NFL
Justin Watson
Justin Watson
Kansas City Chiefs, Wide Receiver
Age: 29y-9m-26d (Apr 04, 1995)
Exp: 7 Years
Country: US
College: Pennsylvania
Drafted: Round 5 (#144 overall), 2018
Agent(s): Joe Linta (JL Sports)
Career Earnings
$8,456,739
2023-2024 Free Agent
Justin Watson signed a 2 year, $3,400,000 contract with the Kansas City Chiefs, including $150,000 signing bonus, $1,380,000 guaranteed, and an average annual salary of $1,700,000.
Contract Terms:
2 yr(s) / $3,400,000
Average Salary:
$1,700,000
Signing Bonus:
$150,000
GTD at Sign:
$1,380,000
Total GTD:
$1,380,000
Free Agent:
2025 / UFA
| Year | Age | Cap HitAnnual | Cap % League Cap | Cash Annual | Cash Cumulative | Dead Cap Annual | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023 |
|
28 | $1,250,000 | 0.56% | $1,400,000 | $1,400,000 | $1,400,000 |
| 2024 |
|
29 | $2,920,000 | 1.14% | $3,000,000 | $4,400,000 | $150,000 |
| 2025 |
|
30 |
UFA |
| Year | Age | Base P5 Salary | Signing Proration | Roster/Gm Bonus | Workout Bonus | Incentives Likely | Cap Hit | Cap % League Cap | Dead Cap | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023 |
|
28 | $1,080,000 | $150,000 | - | $20,000 | - | $1,250,000 | 0.56% | $1,400,000 | |
| 2024 |
|
29 | $1,870,000 | $150,000 | $480,000 | $20,000 | $400,000 | $2,920,000 | 1.14% | $150,000 | |
| 2025 |
|
30 |
UFA |
| Year | Age | Base P5 Salary | Signing Bonus | Roster/Gm Bonus | Workout Bonus | Cash Total | Cash Cumulative | Cash Remaining | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023 |
|
28 | $1,080,000 | $300,000 | - | $20,000 | $1,400,000 | $1,400,000 | $4,400,000 |
| 2024 |
|
29 | $1,870,000 | - | $480,000 | $20,000 | $3,000,000 | $4,400,000 | $3,000,000 |
Contract Notes
- $1.38M guaranteed (signing bonus + 2023 salary)
- 2024 Per Game Active Bonus: $30,000 ($510,000)
- Playing Time Incentive (non-cumulative)
45%: $200,000
55%: $400,000
65% + Playoff Berth: $600,000 - Receptions Incentive (non-cumulative)
20: $200,000
40: $400,000
65 + Playoff Berth: $600,000
Source:
NFL contract specifics generally collected from verified reports.
2022-2022
Contract Terms:
1 yr(s) / $1,035,000
Average Salary:
$1,035,000
Signing Bonus:
N/A
GTD at Sign:
Total GTD:
Free Agent:
2023 / UFA
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2018-2021 Rookie
Contract Terms:
4 yr(s) / $2,761,739
Average Salary:
$690,435
Signing Bonus:
$301,739
GTD at Sign:
$301,739
Total GTD:
$301,739
Free Agent:
2022 / UFA
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Seasons
7 Years
Career Earnings thru 2025
$8,456,739
Earnings w/ Different Teams
2 teams
Earnings Per Year
| Year | Age | Team(s) | Status | Cash Total | Cash Cumulative | Awards |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2018 | 23 |
|
Active
|
$781,739 |
$781,739 |
|
| 2019 | 24 |
|
Active
|
$570,000 |
$1,351,739 |
|
| 2020 | 25 |
|
Active
|
$750,000 |
$2,101,739 |
Champion |
| 2021 | 26 |
|
Active
|
$920,000 |
$3,021,739 |
|
| 2022 | 27 |
|
Active
|
$1,035,000 |
$4,056,739 |
Champion |
| 2023 | 28 |
|
Active
|
$1,400,000 |
$5,456,739 |
Champion |
| 2024 | 29 |
|
Active
|
$3,000,000 |
$8,456,739 |
|
| Total |
$8,456,739 |
$8,456,739 |
||||
| Total |
$8,456,739 |
Earnings Per Team
| Years | Team | Base | Signing | Roster | Restructure | Option | Incentives | Cash Cumulative |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 |
|
$2,720,000 | $301,739 | - | - | - | - | $3,021,739 |
| 3 |
|
$3,985,000 | $300,000 | - | - | $40,000 | $600,000 | $5,435,000 |
| Year | Team(s) | Age | Base | Signing | Roster | Restructure | Option | Workout | Incentives | Cash Total | Cash Cumulative |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2018 |
|
23 |
$480,000
|
$301,739 |
$781,739 |
$781,739 |
|||||
| 2019 |
|
24 |
$570,000
|
$570,000 |
$1,351,739 |
||||||
| 2020 |
|
25 |
$750,000
|
$750,000 |
$2,101,739 |
||||||
| 2021 |
|
26 |
$920,000
|
$920,000 |
$3,021,739 |
||||||
| 2022 |
|
27 |
$1,035,000
|
$1,035,000 |
$4,056,739 |
||||||
| 2023 |
|
28 |
$1,080,000
|
$300,000 |
$20,000 |
$1,400,000 |
$5,456,739 |
||||
