seems a lot more like something these two sides are likely to wind up with when it’s all said and done.

 

Quick Concluding Thoughts

Is this good or bad for football? Money has become the driving force for how teams are built in this hard-cap era. Sure, Brady’s life outside of football (family, endorsements, etc) afford him the ability to opt-in to a lesser salary on the field. But It can’t be overstated how much of an advantage this has been for the Patriots organization in terms of salary cap flexibility.

Not only has Brady repeatedly taken under market value, but his contracts are short, succinct, simple, and easily rolled over on a 2-3 year basis. This SHOULD become the norm, even with positions of priority like the Quarterback, EDGE defender, etc…

With a salary cap that continues to rise at a very healthy pace, players like Russell Wilson, Andrew Luck, and eventually the Mahomes, Watson, Goff, Wentz grouping won’t need to take considerable salary cuts to make this work. But they also don’t need to lock in 6 year contracts with a plethora of dead cap built into the later years. The philosophy in a cap-friendly window (which much of the league is in) needs to shift to front-loaded, cash & cap heavy contracts, that put dollars in the player’s hands, and keep future cap tables for teams clean, and flexible. Will these players choose the Brady path, or the Rodgers path? Only time will tell.

Michael GinnittiJanuary 24, 2019

We've identified players from each NFL team who may be trending toward the 2019 roster bubble, based on performance vs. compensation & dead cap structure. The list below shows the individual financial implications to trade or release each player based on various bonus dates some may have. We'll continue to update this list as new reports emerge. Did we miss someone? Send suggestions to @spotrac.


Related Links:

Quarterbacks
PlayerTeamPos.2019 CapDead Cap DetailsThoughts
Ryan Tannehill  MIA QB $26,611,666 Pre 6/1 Trade/Release:
$7.8M ($18.75M savings), $5.5M 2020 dead cap

Post 6/1 Trade/Release
$13.4M ($13.1M savings)
Injuries, and an overall lack of consistency over the past few seasons have put the Miami starter on high notice. It's possible the Dolphins look to restructure here by way of a pay cut. But they'll still have to deal with the $13.4M of dead cap.
Joe Flacco BAL QB $26,500,000 Pre 6/1 Trade/Release
$16M ($10.5M savings)

Post 6/1 Trade/Release
$8M ($18.5M savings), $8M 2020 dead cap
Flacco's hot start to 2018 actually had us questioning his inevitable release next March. But a mid-season injury, and Lamar Jackson's quick success at the reigns makes this move a slam dunk heading toward the new league year.
Ben Roethlisberger PIT QB $23,200,000 Pre 3/15 Trade/Release
$6.2M ($17M savings)

Post 3/15 Trade/Release
$11.2M ($12M savings)
All signs to start 2019 have pointed to a new contract, putting Ben's potential retirement on the backburner for the time being. He'll carry over $6.2M of dead cap in 2019 to the new deal, and currently has a $5M roster bonus due 3/15.
Eli Manning  NYG QB $23,200,000 Pre 3/17 Trade/Release
$6.2M ($17M savings)

Post 3/17 Trade/Release
$11.2M ($12M savings)
It's been a tough few years for Eli to say the least, but he's actually starting to look halfway decent in this star-studded offense to finish out 2018. It's still a longshot he returns in 2019.
Derek Carr OAK QB $22,500,000 Pre 2/6 Trade/Release
$7.5M ($15M savings)

2/6-6/1 Trade
$7.5M ($15M savings)

2/6-6/1 Release
$27.4M (-$4.9M savings)

Post-6/1 Trade
$2.5M ($20M savings), $5M 2020 dead cap

Post 6/1 Release
$22.4M ($100,000 savings), $5M 2020 dead cap
Derek Carr's been very "Bortlesey" over the past season and a half, which makes his $20M per year salary & $22M+ cap figures tough to swallow. Factor in a Gruden-led rebuild, and a team in the tank, and Carr's future in Oakland is very much in question.
Blake Bortles  JAX QB $21,000,000

Pre 6/1 Trade:
$10M ($11M savings)

 

Pre 6/1 Release:
$16.5M ($5.5M savings)

Post 6/1 Trade:
$5M ($16M savings), $5M 2020 dead cap

 

Post 6/1 Release:
$11.5M ($9.5M savings), $5M 2020 dead cap

Bortles is right about where Bortles has always been. Below average production, below average analytics, and a team record that shows as much. It's expensive to move on from him after 2018 thanks to his extension this past summer, but it's doable, and the Jaguars will probably do.
Nick Foles  PHI QB $21,600,000 Trade/Release:
$2.8M ($18.8M savings)
The Eagles have officially exercised Foles' option, but reports state Foles will exercise his ability to buy himself out for $2M. It's possible Philly slaps a franchise tag on him in order to complete a trade in the coming weeks.
A.J. McCarron OAK QB $5,000,000 Pre 3/17 Trade/Release
$0 ($5M savings)
While Derek Carr's job appears to be safe for 2019, it makes little sense for McCarron to stick in the fold with a Raiders team looking to turn over pretty much everywhere. $3M of salary guarantees on March 17th, so an early release is likely.
C.J. Beathard SF QB $962,358 Pre 6/1 Trade/Release
$353,144 ($609,214 savings)

Post 6/1 Trade/Release
$176,572 ($785,786 savings), $176,572 2020 dead cap
Beathard looked good in his spot appearances, but Nick Mullens has come out of nowhere to earn the backup role (at least) from here out.
DeShone Kizer GB QB $914,856 Trade/Release
$0 ($914,856 savings)
One of the statistically worst QBs of all-time, keeping Kizer at nearly $1M to backup Rodgers makes little sense.
 
Running Backs
PlayerTeamPos.2019 CapDead Cap DetailsThoughts
LeSean McCoy BUF RB $9,050,000 Trade/Release
$2.625M ($6.425M savings)
The Bills have ample cap space & desperately need to refresh/improve the offensive line & weapons around Josh Allen. With that said, it wouldn't surprise me to see the 31-year-old back in Buffalo for one more year.
Leonard Fournette JAC RB $7,404,774 Pre 6/1 Trade/Release
$8.9M (-$1.5M savings)

Post 6/1 Trade/Release
$4.4M ($3M savings), $4.4M 2020 dead cap
Fournette's season ending with a benching, and a public call-out from the Jags front office. While he still posesses enough talent to stick around, it's possible Jacksonville puts him on the trade block this winter. They've already voided his salary guarantees.
Lamar Miller  HOU RB $7,250,000 Trade/Release:
$1M ($6.25M savings)
Miller's yet to live up to the $26M contract he signed back in 2016. The RB position needs an upgrade across the board for a very good Houston team top get even better going forward.
Dion Lewis TEN RB $4,862,500 Pre 3/17 Trade/Release
$1.6875 ($3.175M savings)

3/17 - 6/1 Trade
$1.6875M ($3.175M savings)

3/17 - 6/1 Release
$4.1875M ($675,000 savings)

Post 6/1 Trade
$562,500 ($4.3M savings), $1.125M 2020 dead cap

Post 6/1 Release
$3.06M ($1.8M savings), $1.125M 2020 dead cap
Lewis just hasn't been the impact player the Titans were hoping for when they made him a near $5M per year player this past March. Injuries have forced inconsistencies across the entire offense, and a late year surge could secure things a bit more. This is an "unlikely" move right now.
Carlos Hyde JAX RB $4,750,000 Pre 3/15 Trade/Release
$0 ($4.75M savings)

Post 3/15 Trade
$1M ($3.75M savings)

Post 3/15 Release
$3M ($1.75M savings)
Hyde's acquisition from Cleveland was a handcuff move to fill-in for an injured Leonard Fournette. But a near $5M cap figure over the next two seasons seems too high for a #2 RB.
Theo Riddick DET RB $4,387,500 Trade/Release:
$962,500 ($3.425M savings)
Kerryon Johnson has risen to the top of the depth chart in Detroit, with the ageless LeGarrette Blount taking most of the other snaps away from Riddick. With $3.4M to be saved, this seems like a no brainer.
Chris Ivory  BUF RB $3,000,000 Trade/Release
$750,000 ($2.25M savings)
The Bills need upgrades at all of their offensive weapon positions, including backup running back. Youngster Marcus Murphy might be an option, especially as he's much less expensive than Ivory at $3M.
Jonathan Stewart NYG RB $2,775,000 Trade/Release
$250,000 ($2.525M savings)
With a plethora of free agent RBs to be had, the Giants will be able to find a reliable backup for Barkley at a cheaper rate than Stewart's deal holds. Especially after clearing $2.5M per his release.
C.J. Prosise  SEA RB $918,116 Trade/Release
$173,116 ($745,000 savings)
Prosise is at the bottom of what appears to be a logjam of solid RBs locked into Seattle's roster for 2019.
 
Wide Receivers
PlayerTeamPos.2019 CapDead Cap DetailsThoughts
Antonio Brown

PIT

WR $22,165,000

Pre 3/17 Trade/Release
$21.1M ($1.045M savings)

3/17-6/1 Trade Release
$23.62M (-$1.455M savings)


Post 6/1 Trade/Release
$9.54M ($12.6M savings), $14.08M 2020 dead cap

As the drama continues to unfold from within the Steelers inner circle, it's looking more and more like Antonio Brown will be seeking a ticket out of Pittsburgh this winter. It's a costly move both financially and in terms of on-field production. Brown has a $2.5M roster bonus due March 17th.
Allen Robinson CHI WR $15,000,000 Pre 3/15 Trade
$4M ($11M savings)

Pre 3/15 Release
$7M ($8M savings)

3/15 - 6/1 Trade
$7M ($8M savings)

3/15 - 6/1 Release
$14.2M ($800,000 savings)

Post 6/1 Trade
$5M ($10M savings), $2M 2020 dead cap

Post 6/1 Release
$12.2M ($2.8M savings), $2M 2020 dead cap
The Bears took a flyer on Robinson coming off a major leg in Jacksonville. He's been OK, but probably not the WR1 they were hoping for. With Anthony Miller ready to take over more reps, a $15M cap charge may be too rich for Chicago's blood next year.
Demaryius Thomas HOU WR $14,000,000 Trade/Release:
$0M ($14M savings)
Hopkins, Fuller, Coutee should be plenty to keep the Texans' passing game afloat going forward. Thomas' $14M to be saved will come in handy elsewhere next spring.
Emmanuel Sanders DEN WR $12,937,500 Trade/Release
$2,687,500 ($10.25M savings)
Sanders can still produce, but there may be wholesale changes coming to Denver. Toss in a late 2018 Achilles injury & his future is murky.
DeSean Jackson  TB WR $10,000,000 Trade/Release
$0 ($10M savings)
This isn't a slam dunk by any means, as Jackson put together a pretty nice season before the injury. He'll always be a "boom or bust" type receiver, but even art 32, can still stretch the field.
Kenny Stills MIA WR $9,750,000 Pre 6/1 Trade:
$3.5M ($6.25M savings)

Pre 6/1 Release
$5.5M ($4.25M savings)

Post 6/1 Trade
$1.75M ($8M savings) $1.75M 2020 dead cap

Post 6/1 Release
$3.75M ($6M savings) $1.75M 2020 dead cap
Stills showed promise in 2017 after the Dolphins handed him a 4 year, $32M extension. But he took a step backward in 2018 thus far. Miami could choose to spend their cap dollars elsewhere (in a lot of places).
DeVante Parker MIA WR $9,387,000 Pre 3/13 Release
$0 ($9.387M savings)

Trade
$0 ($9.387M savings)

