Michael GinnittiJanuary 22, 2022

Our NFL offseason series continues with a look at the wide receiver position for each team heading into 2022, making note of potential WR1/WR2/WR3 possibilities, notable extension candidates, players heading to free agency, restructure candidates, and plenty more.

Spotrac's Offseason Position Pieces

Arizona Cardinals

WR1: 3 yrs, $52M | WR2: UFA | WR3: UFA
While DeAndre Hopkins is locked in for 3 more years ($6.65M fully guaranteed now), his colleagues A.J. Green & Christian Kirk are both pending free agents. An $18.5M tag is likely too rich for either, so Arizona will have decisions to make on how to fill out this arsenal going forward. With Rondale Moore likely able to step in for a bigger role in 2022, bringing back Kirk seems the more likely scenario. The 25 year old holds a 4 year, $50M valuation.


Atlanta Falcons

WR1: 1 yr, $11M | WR2: UFA | WR3: UFA
Calvin Ridley’s time away from the team has been unfortunate for the Falcons’ offense, but it’ll have real financial implications if it carries into 2022, as his salary jumps from $1.9M to $11.1M (fully guaranteed). His cap hit remains on the books with an injury designation. Behind him, Russell Gage & Tajae Sharpe are pending UFAs, Olamide Zaccheaus & Christian Blake are pending RFAs. It’s not unreasonable to say there might be a completely new WR core in 2022. 


Baltimore Ravens

WR1: 1 yr, $2.1M + option | WR2: 3 yrs, $5.3M + option | WR3: UFA
Marquise Brown becomes extension eligible after 2021, with a $17M valuation under his belt right now. He & Rashod Bateman should be the cornerstones of this arsenal, with room for a legit free agent option to replace Sammy Watkins’s expiring contract. Devin Duvernay’s 2 years remaining also provides strong value for the Ravens.


Buffalo Bills

WR1: 2 yrs, $26M | WR2: UFA | WR3 | 1 yr, $6.1M
Stefon Diggs has done enough in his two seasons with the Bills to warrant a top of the market contract extension this winter. There’s a $23M valuation attached to the 28-year-old, who projects to a 4 year, $91M extension currently. Behind him, Emmanuel Sanders will likely walk back into free agency, & Cole Beasley is almost certain to be released out of his expiring contract ($6.1M saved), providing a bigger role for Gabriel Davis (2 yrs, $1.9M) in 2022. Buffalo will be in the free agent/draft market for another legitimate WR again this spring.

 

Carolina Panthers

WR1: 1 yr, $11M | WR2: 2 yrs, $25M | WR3: 3 yrs, $3.4M
D.J. Moore is entering a contract year in 2021, with just his $11M fully guaranteed option remaining. The 24 year old has raised his valuation up to $17M with a strong 2021 campaign, projecting to a 4 year, $67M extension. Behind him, Robby Anderson has already been extended through 2023, with $8M of his 2022 compensation already fully guaranteed. The WR3 role appears up for grabs as youngster Terrace Marshall has seen his playing time diminish of late.


Chicago Bears

WR1: UFA | WR2: 2 yrs, $1.9M | WR3: UFA
Justin Fields needs both an offensive line, and a new set of wide receivers in 2022. A second franchise tag for Allen Robinson will cost $20.1M, likely too steep for the Bears to carry. Robinson entered 2021 with a valuation north of $20M, but time missed and a lack of opportunity & production has seen that drop into the $16M range. There’s likely still an $18M+ free agent contract in his future. Behind him Darnell Mooney provides incredible value on his 5th round rookie contract, but the WR core is extremely thin thereafter.


Cincinnati Bengals

WR1: 3 yrs, $10M + option | WR2: 2 yrs, $3M | WR3: 2 yrs, $17.6M
The Bengals boast one of the best 1-2-3 punches in the NFL with Ja'Marr Chase, Tee Higgins, & Tyler Boyd all under contract through 2023. Boyd’s cap figure jumps north of $10M in 2022, so a restructured extension could be on the table to better control that figure while keeping this band together. 


Cleveland Browns

WR1: 1 yr, $15M | WR2: 2 yrs, $1.9M | WR3: UFA
Jarvis Landry has seen his production decline quite a bit over the past few seasons, and with $15M to be cleared in moving on, he’s a roster bubble candidate right now. Behind him, Donovan Peoples-Jones has been giving more power in 2021, and he’s done well with it. With Rashard Higgins headed back to the free agent market, there’s room for 3rd round pick Anthony Schwartz to slide up.

 

Dallas Cowboys

WR1: 3 yrs, $60M | WR2: 2 yrs, $4.3M + option | WR3: UFA
Amari Cooper’s contract becomes pay-as-you-go from here out, and has yet to be restructured through two seasons, and there’s $15.1M of cap space to be saved with a full base salary conversation. CeeDee Lamb remains incredible value with two years plus the 5th year option left on his rookie contract. Michael Gallup actually took the most snaps among Cowboys’ receivers, but it always seemed likely he would seek a larger role/payday elsewhere after 2021. His injury is unfortunate, but shouldn’t stop him from cashing in. A cap-adjusted version of Allen Robinson’s free agent contract with the Bears in a similar situation should be the target ($16M+ per year).


Denver Broncos

WR1: 4 yrs, $54M | WR2: 3 yrs, $27M | WR3: 2 yrs, $4.5M + option
The Broncos arguably have the best WR in football, both from a potential production, and contract stability standpoint. This is a drop-in-a-veteran-QB-ready offense. K.J. Hamler, Kendall Hinton, & Daesean Hamilton are also under contract for 2022 and could become trade pieces.

 

Detroit Lions

WR1: 3 yrs, $2.8M | WR2: 2 yrs, $1.9M | WR3: UFA
Amon-Ra St. Brown is one of the better stories of the year, and should easily become the focal point of this offense going forward. Behind him it’s pretty cloudy, with Kalif Raymond, Khadarel Hodge, & Josh Reynolds headed for free agency, 5th rounder Quintez Cephus with two years left.


Green Bay Packers

WR1: UFA | WR2: RFA | WR3: UFA
If that doesn’t scream COME BACK AARON I don’t know what will. Randall Cobb remains on a 1 year, $8.1M contract ($9.5M cap hit),  but his status seems directly attached to that of Aaron Rodgers’. Davante Adams is destined for a $20.1M franchise tag, Allen Lazard is likely headed for a $3.9M restricted tender, while Equanimeous St. Brown & Marquez Valdes-Scantling appear headed for the open market. Keeping Adams around long term will require at least $25M per year.


Houston Texans

WR1: 1 yr, $13.7M | WR2: 3 yrs, $2.4M | WR3: UFA
Brandin Cooks outperformed all expectations in a difficult season, and built up decent rapport with Davis Mills (the likely QB1 in 2022). It stands to reason that Cooks may ask for greener grass in the form of a trade this offseason, but he’s an extension candidate regardless. 2021 3rd round pick Nico Collins should stick around, but there are 2-4 roster spots to be filled out here over the next few months. Cooks holds an $18M+ valuation currently.

 

Indianapolis Colts

WR1: 2 yrs, $3M | WR2: UFA | WR3: 1 yr, $1.1M
Michael Pittman Jr. has a chance to be a real player if he can stay on the field (and the Colts can find a better option to toss him the ball). T.Y. Hilton probably doesn’t return this time around, vaulting Parris Campbell into a WR2 role for the time being. There’s a player to be added here in some capacity. 

 

Jacksonville Jaguars

WR1: 1 yr, $6M | WR2: UFA | WR3: 2 yrs, $3M
Marvin Jones was Marvin Jones yet again in 2021 and should remain in the fold for 2022. DJ Chark missed the majority of his expiring season with a broken ankle, and could be a candidate to return on the cheap in a “showcase” deal. Slot man Laviska Shenault seemed under-utilized in Urban Meyer’s system, but could benefit greatly from a new regime.

 

Kansas City Chiefs

WR1: 1 yr, $18M | WR2: UFA | WR3: 1 yr, $1.1M
While Travis Kelce is locked in comfortably, the rest of the receiving core needs quite a bit of attention. Tyreek Hill entering a contract year in 2022 puts him squarely in extension mode, currently projecting to a 4 year $85M deal.  Mecole Hardman is also entering the final year of his contract, and could be in line for Tim Patrick’s recent deal in Denver (3 yrs, $34M). The rest of the unit is headed for free agency.


Las Vegas Raiders

WR1: 1 yr, $965k | WR2: UFA | WR3: 2 yrs, $2.2M 
It’s hard to imagine Hunter Renfrow entering the 2022 season on a 1 year $965k minimum salary after his breakout season (103 grabs, 1,038 yards, 9 TDs). His role as a slot receiver somewhat limits his financial valuation mathematically ($17M), but it stands to reason that Keenan Allen’s $20M+ contract in LA is well within reach. Bryan Edwards should find a depth role with 2 years left on his rookie contract, while Zay Jones shouldn’t cost much more than league minimum on the open market. This is a major draft/free agent WR landing spot.

 

Los Angeles Chargers

WR1: 3 yrs, $58M | WR2: UFA | WR3: RFA
Keenan Allen’s early guarantees finish after 2022 ($16.5M locked in currently), so LAC has plenty of financial flexibility at this position. Is an multi-year extension (projected $16M) or $18.5M franchise tag coming for Mike Williams? Is a 2nd round $3.9M tender coming for Jalen Guyton, or will Josh Palmer be thrust into a bigger role going forward? It feels like running this group back makes sense.


Los Angeles Rams

WR1: 2 yrs, $28.75M | WR2: 4 yrs, $60.5M | UFA
Fresh off his historic season, will Cooper Kupp be asked to live with his current remaining contract, or will the Rams further invest in their underpaid weapon? Kupp carries a $23.5M valuation into the offseason. Behind him Robert Woods’ $13.5M is practically guaranteed through 2022, but there are outs each year following. Odell Beckham, Jr.’s offseason will be one to watch, as he has found immediate chemistry in this offseason - but may not find the targets or payday in LA that another franchise can offer. If he bolts, Van Jefferson will enter his third year as a breakout candidate.