| 2024 |
|
29 |
$1,870,000
|
$20,000 |
$600,000 |
$3,000,000 |
$8,456,739 |
||||
| Total |
$6,705,000 |
$601,739 |
$40,000 |
$600,000 |
$8,456,739 |
$8,456,739 |
|||||
| Total |
$6,705,000 |
$601,739 |
$40,000 |
$600,000 |
$8,456,739 |
Earnings Per Team
| Years | Team | Base | Signing | Roster | Restructure | Option | Incentives | Cash Cumulative |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 |
|
$2,720,000 | $301,739 | - | - | - | - | $3,021,739 |
| 3 |
|
$3,985,000 | $300,000 | - | - | $40,000 | $600,000 | $5,435,000 |
Injuries
| Year | Weeks | Reason | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2021 |
TB |
1 - 15 | Knee |
-
Dec 01, 2023
Fined $6,833 Taunting against Las Vegas (LV)
-
Apr 14, 2023
Signed a 2 year $3.4 million contract with Kansas City (KC)
-
Feb 05, 2022
Signed a reserve/future contract with Kansas City (KC)
-
Jan 19, 2022
Signed to the practice squad by Tampa Bay (TB)
-
May 09, 2018
Signed a 4 year $2.76 million contract with Tampa Bay (TB)
-
Apr 28, 2018
Drafted by Tampa Bay (TB): Round 5 (#144 overall)
Fines
| Date | Reason | Fine Amount | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 01, 2023 |
|
Taunting against Las Vegas (LV) | $6,833 | |
| Fines: 1 | $6,833 |
| Year | Team | GP | GS | Snaps | Snaps% | Rec Receptions | Rec Yards | Rec Touchdowns | Fum |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | KC | 17 | 6 | 653 | 58.60 | 22 | 289 | 2 | 0 |
| 2023 | KC | 16 | 8 | 536 | 47.40 | 27 | 460 | 3 | 1 |
| 2022 | KC | 17 | 5 | 494 | 43.00 | 15 | 315 | 2 | 0 |
| 2021 | TB | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2020 | TB | 11 | 2 | 159 | 14.80 | 7 | 94 | 0 | 0 |
| 2019 | TB | 16 | 2 | 231 | 19.90 | 15 | 159 | 2 | 0 |
| 2018 | TB | 12 | 0 | 73 | 8.00 | 1 | 5 | 0 | 0 |
Calculated Market Value
Market Value
- 1 years, $1,703,726
- Avg. Salary: $1,703,726
- NFL Rank: 639
- WR Rank: 70
Current Contract
- Free Agent: 2025
- Avg. Salary: $1,700,000
Comparable Players
We've selected the following players based on their age, contract status, and statistical production to compare Justin Watson to.
| Player | Length | Value | Avg. Salary | Age When Signed |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marquise Goodwin | 1 | $1,700,000 | $1,700,000 | 32 |
| Zach Pascal | 2 | $4,500,000 | $2,250,000 | 28 |
| Nelson Agholor | 1 | $3,750,000 | $3,750,000 | 30 |
| Deandre Carter | 1 | $1,200,000 | $1,200,000 | 31 |
| Averages | 1 | $2,787,500 | $2,225,000 | 30.3 |
Base Calculated Value
After adjusting the above contracts as if signed at Watson's current age (29), a linear regression is performed, providing us with the following initial value.
| Length | Value | Avg. Salary |
|---|---|---|
| 3 | $5,525,001 | $1,841,667 |
Statistical Comparisons
Now we'll compare our variables and Watson statistically over the two seasons prior to their signing. In this case we're analyzing: GP%, Rec Tgt/Gm, Rec/Gm, Rec Yds/Gm, Rec TD/Gm, YAC/GM, Drops/Gm, Rating
| Player | GP% | Rec Tgt/Gm | Rec/Gm | Rec Yds/Gm | Rec TD/Gm | YAC/GM | Drops/Gm | Rating |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
Marquise Goodwin
2021-2022
|
79.41 | 3.04 | 1.74 | 25.93 | 0.19 | 7.56 | 0.07 | 63.50 |
|
Zach Pascal
2021-2022
|
97.06 | 2.67 | 1.61 | 16.18 | 0.12 | 6.30 | 0.09 | 57.65 |
|
Nelson Agholor
2022-2023
|
97.06 | 2.97 | 2.00 | 22.52 | 0.18 | 8.88 | 0.18 | 59.30 |
|
Deandre Carter
2022-2023
|
100.00 | 2.12 | 1.47 | 16.97 | 0.09 | 7.97 | 0.09 | 55.90 |
| Average | 93.38 | 2.70 | 1.71 | 20.40 | 0.15 | 7.68 | 0.11 | 59.09 |
|
Justin Watson
2023-2024
|
97.06 | 2.58 | 1.48 | 22.70 | 0.15 | 3.42 | 0.15 | 58.20 |
| Pct Change | 3.94 | -4.44 | -13.45 | 11.27 | 0.00 | -55.47 | -36.36 | -1.51 |
| Median Prime % Change | -2.98% | |||||||
| Average Prime % Change | -12.00% | |||||||
Calculated Market Value: Justin Watson
After applying our Prime % figures into our base calculated value, we're given two values. The average of these values becomes our current calculated market value.
| Terms | Avg. Salary |
|---|---|
| 1 years, $1,703,726 | $1,703,726 |