Post 3/13 Release
$9.387M ($0 savings)
Parker's been battling injuries since the 2017 season, and just hasn't been a factor in the Dolphins' offense when he's able to go. While a $9.3M option salary isn't crazy, it just might not fit a rebuilding Miami cap in 2019. Parker might have trade value.
Michael Crabtree BAL WR $9,333,333 Pre 3/17 Release/Trade
$4.6M ($4.6M savings)

3/18 - 6/1 Trade
$4.6M ($4.6M savings)

3/18 - 6/1 Release
$9.6M (-$300,000 savings)

Post 6/1 Trade
$4.3M ($5M savings), $2.3M 2020 dead cap

Post 6/1 Release
$7.3M ($2M savigns), $2.3M 2020 dead cap
Crabtree's logged 50+ catches & 600+ yards receiving, but only found the endzone 3 times in 2018. With that said, Lamar Jackson will need veteran WRs around him, & if the Ravens don't think they can upgrade him elsewhere, he's likely safe.
Marvin Jones DET WR $9,183,333 Pre 6/1 Trade/Release
$5.3M ($3.81M savings)

Post 6/1 Trade/Release
$2.6M ($6.5M savings), $2.6M 2020 dead cap
Jones had a nice 2017 season, but he, and the Lions offense as a whole, have really taken a step back in Year 1 of the Matt Patricia era. It's hard to imagie him back at a $9M+ cap hit.
Pierre Garcon SF WR $8,400,000

Pre 6/1 Trade/Release
$7.2M ($1.2M savings)

Post 6/1 Trade/Release
$2.4M ($6M savings), $4.8M 2020 dead cap

Garcon's battled injury, but also a lack of targets in 2018. With plenty of cap to burn, this wouldn't be a financial move, but simply an effort to upgrade the position going forward.
Mohamed Sanu ATL WR $7,400,000 Pre 6/1 Trade/Release
$2.8M ($4.6M savings)

Post 6/1 Trade/Release
$1.4M ($6M savings), $1.4M 2020 dead cap
To be honest, this decision relies heavily on the state of the Falcons this winter. If they look to break it down and start over, the trading Julio Jones makes a little more sense here. Sanu actually increased his production from 2017, but with Calvin Ridley in the wings, he's expendable.
Cameron Meredith NO WR $6,800,000

Trade/Release
$2.75M ($4.05M savings)

Meredith's 2018 was cut short due to injury, and the Saints had plenty of other (cheaper) weapons step up in his place. New Orleans will be looking for cap dollars next March, and Meredith's $4M seems needed.
Travis Benjamin  LAC WR $6,500,000 Trade/Release
$1.25M ($5.25M savings)
The emergence of Tyrell & Mike Williams, plus a healthy Keenan Allen have reduced Benjamin's targets to a minimum. He'll be better served elsewhere in 2019.
Allen Hurns DAL WR $6,250,000 Trade/Release
$1.25M ($5M savings)
Hurns was signed to a 2 year, $12M deal this March, but has barely made it on TV. The Cowboys have big fish to feed this offseason, & will need the $5M of savings here.
Willie Snead BAL WR $5,000,000 Trade/Release
$1M ($4M savings)
Snead just hasn't found consistency in the Ravens' offense, especially since Lamar Jackson took the reigns. The Ravens will likely take the $4M of savings to help rebuild elsewhere.
Terrance Williams DAL WR $4,750,000 Pre 6/1 Trade/Release
$2.5M ($2.25M savings)

Post 6/1 Trade/Release
$1.25M ($3.5M savings), $1.25M 2020 dead cap
Williams dealt with a foot injury that eventually led him to IR, and a substance abuse suspension in 2018, putting his future in Dallas squarely in question. But can the Cowboys afford to lose Beasley, Hurns, & Williams this offseason?
Seth Roberts OAK WR $4,650,000 Trade/Release
$0 ($4.65M savings)
Roberts caught a career-high 45 balls in 2018, and maybe he's a role player for the Raiders going forward, but the Raiders need to improve this position across the board.
Jaron Brown SEA WR $3,725,000 Trade/Release
$975,000 ($2.75M savings)
Brown was a reliable redzone target for Wilson, but not much of a consistent option elsewhere. His role can likely be replaced by a cheaper, younger, David Moore going forward.
Laquon Treadwell MIN WR $3,161,132 Trade
$1,356,362 ($1.8M savings)

Release
$3.1M ($0 savings)
With 56 catches and 1 TD in 3 seasons, it's unlikely the Vikes can find a trade partner for Treadwell, but it still may be time to cut bait, even if doing so comes with no cap savings.
 
Tight Ends
PlayerTeamPos.2019 CapDead Cap DetailsThoughts
Jimmy Graham GB TE $12,666,666 Pre 3/15 Trade/Release
$7.3M ($5.3M savings)

3/16 - 6/1 Trade/Release
$12.3M ($300,000 savings)

Post 6/1 Trade/Release
$8.6M ($4M savings), $3.6M 2020 dead cap
If i could put him on here twice I would. The 32-year-old was never going to pile up reception numbers anymore, but he was signed to be a red zone weapon for Aaron Rodgers, and has barely touched the end zone in 2018.
Rob Gronkowski NE TE $12,000,000

Trade/Release/Retirement
$2M ($10M savings)

It's been tough to watch Gronk's ability & physicality regress so quickly over the past year and half, but it appears the end is near for one of the GOATs. The Pats can use the cap space as well.
Charles Clay BUF TE $9,000,000 Trade/Release
$4.5M ($4.5M savings)
The Bills have plenty of cap space to work with, but they need younger, fresher weapons for Josh Allen. Clay's had trouble staying healthy, getting open, and compiling any sort of consistent production over the past 4 seasons in Buffalo.
Jermaine Gresham  ARI TE $8,250,000 Pre 6/1 Trade
$3.5M ($4.75M savings)

Pre 6/1 Release
$5.75M ($2.5M savings)

Post 6/ 1 Trade
$1.75M ($6.5M savings), $1.75M 2020 dead cap

Post 6/1 Release
$4M ($4.25M savings), $1.75M 2020 dead cap
The Cardinals need to upgrade the TE position as a whole in 2019, & can afford to get younger and cheaper while doing so. $2.25M of Gresham's 2019 salary is already fully guaranteed, so it'll cost a little to get out, barring a trade.
Kyle Rudolph MIN TE $7,625,000 Trade/Release
$0 ($7.625M savings)
The 2-time Pro Bowler had a down year in 2018, and the Vikings need cap help for the 2019 offseason. This would be a tough, but possibly necessary move (a restructured extension might be more likely?)
Dwayne Allen NE TE $7,306,250 Trade/Release
$0 ($7.3M savings)
Even with Gronk's status for 2019 an unknown, it's hard to imagine Allen and his $7M+ cap figure sticking around. The Pats will need to address this position both in via draft/free agency as a full rebuild.
Cameron Brate TB TE $7,000,000 Pre 3/17 Release/Trade
$0 ($7M savings)
Brate signed a 6 year contract 10 months ago, but has been completely overshadowed by OJ Howard. His 2019 salary fully guarantees on March 17th, so we'll know then where the Bucs stand with him.
Dion Sims CHI TE $6,333,334 Trade/Release
$333,334 ($6M savings)
With Trey Burton now in the fold, it's hard to imagine the Bears keeping Sims around at this cost.
Vernon Davis  WAS TE $6,302,084 Trade/Release
$1,333,334 ($4.96M savings)
Davis has still been a productive asset into his 30s, but the Redskins need to improve their weapons as a whole in 2019, and his $5M of cap to be saved would be useful.
 
Offensive Linemen
PlayerTeamPos.2019 CapDead Cap DetailsThoughts
Andrew Whitworth LAR OT $15,909,168 Trade/Release
$5.1M ($10.75M savings)
The 36-year-old has had an outstanding 2018 campaign with the Rams, but won't be allowed to play out a near $16M cap figure in 2019. If he chooses to return (instead of retiring), a restructured extension seems likely.
T.J. Lang DET OG $11,510,418 Trade/Release
$2,666,668 ($8.84M savings)
Lang's been a solid interior lineman now for the better part of 10 years, but it's hard to justify him on an $11.5M cap figure. A restructure/paycut should do the trick.
Jason Peters PHI OT $10,666,668 Trade/Release/Retirement
$2,666,668 ($8M savings)
It stands to reason that the Eagles would likely welcome Peters back in 2019, but retirement seems very possible. Philly certainly needs the $8M that stands to be saved here.
Andrus Peat NO OG $9,625,000 Pre 3/13 Release
$0 ($9.62M savings)

Post 3/13 Trade
$0 ($9.625M savings)

Post 3/13 Release
$9.625 ($0 savings)
Peat's done a nice job on the left side of Drew Brees, but he's had an awful lot of help with the great Terron Armstead to his left. The Saints have $47M of cap allocated to their starting O-Line next year, which might be too rich. It might be more likely that a restructured/extension is in the cards for Peat to lower the hit.
Ron Leary DEN OG $9,375,000 Pre 3/17 Trade/Release
$1.75M ($7.625M savings)

3/17-6/1 Trade
$1.75M ($7.625M savings)

3/17-6/1 Release
$7.1M ($2.275M savings)

Post 6/1 Release
$6.225M ($3.15M savings), $875,000 2020 dead cap
Leary's been injured in each of his first two seasons in Denver, putting his near $10M cap figure for 2019 in jeopardy. $5.35M of his 2019 salary fully guarantees on March 17th, so it'll be a quick decision one way or the other.
Donald Penn OAK OT $8,350,000 Trade/Release
$2.75M ($5.6M savings)
Penn was having a tough year before a leg injury finished his 2018 campaign, and possibly his tenure with the Raiders as well. Noone's safe in Oakland.
Justin Britt SEA OC $7,916,666 Pre 3/17 Trade/Release
$5.83M ($2.08M savings)

3/18-6/1 Trade
$5.83M ($2.08M savings)

3/18-6/1 Release
$10.33M (-$2.4M savings)

Post 6/1 Trade
$2.91M ($5M savings), $2.91M 2020 dead cap

Post 6/1 Release
$7.41M ($500,000 savings), $2.91M 2020 dead cap
Britt's been a week spot on a surprisingly decent Seahawks O-Line. Seattle needs to ramp up protection & weapons for Russell Wilson as his contract expiration nears, so an upgrade seems likely possible here, though messing with a QB's center is risky.
Ryan Schraeder ATL OT $7,750,000 Pre 6/1 Trade/Release
$3.8M ($3.95M savings)

Post 6/1 Trade/Release
$1.3M ($6.45M savings), $2.5M 2020 dead cap
Once one of the top-rated RTs in all of football, Schraeder's play has fallen off a cliff in 2018. If the Falcons start making sweeping changes to this team, he could be one.
Chris Hubbard CLE OT $7,300,000 Pre 3/15 Trade/Release
$3.2M ($4.1M savings)

3/16 - 6/1 Trade
$3.2M ($4.1M savings)

3/16-6/1 Release
$9.35M (-$2.05M savings)

Post 6/1 Trade
$800,000 ($6.5M savings), $2.4M 2020 dead cap

Post 6/1 Release
$6.95M ($350,000 savings), $2.4M 2020 dead cap
While he just signed a 5 year, $36.5M contract last March, Hubbard's been one of the weaker links on the Browns O-Line this season. If Cleveland is serious about getting better quickly, upgrading Hubbard might be in the plans.
Marcus Gilbert  PIT OT $6,643,500 Trade/Release
$1.7285M ($4.915M savings)
Gilbert can hold the fort down when healthy, but has struggled to stay on the field with any regularity. While the Steelers don't like to shake too much up generally, this $5M to be saved might be needed.
Spencer Long NYJ OC $6,500,000 Pre 2/6 Release
$0 ($6.5M savings)

Post 2/6 Trade/Release
$3M ($3.5M savings)
Long has a $3M roster bonus due February 6th, so it'll likely be quick decision if the Jets decide to move on. With protection for Darnold of the utmost importance, they'll likely do so.
Mike Remmers MIN OG $6,350,000 Pre 6/1 Trade/Release
$1.8M ($4.55M savings)

Post 6/1 Trade/Release
$600,000 ($5.75M savings), $1.2M 2020 dead cap
Remmers had a career-worst year for the disappointing Vikings. With a cap charge that jumps up $2M next year, he'll be on the bubble entering 2019.
Garry Gilliam SF OT $5,050,000 Trade/Release
$0 ($5.05M savings)
The Niners don't need to make any "financial" moves, but Gilliam's been reduced to a depth role, so $5M+ seems too rich for any team.
Ted Larsen MIA OG $2,291,668 Trade/Release
$416,668 ($1.875M savings)
Larsen was rated the worst guard in football according to PFF, which doesn't bode well for his $500,000 increase in cap for 2019.
 