Miami Dolphins

WR1: 3 yrs, $9.3M + option | WR2: 2 yrs, $12.3M | WR3: UFA
Jaylen Waddle is the real deal, and doesn’t become extension eligible until after the 2023 season, providing mega value for Miami at the WR1 slot. Behind him, DeVante Parker can be a productive option for the price ($6M per), but he struggled to stay on the field again. Albert Wilson & Will Fuller are headed for the open market, placing the Dolphins in need of at least 2 viable WR options this offseason.


Minnesota Vikings

WR1: 2 yrs, $4.1M + option | WR2: 3 yrs, $40M | WR3: 2 yrs, $2M
Justin Jefferson raised his own already high ceiling in 2021, catching 108 balls for 1,616 yards and 10 TDs. Luckily for the Vikings, he doesn’t become extension-eligible until after the 2022 season. His 92 yards per game on just 6 catches puts him in elite territory at a position that is currently paying its elite $25M+ per year. Behind him, Adam Thielen is a lowkey trade candidate with a non-guaranteed 3 years remaining on his contract, while K.J. Osborn should be thrust into an even bigger role going forward with an excellent year 2.


New England Patriots

WR1: 1 yr, $9.8M | WR2: RFA | WR3: 2 yrs, $9.7M
Though Kendrick Bourne’s contract was less than half of Nelson Agholor’s on a per year basis, Bourne finished 2021 with the stronger production, and should be a lock for a role in 2022. With $5M of Agholor’s 2022 salary already fully guaranteed, he likely remains in the fold as well, but look for New England to seek out a true WR1 this offseason. Youngster Jakobi Meyers is a low restricted tender candidate, while N'Keal Harry is almost certain to be moved on from.

 

New Orleans Saints

WR1: 3 yrs, $52M | WR2: 1 yr, $895k | WR3: UFA
The Saints aren’t poor with storylines, and Michael Thomas is certainly one of the bigger ones heading toward March. The 29-year-old hasn’t played since the middle of 2020, and the injury guarantee on his $15.3M 2022 salary becomes fully guaranteed on March 18th. With $22M of total dead cap on his deal right now, a Post June 1st release seems likely at this point ($15.8M savings). Behind him, Marquez Callaway holds a minimum salary before restricted free agency, Tre'quan Smith is pending free agency, and Deonte Harris is awaiting his restricted tender (likely $3.9M).


New York Giants

WR1: 3 yrs, $53M | WR2: 3 yrs, $5.6M + option | WR3: 2 yrs, $18M
This is a deep receiving core when healthy, but it’s never been healthy. Kenny Golladay was underwhelming in his first NY season, but a new regime (and potentially new QB) could quickly change that. $10M of his 2022 compensation is already fully guaranteed. Behind him Kadarius Toney has star potential and is under team control for 4 more seasons, Sterling Shepard’s guarantees expired last season making him a bubble candidate, & Darius Slayton holds a minimum $965k salary in his expiring season, but still could find himself looking for work.

 

New York Jets

WR1: 2 yrs, $23M | WR2: UFA | WR3: UFA
The combination of Corey Davis, Braxton Berrios, & Jamison Crowder provided a few positive moments throughout 2021. Davis is fully guaranteed through 2022, but the latter two are set to hit the open market. Berrios showed more versatility, so an extension in the Kendrick Bourne 3/$15M range could be inline. Behind them, Elijah Moore & Denzel Mims are on cheap rookie contracts with value potential.

 

Philadelphia Eagles

WR1: 3 yrs, $7.4M + option | WR2: 2 yrs, $4.2M + option | WR3: 2 yrs, $1.9M
The Eagles have been getting younger and cheaper at this position for 2 consecutive years & if DeVonta Smith & Jalen Reagor can grow into true top options, there’s a ton of value in Philly’s future. Greg Ward headed to restricted free agency is the only real question mark here.

 

Pittsburgh Steelers

WR1: UFA | WR2: 1 yr, $1M | WR3: 2 yrs, $2.7M
JuJu Smith-Schuster’s return was short-lived, and it’s hard to imagine he doesn’t head for clearer waters this time around. Diontae Johnson has true elite WR potential from the slot, but his expiring contract in 2022 probably needs to be addressed this offseason. Johnson’s $15.5M valuation easily surpasses a recent deal for Tim Patrick in Denver. Behind him, Chase Claypool has two years remaining on his rookie contract and will be seeking a bounce back season in 2022. James Washington & Ray-Ray McCloud headed to free agency likely means there’s a notable spot to fill.

 

San Francisco 49ers

WR1: 2 yrs, $4M + option | WR2: 1 yr, $2M | WR3: UFA
Brandon Aiyuk’s 2021 finished up with almost identical production to his body of work in 2020. Trey Lance will be looking for more from the former #25 overall pick, who won’t become extension eligible until after 2022. That’s not the case for the versatile Deebo Samuel, who is now extension eligible for the first time, and should be a priority signing for the 49ers this offseason. The unicorn is hard to evaluate mathematically speaking, but it’s safe to say his contract floor is $18M, with $22M-$24M completely realistic based on the type of usage he’s expected to see. There’s a glaring hole in San Francisco with wide receivers 3 - 5. 


Seattle Seahawks

WR1: 4 yrs, $59M | WR2: 1 yr, $1.1M | WR3: 3 yrs, $3.5M
Tyler Lockett is practically guaranteed for the next 2 years, $26M with 4 years total remaining on his current contract. D.K. Metcalf didn’t quite match his breakout 2020 campaign, but managed to find the endzone 12 times in 2021. He’s extension eligible, valuing toward a $20M per year contract currently. Behind them D'Wayne Eskridge enters year 2 of his rookie contract (the final guarantee year), while Freddie Swain holds two years left on his entry level deal. It’s an attractive unit should Seattle be seeking a new QB this offseason.


Tampa Bay Buccaneers

WR1: 2 yrs, $28M | WR2: UFA | WR3: 2 yrs, $1.9M
Mike Evans becomes the lone veteran option for the Bucs heading into 2022, with 2 yrs, $28.5M left on his deal, none of it fully guaranteed. He’s an extension candidate this offseason, but doesn’t quite have the resume to value up with the elite WR contracts. Tyler Lockett’s $17.25M deal in Seattle becomes a floor for Evans. Chris Godwin’s knee injury likely takes him out of early extension AND second franchise tag conversations with Tampa, sending him to the open market. Behind them, Tyler Johnson has two non-guaranteed years remaining on his rookie contract, & Scotty Miller will be entering a contract year (maybe).

 

Tennessee Titans

WR1: 1 yr, $1.2M | WR2: 2 yrs, $23M | WR3: UFA
A.J. Brown will be entering the final year of his rookie deal this offseason, but a bit of a down 2021 campaign could have Tennessee looking to wait before extending him. Despite a $16M calculated valuation, there’s likely a $20M+ deal in his future. Julio Jones didn’t exactly make his mark in 2021, but tenable $11.5M salaries each of the next two years (only $2M fully guaranteed), shouldn’t give the Titans much pause. Current slot WR Chester Rogers is slated for free agency.


Washington Football Team

WR1: 1 yr, $965k | WR2: UFA | WR3: UFA
Outside of Terry McLaurin, there’s a lack of identity with this receiving core - especially going forward. McLaurin’s a $20M starting point extension candidate this offseason, and Curtis Samuel’s $8.5M salary for 2022 is fully guaranteed, but with Adam Humphries & Cam Sims slated for free agency, & Dyami Brown targeted just 25 times in 2021, there are plenty of holes to fill here.

Keith SmithJanuary 20, 2022

The NBA trade deadline is just three weeks away on February 10. Trade season has been slow to pick up since unofficially opening on December 15, when the majority of offseason signings became trade-eligible. Teams battled through COVID-related hardships, resulting in well over 100 callups on 10-day contracts around the league. The need to just put a roster on the floor put a temporary pause on trade talks.

Teams are now out of the woods with hardships and trade talks are happening across the league. Most around the NBA expect a fairly busy deadline, as there are no clear title favorites and the 2022 free agent class is seen as very weak. That generally gives teams motivation to make deadline deals.

At the trade deadline, teams sort into one of four categories: Buyers, Sellers, Either or Neither. Here’s where each Western Conference team stands three weeks from the deadline:

(Note: The Eastern Conference Buyers and Sellers can be found here)

 

Dallas Mavericks

The Mavericks have been playing really well as of late. And they’re back to full health as well. Pinpointing needs is a bit difficult, because they do so much well. What the Mavs don’t do well, they hope will come with better health and players breaking out of slumps.

Expect Dallas to be buyers, but in a different sort of way. They could buy by selling some players who may not be with the team long-term. Jalen Brunson, who is due a big contract as an unrestricted free agent this summer, is the best trade asset the Mavs have. The challenge is his contract is too small to bring back much alone. But pair him with Dwight Powell or Tim Hardaway Jr. and you might be on to something. The Mavericks also have a $10.8 million trade exception to use if they can acquire a rotation player at the deadline.

 

Denver Nuggets

The Nuggets might have already made their “big” move when they acquired Bryn Forbes. The next “acquisitions” for Denver will likely come when Jamal Murray, and possibly Michael Porter Jr., return from their injuries.

Nikola Jokic is turning in another MVP season and he’s kept Denver afloat despite a ton of injuries. Forbes will give the Nuggets some shooting, which they desperately need. Beyond that, the rotation seems pretty flush with talent when healthy. That will improve even more when Murray gets back and if Porter can join the fray.

 

Golden State Warriors

The Warriors don’t need a whole lot. They got Klay Thompson back and he looks pretty good already. Presumably James Wiseman will return at some point, but that’s been delayed a couple of different times now.

Looking at the roster, Golden State could use another big man. Maybe that’s Wiseman, but a veteran would be preferred. The Dubs don’t really have assets to offer in a deal though. They don’t seem likely to move Wiseman yet, and Jonathan Kuminga and Moses Moody aren’t going anywhere either. Maybe some frontcourt help comes via the buyout market, but it’s hard to find an easy cut for this team to make. What you see, is probably what you get.

 

Houston Rockets

The Rockets are firmly in the seller category. But what exactly is Houston selling? They’d love to move John Wall, but no one is taking on $91.6 million through next year. That’s one that will wait until the offseason. Or maybe Wall starts to rethink his stance on a buyout after the deadline, a la Blake Griffin last season.

Beyond Wall, D.J. Augustin is very available. As is Daniel Theis. There’s been buzz around Christian Wood, but Houston seems to want to keep him. The best value the Rockets may find will be in a trade for Eric Gordon. Gordon has shot the lights out this year, so getting a decent return no longer seems farfetched. There’s a good chance he’s elsewhere by the deadline and Houston will get another asset to continue their rebuild.

 

LA Clippers

The Clippers aren’t really buyers or sellers. Had Paul George stayed healthy, they probably would have been buyers. But now, everything seems pretty uncertain for LA. Kawhi Leonard might come back, but he might not. George’s and Leonard’s returns will likely be driven by the team’s postseason prospects.

The same holds true for the trade deadline. The Clips have a few players of interest to other teams, but the team isn’t rebuilding. If they can reset in a way that sets them up for a big 2022-23, then maybe LA makes a move. Most likely, they sit the deadline out and do some tinkering around their stars this summer.

 

Los Angeles Lakers

The Lakers are lot like when you were a kid with the toy calendar at Christmas. You want all sorts of stuff, but you know you aren’t getting it unless Santa delivers a miracle. Los Angeles simply doesn’t have the assets to net anything of value in a trade. They’ve offered the Talen Horton-Tucker/Kendrick Nunn combo to everyone and no one is biting yet.

Also: forget a Russell Westbrook trade. We’ve seen him get moved three offseasons in a row, but his deal is too big to be a part of an in-season trade. If the Lakers become the latest team to move on from Westbrook, it will happen this summer.

 

Memphis Grizzlies

The Grizzlies are cautious buyers. Somehow, a lot of people still don’t know just how good Memphis is. That under-the-radar theme probably applies to the Griz at the deadline too.

Another shooter and one more big, ideally one with shooting range, are on the shopping list. Memphis isn’t going to give up a ton to add players though. The Grizzlies prize the depth they’ve built. If anything happens, keep an eye on expiring players Kyle Anderson, Jarrett Culver and Tyus Jones. A package of those players is a nice bit of salary-matching and could return a help player, both for now and the long-term.

 

Minnesota Timberwolves

The Wolves are doing their best to buy. They’ve been in on Ben Simmons all season, but don’t have the assets to get Philadelphia to budge. Minnesota has been dangling Malik Beasley and Taurean Prince, either as a package or individually. That could return the Timberwolves a nice player, but only if they back off the Simmons dream first.

Given their depth, there isn’t a lot Minnesota needs. A forward with range would be good. A wing defender would help a lot. And a backup point guard to keep the offensive humming when D’Angelo Russell sits are all realistic holes the Wolves could fill in the right deal or deals.

 

New Orleans Pelicans

The Pelicans are soft sellers. They aren’t blowing this team up, but they’ve got some players that could net a nice return. Ideally, they’d get at least somewhat of a look at their main guys with Zion Williamson this season, but that seems less likely with each passing week.

Josh Hart could be on the move, as his contract was designed to be very tradable. Tomas Satoransky is the only pending free agent on the roster, and he’s very available. If New Orleans can get a player or two to help a Hail Mary Play-In push that can also be a part of the team long-term, they’ll make a move. Otherwise, they’ll sit it out the deadline and retool yet again this summer.

Oklahoma City Thunder

The Thunder are buyers, but not for veteran help. It’s all about draft picks and young players for OKC. Pending how they use their remaining trade exceptions, the Thunder could be sitting on about $34 million in cap space. That will make Sam Presti every GM’s first call when they need a third team in to facilitate a deal.

Expect Oklahoma City to also be everyone’s favorite dumping ground if they need to avoid or lessen a tax bill. If Presti can pick up a young player that needs a change of scenery or some additional draft picks, he’ll gladly welcome all the salary dumps he can get. The Thunder are also $22.7 million below the salary floor. Expect lots of movement here over the next few weeks.

 

Phoenix Suns

The Suns will upgrade their rotation if the right deal comes along, but they feel no pressure to make a move. Phoenix is at least two-deep at every spot in their rotation. They have a good mix of vets, in-their-prime players and talented youngsters too.

Dario Saric is the player being offered up, since he’s out for the season and Phoenix would lose no production in a trade. If a wing defender or versatile forward becomes available, the Suns will likely get involved. That will protect them if Mikal Bridges or Jae Crowder have to miss any time. Beyond that, Phoenix will just keep cruising into the playoffs.

 

Portland Trail Blazers

The Blazers and Sacramento Kings are the teams everyone has their eyes on in the Western Conference. Damian Lillard probably isn’t going anywhere until, and if, he asks for a trade. But everyone else seems to be fair game in trade talks in Portland. Well, minus Anfernee Simons and Nassir Little, who interim GM Joe Cronin won’t let get away.

The Trail Blazers are running up against getting caught in the “Bird Rights Trap” with Jusuf Nurkic and Robert Covington. Portland doesn’t have the cap space to replace either play if they leave town, and that could lean towards re-signing them to contracts that turn sour very quickly. One way to avoid that is to trade them before those decisions needs to be made.

Keep an eye on Norman Powell and Larry Nance Jr. too. They’re newer to Portland, but could really help fill holes on contenders, while delivering a nice return for the Trail Blazers.

Lastly, Portland will talk trades involving C.J. McCollum, but the size of his deal makes that more likely to happen this summer than at the deadline. However, after years of declining trades involving McCollum, the Blazers are finally inching in that direction.

 

Sacramento Kings

Much like their friends to the north, the Kings are open to moving just about anyone. They’ve denied they’re listening on or shopping De’Aaron Fox, but where there is that much smoke, there is usually fire. The denials haven’t come for anyone else but second-year guard Tyrese Haliburton either. That signals Sacramento is open for business.

For the umpteenth year, Harrison Barnes is a player that can help every contender because of his production and plug-and-play ability. Buddy Hield is a target for teams that need shooting. Marvin Bagley is someone rebuilding clubs like as a “second draft” guy. And lots of teams would love to pry Richaun Holmes away.

It’s likely the Kings will look very different in a few weeks. Maybe even as different as to have moved on from their franchise player as they kick off yet another rebuild.

 

San Antonio Spurs

The Spurs did their first in-season deal where they traded a player away in years, when they sent Bryn Forbes to the Denver Nuggets. Don’t expect a whole lot more, as San Antonio has generally sat out the trade deadline as an organizational rule.

If the Spurs do another deal, it will likely involve sending Thaddeus Young to a contender. He’s not a part of the present nor future in San Antonio. Even a minor return would be good for the veteran forward. If Young isn’t traded, expect a buyout to come after the deadline passes.

 

Utah Jazz

The Jazz are buyers. After a few years of good regular seasons followed by earlier-than-hoped-for playoff exits, Utah wants to get a player or two to push them over the top. They’ve offered Joe Ingles and a down-the-line first-round pick to teams, but haven’t found a taker yet. Jordan Clarkson could be moved as well, but his struggles this season have left his market fairly dry.

Despite slipping some in the standings over recent weeks, no one expects the Jazz to even remotely entertain moving Rudy Gobert or Donovan Mitchell. If that slide continues, or if Utah gets bounced early in the playoffs, expect that speculation to ramp up heading into the offseason.

Scott AllenJanuary 16, 2022

The recent trade between the New York Knicks and Atlanta Hawks (breakdown below) could be the start of some significant blockbuster trades that have yet to happen in 2022. While this New York-Atlanta trade may not be categorized as significant, we have seen major NBA stars traded in January of recent; most notably James Harden, Blake Griffin and Kristaps Porzingis. Below is a breakdown of the major January trades, what each team acquired, the salaries the team took on and where those players ended up post trade.

 

2021-22 Trades

Jan 13, 2021

New York Knicks

Cam Reddish - acquiring salaries $4.67 million (2021-22) and $5.95 million (2022-23). Reddish becomes rookie scale extension eligible in the offseason.

Solomon Hill - expiring contract with a minimum salary of $2,389,641

 

Atlanta Hawks

Kevin Knox - expiring contract with salary of $5,845,978. Knox will be a Restricted Free Agent in the offseason.

2022 1st Round pick (Charlotte’s pick which is Top-18 protected in 2022, Top-16 protected in 2023, Top-14 protected in 2024 and 2025 which would convey to 2nd-round picks in 2026 and 2027)


Notable Past January Trades

Jan 14, 2021

Brooklyn Nets

James Harden - acquired guaranteed salaries of $41.3 million (2020-21) and $44.3 million (2021-22). Harden has a Player Option of $47.4 million for the 2022-23. Brooklyn offered Harden an extension during the 2021 offseason but has yet to be signed.

 

Houston Rockets

2022 1st round pick (unprotected), 

2022 1st round pick (CLE pick via MIL), 

2024 1st round pick (unprotected), 

2026 1st round pick (unprotected), 

Pick swaps in 2021, 2023, 2025, and 2027

Dante Exum - expiring contract with a salary of $9.1million

Rodions Kurucs - acquired minimum salaries of $1.78 million (2020-21) and $1.86 million (2021-22). Kurcus was traded 2 months later to Milwaukee.

Victor Oladipo - expiring contract with a salary of $21 million. Oladipo was traded 2 months later to Miami.

 

Cleveland Cavaliers 

Jarrett Allen - expiring rookie scale contract with a salary of $3.9 million. Allen became an Unrestricted Free Agent and signeda  5 year $100 million contract with Cleveland.

Taurean Prince - acquired salaries of $12.25 million (2020-21) and $13 million (2021-22). Prince was traded in the 2021 offseason to Minnesota.

Aleksandar Vezenkov - rights were acquired

 

Indiana Pacers

Caris LeVert - acquired rookie contract extension which was signed in Aug 2019 with salaries of $16.2 million (2020-21), $17.5 million (2021-22) and $18.8 million (2022-23) 

2023 2nd round pick (least favorable of HOU, DAL and MIA)

2024 2nd round pick (least favorable of CLE and UTH pick)

$2.6 million



Jan 31, 2019

Dallas Mavericks

Kristaps Porzingis - acquired expiring rookie contract with salary of $5,697,054 (2018-19). Porzingis became an Unrestricted Free Agent in the 2019 offseason and signed a 5 year $158.3 million maximum contract with Dallas.

Courtney Lee - acquired with salaries of $12.25 million (2018-19) and $12.76 million (2019-20). Lee finished the contract out with Dallas before becoming an Unrestricted Free Agent in the 2020 offseason.

Tim Hardaway Jr. - acquired with salaries of $17.33 million (2018-19), $18.15 million (2019-20), and $18.98 million (2020-21). Hardaway Jr. finished the contract with Dallas and then signed a 4 year $75 million contract during the 2021 offseason.