Defensive Linemen
PlayerTeamPos.2019 CapDead Cap DetailsThoughts
Malik Jackson JAX DT $15,000,000 Pre 6/1 Trade/Release
$4M ($11M savings)

Post 6/1 Trade/Release
$2M ($13M savings), $2M 2020 dead cap
Jackson's just one example of a complete drop-off in production for a Jaguars' defensive player in 2018. It's likely either he or Dareus are moved this offseason.
Timmy Jernigan PHI DT $13,000,0000 Pre 6/1 Trade/Release
$6M ($7M savings)

Post 6/1 Trade/Release
$2M ($11savings), $4M 2020 dead cap
Jernigan suffered a back injury that pressed the Eagles to restructure his deal, protecting them from future salary guarantees. It's likely they rework this deal again to make things a little more cap friendly.
Gerald McCoy TB DT $13,000,000 Trade/Release
$0 ($13M savings)
The perennial top-tier defensive lineman had a bit of a setback year in 2018, rating out 27th among his fellow interior D-Men. While a $13M cap figure isn't overly excessive, it may be too rich for a team looking to add many pieces this offseason.
Star Lotulelei BUF DT $11,500,000

Pre 3/17 Release
$12.4M (-$900,000 savings)

Pre 3/17 Trade
$10.4M ($1.1M savings)

3/18 - 6/1 Release
$18.55M (-$7.05M savings)

3/18 - 6/1 Trade
$11.4M ($100,000 savings)

Post 6/1 Release
$10.75M ($750,000 savings), $7.8M 2020 dead cap

Post 6/1 Trade
$3.6M ($7.9M savings), $7.8M 2020 dead cap

His 5 year $50M signing looks like one of the worst free agent deals in all of 2018, and with ample cap space in 2019, the Bills should cut their losses and get out now. They'll owe him $2M cash by releasing him in early March and lose $900,000 in cap space by doing so as well. This is a very unlikely move.
Mike Daniels  GB DE $10,900,000 Trade/Release
$2.4M ($8.5M savings)
Daniels had a decent 2018 before his injury shelved him, but a cap raise to nearly $11M in 2019, plus new coaching staff forthcoming could put him on the bubble.
Michael Brockers LAR DL $10,750,000 Pre 3/15 Trade/Release
$750,000 ($10M savings)

Post 3/16 Trade/Release
$2.97M ($7.77M savings)
Brockers simply isn't being asked to do as much on a ridiculously talented DL, forcing his value down, and making a near $11M cap figure in 2019 tough to swallow. He has a $2M roster bonus due 3/15, so the Rams will do this quickly. A restructured extension is also possible here.
Marcell Dareus JAX DT $10,585,000 Trade/Release
$0 ($10.585M savings)
Dareus has battled injuries (again) in 2018, but has otherwise been OK for the Jags. He's never going to be a big stat-guy, but a $10M cap charge for a guy who can stuff the run seems...OK.
Dontari Poe CAR DT $9,333,333 Pre 3/15 Trade/Release
$6.66M ($2.67M savings)

3/16-6/1 Trade
$6.66 ($2.67M savings)

3-16 - 6/1 Release
$9.1M ($200,000 savings)

Post 6/1 Trade
$3.33M ($6M savings), $3.33M 2020 dead cap

Post 6/1 Release
$5.83M ($3.5M savigns), $3.33M 2020 dead cap
Poe's been a disappointment in terms of production, though it's clear he's been a strong veteran presence for a younger Panthers' defense. That shouldn't be enough reason to keep him around once his cap figure jumps $4M.
Vinny Curry TB DE $8,000,000 Pre 3/17 Trade/Release
$0 ($8M savings)
Curry was a shell of himself in 2018 in comparison to his time in Philly prior. $5M of his 2019 salary guarantees on March 17th, so a decision on him will be quick.
Beau Allen TB DT $5,000,000

Pre 3/17 Trade/Release
$0 ($5M savings)

Post 3/18 Trade
$1.5M ($3.5M savings)


Post 3/18 Relesae
$2.25M ($2.75M savings)

Allen's battled a foot injury all season, but has seen limited snapcounts even when he's made it to the field. While a $5M hit isn't crazy for a run-stuffer, there are likely better, cheaper, options for Tampa Bay.
Earl Mitchell SF DT $4,356,250 Pre 6/1 Trade/Release
$1.5M ($2.85M savings)

Post 6/1 Trade/Release
$750,000 ($3.6M savings), $750,000 2020 dead cap
Mitchell's deal carries an option for the 2019-20 seasons that the Niners will likely decide against. After taking a few big swings financially last offseason, expect SF to be a little more refined with their team building in 2019.
Akeem Spence MIA DT $2,500,000 Trade/Release
$0 ($2.5M savings)
While the cap figure isn't daunting, Spence was graded one of the worst interior linemen in all of football according to PFF. The Dolphins will be looking to get younger & cheaper everywhere.
 
Edge Defenders
PlayerTeamPos.2019 CapDead Cap DetailsThoughts
Justin Houston  KC OLB $21,100,000 Pre 6/1 Trade/Release
$7.1M ($14M savings)

Post 6/1 Trade/Release
$5.6M ($15.5M savings), $1.5M 2020 dead cap
Houston's still a Top 25 edge defender in the league. But at $21.1M, and with fellow OLB Dee Ford in need of a pay raise, this might be a move Kansas City feels they need to make this spring.
 Robert Quinn MIA OLB $12,932,332 Pre 3/15 Trade/Release
$0 ($12.9M savings)

Post 3/15 Trade/Release
$1.1M ($11.8M savings)
Quinn was brought in to complement Cameron Wake, but was rated an "average" EDGE defender in 2018. With plenty to be saved per his release, and a big shakeup coming, this seems likely.
Vic Beasley ATL DE $12,810,000

Pre 3/13 Release

$0 ($12.81M savings)

Post 3/13 Trade
$0 ($12.81M savings)

Post 3/13 Release
$12.81M ($0 savings)

The Falcons were hoping that an increase in snaps would bring back the 2016 version of Vic Beasley. But it's more of the same from 2017 unfortunately. It's hard to imagine Atlanta keeping him on the $12.81M 5th-year option now.
Everson Griffen MIN DE $11,900,000 Pre 3/15 Trade/Release
$1.2M ($10.7M savings)

3/16 - 6/1 Trade
$1.2M ($10.7M savings)

3/16 - 6/1 Release
$12.1M ($-200,000 savings)

Post 6/1 Trade
$400,000 ($11.5M savings), $800,000 2020 dead cap

Post 6/1 Release
$11.3M ($600,000 savings), $800,000 2020 dead cap
Griffen battled some persona, off-the-field demons in 2018 that could keep the Vikings away from his near $12M cap figure in 2019. It's possible the 30-year-old has some trade value as well.
Derek Wolfe DEN DE $10,925,000 Trade/Release
$2,375,000 ($8.55M savings)
Wolfe can still get it done, & might be more inline for an extension than a ticket out. But if the Broncos break it down and vow to go younger, and cheaper through the draft, his near $11M cap figure just might be a bad fit.
Tyrone Crawford DAL DE $10,100,000 Pre 6/1 Trade/Release
$4.2M ($5.9M savings)

Post 6/1 Trade/Release
$3.1M ($7M savings), $1.1M 2020 dead cap
Crawford's still a viable asset to the Cowboys D, and could become a trade piece if Dallas needs to move on here. With new deals for Prescott, Lawrence, and Amari Cooper forthcoming, Crawford just may become a financial casualty.
Andre Branch MIA DE $9,000,000 Trade/Release
$2M ($7M savings)
Life without Ndamukong Suh hasn't been great, as Branch has compiled just one sack, and 17 tackles in 288 snaps.
Chris Long PHI DE $5,600,000 Pre 3/17 Trade/Release/Retirement
$300,000 ($5.3M savings)
Long had a 5-year-high 6.5 sacks in 2018, and a solid year productively across the board. If he doesn't retire, the Eagles will likely restructure this deal to free up some 2019 cap.
Connor Barwin NYG OLB $1,865,000 Trade/Release
$365,000 ($1.5M savings)
Barwin was one of the worst graded EDGE defenders in 2018 according to PFF, and while $1.5M to be saved isn't a splash, it's still money to be used elsewhere.
 
Linebackers
PlayerTeamPos.2019 CapDead Cap DetailsThoughts
Jamie Collins CLE OLB $11,750,000 Pre 6/1 Trade/Release
$2.5M ($9.25 savings)

Post 6/1 Trade/Release
$1.25M ($10.5M savings), $1.25M 2020 dead cap
Collins has proved a strong veteran presence for a young Browns team, but with Cleveland on the verge of contending, may not carry enough production to warrant a near $12M cap figure. The $9M+ saved will be useful.
Alec Ogletree NYG ILB $11,750,000 Pre-3/15 Trade/Release:
$5.25M ($6.5M savings)

3/15 - 6/1 Trade/Release
$11.25M ($500,000 savings)

Post 6/1 Trade/Release
$7.75M ($4M savings), $3.5M 2020 dead cap
Ogletree was traded to the Giants as a cap-casualty this past offseason, & might be short-lived in New York as well. He's one of the lowest rated LBers in all of football this year.
Dont'a Hightower NE OLB $10,375,000 Pre 3/17 Trade/Release
$5M ($5.375M savings)

3/17 - 6/1 Trade
$5M ($5.375M savings)

3/17 - 6/1 Release
$7M ($3.375M savings)

Post 6/1 Trade
$2.5M ($7.875M savings), $2.5M 2020 dead cap

Post 6/1 Release
$4.5M ($5.875M savings), $2.5M 2020 dead cap
Hightower's production (and health) have both taking a hit since he signed his year extension in March of 2017, and his $10M+ cap figure will likely become a liability with a Pats team that needs to clean up financially a bit in 2019.
Sean Lee DAL OLB $10,075,000 Trade/Release
$3.075M ($7M savings)
Lee's been the captain of the Cowboys' defense for 8 years now, but age + injuries + a $10M+ cap figure likely = the end of the road.
Mark Barron LAR ILB $8,916,666 Pre 6/1 Trade/Release
$2M ($6.9M savings)

Post 6/1 Trade/Release
$1M ($7.9M savings), $1M 2020 dead cap
Barron's been a jack of all trades for the Rams over the past 5 seasons, and may be deemed too important to move on from. It's possible a restructure can work things out, but the Rams will need to find cap $ somewhere this winter.
Zach Brown WAS ILB $8,750,000 Pre 6/1 Trade/Release
$3M ($5.75M savings)
Brown's been as solid as ever, but the Redskins appear poised to move away from much of their core next offseason. Brown's near $6M to be saved would be helpful in a rebuild.
Malcolm Smith SF ILB $5,418,750 Pre 6/1 Trade/Release
$4.2M ($1.21M savings)

Post 6/1 Trade/Release
$1.4M ($4M savings), $2.8M 2020 dead cap
The soon to be 30-year-old just hasn't panned out according to plan since joining the Niners 2 years ago. This is a position SF will be addressing via draft, so a Post 6/1 release makes sense.
Barkevious Mingo SEA OLB $4,400,000 Trade/Release
$1.1M ($3.3M savings)
Mingo never seemed to find a footing in Seattle, and was used inconsistently through 2018. While he's young and relatively cheap enough to consider again next year, his savings might be useful elsewhere.
Lerentee McCray JAX OLB $2,875,000 Trade/Release
$625,000 ($2.25M savings)
McCray's snaps have been limited, and one of Jacksonville's major offseason needs will be a stud EDGE defender.
Joe Thomas DAL ILB $2,237,500 Trade/Release
$300,000 ($1.9375M savings)
Dallas must clear cap space in order to keep a few of its own, and extend a few others. There will be restructures, but also a few casualties as well. Thomas is inline to be one of them.
Reuben Foster WAS ILB $1,286,392 Trade/Release
$0 ($1.2M savings)
Controversially picked up on waivers, if the Redskins decide to bail on this choice eventually, they'll take on no dead cap.
   