Trey Burke - acquired an expiring contract with a minimum salary of $1.80 million 

 

New York Knicks

Dennis Smith Jr. - acquired a rookie contract with salaries of $3.8 million (2018-19), $4.46 million (2019-20) and $5.69 million (2020-21). Smith Jr. was traded in February 2021 to Detroit.

Wesley Matthews - acquired an expiring contract with a salary of $18.6 million. Matthews was bought out by New York days later.

DeAndre Jordan - acquired an expiring contract with a salary of $22.9 million. Jordan completed the contract and signed a 4 year $40 million contract with Brooklyn during the 2019 offseason.

2021 1st round pick (unprotected)

2023 1st round pick (Top-10 protected)



Jan 29, 2018

Detroit Pistons

Blake Griffin - acquired 6 months after signing a 5 year $171.2 million contract that was signed with Los Angeles during the 2017 offseason. Detroit acquired salaries of $29.5 million, $31.87 million, $34.23 million, $36.6 million and $38.96 million. After playing 3+ seasons with Detroit, Griffin agreed to a buyout in March 2021 giving back $13.3 million. 

Brice Johnson - acquired rookie contract salaries of $1.3 million (2017-18), $1.5 million (2018-19) and $2.5 million (2019-20). Johnson was traded days later to Memphis.

Willie Reed - acquired an expiring contract with a salary of $1.58 million. Reed was traded days later to Chicago who then waived Reed.

 

Los Angeles Clippers

Tobias Harris - acquired contract with salaries of $16 million (2017-18) and $14.8 million (2018-19). Harris was traded 1 year later to Philadelphia.

Avery Bradley - acquired expiring contract with salary of $8.8 million. Bradley completed the contract and signed a 2 year $24.96 million contract as an Unrestricted Free Agent during the 2018 offseason.

Boban Marjanovic - acquired salaries of $7 million (2017-18) and $7 million (2018-19). Marjanovic was traded 1 year later with Harris to Philadelphia.

2019 2nd round pick - pick was traded 

2018 1st round pick (Top-4 protected)

 

Notable NBA Links

NBA Trade Tracker

NBA Transactions Wire

Michael GinnittiJanuary 14, 2022

Arizona Cardinals

Is Kyler Murray Ready to be Paid?
He’s gotten better every year statistically speaking, but he and the Cardinals have floundered down the stretch two seasons in a row. Kyler Murray is extension eligible for the first time now, and carries a $43M valuation in our system, projecting to a 6 year, $260M extension.

 

Buffalo Bills

Is Tremaine Edmunds a 2nd-Contract Player?
The advanced metrics have never been on Edmunds’ side, and in many cases - either has the eye test. But Edmunds has a chance to be a focal point in this postseason run for the Bills, starting immediately with a chance to shut down a strong Patriots run game Saturday night. The AFC playoff teams are full of good running backs and talented tight ends - meaning Edmunds will need to be a factor for the BIlls to remain alive. His $12.1M option year in 2022 is fully guaranteed.

 

Cincinnati Bengals

Did Cincy Roster A Deep Enough Offensive Line?
We only need to look back one season to understand just how important the depth of an O-Line is at this time of year (Chiefs), and there’s no question that the Bengals improved in this regard in 2021. The Bengals possessed the 31st ranked O-Line in 2020 according to Football Outsiders, but improved that standing up to 15th in 2021. The current starting line is comprised of a 1st round pick (LT), a UDFA (LG), a UDFA C a 6th round pick (RG), a 6th round pick (RT).

 

Dallas Cowboys

Is Cedrick Wilson the 2022 WR3?
With Michael Gallup now injured and slated for free agency, it stands to reason that his tenure in Dallas has come to an end. In his absence, Cedrick Wilson (also slated for free agency) has picked up the pieces and then some. If he remains a factor throughout the postseason, will Dallas be conditioned to bring him back on a small extension for 2022+? Wilson carries a $6.5M valuation in our system currently.

 

Green Bay Packers

Can $75M Per Year Keep This Train on the Tracks?
The Packers went from offseason disaster to NFC #1 seed in a matter of weeks. After a forgettable opening week loss against the Saints, Rodgers & Co. have barely looked back across the next 17 weeks. With star WR Davante Adams on an expiring contract (and destined for a $20M tag), and Aaron Rodgers’ contract in need of some form of change (restructured extension, trade), can the Packers throw enough money at these two players in March to keep this band together for another window of contention? Adams projects to a 5 year, $130M extension, while Rodgers currently sits at 3 years, $140M.

 

Kansas City Chiefs

How Expensive Will Patrick Mahomes’ Blindside Be?
Part of the Chiefs’ master plan to return to the Super Bowl in 2021 was to add heavily to an offensive line that failed them last January. That began with the acquisition of OT Orlando Brown Jr. from the Ravens for a bounty of draft picks to go along with the massive free agent signing of LG Joe Thuney. Brown brought over a more than tenable $3.3M salary for the 2021 season, but that value is coming to a head in the next few weeks, as the 25 year old currently projects to a historic 5 year, $116.5M extension.

 

Las Vegas Raiders

Is Derek Carr Playing His Final Week(s) as a Raider?
Carr’s contract contains a non-guaranteed 1 year, $19.8M left on it, while QB2 Marcus Mariota is slated for free agency this March. It’s safe to assume that a few QB-needy teams will show interest in acquiring Carr if the Raiders even dangle the opportunity out there. This includes the Seattle Seahawks, who may be forced to move on from Russell Wilson, and would likely be very interested in bringing back a ready-made QB to drop into an offense full of weapons. The more likely outcome is that Vegas simply extends their current QB1, to the tune of 5 years, $175M

 

Los Angeles Rams

Is Matthew Stafford One and Done?
No, but contractually speaking there’s a ridiculously easy out after this season. It stands to reason that he’s done enough to have earned a sizable extension with the Rams, if for no other reason than the ridiculous compatibility he’s found with the WR1. Stafford’s current contract has 1 year, $23M remaining, and the 33 year old projects to a 4 year, $170M extension in our system.

 

New England Patriots

Will the Patriots Continue to Pay?
The Patriots’ 2021 offseason spending spree has been celebrated into saturation at this point, but the fact of the matter is - they’ll need to do a smaller version of it again to remain relevant in the division. Star cornerback JC Jackson is slated for free agency (and likely a tag) this offseason, as is RT Trent Brown, LB Donta Hightower, K Nick Folk, & S Devin McCourty - to name a few. It’s feasible that some of these spots can be replaced by previous or future draft selections, keeping finances at bay, but New England will need to spend more than they’ve been accustomed to in recent years to stay on this current path.

 

Philadelphia Eagles

Playing With House Money
The Eagles probably don’t belong in the same conversation with the majority of these playoff teams in terms of contention, but the fact that they scratched and clawed their way into this position sets them up for so many opportunities this offseason. Now they possess the best draft capital in the league, a dynamic QB1 who holds trade value if a veteran star shows interest in coming to town, a QB2 who holds trade value (likely better than the 6th round pick that was given up to acquire him), a 3-headed rushing attack that will take pressure off the QB, a young, financially locked in offensive line (minus Jason Kelce), and now a playoff berth to promote come free agency. A season that was designed to be the “purge” year in terms of dead cap and financial health, miraculously turned into one with winning as well.

 

Pittsburgh Steelers

Then What?
The Steelers admittedly don’t belong here. But they’re here, based largely on a run game, and well allocated defensive superstars. Fortunately, that qualifies as a pretty decent recipe for a “rebuild on the fly”, assuming they can immediately address the glaring hole at QB1, and the mish-mosh that is their WR core (D. Johnson, J. Smith-Schuster, J. Washington pending free agents, Claypool nearly invisible). This feels Minshewy.

 

San Francisco 49ers

Jimmy Garoppolo’s Winning Problem
We’ve been down this road before: The 49ers have a QB problem, except that QB when healthy continues to win ball games - just not in the manner in which the 49ers would prefer to win ball games. We’re headed toward a defining moment in San Francisco’s future. The decision can be very easily made if Garoppolo throws 3 passes to Trevon Diggs Sunday, but recent history sides with the 49ers in these type of matchups. Another lengthy postseason run puts the Trey Lance project on hold - at least momentarily. Jimmy G has a non-guaranteed 1 year, $25.6M left on his contract through 2022.

 

Tampa Bay Buccaneers

Sleeping Giants?
Brady’s done much more with much less offensively speaking, and yet the Buccaneers are hardly being mentioned in the NFL Postseason projections. Maybe there’s fatigue (or doubt) stemming from the Antonio Brown circus, or maybe they’re simply being overlooked as legitimate repeat candidates. Leonard Fournette is the best he’s ever been (and playing for a contract). Gronk has a decade of experience in these types of settings (and playing for a contract), and the return of Shaq Barrett and Carlton Davis to the defense should become instant upgrades in that regard. There are worse ways to spend your gambling dollars this week.

 

Tennessee Titans

A.J. Brown’s Big Contract
When you look at the first three years of stats for Brown across the board, they seem underwhelming (with the exception of 11 TDs in 2020), but Brown has more than passed the eye test in a number of weeks in his young career. It’s simply a matter of keeping him healthy and the on field, and if Tennessee feels they can live with a few weeks missed throughout a season, then the time to pony up may be this offseason. Limited total production keeps his calculated value down around $18M per year, but it’s hard to imagine Brown not jumping into the $20M per year pool based on his potential.

Michael GinnittiJanuary 11, 2022

With the NFL postseason upon us, a quick look at how players are compensated for each playoff round, broken down by team, based on the agreed upon CBA costs.


Wild Card Weekend

This round stands out from the rest because it contains split pay based on a few factors. If the Wild Card team was a regular season division winner, players will each earn $42,500. If the team of the Wild Card game was not a regular season division winner, players from that team will each earn $37,500 - a $5,000 difference.

Additionally, the two teams who secured a #1 seed and were rewarded a bye for the Wild Card round will earn the lesser of these two payments, or $37,500 per player.

 

Divisional Round Winners
All players who are on the active 53-man roster the Sunday immediately preceding the divisional round games will earn $42,500 this year, up $9,500 from last season’s postseason.

 

Conference Championship Winners
All players who are on the active 53-man roster the Sunday immediately preceding the conference championship games will earn $65,000, up $6,000 from last year.