Defensive Backs
PlayerTeamPos.2019 CapDead Cap DetailsThoughts
Jimmy Smith BAL CB $15,850,685 Trade/Release
$6.3M ($9.5M savings)
Smith has been recovering from an achilles injury & getting up to speed after a 4-game suspension to start 2018, but has rounded into form somewhat since. Still, a near $16M cap figure isn't pretty.
A.J. Bouye JAX CB $15,500,000 Pre 6/1 Trade/Release
$6M ($9.5M savings)

Post 6/1 Trade/Release
$2M ($13.5M savings), $4M 2020 dead cap
Bouye's a solid defensive back, who's being asked & paid to be an elite one. With the dead cap reasonable, it's likely he's on the bubble heading into 2019.
Janoris Jenkins NYG CB $14,750,000 Early March Trade/Release
$7M ($7.75M savings)

Post 6/1 Trade/Release
$4.5M ($10.25M savings), $3.5M 2020 dead cap
Jenkins might be the next piece of the puzzle to fall for the struggling Giants, though he's improved some in latter stages of 2018. He's likely a trade candidate.
Josh Norman WAS CB $14,500,000 Pre 6/1 Trade/Release
$6M ($8.5M savings)

Post 6/1 Trade/Release
$3M ($11.5M savings), $3M 2010 dead cap
Norman had a solid takeaway numbers in 2018, with 3 INTs, 3 FFs, but also gave up 8 TDs, a 67% reception rate. His cap figure actually drops $2M in 2019, but it still may be too rich for WAS to handle.
Joe Haden PIT CB $11,916,668 Trade/Release
$1.9M ($10M savings)
Haden's just not the player he was in his first NFL life, and while the Steelers managed his near $12M cap figure in 2018, it's not likely they'll do it again next year.
Rodney McLeod PHI SS $9,906,250 Pre 6/1 Trade/Release
$4.8125M ($5.09M savings)

Post 6/1 Trade/Release
$2.4M ($7.5M savings), $2.4M 2020 dead cap
McLeon suffered a season-ending knee injury in what was already a "prove-it" year for the veteran DB. A post 6/1 release is very possible here, if not likely.
Robert Alford ATL CB $9,100,000 Pre 6/1 Trade/Release
$1.2M ($7.9M savings)

Post 6/1 Trade/Release
$600,000 ($8.5M savings), $600,000 2020 dead cap
Alford's one of the worst-rated CBs in all of football according to PFF despite playing 90% of the Falcons' defensive snaps in 2018. Expect plenty of movement out of ATL.
Marcus Peters LAR CB $9,069,000 Pre 3/13 Release
$0 ($9.069M savings)
The Rams took a shot withPeters being a low-cost financial value for two seasons, but he's been far from it. It's highly unlikely he's allowed to play out his $9M option year.
Kevin Johnson HOU CB $9,069,000 Pre 3/13 Release
$0 ($9.069M savings)
Johnson has missed the entire season with concussion issues, so he'll need to pass a physical before Houston can move on. If he can't this $9M salary fully guarantees on 3/13. With Aaron Colvin's contract upside down from dead cap, Johnson is the likely casualty here.
Eric Weddle BAL FS $8,250,000 Trade/Release
$1.75M ($6.5M savings)
Weddle had a pretty strong 2018, especially for a 33 year old, so if the Ravens move on, it would appear to be strictly business.
Glover Quin DET S $7,916,668 Trade/Release
$1,666,668 ($6.25M savings)
Quin will be 33 years old next year, and Matt Patricia can't be pleased with the defensive performance from the Lions in 2018. Quin might be one of a few Lions defenders on the block next March.
Brandon Carr BAL CB $7,000,000 Pre 3/17 Trade/Release
$2M ($5M savings)
Carr has been on the bubble for the better part of two years now, and actually had an above average 2018. But the Ravens might be opting to go younger in a few areas. He has a $1.5M roster bonus due March 17th.
John Cyprien TEN S $6,750,000 Pre 6/1 Trade/Release
$1.5M ($5.25M savings)

Post 6/1 Trade/Release
$750,000 ($6M savings), $750,000 2020 dead cap
Cyprien was excellent against the run in 2017, but an injury in 2018, plus a cap figure that nears $7M in 2019 will put his spot in question.
Darian Stewart DEN S $6,400,000 Pre 6/1 Trade/Release
$2.8M ($3.6M savings)

Post 6/1 Trade/Release
$1.4M ($5M savings), $1.4M 2020 dead cap
The Broncos might be in for a sizeable rebuild on the defensive side of the ball over the next two offseasons, including potentially parting ways with CB1 Chris Harris Jr. Stewart might be in the group to go this coming offseason.
Tramon Williams GB CB $6,375,000 Pre 3/15 Trade/Release
$1.625M ($4.75M savings)

Post 3/15 Trade/Release
$2.625M ($3.75M savings)
Williams was a low risk signing at a $3.6M cap figure for 2018, but that number doubles in 2019, and it won't be worthy of his production.
Nevin Lawson DET CB $5,275,000 Pre 3/15 Trade/Release
$1.125M ($4.15M savings)

Post 3/15 Trade/Release
$2.375M ($2.9M savings)
Lawson's 2018 production is right inline with his 2017 results, so Detroit apparently got what they paid for, but that won't merit a a cap increase of $1.5M in 2019.
Captain Munnerlyn CAR CB $5,000,000 Pre 6/1 Trade/Release
$3M ($2M savings)

Post 6/1 Trade/Release
$1.5M ($3.5M savings), $1.5M 2020 dead cap
Munnerlyn's production/rating has dipped gradually over the past 4 seasons, culminating with a career-worst in 2018. While a $5M cap figure isn't crazy, it's too much for a depth DB at this stage.
Daniel Sorensen KC S $4,750,000 Pre 6/1 Trade/Release
$2M ($2.75M savings)

Post 6/1 Trade/Release
$1M ($3.75M savings), $1M 2020 dead cap
Sorenson's played limited snaps in 2018, but the Chiefs need to get better pretty much everywhere on the defensive side of the ball. Clearing nearly $3M of cap here would be helpful.
Artie Burns PIT CB $3,051,678 Trade/Release
$1.3M ($1.75M savings)
Burns only saw 30% of the Steelers defensive snaps in 2018, and has seemingly fallen out of favor. The 2016 first round pick might have a make it or break it camp coming up.
 
Special Teams
PlayerTeamPos.2018 CapDead Cap DetailsThoughts
Mason Crosby  GB K $4,850,000 Trade/Release
$1.25M ($3.6M savings)
Crosby's had a shaky season, and with big changes coming in GB, it makes sense that this would be one of them.
Chris Boswell PIT K $4,200,000 Pre 6/1 Trade/Release
$4.8M (-$600,000 savings)

Post 6/1 Release
$1.2M ($3M savings), $3.6M 2020 dead cap
The Steelers might be stuck with Boswell, who's been one of the worst kickers in all of football, because of the structure of his dead cap. He has a $2M roster bonus due in early March that also complicates things here.
Matt Bryant ATL K $4,166,666 Pre 6/1 Trade/Release
$1.3M ($2.8M savings)

Post 6/1 Trade/Release
$666,666 ($3.5M savings), $666,668 2020 dead cap
There's no denying Bryant can still do his job well, even at 43 years old, but injuries have affected his ability to stay active in 2018, and the Falcons me look to get cheaper, and a bit more stable here going forward.
Cody Parkey CHI K $4,062,500 Pre 6/1 Release
$5.1875M (-$1.125M savings)

Post 6/1 Release
$4,062,500 ($0 savings), $1.125M 2020 dead cap
It's a right of passage to put him here after all that played out, but it's a really bad move financially, for a team that's very close to the top & won't have cap dollars to burn. A post 6/1 move is the only feasible option here.
Michael GinnittiJanuary 10, 2019

With reports from Steelers ownership today that Antonio Brown’s future with the Steelers is “unlikely”, we’ll do a deep dive into understanding the scenarios, important dates, financial ramifications, & possible destinations for his potential trade out of Pittsburgh.

 

What Stays, What Goes?

Often, trading a player of this caliber would include the movement of future guaranteed salaries, which would actually benefit the losing team as they would not be kept as dead cap in a trade.

However, the Steelers have a policy to NOT guarantee base salaries. They dish out guaranteed dollars in the forms of signing bonuses or roster bonuses, and often convert high base salaries into signing bonuses (restructures) to manage their cap on an annual basis. So in this specific case, Brown holds a total of $21.12M of dead cap, stemming from $11.4M of unallocated signing bonus proration, & $9.72M of unallocated restructure bonus proration (from a $12.96M restructure in March of 2018). All of this must remain with the Steelers in the event of a trade or release this offseason.

 

The March Roster Bonus

Brown has a $2.5M roster bonus due on March 17th which could be a factor in the timing of this trade. Moving him prior to this date means the bonus would fall into the hands of the new team, but, as a pre June 1st move, it would also mean an acceleration of all $21.12M of dead cap into the 2019 season. After March 17th, this dead cap increases to $23.62M.

 

June 1st

As alluded to above, the real discussion here lies with the Pre or Post June 1st transaction. For those of you who are unaware, should a player be released or traded prior to June 1st, ALL of the dead cap (guaranteed salaries, unallocated bonus proration, etc…) would accelerate into the current league year. Or in this case:

Between March 13th - March 17th
The Steelers would take on a $21.12M dead cap hit in 2019

Between March 17th - June 1st
The Steelers would take on a $23.62M dead cap hit in 2019

After June 1st

  • The roster bonus will have been paid, and added to the dead cap ($23.62M total)
  • The dead cap would be split up as $9.54M in 2019, & $14.08M in 2020.

 

Cap Savings

It’s a moot point really, because no amount of cap savings is likely equal to the value of Antonio Browns’ potential on-field production in 2019, but there is a bit of cap to be cleared here.