 

Super Bowl Payouts
Players from the winning Super Bowl team will cash an extra $150,000 each, while those from the losing team will earn $75,000 for their efforts.

 

Potential AFC Team Playoff Earnings
(per player)

  TEN KC BUF CIN LV NE PIT
Wild Card $37,500 $42,500 $42,500 $42,500 $37,500 $37,500 $37,500
Divisional $42,500 $42,500 $42,500 $42,500 $42,500 $42,500 $42,500
Conference $65,000 $65,000 $65,000 $65,000 $65,000 $65,000 $65,000
Super Bowl Loss Total $220,000 $225,000 $225,000 $225,000 $220,000 $220,000 $220,000
Super Bowl Win Total $295,000 $300,000 $300,000 $300,000 $295,000 $295,000 $295,000

 

Potential NFC Team Playoff Earnings
(per player)

  GB TB DAL LAR ARI SF PHI
Wild Card $37,500 $42,500 $42,500 $42,500 $37,500 $37,500 $37,500
Divisional $42,500 $42,500 $42,500 $42,500 $42,500 $42,500 $42,500
Conference $65,000 $65,000 $65,000 $65,000 $65,000 $65,000 $65,000
Super Bowl Loss Total $220,000 $225,000 $225,000 $225,000 $220,000 $220,000 $220,000
Super Bowl Win Total $295,000 $300,000 $300,000 $300,000 $295,000 $295,000 $295,000
Keith SmithJanuary 11, 2022

The NBA trade deadline is just over four weeks away on February 10. Trade season has been slow to pick up since unofficially opening on December 15, when the majority of offseason signings became trade-eligible. Teams battled through COVID-related hardships, resulting in well over 100 callups on 10-day contracts around the league. The need to just put a roster on the floor put a temporary pause on trade talks.

Teams are now coming out of the woods with hardships and trade talks are ramping up. Most around the NBA expect a fairly busy deadline, as there are no clear title favorites and the 2022 free agent class is seen as very weak. That generally gives teams motivation to make deadline deals.

At the trade deadline, teams sort into one of four categories: Buyers, Sellers, Either or Neither. Here’s where each Eastern Conference team stands one month from the deadline:

Atlanta Hawks

The Hawks are in a bit of a weird spot. They’ve been underachievers all year, but don’t seem primed for any sort of sell-off. Their core players are too young for that to be considered. Still, general manager Travis Schlenk said he “wouldn’t be doing my job” if he wasn’t looking at moves.

This puts Atlanta in the “Either” category. They aren’t going to blow it up, but if the right move comes along that rebalances the roster and/or cap sheet, they’ll do it. This is the same if the opportunity to make a big upgrade comes their way. Expect the Hawks to be active, as their position basically dictates they must be. Think consolidation trade for Atlanta.

Boston Celtics

Like the Hawks, the Celtics have underachieved this season. There have been a few signs that things are turning around for Boston, but the same problems of the last couple of years exist. They can’t close games and the offense remains inconsistent.

We also don’t have any deadline track record to work with, as this is Brad Stevens first go-around as the decision-maker. Dennis Schroder is known to be on the block, as the one-year marriage in green has been somewhat clunky. Juancho Hernangomez is a valuable piece of pseudo-expiring salary-matching at $7 million. And Boston has TPEs of $17 million, $9.7 million and $5.1 million to work with too.

Expect Stevens to make moves around the edges of the rotation. Any sort of big overhaul will come this summer vs at the deadline.

Brooklyn Nets

The Nets are buyers without a whole lot to buy with. They have a couple of valuable TPEs of $11.5 million and $6.3 million. That’s enough to get a useful player or two. It’s sending out value to get those players that’s the challenge for Sean Marks.

Brooklyn doesn’t have a ton in terms of tradable talent. Their players are all vets with limited trade value, or young players the team would rather keep. Keep an eye on Nic Claxton and Bruce Brown. Both are due for new deals this offseason, and if Brooklyn can flip them for help to compete for the 2022 NBA Finals, they’ll do it. And forget trading draft picks. The Nets stash is basically all committed elsewhere at this point.

Charlotte Hornets

Charlotte is positioned to make a run at the playoffs. Their offense is very good, but their defense is terrible. There’s an obvious hole at center, but the team has limited resources to plug that hole.

All of the players with trade value are playing a key rotation role for the Hornets. To upgrade at the five in a meaningful way, Mitch Kupchak would need to move a productive player. Sometimes you need to give something to get something, but it’s more likely Charlotte will just stand pat.

Chicago Bulls

Chicago is having their best season in over a half-decade. Everything has come together better than anyone could have expected. The only real holes on this roster are a forward with size and bench shooting. Expect Arturas Karnisovas to be aggressive in upgrading both spots.

The main trade assets the Bulls can dangle are Patrick Williams and Coby White. Williams is out long-term, but has considerable potential. White has shown he can put up points from either guard spot. Chicago is a little pick-poor after trading for Nikola Vucevic and DeMar DeRozan, so they’ll need to find a team looking to move a veteran for rebuilding pieces. Keep an eye on both Jerami Grant and Harrison Barnes for the Bulls. They’d both be major upgrades as swing forwards.

Cleveland Cavaliers

The Cavs are making a real playoff run for the first time since LeBron James left town for a second time. Cleveland’s challenge right now is health and offensive creation. Collin Sexton and Ricky Rubio are down for the year and that’s put a lot of pressure on Darius Garland to make everything happen.

The Cavaliers are shopping Rubio’s expiring $17.8 million deal along with draft picks to get help. Caris LeVert is a reported target, and he’d make a lot of sense as an on-ball creator. One way or another, Koby Altman is going to upgrade the wing spot before the deadline passes.

Detroit Pistons

It’s not the “Everything must go!” attitude of the past for the Pistons, but they’re still in asset-collection mode. Jerami Grant is the object of affection for several contenders. If Detroit can return a mix of young players and picks for Grant, look for Troy Weaver to get it done.

Beyond moving Grant, look for smaller “take a flyer” moves from the Pistons, like the recent acquisition of Bol Bol. Weaver has a lot of tradable expiring or pseudo-expiring deals he can send out to bring back a young player that needs a change of scenery.

Indiana Pacers

The Pacers might have borrowed the “Everything must go!” signs from their neighbors to the north. Indiana is known to be openly listening on Myles Turner and Caris LeVert leading up to the deadline. Kevin Pritchard will also take calls on Domantas Sabonis, but you better be prepared to blow him away with an offer for the All-Star big man.

At this point, it would be a surprise to see either Turner or LeVert in an Indiana uniform post-deadline. It’s likely that Sabonis, T.J. Warren (working his way back from injury) and Malcom Brogdon (ineligible to traded until after the deadline) will team with whoever comes in return for Turner and LeVert, as the Pacers do a soft reset of their roster.

Miami Heat

The Heat are a little bit like the Nets, in that they’re buyers without a lot to buy with. Miami is also hard capped, with precious little wiggle room under that barrier. It’s likely that what you see is what you get for the Heat.

One player to keep an eye on: Victor Oladipo. Not as a trade piece, but if Oladipo can get back from injury, he’ll serve as an “acquisition” of sorts. Beyond that, it’s likely Pat Riley will go shopping on the buyout market for some bench depth.

Milwaukee Bucks

Like their brethren contenders in Brooklyn and Miami, Milwaukee would like to buy, but has limited means to do so. They’d have to trade productive rotation players to put together meaningful salary-matching in any deal. That’s unlikely, given the Bucks prize their depth.

Jon Horst has done good work with finding undervalued veterans, like P.J. Tucker last year. Look for something similar, as Milwaukee could use another big for as long as Brook Lopez is sidelined.

New York Knicks

New York has slipped back after their unexpected success last season. The Knicks will be involved in trade talks, because they’re the Knicks. But to this point, Leon Rose has ushered in a new era of patience in New York. Don’t expect any splashy moves just to make a move.

Pending the health outlooks for Derrick Rose and Kemba Walker, the Knicks may look to upgrade the point guard depth. But that will probably be a minor move, or may be done on the buyout market. Any major changes to this roster seem more likely to happen in the offseason.

Orlando Magic

The Magic are positioned to have a busy trade deadline. Armed with new contract extensions, President of Basketball Operations Jeff Weltman and general manager John Hammond can continue their rebuilding project in Orlando.

Look for the Magic to find a deal for Terrence Ross. He’s going to be in demand, as teams look to upgrade their bench depth and shooting at the deadline. Gary Harris is another player who could be moved, as his $20.5 million expiring deal can be used in a number of ways. Orlando can take on questionable salary in exchange for assets to help a team in the coming years. Some teams may even see Harris as an expiring depth player to aid in a playoff push. The last player to keep an eye on is Robin Lopez. His expiring $5 million deal is very movable and teams are always looking for cheap center help at the deadline. Orlando also has a $17.2 million TPE and is almost $23 million under the luxury tax. That makes them ideal facilitators in three-team deals.

Philadelphia 76ers

As he has been all season long, Ben Simmons remains the player to watch at the deadline. Daryl Morey has held firm in wanting a major return, despite several teams making a push to acquire Simmons. Philadelphia has all but given up hope he’ll ever play for them again, but their asking price in a Simmons deal remains high. Most expect this dance to continue up to the deadline, when the Sixers will likely come down a little, as offers improve a little on the other side.

Beyond an eventual Simmons deal, expect the 76ers to make some moves around the edges. Morey always tinkers with his roster at the deadline. He’ll likely target wing help and more shooting, as Philadelphia hopes to make a playoff run around Joel Embiid’s MVP-caliber season.

Toronto Raptors

Toronto has played better than most expected this season. It looks like the Raptors will battle for a Play-In spot at the bare minimum. There are no obvious trade candidates on the roster, but you can never count out Masai Ujiri when it comes to making a big move. If he feels there is a major upgrade to be made, Ujiri will take that homerun swing.

Pascal Siakam seems like the most likely trade candidate due to the combination of ability, salary, positional depth and age. If the Raptors can use Siakam’s $33 million salary in a deal to bring in a big or high-scoring wing, they’ll do it. Most likely, Toronto will sit pat and address their forward-heavy roster imbalance this summer.

Washington Wizards

The Wizards have slipped in the standing after a great start. But the focus still seems like it’s on making a playoff run in D.C. Look for Tommy Sheppard to use some of his forward depth to shore up the wing rotation, even if that means moving on from some high picks from recent drafts.

Rui Hachimura is finally back, but the forward spot is now overflowing with players. Kyle Kuzma isn’t going anywhere and Deni Avdija isn’t either. Same for Corey Kispert, who was just drafted. If there’s a deal to be made for Davis Bertans and the $54-$65 million left on his deal, the Wizards will make it. Hachimura and Bertans seem to be the main carrots Sheppard will dangle. That’s not going to net a huge return, but if Washington can get one more wing, they’ll be in good shape for the playoff push.

Michael GinnittiJanuary 10, 2022

The Colts offseason has abrubtly started with their Week 18 surprise loss to the last place Jaguars. QB Carson Wentz seemed to solidify his role with a strong second half to the season, but his play this past Sunday will leave plenty with a bad taste in their mouth. 

If the Colts hadn’t sacrificed a 1st & 3rd round pick to acquire Wentz this past February, would it be a slam dunk that he would be handed the starting QB job in 2022? Let’s take a look at what the rest of his contract looks like from a stability standpoint.

Total Value
The deal has 3 years, $81.705M remaining, including $28.294M in 2022, $26.176M in 2023, & $27.235M in 2024. 

Guarantees & Dead Cap
$15M of his 2022 salary is already fully guaranteed, representing the only dead cap on the contract currently. If the Colts were to find a trade partner for Wentz this March, they could move him without taking on any dead cap, saving $13M of cap for the upcoming season. The date to watch is March 18th, when the remaining $7M of his 2022 salary full guarantees & a $6.29M roster bonus is paid. 

While unlikely, if Indy decides to outright release Carson Wentz before March 18th, they’d be responsible for his $15M of guaranteed salary, and nothing more. After 2022, the contract is in a pay-as-you-go format, with no early guarantees to deal with.

Concluding Thoughts
Despite a treacherous final weekend, Wentz actually stabilized the Indy offense for the better part of 2021. Factor in the ceiling for Jonathan Taylor, and ample cap space to add weapons to this roster in March, and it makes sense to let Carson take the reins for this team through 2022. The contract offers a free out after that, making Indy’s life much easier thereafter.x

Michael GinnittiJanuary 09, 2022
Assessing the upcoming offseason for each 2022 NFC West team, broken down by division, including projected cap space, players under contract, notable free agents, potential extension candidates, franchise tag possibilities, & trade/cut options.

Offseason Division Pieces

Arizona Cardinals

Projected Top 51 Cap Space: $20M

Under Contract (36): FULL ROSTER

2022 Dead Cap: $384k

Notable Restricted Free Agents: Michael Dogbe (DE, 25)

Notable Unrestricted Free Agents: James Conner (RB, 26), Christian Kirk (WR, 25), Chandler Jones (OLB, 31), A.J. Green (WR, 33), Zach Ertz (TE, 31), Maxx Williams (TE, 27), Chase Edmonds (RB, 25), FULL LIST

Franchise Tag Candidate: James Conner (RB, 26), potential $8M transition tag.

Draft Picks: R1, R2, R3, R5 (COMP), R5 (COMP), R6 , R7, R7 (COMP)

Extension Candidates

Kyler Murray (QB, 24)
Murray’s production has diminished in the second half of the season, but he’s done enough to show there’s a real future with him at the helm. With that said, is this team inline for a coaching change in 2022? If so, paying the QB early might not make sense. Murray projects to a 6 year, $260M extension currently.

Chandler Jones (OLB, 31)
There’s not a huge precedence for 31+ edge rushers cashing in, but Jones is the pass rusher that keeps on giving. There are a lot of mouths to feed in Arizona, and JJ Watt being under contract through 2022 could mean Jones is allowed to test the open market, but it seems likely there’s a $14M+ deal for him somewhere next season.


Potential Trades/Cuts

Andy Isabella (WR, 25)
The #62 overall pick from 2019 has 31 career receptions, including just 1 in 2021. The guarantees on his rookie contract ended last season, meaning there's actually $1.1M of cap space to be freed up if Arizona were to move on.

Tanner Vallejo (LB, 27)
Small potatoes here, but Vallejo is a role player with a near $2M cap hit in 2022. There's $1.66M to be freed up.

Matt Prater (P, 37)
Prater's cap hit more than doubles to $4.5M in 2022, putting the 37 year old on the soft bubble (assuming the Cardinals can find a viable replacement). Moving on means freeing up $3.575M of cap space.

Los Angeles Rams

Projected Top 51 Cap Space: $5M

Under Contract (44): FULL ROSTER

2022 Dead Cap: $242k

Notable Restricted Free Agents: Matt Gay (P, 27), FULL LIST

Notable Unrestricted Free Agents: Von Miller (OLB, 32), Sony Michel (RB, 26), Odell Beckham, Jr. (WR, 29), Brian Allen (C, 28), Austin Corbett (G, 26), FULL LIST

Potential Franchise Tag: None.

Draft Picks: R3 (COMP), R4 (COMP), R5, R6 (COMP), R6 (COMP), R6 (COMP), R7 (MIA), R7

Extension Candidates

Matthew Stafford (QB, 33)
It hasn’t exactly been the storybook year (yet) some predicted for Stafford and the Rams once the trade became official. Still, the 33 year old is Top 5 in Yards, Yards/Attempt, TDs, Rating, & QBR. There’s 1 year, $23M left on his current contract, and it’s conceivable the Rams let that play out as is, but an extension this offseason seems more likely. Mathematically speaking, Stafford is a $42.5M QB currently.

Von Miller (OLB, 33)
Miller hasn’t been as much of a factor in the pass rush since joining the Rams as he’s been during his Broncos tenure, but at nearly 33 years old, those days are likely in his rearview mirror. He’ll be asked to become a more versatile edge defender now, and projects to a 2 year, $18M extension.

Odell Beckham, Jr. (WR, 29)
Working in the slot in LA has upped OBJ’s opportunities (and TDs), but it’s hard to see him in a bigger role than this - no matter the team. With Cooper Kupp and Robert Woods locked up, and Van Jefferson showing enough to utilize his rookie contract value, OBJ’s days in LA are likely numbered. He projects to a 2 year, $11M contract currently.

Potential Trades/Cuts

A'Shawn Robinson (DT, 26)
Still a very productive player, Robinson finds himself here because he's one of the only contracts on the Rams' roster with a sizable 2022 cap hit, and decent savings if moved on from. A simple base restructure is a more likely solution here (especially with a $1M roster bonus already fully guaranteed), but there's $5.5M of cap space to be freed up if LA moves on.

San Francisco 49ers

Projected Top 51 Cap Space: $9.9M

Under Contract (32): FULL ROSTER

2022 Dead Cap: $3,9M

Notable Restricted Free Agents: Daniel Brunskill (OL, 27), FULL LIST

Notable Unrestricted Free Agents: Laken Tomlinson (G, 29), D.J. Jones (DT, 27), FULL LIST

Franchise Tag Candidate: None.

Draft Picks: R2, R3, R4, R5, R6 (DEN), R7 (COMP), R7 (COMP), R7 (COMP)

Extension Candidates

Deebo Samuel (WR, 25)
As just a pass catching WR alone, Samuel projects toward an $18M contract. Factor in 300+ rush yards, nearly 7 yards per attempt, and another 7 TDs to the mix, and it stands to reason Samuel will be the next $20M+ contract in the league. If the plan is to move on from Garoppolo’s big contract and turn the keys over to the rookie QB, this extension should be a slam dunk.

Nick Bosa (DE, 28)
Bosa becomes extension-eligible after 2021 and is having the kind of season the 49ers have been waiting for since selecting him #2 overall in 2019. With that said, his total resume falls well behind that of Watt, Garrett, or his brother currently, providing a calculated valuation currently sub-$20M. Is this a reasonable expectation? No. If we put 2021 into it’s own box, Nick Bosa is a $25M pass rusher, so for now, that’s the idea to build upon.

Potential Trades/Cuts

Jimmy Garoppolo (QB, 30)
For the most part, the Niners stuck to their guns in keeping Trey Lance on the sidelines for the majority of 2021. Garoppolo responded with a very Garoppolo-like season, good enough for most teams to appreciate, but likely not enough to keep him in San Franc's plans going forward. With just $1.4M of dead cap against a $27M cap hit, there's $25.6M to be freed up in trading or releasing the veteran QB.

Dee Ford (DE, 30)
Ford has struggled with a back injury for quite some time now, but the Niners stuck with him in 2021, opting to restructure his contract in March to move some dollars around. There's an injury guarantee on his $4.6M roster bonus due next April 1, but assuming he can pass a physical before then, the 49ers can free up about $2M by moving on.

Samson Ebukam (OLB, 26)
Ebukam has shown flashes of high production in 2021, but the 2nd year of his contract was always to be considered a bit of an option, as his cap figure jumps from $3.7M to $8.25M. There's $6.5M to be freed up by moving on.

Seattle Seahawks

Projected Top 51 Cap Space: $53M

Under Contract (37): FULL ROSTER

2022 Dead Cap: $1.8M

Notable Restricted Free Agents: Blessuan Austin (CB, 25), FULL LIST

Notable Unrestricted Free Agents: Duane Brown (LT, 36), Quandre Diggs (S, 29), Rashaad Penny (RB, 25), Alex Collins (RB, 27), Gerald Everett (TE, 27), FULL LIST

Franchise Tag Candidate: Quandre Diggs (S, 29) projected $13M

Draft Picks: R2, R3, R4 (NYJ), R4, R5, R7

Extension Candidates

D.K. Metcalf (WR, 24)
After a sizzling 2020, Metcalf (and the entire SEA offense) has come crashing back down to earth this season. With Russell Wilson’s future in doubt, and Tyler Lockett recently locked in, an early extension for Metcalf probably doesn’t make financial sense just yet, even if he does appear to be the real deal. The 24-year-old value just under $18M per year right now.

Bobby Wagner (LB, 31)
Wagner is nearing the end of his 3rd contract in Seattle, and for the most part the numbers look like a carbon copy of each other over the past 4 seasons. WIth that said, there’s absolutely no precedent for a 32 year old off-ball/middle linebacker garnering serious money at this stage of his career. Will he become a $5M player who still produces $15M numbers?