Between March 13th - March 17th
The Steelers would save $1.045M of 2019 cap space, $18.34M in 2020, $19.54M in 2021

Between March 17th - June 1st
The Steelers would lose $1.455M of 2019 cap space, $18.34M in 2020, $19.54M in 2021

After June 1st
The Steelers would clear $12.625M of 2019 cap space, $4.26M in 2020, $19.54M in 2021

 

The Traded Contract

When he’s traded, Brown will bring over a deal with three years remaining in one of the following formats:

If traded prior to March 17th, the deal will be 3 years, $38.9M, including cash & cap figures of $15.125M, $11.3M, & $12.5M through 2021.

If traded after March 17th, the deal will be 3 years, $36.425M, including cash & cap figures of $12.625M, $11.3M, & $12.5M through 2021.

 

Final Thoughts

Is this a smart financial move? No. Is this a smart football move? Also No. Taking on significant dead cap for a player who can potentially bring All-Pro production to your team, in a league that has shifted massively to the passing game, will never be the case. Not to mention over the past 5 seasons, only 7 teams have carried a single $8M+ dead cap figure & made the postseason that year.

But chemistry, leadership, and culture matter - at least to some degree, and it appears that on this front, Brown has overstayed his welcome. He’ll leave a lot of great wins, catches, and of course dead cap, behind him with the Steelers.

 

Possible Destinations

It’s hard to imagine that EVERY team in the league wouldn't show interest in this move, but there are a few off the top here that make a decent amount of sense.

San Francisco 49ers
The Niners still have plenty of cap to work with, and will likely move on from Pierre Garcon this spring. Brown would join a young, speedy arsenal of WRs & TEs, and instantly become Jimmy Garoppolo’s goto target.

Buffalo Bills
Outside of Sammy Watkins, who was hampered by injuries much of his career in Buffalo, the Bills haven’t had a bonafide WR1 in years. While they’re likely to address the position both in free agency and in the draft, bringing in a player of Brown’s capabilities would be a big step forward - though his recent antics would be a major red flag, as the current Bills’ organization has taken drastic measures to change the culture of the team of late.

Oakland Raiders
A cash-strapped, homeless Raiders organization will be looking to build heavily through the draft in 2019, but after moving on from their previous WR1 (Cooper), and getting very little from Jordy Nelson or Martavis Bryant in 2018, Oakland owes it to Derek Carr to find him a legitimate receiving option next year - which could very well be a show me year for the well-paid QB.

New York Jets
In a similar vein to the Buffalo conversation (but not as drastic), the Jets would do right by their young, highly drafted QB to place a player of Browns potential into what will certainly be a new-style Jets offense (now that Adam Gase is in the fold). They’ve already re-upped Quincy Enunwa, and have a restricted free agent contract to hammer out with Robby Anderson, but with $100M in cap space to work with, adding a piece like Brown won’t be an issue financially.

Michael GinnittiJanuary 04, 2019

Knicks Send Porzingis to the Mavericks

Jan 31

Dallas MavericksDALLAS ACQUIRES
Kristaps Porzingis ($5,697,054)
Courtney Lee
 ($12,253,780)
Tim Hardaway Jr.
 ($19,200,127)
Trey Burke ($1,795,015)
Dallas MavericksNEW YORK ACQUIRES
Dennis Smith Jr. ($3,819,960)
Wesley Matthews ($18,622,513)
DeAndre Jordan
 ($22,897,200)
2021 1st round pick
2023 1st round pick (top-10 protected)


Kristaps Porzingis (PF, 23): Holds a $4.4M restricted qualifying offer for 2019-20. He's eligible for a maximum 5 year, $158M extension, but early signs point to a "prove it" year in Dallas before the 23-year-old gets locked in.
Courtney Lee (SG, 33): The 33-year-old carries a $12.75M salary for 2019-20, and has seen limited action thus far in 2018. This was a successful salary dump for the Knicks.
Tim Hardaway Jr. (SG, 26): Will actually be a nice piece to complement Luka Doncic & Porzingis. Hardaway has an $18.1M salary in 2019, then an $18.9M player option in 2020. The 26-year-old should be a factor in Dallas.
Trey Burke (PG, 26): Was a late addition to this trade, and will head to free agency after the year.
Dennis Smith Jr. (PG 21): Holds a $4.4M salary in 2019-20, then a $5.6M team option in 2020-21, & his restricted offer of $7.7M in 2021-2022. The 21-year-old has a chance to be a key piece going forward.
Wesley Matthews (SG, 32): Brings over an expiring contract and will likely test free agency after the year.
DeAndre Jordan (C, 30): Brings over an expiring contract and will likely hit the open market, though a small extension is possible.

The Knicks actually wind up adding $8.26M of tax cap to 2018-19 in this deal, but clear $30.9M of 2019-20 tax space, which should prove very useful this July.

 

Portland Acquires Rodney Hood from the Cavs

Feb 4

Cleveland CavaliersCLEVELAND ACQUIRES
Nik Stauskas ($1,512,601)
Wade Baldwin
 ($1,544,951)
2021 2nd round pick
2023 2nd round pick
Cleveland CavaliersPORTLAND ACQUIRES
Rodney Hood ($3,472,887)

Rodney Hood (SG, 26): Hood holds an expiring contract on his $3.4M qualifying offer and is a solid rental piece for Portland's playoff run.
Nik Stauskas (SG, 25): Brings over a near minimum $1.6M salary on an expiring contract. He'll hit the open market in July.
Wade Baldwin (PG, 22): The former Grizzlies first round pick is on a near minimum expiring contract and will hit the open market in July.

The Cavaliers clear around $415,000 of 2018-19 tax cap with this deal, picking up a few solid draft picks along the way. There are no future financial ramifications.

 

Bucks Acquire Stanley Johnson from the Pistons

Feb 6

Detroit PistonsDETROIT ACQUIRES
Thon Maker ($2,799,720)
Detroit PistonsMILWAUKEE ACQUIRES
Stanley Johnson ($3,940,402)

Stanley Johnson (SF, 22): The #8 overall selection back in 2015 has underachieved in his short time in Detroit, but will join a strong, young core in Milwaukee. He holds a $4.4M qualifying offer in 2019-20 as a restricted free agent.
Thon Maker (C, 21): Wanted out of Milwaukee as his playing time was dipping mightily. He can play inside and out when right, and should get a chance at more minutes in Detroit. He carries a $3.5M salary in 2019-20, then a $4.8M restricted offer in 2020-21.

Bucks add $1.14M of 2018-19 tax cap, clearing $3.5M in 2019-20.

 

Lakers Acquire Reggie Bullock from the Pistons

Feb 6

Detroit PistonsDETROIT ACQUIRES
Sviatoslav Mykhailiuk ($1,487,694)
2021 2nd round pick
Detroit PistonsLOS ANGELES ACQUIRES
Reggie Bullock ($2,500,000)

 

Reggie Bullock (SG, 27): Has had a strong year in Detroit (12 PPG, 3 RB, 2.5 Ast) and will be a depth rental piece, with a potentially larger role should the Lakers ship out their kids. He's on an expiring contract.
Sviatoslav Mykhailiuk (SG, 21): Was a non-factor in LA, and probably won't be much more in Detroit. He holds a non-guaranteed $1.4M salary in 2019-20, then a few club options thereafter.

Lakers add $1.01M of 2018-19 tax cap, clearing $1.4M in 2019-20.

 

 

76ers Acquire Tobias Harris from the Clippers

Feb 6

Los Angeles ClippersLOS ANGELES ACQUIRES
2023 2nd round pick
2021 2nd round pick
2021 1st round pick ((MIA unprotected 1st))
2020 1st round pick
Mike Muscala
 ($5,000,000)
Wilson Chandler
 ($12,800,562)
Landry Shamet
 ($1,703,640)
Los Angeles ClippersPHILADELPHIA ACQUIRES
Mike Scott ($4,320,500)
Boban Marjanovic ($7,000,000)
Tobias Harris
 ($14,800,000)

Tobias Harris (SF, 26): Brings over an expiring contract as a very solid rental piece for the postseason, plus bird rights with the ability to be extended thereafter. This was a big get for Philly.
Boban Marjanovic (C, 30): Carries an expiring contract as a salary dump and likely won't be a factor in PHI.
Mike Scott (PF, 30): Brings over an expiring contract as a salary dump and likely won't be a factor in PHI.
Mike Muscala (PF, 27): Adds a decent rental depth piece on an expiring contract and will hit the open market after the year.
Wilson Chandler (SF, 31): Wasn't getting many looks in Philly, but should fill-in nicely in LA once he returns from a quad injury. He's on an expiring contract.
Landry Shamet (PG, 21): A late first round pick this past draft, Shamet was one of the better bench players in Philly, and will have a chance to breakout a bit in LA. He holds a $1.9M salary in 2019-20, then 3 straight club options.

The Sixers added $6.6M of 2018-19 tax cap in this deal, clearing just $1.9M of 2019-20 space going forward.

 

Suns Acquire Johnson, Ellington from the Heat

Feb 6

Miami HeatMIAMI ACQUIRES
Ryan Anderson ($20,421,546)
Miami HeatPHOENIX ACQUIRES
Tyler Johnson ($19,245,370)
Wayne Ellington
 ($6,270,000)

Tyler Johnson (SG, 25): Holds a $19.2M player option next year that's likely to opt-in to. He's been a double digit scorer in Miami.
Wayne Ellington (SG, 31): Holds an expiring contract and will likely be bought out to afford him a chance to join a contending team.
Ryan Anderson (PF, 30): $15.6M of his 2019-20 salary is fully guaranteed, though he's a waive candidate.

The Heat clear $5.09M of 2018-19 tax space (but still remain over the threshold), while also adding $2M of 2019-20 cap.

 

Bulls Take Otto Porter Jr.'s Max from the Wizards

Feb 6 2019

Chicago BullsCHICAGO ACQUIRES
Otto Porter Jr. ($26,011,913)
Chicago BullsWASHINGTON ACQUIRES
Bobby Portis ($2,494,346)
Jabari Parker ($20,000,000)
2023 2nd round pick

Otto Porter Jr. (SF, 25): Brings over salaries of $27.25M next year, and a $28.4M player option in 2020-21. He's overpaid, but should have more room to produce in Chicago.
Bobby Portis (PF, 23): Holds a $3.6M restricted offer for 2019-20 and is averaging 14 points & 7 rebounds per game. He holds a $7.5M cap hold next year until a new deal is put in place (somewhere).
Jabari Parker (PF, 23): Is averaging 14 points, 6 boards & 2 assists this year, and holds a $20M club option for 2019-20. The option must be exercised by June 29th.

Washington clears $3.5M of 2018-19 tax cap, while shedding Porter's $27.25M next season.

 

Rockets Acquire Depth from Kings, Cavs

Feb 6 2019

Cleveland CavaliersCLEVELAND ACQUIRES
Brandon Knight ($14,631,250)
Marquese Chriss
 ($3,206,160)
2019 1st round pick (protected)
Cleveland CavaliersHOUSTON ACQUIRES
Iman Shumpert ($11,011,236)
Nik Stauskas ($1,512,601)
Wade Baldwin
 ($1,512,601)
Cleveland CavaliersSACRAMENTO ACQUIRES
Alec Burks ($11,286,515)
2020 2nd round pick (lesser of Rockets/Warriors)

Iman Shumpert (SG, 28): Brings solid veteran depth across the board on an expiring contract
Nik Stauskas (SG, 25): Brings over a near minimum $1.6M salary on an expiring contract. He'll hit the open market in July.
Wade Baldwin (PG, 22): The former Grizzlies first round pick is on a near minimum expiring contract and will hit the open market in July.
Alec Burks (SG, 27): Holds an expiring contract and has posted 10+ points, 4 rebounds, & 2 assists per game.
Brandon Knight (PG, 27): Has played a total of 12 games over the past year and a half, and holds a $15M salary in 2019-20. He's a buyout candidate next year.
Marquese Chriss (PF, 21): The #8 overall pick in 2016 had his option for 2019 declined, setting him up for free agency after this year.