Russell Wilson (QB, 33)
Russell Wilson is an injured QB trying to finish out a bad season for a bad team. If we take all of that aside, it would still be crazy to see a team trade him away at age 33. Contractually Wilson has 2 years, $51M remaining, and projects to a 3 year, $126M extension - so it’s big money wherever you look.


Potential Trades/Cuts

Bobby Wagner (LB, 31)
Wagner probably belongs in the extension grouping, but the uncertainty of the Seattle roster as a whole puts everything in question. His $20.35M cap hit for 2022 is intolerable, and there's $16.6M to be freed up by moving on, but a restructured extension to lower this figure and keep the 10 year vet in Seattle seems the most likely path forward.

Christopher Carson (RB, 27)
Carson's extension was essentially a one year deal in terms of guarantee structure, and a serious neck injury now has his future in question. The contract holds $3M of dead cap against a $6.4M cap hit in 2022, but with Rashaad Penny & Alex Collins slated for free agency, there's a chance he sticks for one more year.

Jason Myers (K, 30)
Myers' consistency has fallen off of a cliff in 2021, and his $5M cap figure may be too rich to tolerate. With just $1M of dead cap on the final year of his contract, Seattle likely opts for the $4M saved here.

Kerry Hyder (DE, 30)
Hyder's cap figure nearly doubled ($3.7M) in 2022, putting him on a soft bubble this offseason. There's $2M to be freed up in moving on.

Michael GinnittiJanuary 08, 2022
Assessing the upcoming offseason for each 2022 NFC South team, broken down by division, including projected cap space, players under contract, notable free agents, potential extension candidates, franchise tag possibilities, & trade/cut options.

Offseason Division Pieces

Atlanta Falcons

Projected Top 51 Cap Space: $12M

Under Contract (31): FULL ROSTER

2022 Dead Cap: $15.6M

Notable Restricted Free Agents: Olamide Zaccheaus (WR, 24), FULL LIST

Notable Unrestricted Free Agents: Cordarrelle Patterson (RB, 30), Younghoe Koo (K, 27), Dante Fowler Jr. (DE, 27), FULL LIST

Franchise Tag Candidate: None.

Draft Picks: R1, R2, R2 (TEN), R3, R4, R5 , R6

Extension Candidates

Jake Matthews (OT, 29)
Matthews has been a staple on Matt Ryan’s blindside since entering the league in 2014. Not yet 30, a looming QB change for Atlanta should make shoring up the offensive line even more of a priority this offseason. The going rate for new LT contracts ranges from $17M-$23M currently.

Cordarrelle Patterson (RB, 30)
One of the toughest players we’ve had to attempt to evaluate over the past decade, Patterson appears to be pioneering a whole new “role” inside this modern offense, taking twice as many  receiving snaps as he has rushing snaps, though still largely considered a halfback in the league right now? So should he be paid like a 30 year old running back? Or a 30 year old WR3? We’ve split the difference, and the math sees a $9M per year extension in his future.

Potential Trades/Cuts

Matt Ryan (QB, 36)
After a disastrous start, Ryan and the Falcons' offense found their sea legs about halfway through 2021. Was it enough to keep him in the fold for 2022? Maybe. His contract certainly doesn't make it easy to move away. Matt Ryan's 2022 cap hit is a whopping $48.6M currently, with a whopping $40.525M of dead cap attached to it. A post 6/1 designation would need to be processed before March 18th, when a $7.5M roster bonus is due, to split the dead cap into a more reasonable $24.9M in 2022, & $15.6M in 2023, representing $23.75M of cap savings next year.

Mike Davis (RB, 28)
Davis was brought in to be the lead back this past March, but was quickly supplanted by Cordarrelle Patterson's outstanding campaign. With the latter scheduled for free agency, Davis might stick based out of necessity. But Atlanta could use the $2.5M in cap savings that come with moving on.

Calvin Ridley (WR, 27)
Ridley's return to Atlanta is TBD as he continues to remain away from the team due to a mental health battle. His $11.1M option salary for 2022 is already fully guaranteed, and will stay on the books until further notice.

Grady Jarrett (DT, 28)
Jarrett's production peaked in 2019, when he was truly one of the best interior defenders in all of football. While the 28 year old still has plenty to offer, a $23.8M cap hit scheduled for 2022 seems unlikely. The Falcons can certainly option to restructure/extend him for cap purposes, but if the opt to move on entirely, there's $16.5M to be freed up.

Carolina Panthers

Projected Top 51 Cap Space: $28M

Under Contract (40): FULL ROSTER

2022 Dead Cap: $7M

Notable Restricted Free Agents: Phillip Walker (QB, 26)

Notable Unrestricted Free Agents: Stephon Gilmore (CB, 31), Haason Reddick (OLB, 27), FULL LIST

Potential Franchise Tag: None.

Draft Picks: R1, R4 (HOU), R5 (JAX), R5, R6 (LV), R7 (TEN)

Extension Candidates

Stephon Gilmore (CB, 31)
It didn't take long for Gilmore to find himself back in the Top 10 CB ranks according to PFF. At 31 years old, a top of the market contract is likely out of the equation here, with Darius Slay’s $16.6M AAV signed at age 29 currently the oldest major contract on the books. Gilmore carries an $11M+ valuation into 2022. There's an outside chance that Carolina slaps a franchise tag on Gilmore to stop him from hitting the open market, but at $17.5M, it's a steep move.

Haason Reddick (EDGE, 27)
The numbers have been really good for two years now, first as a Cardinal, and lately with the Panthers. It stands to reason that someone is going to pony up a multi-year extension to charter his production, so why not Carolina? Bud Dupree’s 5 yr, $82.5M deal in Tennessee seems to be the benchmark.

D.J. Moore (WR, 24)
Moore is entering a contract year in 2022, with an $11.1M option salary to boot. He's posted 3 straight 1,000 yard seasons, with 12 touchdowns across that span. There's probably not a top of the market contract in his future, but a deal in the $18M per year range is certainly within reason.

Potential Trades/Cuts

Sam Darnold (QB, 24)
It's unlikely there will be a taker out there for Darnold at his current $18.8M price tag, but the Panthers agreeing to take on a portion of the salary could get a trade done. That's assuming of course that Carolina can acquire a proper upgrade for themselves at the QB position.

Christian McCaffrey (RB, 25)
Despite 4 years, $44M+ left on his contract, McCaffrey's guarantees run out after 2022, putting this at a practical 1 year, $8.6M commitment. With the Panthers in a bit of disarray offensively, it stands to reason they'll listen to offers. A pre June 1st move means $18.5M of dead cap to Carolina, which can split into $5.7M/$12.8M over two years if processed after that date.

New Orleans Saints

Projected Top 51 Cap Space: -$61M

Under Contract (40): FULL ROSTER

2022 Dead Cap: $12.5M

Notable Restricted Free Agents: Deonte Harris (WR, 24), Shy Tuttle (DT, 26), Carl Granderson (DE, 25), FULL LIST

Notable Unrestricted Free Agents: Terron Armstead (LT, 30), Marcus Williams (FS, 25), Jameis Winston (QB, 27),FULL LIST

Franchise Tag Candidate: Marcus Williams (FS, 25), projected $13M

Draft Picks: R1, R2, R3 (COMP), R3 (COMP), R4, R5, R7

Extension Candidates

Terron Armstead (LT, 30)
He’s been one of the best left tackles in football for awhile now, but has also never played an entire 16 game season in 9 years. With a contract set to expire this winter, and the Saints (naturally) in cap trouble heading toward the 2022 league year, it’s going to be complicated (but not impossible) to squeeze in the highest average offensive lineman contract in NFL history, but I’d still bet it gets done. The going rate is north of $23M per year.

Deonte Harris (WR, 24, RFA)
Currently serving a 3-game suspension for an off-field incident, Harris is a do-it-all player both as an offensive weapon and kick returner. He’s a downfield threat, an option in the slot, and certainly out of the backfield as well, putting him in legitimate conversation for a restricted offer sheet in the next few months. A second round tender ($3.9M) is highly likely from New Orleans, but a multi-year extension might be the smarter move. Tim Patrick’s 3 yr, $34M deal is a potential ceiling.

Marcus Williams (FS, 25)
Williams played 2021 on a franchise tag, and there's a decent chance New Orleans slaps another one on him next month. His patience has likely paid off, with new deals for Jamal Adams, Harrison Smith, & Justin Simmons pushing the safety market near $18M/year. Smith's $16M mark becomes the baseline here.

Marcus Davenport (DE, 25)
Davenport will be entering a contract year in 2022, with a fully guaranteed $9.8M option salary to boot. He's been a dominant edge defender when active, but staying on the field has been a problem as the 25 year old has seen action in just 47 of a possible 65 regular season games thus far. Davenport currently projects to a 4 year, $93M extension.

Potential Trades/Cuts

Michael Thomas (WR, 28)
Thomas' $15.35M salary for 2022 is guaranteed for injury currently, so the Saints are relying on the fact that he can pass a physical at the start of the league year to let them off the hook financially speaking. The current contract has 3 yrs, $51.95M left, but just the 2022 season contains early guarantees, so finding a trade partner isn't entirely out of the question here. If the plan is to release him, a Post June 1st designation seems the only answer, allowing the $22.7M of dead cap to split into $8.9M next year ($15.8M saved), $13.8M in 2022.

Malcolm Jenkins (FS, 34)
Jenkins still has games left in him, but the Saints will need to be creative with their financials yet again in 2022, putting his $11.7M cap figure on notice. A post June 1st release frees up $7.75M.

Bradley Roby (CB, 29)
Roby was acquired from Houston for a 3rd & 6th round pick, so it stands to reason that New Orleans would prefer to get another year out of the defensive back. A restructure is probably more likely here, a move that can free up $6.8M of cap space in 2022.

Tampa Bay Buccaneers

Projected Top 51 Cap Space: $31M

Under Contract (34): FULL ROSTER

2022 Dead Cap: $3.4M

Notable Restricted Free Agents: FULL LIST

Notable Unrestricted Free Agents: Chris Godwin (WR, 25), Leonard Fournette (RB, 26), Rob Gronkowski (TE, 32), Ronald Jones II (RB, 24), O.J. Howard (TE, 27), Ryan Jensen (C, 30), Ndamukong Suh (DT, 34), Jason Pierre-Paul (DE, 32), FULL LIST

Franchise Tag Candidate: Carlton Davis (CB, 24), projected $17.5M

Draft Picks: R1, R2, R3, R4, R5, R7

Extension Candidates

Carlton Davis (CB, 24)
A quad injury has slowed Davis’ season following a superb 2020, and his rookie contract is set to expire this coming March. Can the Bucs keep this current NFC contender together while also paying Davis top of the market CB money? Davis currently projects to a 5 year, $98M extension.

Vita Vea (DT, 26)
Vea’s not quite having the Top 5 DT year that 2020 was, but his ability to be involved in the pass rush makes him a bigtime weapon for Tampa over the next few years. He’s been extension eligible for a year now, and holds a $7.6M salary in 2022. UPDATE: Vea locked into a 4 year, $73M extension with the Buccaneers

Potential Trades/Cuts

Cameron Brate (TE, 30)
With Rob Gronkowski & OJ Howard both headed for free agency, Brate is currently the only TE option on the roster. But a minimal production year factored with $6.8M of savings to be had puts him squarely on the bubble regardless.

Michael GinnittiJanuary 07, 2022
Assessing the upcoming offseason for each 2022 NFC North team, broken down by division, including projected cap space, players under contract, notable free agents, potential extension candidates, franchise tag possibilities, & trade/cut options.

Offseason Division Pieces

Chicago Bears

Projected Top 51 Cap Space: $42M

Under Contract (32): FULL ROSTER

2022 Dead Cap: $3.2M

Notable Restricted Free Agents: FULL LIST

Notable Unrestricted Free Agents: Jason Peters (OT, 39), Allen Robinson (WR, 28), Akiem Hicks (DE, 32), FULL LIST

Franchise Tag Candidate: None.

Draft Picks: R2, R3, R5 (HOU), R5, R6

Extension Candidates

David Montgomery (RB, 24)
Montgomery has established himself as the dominant run option for Chicago over the past year and a half, with improved production in the passing game as well. He holds strong value over the last two years of his rookie deal ($1.1M, $1.2M), but should be in line for a 3-4 year extension tacked on. Joe Mixon’s 4 yr, $48M deal is a solid baseline.

Akiem Hicks (DE, 32)
Age isn’t slowing down Hicks, who remains a Top 20 defensive lineman according to PFF this year. While J.J. Watt’s $14M per year likely isn’t in reach, a 2 year extension in the $12M range could be.

Potential Trades/Cuts

Eddie Goldman (DT, 27)
Goldman probably has a few more above average years left in him, but a 2020 injury, and minimal production in 2021 put his $11.8M cap number on notice. There's $6.6M to be cleared here early, $8.8M if post June 1st.

Danny Trevathan (LB, 31)
Trevathan will finish the season on IR due to a knee injury, limiting his campaign to just 5 games in 2021. A post June 1st release frees up $3.5M of cap, but maybe more importantly $7M+ of cash.

Detroit Lions

Projected Top 51 Cap Space: $38M

Under Contract (34): FULL ROSTER

2022 Dead Cap: $8.1M

Notable Restricted Free Agents: FULL LIST

Notable Unrestricted Free Agents: Kalif Raymond (WR, 27), Jalen Reeves-Maybin (OLB, 26), Charles Harris (DE, 26), FULL LIST

Potential Franchise Tag: None.

Draft Picks: R1, R1 (LAR), R2, R3, R3 (COMP), R5 (COMP), R6, R6 (COMP), R7 (CLE), R7 (NE)

Extension Candidates

T.J. Hockenson (TE, 24)
Hockenson becomes extension-eligible after 2021, having played 40 games over his first 3 NFL seasons. His 2020 numbers (67 catches, 723 yards, 6 TDs) are probably a pretty good indication of what his next few years will look, so tacking on a few years to the two remaining on his rookie deal seems fairly safe. 4 years, $50M is the current baseline.

Charles Harris (DE, 26)
Harris has enjoyed a breakout season in terms of pass rush (7.5 sacks, 60 tackles to date). Was this a one-off, or can he be relied on for this type of production over the next few seasons? If Detroit thinks it’s the latter, Carl Nassib’s 3 year, $25M contract makes sense.

Potential Trades/Cuts

Michael Brockers (DT, 31)
Brockers joined Detroit on a 3 year, $24M contract this past March, but had minimal impact over the course of his first season. With $4M of his 2022 salary fully guaranteed, an outright release is unlikely, but there's a potential trade to be found here.

Trey Flowers (OLB, 28)
Flowers has been active for only 29 games in his 3 seasons with Detroit, having reeled in over $54M for his efforts. The Lions are on the hook for his $1.625M roster bonus (which became fully guaranteed last March), but there's a path to freeing up over $10M of cap space here regardless ($16M with a post 6/1 designation).

Green Bay Packers

Projected Top 51 Cap Space: -$37M

Under Contract (42): FULL ROSTER

2022 Dead Cap: $647k

Notable Restricted Free Agents: Allen Lazard (WR, 26), FULL LIST

Notable Unrestricted Free Agents: Davante Adams (WR, 29), De'Vondre Campbell (OLB, 28), Kevin King (CB, 26), Robert Tonyan Jr. (TE, 27), Rasul Douglas (CB, 26), FULL LIST

Franchise Tag Candidate: Davante Adams (WR, 29), $20.12M

Draft Picks: R1, R2, R3, R4, R4 (COMP), R5, R7 (CHI), R7, R7 (COMP)

Extension Candidates

Aaron Rodgers (QB, 38)
Rodgers has 1 year, $27M left on the deal and is still performing at an MVP-caliber level, but it seems likely that money will be low on the list of whether or not he remains in GB to finish out his career. The 38-year-old holds a whopping $46.3M valuation in our system, projecting to a 3 year, $13 9M extension.

Davante Adams (WR, 29)
Adams’ current 4 yr, $58M is the biggest WR deal the Packers have given out in franchise history (by $18M). It’s likely going to take more than double that figure to keep him in the fold going forward. Adams projects to a 5 year, $133M extension currently in our system. A $20.1M tag will offer time to negotiate, though the Packers might need to slap an exclusive tag on him to keep other teams away (projects to about $23M).

Rashan Gary (OLB, 24)
Gary becomes extension eligible after 2021, with a Top 10 edge defender rank attached to his name, and production that nearly doubles his 2020 campaign. He's a $20M player based on the last two years, and a $25M player based on 2021 alone, so the Packers need to be prepared for a Bosa/Watt/Garrett type deal in their future.

Rasul Douglas  (CB, 26)
Douglas was released by the Texans in August, signed to the Cardinals p-squad in September, and signed from that squad to the Packers in October. Since then, he’s been one of their best defensive players, and a Top 20 graded cornerback in the league according to PFF. Is there a 4 year, $40M extension in the pending free agent’s future?

Preston Smith (OLB, 29)
Smith has 1 year, $12.5M left on his contract, but carries a $19.75M cap figure in 2022. Statistically speaking he’s having one of the best seasons of his career, and while GB will have bigger decisions to make, extending this contract out a few years for cap purposes seems to carry some logic. A rough 2020 holds his valuation down at $11M per year, but Leonard Floyd’s $16M per year extension could be in the cards here. Za'Darius Smith is in an almost identical situation here, but a back injury puts him a bit behind the eight ball right now.

Potential Trades/Cuts

Aaron Rodgers (QB, 38)
He's only here because we feel obligated to do so, but conventional logic says neither side should be considering a divorce just yet. With that said, it isn't unreasonable to consider that Rodgers could retire should he and GB win it all this season. If the trade talk does come back into the fold, here's the deal. There's $26.8M of dead cap on the contract next year, which could split up unto $19.1/$7.6M over two years if a trade is done after June 1st, but that seems highly unlikely. An early trade frees up $19.3M of cap space, $26.9M of cash (and sends the entire organization into shock).

Randall Cobb (WR, 31)
Cobb was actually highly productive (as Rodgers expected), returning to the Packers' system. They may have to restructure/keep him if Aaron requests it, but a $9.6M cap hit seems too rich on the surface versus the $6.8M to be saved by moving on in some fashion.

Za'Darius Smith (OLB, 29)
It doesn't seem reasonable that Za'Darius, Preston Smith, & Rashan Gary remain together through 2022, especially since they currently account for a whopping $53M of cap next season. An extension for Gary, and a restructure on one of the Smith's seems logical. There's $15.75M to free up by moving on from Za'Darius, and $12.5M by moving on from Preston.

Minnesota Vikings

Projected Top 51 Cap Space: -$11M

Under Contract (47): FULL ROSTER

2022 Dead Cap: $7M

Notable Restricted Free Agents: None.

Notable Unrestricted Free Agents: Anthony Barr (OLB, 29), Patrick Peterson (CB, 31), Sheldon Richardson (DT, 31), Xavier Woods (FS, 26), FULL LIST

Franchise Tag Candidate: None.

Draft Picks: R1, R2, R3, R5 (BAL), R6 (NYJ), R6, R6 (KC), R7 (DEN)

Extension Candidates

Kirk Cousins (QB, 33)
Cousins has had Top 5 production across many statistical categories in 2021, but the wins just aren’t there to back them up. With that said, he’s entering a contract year in 2022, with a $45M cap hit to boot. In some fashion, this contract is getting addressed over the offseason (trade, restructure, extension, etc…).

Xavier Woods (FS, 26)
The veteran FS is on pace for his most productive season ever, playing on a slightly above minimum contract for 2021. If he’s primed for a starting role in 2022, a $4M per year deal becomes his baseline.

Potential Trades/Cuts

Kirk Cousins (QB, 33)
Statistically speaking, Cousins has never disappointed, but his contract becomes daunting when stacking it up against big wins, and playoff appearances. With 1 year, $35M (fully guaranteed) left, this is still a very tradable contract, and it stands to reason that a few calls could be made in that regard. Minnesota would take on $10M of dead cap with a trade away, freeing up $35M of cap and cash in the process.

Danielle Hunter (DE, 27)
Hunter missed the entire 2020 season (neck), and half of 2021 (torn pec), with injuries so there's a long road ahead still. Factor in a $26.12M cap hit for 2022 (thanks to an $18.5M roster bonus), and it's a certainty that something is forthcoming with the edge rusher's contract. At this point, a trade then restructure still seems feasible, a move that would leave $7.4M of dead cap with Minnesota, freeing up $18.64M of cap space.

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