The Rockets clear $3.8M of 2018-19 tax space with this move, and another $15.6M for 2019-20. The Kings add $250,000 to this year's cap, while the Cavs added $3.5M in 2018-19, $15.6M in 2019-20.

 

Pelicans Acquire Morris from the Wizards

Feb 7

Washington WizardsWASHINGTON ACQUIRES
Wesley Johnson ($6,134,520)
Washington WizardsNEW ORLEANS ACQUIRES
Markieff Morris ($8,600,000)

Markieff Morris (PF, 29): Brings double digit production to the Pelicans who might need to fill a big-man role sooner than later. He's on an expiring contract.
Wesley Johnson (SF, 31): Has had better days on the court, and will be a bench body in Washington through the remainder of the 2018-19 season.

Washington clears $2.46M of 2018-19 tax cap.

 

Kings Acquire Harrison Barnes from Dallas

Feb 7

Dallas MavericksDALLAS ACQUIRES
Zach Randolph ($11,692,308)Justin Jackson ($2,807,880)
Dallas MavericksSACRAMENTO ACQUIRES
Harrison Barnes ($24,793,702)

Harrison Barnes (SF, 26): Holds a $25.1M player option in 2019-20 & brings a nice veteran presence to a young, improving Kings squad.
Zach Randolph (PF, 37): Brings an expiring contract to Dallas that he'll likely be waived from in the coming days.
Justin Jackson (SF, 23): The #15 overall selection in 2017 has been about half the player he was projected to be thus far. He holds a $3.2M salary in 2019-20 then a club option in 2020-2021.

Dallas clears $10.29M of 2018-19 tax cap, and another $21.8M in 2019-20. Big money move for the Mavs.

Michael GinnittiDecember 30, 2018

With the NFL playoffs now upon us, we'll take a thorough look at the current and future finances of each postseason team, including how they're spending their dollars positionally, their 2019 cap space outlook, notable pending free agents, and a few players who may be on the bubble.

 

Related Links:

 

Baltimore Ravens

Total 2018 Cap Allocations: $170M (28th)
2018 Dead Cap Allocations: $14M (23rd)
Injured Reserve Cap Allocations: $5M (31st)
OFFQBRBWRTEOL
$66M (20th) $27.5M (1st)

$3M (24th)

$11.6M (25th) $4.7M (18th) $21M (24th)
DEFDLLBDBS/T
$72M (11th)

$9.5M (30th)

$23M (8th) $39M (2nd) $9.7M (1st)

It's been a tale of two seasons for the Ravens in 2018, with the latter coming with the dawning of the Lamar Jackson era, who accounts for just $1.7M of Baltimore's $27.5M QB cap dollars (most in the league). They've found a way to win games with bottom-third spending at the running back, wide receiver, and offensive line positions, and have relied on a veteran, expensive secondary to keep them in games.

Currently, the Ravens hold around $36M of projected cap space for 2019, but that doesn't include the almost certain trade or release of backup QB Joe Flacco, which would add another $10.5M to the mix. In terms of free agency, the Ravens have plenty of players on the defensive side of the ball who will need restricted tenders, with a few eyeing unrestricted deals as well.


Notable 2019 Free Agents:
   

Chicago Bears

Total 2018 Cap Allocations: $179M (11th)
2018 Dead Cap Allocations: $14M (19th)
Injured Reserve Cap Allocations: $11M (21st)
OFFQBRBWRTEOL
$71M (18th) $11M (20th) $3.4M (24th) $25.2M (3rd) $9M (7th) $18M (23rd)
DEFDLLBDBS/T
$71M (12th) $20M (18th) $30.6M (4th) $20M (16th) $6M (7th)

The Bears came into the 2018 offseason with cap space in hand, ready to rebuild a roster around their young QB. They added heavily to the WR/TE core, then made arguably the biggest splash of the year in acquiring Khalil Mack from the Raiders, a move that could be the difference between the Bears being in or out of the 2018 postseason. To noone who's seen a game this year's surprise, the Bears boast the top-rated defense in football according to DVOA, and are turning the ball over and scoring at historic levels.

 

Positionally speaking, the Bears are opertating in that sweet zone financially, wherein their QB is inexpensive, allowing for all other positional groups to increase spending. While the high ranks in the receiving spots wouldn't normally be alarming (as its a primary position in today's game), Chicago hasn't seen nearly the type of production they were hoping for from this group. With key free agents looming on the offensive line and in the secondary, the Bears' cap management this coming March will be one to watch, as a few notable players could fall off (including WR1 Allen Robinson).

 

Looking ahead to 2019, the Bears boast just north of $20M of projected cap space, with 38 players under contract. There's some work to be done to keep a great defense in place, especially in terms of the secondary. Contract restructures for Kyle Fuller & Akiem Hicks seem like possibilities to help free up some space from the get go.


Notable 2019 Free Agents:
   

Dallas Cowboys

Total 2018 Cap Allocations: $176M (15th)
2018 Dead Cap Allocations: $31M (4th)
Injured Reserve Cap Allocations: $12M (18th)
OFFQBRBWRTEOL
$61M (24th) $1.8M (30th) $9.2M (3rd) $13M (14th) $2M (26th) $37M (1st)
DEFDLLBDBS/T
$60M (20th)

$34M (9th)

$19M (10th) $9M (32nd) $3M (22nd)

The Cowboys formula is pretty simple: push most of the money into the trenches while the QB is cheap, get younger and faster at the WR position, and in the secondary, and try to win all of your home games. Dallas' 7th ranked defense (according to DVOA), plus adequate game management from Dak Prescott has been enough to carry them to a division title. Toss in an improved running attack, and the Cowboys appear to have a good formula for winning in December.

 

Positionally speaking, the Cowboys aren't even reaping all of the benefits of their offensive line spending due to injury, and they're holding onto the 4th most dead cap in the league as well. While the acquisition of Amari Cooper cost them a 1st round pick, but only $411k of cash/cap space for the remainder of 2018. DE DeMarcus Lawrence is actually underpaid on his $17M franchise tag, and will demand Khalil Mack-type money this offseason (though another franchise tag is likely in the cards).

 

The Cowboys have a healthy $50M+ of projected cap space, with 48 players under contract in 2019, but they'll likely use a large chunk of that money to take care of a few key contracts early on: most notably QB Dak Prescott, & WR Amari Cooper. 2018 may also be a curtain call for defensive captain Sean Lee, who once again has been plagued by injury, and represents $7M of savings if released.


Notable 2019 Free Agents:
   

Houston Texans

Total 2018 Cap Allocations: $172M (26th)
2018 Dead Cap Allocations: $14M (17th)
Injured Reserve Cap Allocations: $12M (20th)
OFFQBRBWRTEOL
$55M (31st) $4,5M (28th)

$8.7M (4th)

$20M (7th) $4M (19th) $18M (24th)
DEFDLLBDBS/T
$88M (3rd)

$20M (19th)

$29M (6th) $40M (2nd) $2M (26th)

The Texans pumped major dollars into their RB1, WR1, and secondary over the past few offseasons, taking full advantage of Deshaun Watson's cheap rookie deal. But a lack of big spending to their offensive line factors into an offensive spending bill that ranks 31st in the league. Only the Broncos have fewer dollars allocated to their offense.

 

The 3rd-most expensive defense in the league will only cost more soon, as much of this successful secondary (Jackson, Webster, Mathieu) and DE Jadeveon Clowney are heading toward free agency with big numbers to boot. Houston has ample cap space heading toward 2019 (projected $68M), so keeping much of this core intact shouldn't be an issue. But a few new faces on the O-Line, at Tight End, and even at the primary RB position could help boost this team to legitimate contender level. Watson's contract runs through 2020, with a 5th-year option available in 2021, so the window to build a team around him is still very much valid.


Notable 2019 Free Agents:
   

Indianapolis Colts

Total 2018 Cap Allocations: $144M (32nd)
2018 Dead Cap Allocations: $16.8M (6th)
Injured Reserve Cap Allocations: $8.6M (27th)
OFFQBRBWRTEOL
$83M (6th) $25M (6th)

$2M (28th)

$19.5M (10th) $7.7M (12th) $22.5M (23rd)
DEFDLLBDBS/T
$38.1M (32th)

$23M (16th)

$4.4M (31st) $10.3M (31st) $4.1M (16th)

Many assumed the Colts were at least another year away from being legitimate a postseason candidate, but that all changed when the Andrew Luck of old rounded into form after a few weeks of the 2018 campaign. Toss in a formidable running game, a rejuvenated T.Y. Hilton, an offensive line that is finally in sync, and a surprisingly stout defense, and Indy has a real chance to make some noise for a few years.

No other team in football has less total cap or defensive camp allocated in 2018, as Indy has just $15M spent into their secondary and linebackers COMBINED. While Indy may not be able to get through to the finish line in 2018, they hold a league-leading $122M of 2019 cap space, with 39 players under contract. This will be an attractive destination for offensive weapons, and defensive veterans looking to cash in this March.

Notable 2019 Free Agents:

   

Kansas City Chiefs

Total 2018 Cap Allocations: $174M (20th)
2018 Dead Cap Allocations: $21M (13th)
Injured Reserve Cap Allocations: $17M (10th)
OFFQBRBWRTEOL
$63M (22nd) $6.3M (25th)

$4.9M (20th)

$12M (17th) $12M (3rd) $28M (9th)
DEFDLLBDBS/T
$75M (8th)

$14M (25th)

$36M (1st) $25M (13th) $4.7M (10th)

For a team that is near the top of the league in terms of offensive production and near the bottom of the league in terms of defense, the financials certainly don't bear out. With the exception of TE Travis Kelce, the Chiefs are scoring gigantic values at the major offensive positions, and above average production from their fairly well-paid offensive line.

Defensively though, the Chiefs are still in the process of "decluttering" their finances. They've made significant cuts over the past two offseasons to allow for free agent signings, but are likely going to be pressed to make another this March with Justin Houston's cap figure rising to $21.1M, and Dee Ford having a career year with free agency around the corner. Kansas City will also need to address the running game this March, with the unfortunate loss of Kareem Hunt going forward.

 

Looking ahead, the Chiefs have just north of $42M in projected cap space for 2019, with 41 players under contract, a bit of room to work with to address the above, plus a desperately needed upgrade to their secondary.


Notable 2019 Free Agents:
   

Los Angeles Chargers

Total 2018 Cap Allocations: $177M (13th)
2018 Dead Cap Allocations: $14M (18th)
Injured Reserve Cap Allocations: $5.5M (30th)
OFFQBRBWRTEOL
$91M (1st) $23M (11th)

$5.4M (17th)

$25M (4th) $5M (15th) $28M (10th)
DEFDLLBDBS/T
$61M (19th)

$31M (11th)

$5.3M (30th) $19M (18th) $7.7M (3rd)

The Chargers may be the most balanced team in the league, but a large majority of their finances falls on the offensive side of the ball, where their $91M of cap ranks first in the league. LA put significant dollars into adding depth to the WR position, stability to the offensive line, and help at the TE position with the early injury to Hunter Henry.

Defensively, the Chargers cap spending is about average, with much of their dollars allocated to the edge, as they should be. Though it might be the secondary, ranked 18th in cap spending, that may be the difference maker for the Chargers in 2018, as youngster Derwin James has solidified the backfield. In terms of expiring contracts, the Chargers will need to address their defensive line, and another depth receiver (or an extension for Tyrell Williams). Oh and by the way, Philip Rivers will be heading into a contract season in 2019.

 

Looking ahead, the Chargers have just north of $28M in projected cap space for 2019, with 43 players under contract.


Notable 2019 Free Agents:
   

Los Angeles Rams

Total 2018 Cap Allocations: $178M (12th)
2018 Dead Cap Allocations: $15M (16th)
Injured Reserve Cap Allocations: $9M (25th)
OFFQBRBWRTEOL
$62M (23rd) $8.7M (24nd)

$8.4M (5th)

$12.5M (16th) $3M (23rd) $29M (8th)
DEFDLLBDBS/T
$77M (7th)

$41M (4th)

$13M (20th) $33M (7th) $3.7M (16th)

The Rams came out guns blazing in 2018, setting a high bar for outscoring opponents with a variety of offensive weapons. But a few injuries, plus a lack of depth in the secondary, plus a complete drop off in consistency from QB Jared Goff made for a bumpy second half. LA will head into the postseason somewhat limping, however, still poised to be an annual contener for next 3 years or so.

Goff's contract runs through 2019, with a 5th-year option available in 2020. While discussion of a pay day for him will begun to take shape this spring, it's probably not in the cards until at least post-2019 (though a fair value offer might make sense now to try to gain some financial leverage). Outside of him, the offense is buttoned up fairly well across the weaponry (Gurley, Woods, Cooks, Cupp all locked up through at least 2020). But there will be PLENTY of holes to fill elsewhere this offseason.Starting LG Rodger Saffold, DL Ndamukong Suh, EDGE Dante Fowler Jr., & FS LaMarcus Joyner are all pending free agents, and will either need to be re-upped, or replaced in the coming months.

 

The Rams currently possess around $38M of cap space in 2019, with 39 player under contract. With notable starters needing new contracts, it's feasible to assume that a veteran or two will fall victim to cap casualty this March.


Notable 2019 Free Agents:
   

New England Patriots

Total 2018 Cap Allocations: $174M (22nd)
2018 Dead Cap Allocations: $10M (28th)
Injured Reserve Cap Allocations: $9M (24th)
OFFQBRBWRTEOL
$77M (11rd) $23M (12nd)

$8M (6th)

$13M (13th) $16M (1st) $17M (26th)
DEFDLLBDBS/T
$68M (14th)

$17M (23th)

$14M (16th) $38M (3rd) $3.2M (18th)

The Patriots locked up their 10th straight division title in 2018, but the road was much bumpier than in many seasons prior. Tom Brady's numbers, while still well above average, won't be near his usual "Top 5" landing spot, due largely in part to the complete disappearance of Chris Hogan & Rob Gronkowski, a suspension/injury plagued season for Julian Edelman, the unfortunate loss of Josh Gordon, and quite frankly, a little too many running backs in the fold altogether.

Outside of the TE position, where a well-paid Gronk has had the Patriots at or near top-spenders for years now, New England has been adament about being "in the middle" in terms of positional spending. Their figures at QB, WR, and overall defense follow suit. But the Patriots have made a few questionable team-building decisions over the past 2 years that may be coming to bite them a bit down the stretch in 2018: Re-signing Dont'a Hightower instead of using that capital for a Nate Solder or Brandin Cooks. and spending a first round pick on Sony Michel, with an aresenal of capable running backs already under contract. While the plan appears to be for Brady to return in 2019 (and maybe even beyond), it's become jarringly clear that he may no longer be able to work with "anyone they give me" in terms of offensive weapons.
 

The Pats have around $25M of cap space with 43 players under contract in 2019 currently, but with a few notable free agents that space could dry up quickly. Moving on from Gronk will clear an additional $10M.


Notable 2019 Free Agents:
   

New Orleans Saints

Total 2018 Cap Allocations: $175M (18th)
2018 Dead Cap Allocations: $21.1M (12th)
Injured Reserve Cap Allocations: $6.5M (23rd)
OFFQBRBWRTEOL
$78M (9th) $26M (3rd) $7.7M (8th) $8.6M (26th) $5M (18th) $34M (4th)
DEFDLLBDBS/T
$56M (23rd) $27M (12th) $14.6M (15th) $14.5M (24th) $3.3M (17th)

The Saints have done well to shed a few heavy contracts over the past few offseasons, and find themselves 18th in total cap allocations in the league to finish out 2018. They’re also 12th in dead cap, a result of those moves (Fleener, Byrd, Fairley).

 

Positionally speaking, the Saints decision to keep three QBs in Drew Brees, Bridgewater, & Hill put them 3rd in QB spending. Mark Ingram's $5M+ cap figure has the Saints' running spending ranked in the top third, while their extremely young WR core ranks in the bottom third of spending. The Saints' best value though appears to have come on the defensive side of the ball, where they rank 23rd in spending, but boast the 3rd best ranked defense according to DVOA in 2018.

 

Looking ahead to 2019, the big question of course will be the status of QB Drew Brees, who's under contract with a whopping $33.5M cap figure ($23M cash) and will turn 40 in a few weeks. New Orleans boasts around $15M of cap space currently, with just 38 players under contract, so there's change coming in some form to this roster over the next few months.


Notable 2019 Free Agents:
   

Philadelphia Eagles

Total 2018 Cap Allocations: $170M (30th)
2018 Dead Cap Allocations: $14M (22nd)
Injured Reserve Cap Allocations: $21M (6th)
OFFQBRBWRTEOL
$76M (12th) $21,5M (15th)

$3.1M (21th)

$12M (23rd) $6.6M (15th) $35M (2nd)
DEFDLLBDBS/T
$50M (28th)

$32M (10th)

$6.5M (29th) $11.6M (30th) $1.6M (30th)

The defending champs needed every inch of the regular season to lock down a postseason birth in 2018, and it took every QB available as well, with the health of both Carson Wentz & Nick Foles now in question. The story financially this year though has been the defense, where Philly has been gaining productive value from an active squad that accounts for just $50M of cap (4th fewest in the NFL). Combine this with a running back & wide receiver core that ranks outside the Top 20 in spending, and the Eagles were really hoping they could recreate their 2017 performance wherein money spent into the trenches and a little bit of luck was enough to get them into the playoffs with a chance to compete.

There will be plenty to discuss when the calendar turns to 2019 though, starting with the QB position. Nick Foles carries a $20.6M cap figure on an option that must be exercised a week after the Super Bowl. It's not expected they'll retain him on this deal, but can they really let a QB who's taken them into the postseason back to back years to walk into free agency? Cutting ties with Foles in February frees up $18.8M of cap space, which barely puts the Eagles into the black in terms of 2019 cap space. This is a problem for a number of their notable free agents going forward.

Notable 2019 Free Agents:

   

Seattle Seahawks

Total 2018 Cap Allocations: $174M (23rd)
2018 Dead Cap Allocations: $21M (12th)
Injured Reserve Cap Allocations: $24M (2nd)
OFFQBRBWRTEOL
$74M (17th) $24M (8th)

$4.3M (17th)

$18.9M (11th) $2.6M (25th) $22.7M (21st)
DEFDLLBDBS/T
$48M (29th)

$10.1M (29th)

$26.1M (7th) $13M (27th) $2.7M (24th)

The Seahawks have far exceeded many preseason expectations, and now find themselves as a dark horse team to contend in the NFC postseason. QB Russell Wilson has been efficient, productive, and smart, and with a contract that expires after 2019, is playing himself into elite money.

Positionally speaking, the days of overpaying for an elite defense are gone, as the Seahawks have rebuilt on the fly with inexpensive youth in many areas, including major financial dropoffs at the TE position, and in the secondary.

In addition to a near-expiring contract for Wilson, the Seahawks will have a few decisions to make on the defensive side of the ball, with long-time vets Earl Thomas, & K.J. Wright set to hit free agency, along with pass rusher Frank Clark, finishing off a career season. Seattle boasts around $60M of projected 2019 cap space, with 34 players under contract.


Notable 2019 Free Agents:
   
Michael GinnittiNovember 21, 2018

With Le’Veon Bell’s holdout from his franchise tag still fresh in our minds, we’ll look forward to which NFL players may be inline for a tag of their own next February.

 

Arizona Cardinals

Franchise Tag Candidate: None

Notable Free Agents: FS Tre Boston, DE Benson Mayowa, WR Larry Fitzgerald, OG Mike Iupati, VIEW ALL

 

Atlanta Falcons

Franchise Tag Candidate: Grady Jarrett, DT,
After a slow first two years, the surprising 5th round pick from 2016 has put together back to back outstanding seasons in the trenches for Atlanta. While the projected $14.5M franchise tag is a big jump up from his current $1.9M salary in 2018, he’s currently valuing just under $15M, with the Jaguars’ Malik Jackson as his closest comp for now.

Notable Free Agents: OG Ben Garland, DB Blidi Wreh-Wilson, RB Tevin Coleman, OG Andy Levitre, VIEW ALL

 

Baltimore Ravens

Franchise Tag Candidate: None

Notable Free Agents: ILB C.J. Mosley, WR John Brown, EDGE Za'Darius Smith, TE Maxx Williams, VIEW ALL

 

Buffalo Bills

Franchise Tag Candidate: None

Notable Free Agents: EDGE Lorenzo Alexander, OG John Miller WR Kelvin Benjamin, DT Kyle Williams, VIEW ALL

 

Carolina Panthers

Franchise Tag Candidate: None

Notable Free Agents: OT Daryl Williams, WR Devin Funchess, DT Kyle Love, EDGE Julius Peppers, LB Thomas Davis , VIEW ALL

 

Chicago Bears

Franchise Tag Candidate: Bryce Callahan, CB
Callahan picked a great time to fully break out, and is being used as a versatile DB for the Bears this year, putting his value in a contract year at an all-time high. The problem? Fellow corners Kyle Fuller & Prince Amukamara are also having great year, and are both under contract already for 2019, meaning a $15M tag for Callahan might be out of the question. The going rate, and his current valuation, for a slot defender, sits at $7M.

Notable Free Agents: DB Adrian Amos, OT Bobby Massie, EDGE Aaron Lynch, VIEW ALL

 

Cincinnati Bengals

Franchise Tag Candidate: None

Notable Free Agents: TE Tyler Eifert, DB Darqueze Dennard, EDGE Michael Johnson, VIEW ALL

 

Cleveland Browns

Franchise Tag Candidate: None

Notable Free Agents: QB Tyrod Taylor, CB Phillip Gaines, OT Greg Robinson, VIEW ALL

 

Dallas Cowboys

Franchise Tag Candidate: DeMarcus Lawrence, DE
Lawrence is playing out 2018 on his first franchise tag ($17.1M), meaning another tag in 2019 would cost the Cowboys $20.5M (120% of this years). Yes this is a big number, but it would at least keep Lawrence from hitting the open market in March, where he would be arguably the top available free agent on the board. He’s the next blockbuster contract waiting to happen, and the Cowboys should strongly consider buying in. The 26 year old carries an $20.7M valuation into the winter, so one way or another, Lawrence is getting paid this spring.

Notable Free Agents: WR Cole Beasley, DT David Irving, OT Cameron Fleming, VIEW ALL

 

Denver Broncos

Franchise Tag Candidate: None.

Notable Free Agents: OLB Shaquil Barrett, OC Matt Paradis, LB Shane Ray, OL Billy Turner, VIEW ALL

 

Detroit Lions

Franchise Tag Candidate: None

Notable Free Agents: EDGE Ezekiel Ansah, VIEW ALL

 

Green Bay Packers

Franchise Tag Candidate: None

Notable Free Agents: DL Muhammad Wilkerson, ILB Jake Ryan, WR Randall Cobb, OLB Clay Matthews, VIEW ALL

 

Houston Texans

Franchise Tag Candidate: Jadeveon Clowney, EDGE
Playing out his 5th-year option in 2018, the former #1 overall selection has put together back-to-back healthy, productive seasons for the Texans. But it still may not be enough to lock him in for multi-year guarantees, making him a prime candidate for the tag next February. Assuming he’s tagged as a linebacker (likely), the tag will be just north of $15M, while his current valuation comes in at $16.6M.

Notable Free Agents: DB Kareem Jackson, DB Tyrann Mathieu, CB Kayvon Webster, VIEW ALL

 

Indianapolis Colts

Franchise Tag Candidate: None

Notable Free Agents: OG Mark Glowinski, S Mike Mitchell, CB Pierre Desir, VIEW ALL

 

Jacksonville Jaguars

Franchise Tag Candidate: None

Notable Free Agents: WR Donte Moncrief, RB T.J. Yeldon, TE James O'Shaughnessy, OG A.J. Cann, VIEW ALL

 

Kansas City Chiefs

Franchise Tag Candidate: Dee Ford, EDGE
Talk about breaking out at the right time. An injury to Justin Houston put Ford into the spotlight to start the 2018 season, and he’s responded glowingly. The 27-year-old is a Top 5 edge defender according to PFF, and on his way to an elite payday next March, be it a $15M+ franchise tag, or a multi-year deal a few million north of that. His baseline market value sits at $15.5M, but his value on the open market will be a few million higher.

Notable Free Agents: CB Steven Nelson, OG Jeff Allen, K Harrison Butker, WR De'Anthony Thomas, VIEW ALL

 

Los Angeles Chargers

Franchise Tag Candidate: None

Notable Free Agents: ILB Hayes Pullard, WR Tyrell Williams, S Adrian Phillips, ILB Denzel Perryman, VIEW ALL

 

Los Angeles Rams

Franchise Tag Candidate: Ndamukong Suh, DT
The Rams essentially “tagged” Suh in 2018, handing him a 1 year, $14M contract that was nearly identical to the $13.94M franchise tag for defensive tackles. Were they to actually tag him in 2019, it would represent a slight, raise for the 31-year-old, and keep the Donald-Suh connection together for one more season. But his age, plus a reduced role on a great defensive line has dropped his calculated value to around $10M.

Notable Free Agents: S LaMarcus Joyner, OG Rodger Saffold, EDGE Dante Fowler Jr., OLB Matt Longacre, VIEW ALL

 

Miami Dolphins

Franchise Tag Candidate: None

Notable Free Agents: EDGE Cameron Wake, RB Frank Gore, DE William Hayes, VIEW ALL

 

Minnesota Vikings

Franchise Tag Candidate: None

Notable Free Agents: LB Anthony Barr, DT Sheldon Richardson, RB Latavius Murray, VIEW ALL

 

New England Patriots

Franchise Tag Candidate: Trey Flowers, DE
No-one has hit or sacked the QB more for the Patriots over the last two seasons than Flowers, who has improved both in production & advanced metrics exponentially over his four years in New England. The Patriots haven’t been shy about using the tag in the past, but the figure for a defensive end in 2019 will be well over $17M, while his currently calculated valuation sits just north of $15M according to our formula.

Notable Free Agents: CB Jason McCourty, K Stephen Gostkowski, OT Trenton Brown, DE John Simon, VIEW ALL

 

New Orleans Saints

Franchise Tag Candidate: None

Notable Free Agents: RB Mark Ingram, QB Teddy Bridgewater, LB Craig Robertson, LB Manti Te'o, VIEW ALL

 

New York Giants

Franchise Tag Candidate: Landon Collins, S
After back to back elite campaigns in 2016 & 2017, Collins (and the rest of the Giants), has been a bit inconsistent in 2018. But his resume over the past few seasons is strong enough to at least consider keeping him around. The Giants, however, may be thinking about a complete tear down on the defensive side of the ball, so a projected $11.5M tag for Collins would certainly be out of the question in that regard. With a calculated market valuation north of $9M right now, a multi-year deal could be on the table. But based on the Giants currently outlook, he might be looking to sign that elsewhere.

Notable Free Agents: DT Josh Mauro, DE Kerry Wynn, VIEW ALL

 

New York Jets

Franchise Tag Candidate: None

Notable Free Agents: LB Avery Williamson, DT Steve McLendon, WR Quincy Enunwa, CB Morris Claiborne, VIEW ALL

 

Oakland Raiders

Franchise Tag Candidate: None

Notable Free Agents: TE Jared Cook, RB Marshawn Lynch, DT Johnathan Hankins , VIEW ALL

 

Philadephia Eagles

Franchise Tag Candidate: Brandon Graham, DE
The Eagles are exactly in the best cap situation next year, but there are a few moves (releasing Nick Foles, Chris Long/Michael Bennett) that could put them in a position to lock in Graham. Philly will likely try to get a long-term deal done out of the gate, to avoid the damning $17.5M tag hit. Graham’s production has been outstanding, and even at 30-years-old, will carry a calculated market valuation of nearly $16M into the winter.

Notable Free Agents: DE Chris Long, ILB Jordan Hicks, WR Golden Tate, CB Ronald Darby, VIEW ALL

 

Pittsburgh Steelers

Tag Candidate: Le'Veon Bell, RB
The Steelers won’t franchise Bell again, as that would cost north of $25M, but it’s very possible, if not likely, that the slap a transition tag on him next February. This won’t come without controversy though, as the Steelers will argue the tag should cost them $9.5M, while the NFLPA (and Bell’s camp) will claim the tag should remain $14.5M (120% of his last earned salary). All of this is likely a moot point, as multiple teams will likely submit an offer sheet for Bell. When he agrees to one, the Steelers will have 7 days to match, or he officially signs with the new team. The Steelers will gain no compensation for this transaction.

Notable Free Agents: OG Ramon Foster, TE Jesse James, LB L.J. Fort, VIEW ALL

 

San Francisco 49ers

Franchise Tag Candidate: Jimmie Ward, FS
Ward’s had back to back “OK” seasons in terms of production, but the 27 year old is a formidable option for the Niners. Tagging Ward at around $11.5M represents a $3M raise for him, and a short-term solution for San Francisco, in similar fashion to how the Rams have death with Trumaine Johnson, and LaMarcus Joyner over the past 4 seasons.

Notable Free Agents: OG Michael Person, K Robbie Gould, RB Alfred Morris, S Antone Exum, VIEW ALL

 

Seattle Seahawks

Franchise Tag Candidate: Earl Thomas, FS
Many feel Thomas’ career in Seattle ended with the sight of him flipping off the coaching staff while being carted off this October, but the Seahawks might have the last word here. Thomas was fantastic on the field for Seattle, despite the controversy, his lack of practice, etc. He’s just 29-years-old, and a projected $11.5M tag would represent a nice raise from his $8.5M salary this past season. Would he sign it? Probably not. But it’s worth a shot for the Seahawks.

Frank Clark, DE
Clark’s put together three really strong seasons for Seattle, but they haven’t been “elite” by any standard. His current valuation sits right around the $10M mark, so a $17M+ franchise tag would be quite an exaggeration, and for a Seahawks team that will need to fill plenty of holes next offseason, it’s a cap hit they might not be interested in taking on. A multi-year deal at a better rate makes more sense here.

Notable Free Agents: LB K.J. Wright, DE Dion Jordan, K Sebastian Janikowski, VIEW ALL

 

Tampa Bay Buccaneers

Franchise Tag Candidate: None

Notable Free Agents: LT Donovan Smith, WR Adam Humphries, ILB Kwon Alexander, QB Ryan Fitzpatrick, VIEW ALL

 

Tennessee Titans

Franchise Tag Candidate: None

Notable Free Agents: ILB Will Compton, S Kenny Vaccaro, OLB Brian Orakpo, OG Quinton Spain, VIEW ALL

 

Washington Redskins

Franchise Tag Candidate: HaHa Clinton-Dix, S
The Redskins did well to acquire Clinton-Dix from the Packers at the deadline, who made a bit of a quick sell on the top-rated safety (currently #5 according to PFF). While a multi-year deal is a possibility, Washington should lock him in with a tag next February (projected $11.5M). The 26-year-old holds a $9.9M valuation on his next deal.

Notable Free Agents: LB Preston Smith, RB Adrian Peterson, VIEW ALL

Michael GinnittiNovember 19, 2018

The Alex Smith Injury

The Redskins’ playoff hopes took a major hit when franchise QB Alex Smith suffered a gruesome leg injury against the surging Houston Texans. Smith is of course in year 1 of a 5 year, $111M contract in Washington. He’s earning $40M of that this year, and is locked in for $71M over the next three seasons - all of which is guaranteed for injury. The Redskins’ have a potential out after the 2020 season ($13.5M of dead cap). There’s no timetable for Smith’s return yet, but a full comeback for an injury of this stature to a 34-year-old will be a tough road.

The Redskins will turn to Colt McCoy from here out, and will certainly be auditioning QBs for the backup position, notably: EJ Manuel, Mark Sanchez, TJ Yates.

Related: Alex Smith’s Contract Breakdown

 

NBA Free Agency

As the NBA season rounds into form (though still just a blur until Christmas for many), the focus will soon shift to players with expiring contracts, or available opt-outs. Here’s a quick look at a few notable players at each position who are eyeing the open market next July.

Point Guards

Shooting Guards

Small Forwards

Power Forwards

Centers

Related: 2019 NBA Free Agents | 2019 NBA Options

 

Defensive Spending vs. Production

The Rams are spending $119M cash on their defense in 2018, second only to the Bears this season, but the return on investment hasn’t exactly been great. For the most part, LA is 9-1 because they can outscore the rest of the league, not shut them down. In fact, according to Football Outsiders, the Rams’ defense ranks somewhere around 20th in the league across a few of their advanced metrics, a figure that may continue to decline after a Monday night battle with the Chiefs this week.

The Saints, conversely, have spent a few years shedding a lot of expensive weight on the defensive side of the ball, investing high draft picks, cutting a few notable veterans, etc… The $67.5M cash they’re spending on their defense ranks 21st in the league.

For what it’s worth, the Baltimore Ravens are currently the “best-value” defense in football, including a payroll of just $65.3M (24th), but ranked 6th among FO figures currently.

Related: Defensive Cash Spending for NFL Teams in 2018

 

Trade Winds in Queens

With $92.5M already allocated to just 7 players on the 2019 roster thus far, the Mets and new GM Brodie Van Wagenen are staring down a complicated offseason, with minimal dollars to spend. All signs point to one major piece of the puzzle being shopped this winter, and while the grand prize for many teams would be NL Cy Young winner Jacob deGrom, it appears the more probable candidate could be Noah Syndergaard. Multiple teams have reportedly shown interest for the 26 year old flame thrower, who has 3 years of arbitration eligibility remaining before his big pay day is needed.

The Mets have already indicated that whomever is traded this offseason, the return they’re seeking is not a pool of prospects, rather MLB-ready players who can slot into this financial locked-in payroll, and push the Mets back up the NL East in 2019.

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